← West Suffolk (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

West Suffolk 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

39 ward races

60 seats

38 elected below the proportional quota

63.3% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 39 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 60 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	23,996	44.1%	24	40.0%	28	46.7%	-4
Labour Party	16,523	30.4%	17	28.3%	19	31.7%	-2
Independent	5,082	9.3%	8	13.3%	5	8.3%	+3
WS IND	4,307	7.9%	9	15.0%	5	8.3%	+4
Green Party	2,266	4.2%	1	1.7%	2	3.3%	-1
Liberal Democrats	1,649	3.0%	1	1.7%	1	1.7%	0
Reform UK	470	0.9%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
CPB	74	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	54,367	100.0%	60	100.0%	60	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Newmarket East · 2 seats · won at 17.4% · +16.0 pts below quota
Iceni · 2 seats · won at 19.2% · +14.2 pts below quota
Haverhill West · 2 seats · won at 21.2% · +12.1 pts below quota
Haverhill Central · 1 seat · won at 38.2% · +11.8 pts below quota
Ixworth · 1 seat · won at 39.2% · +10.8 pts below quota
Newmarket West · 2 seats · won at 22.5% · +10.8 pts below quota
Minden · 2 seats · won at 23.5% · +9.9 pts below quota
Abbeygate · 2 seats · won at 24.0% · +9.3 pts below quota
Newmarket North · 2 seats · won at 24.2% · +9.1 pts below quota
St Olaves · 2 seats · won at 25.1% · +8.2 pts below quota
Moreton Hall · 3 seats · won at 17.1% · +7.9 pts below quota
Haverhill North · 2 seats · won at 25.5% · +7.9 pts below quota
Southgate · 2 seats · won at 25.9% · +7.4 pts below quota
The Fornhams & Great Barton · 2 seats · won at 26.8% · +6.5 pts below quota
The Rows · 2 seats · won at 27.0% · +6.3 pts below quota
Lakenheath · 2 seats · won at 28.9% · +4.4 pts below quota
Haverhill East · 2 seats · won at 28.9% · +4.4 pts below quota
Withersfield · 1 seat · won at 45.9% · +4.1 pts below quota
Barrow · 1 seat · won at 47.9% · +2.1 pts below quota
Brandon East · 1 seat · won at 48.5% · +1.5 pts below quota
Haverhill South · 2 seats · won at 32.4% · +0.9 pts below quota
Tollgate · 2 seats · won at 32.7% · +0.7 pts below quota
Horringer · 1 seat · won at 49.8% · +0.2 pts below quota
Westgate · 2 seats · won at 34.0% · above quota
Manor · 1 seat · won at 50.9% · above quota
Pakenham & Troston · 1 seat · won at 53.4% · above quota
Clare, Hundon & Kedington · 3 seats · won at 29.3% · above quota
Brandon West · 1 seat · won at 57.2% · above quota
Kentford & Moulton · 1 seat · won at 57.4% · above quota
Brandon Central · 1 seat · won at 58.9% · above quota
Eastgate · 1 seat · won at 63.8% · above quota
Risby · 1 seat · won at 64.0% · above quota
Mildenhall Kingsway & Market · 1 seat · won at 64.5% · above quota
Exning · 1 seat · won at 64.9% · above quota
Rougham · 1 seat · won at 66.1% · above quota
Barningham · 1 seat · won at 66.7% · above quota
Whepstead & Wickhambrook · 1 seat · won at 67.5% · above quota
Haverhill South East · 1 seat · won at 72.0% · above quota
Mildenhall Great Heath · 1 seat · won at 82.1% · above quota

Race results

Newmarket East · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +16.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,827

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Perry, S.	Labour Party	358	19.6%	Elected
2	Hood, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	317	17.4%	Elected
3	Edge, J.	Liberal Democrats	309	16.9%
4	Nobbs, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	306	16.7%
5	Richer, J.	WS IND	292	16.0%
6	Kerby, T.	Independent	245	13.4%

Electorate 4,070 · Ballots cast 1,827 · Back to ward index

Iceni · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +14.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,253

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dicker, D.	WS IND	354	28.3%	Elected
2	Drummond, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	240	19.2%	Elected
3	Morse, S.	Green Party	231	18.4%
4	Holland, K.	Labour Party	227	18.1%
5	Anderson, L.	WS IND	201	16.0%

Electorate 3,917 · Ballots cast 1,253 · Back to ward index

Haverhill West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,982

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Martin, A.	Labour Party	455	23.0%	Elected
2	Marks, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	421	21.2%	Elected
3	Page, D.	Labour Party	413	20.8%
4	Roach, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	358	18.1%
5	Davidson, B.	Independent	335	16.9%

Electorate 4,249 · Ballots cast 1,982 · Back to ward index

Haverhill Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 599

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Luccarini, A.	Independent	229	38.2%	Elected
2	Martin, M.	Labour Party	221	36.9%
3	Sowa, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	149	24.9%

Electorate 2,401 · Ballots cast 599 · Back to ward index

Ixworth · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 618

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Griffiths, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	242	39.2%	Elected
2	Lord, B.	Independent	211	34.1%
3	Vicat, H.	Labour Party	165	26.7%

Electorate 1,710 · Ballots cast 618 · Back to ward index

Newmarket West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,675

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Yarrow, K.	Labour Party	475	28.4%	Elected
2	Lynch, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	377	22.5%	Elected
3	Pitts, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	364	21.7%
4	Warn, C.	Green Party	343	20.5%
5	Whittle, A.	Reform UK	116	6.9%

Electorate 3,734 · Ballots cast 1,675 · Back to ward index

Minden · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +9.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,171

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Higgins, D.	Labour Party	831	26.2%	Elected
2	O'Driscoll, R.	Labour Party	744	23.5%	Elected
3	Everitt, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	602	19.0%
4	Turner, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	482	15.2%
5	Korfanty, H.	Liberal Democrats	320	10.1%
6	Pinsker, R.	Liberal Democrats	192	6.1%

Electorate 4,188 · Ballots cast 3,171 · Back to ward index

Abbeygate · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +9.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,393

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wakelam, J.	Green Party	796	33.3%	Elected
2	Rayner, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	575	24.0%	Elected
3	Iannelli-Popham, N.	Labour Party	515	21.5%
4	Mackenzie, A.	Labour Party	433	18.1%
5	Turner, D.	CPB	74	3.1%

Electorate 3,635 · Ballots cast 2,393 · Back to ward index

Newmarket North · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +9.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,433

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Anderson, M.	WS IND	483	33.7%	Elected
2	Jarvis, J.	Labour Party	347	24.2%	Elected
3	Burton, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	313	21.8%
4	Stainton, P.	WS IND	290	20.2%

Electorate 3,614 · Ballots cast 1,433 · Back to ward index

St Olaves · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,754

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Halpin, L.	Labour Party	511	29.1%	Elected
2	Stennett, F.	Independent	440	25.1%	Elected
3	Smith, M.	Labour Party	418	23.8%
4	Murray, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	219	12.5%
5	Cockram, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	166	9.5%

Electorate 4,161 · Ballots cast 1,754 · Back to ward index

Moreton Hall · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,572

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Armitage, P.	Labour Party	810	17.7%	Elected
2	Lindberg, R.	Labour Party	797	17.4%	Elected
3	Mager, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	781	17.1%	Elected
4	Haque, U.	Labour Party	757	16.6%
5	Thompson, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	716	15.7%
6	Maher, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	711	15.6%

Electorate 5,735 · Ballots cast 4,572 · Back to ward index

Haverhill North · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,658

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Firman, P.	Independent	462	27.9%	Elected
2	Mason, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	422	25.5%	Elected
3	Cox, Q.	Labour Party	412	24.8%
4	Mason, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	362	21.8%

Electorate 3,621 · Ballots cast 1,658 · Back to ward index

Southgate · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,376

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Chung, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	705	29.7%	Elected
2	Stamp, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	615	25.9%	Elected
3	Moore, J.	Labour Party	388	16.3%
4	Dexter-Mills, C.	Green Party	339	14.3%
5	Godber, C.	Labour Party	329	13.8%

Electorate 3,095 · Ballots cast 2,376 · Back to ward index

The Fornhams & Great Barton · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 26.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +6.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,679

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hopfensperger, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	765	28.6%	Elected
2	Broughton, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	719	26.8%	Elected
3	Martin, B.	Labour Party	383	14.3%
4	King, J.	Green Party	308	11.5%
5	Moore, B.	Labour Party	278	10.4%
6	Derry, J.	Liberal Democrats	226	8.4%

Electorate 3,233 · Ballots cast 2,679 · Back to ward index

The Rows · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 27.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +6.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,738

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Waldron, D.	WS IND	470	27.0%	Elected
2	Bradshaw, M.	WS IND	470	27.0%	Elected
3	Stanbury, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	420	24.2%
4	Millward, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	378	21.7%

Electorate 3,836 · Ballots cast 1,738 · Back to ward index

Lakenheath · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +4.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,098

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kelly, G.	Independent	660	31.5%	Elected
2	Whitehand, T.	Independent	606	28.9%	Elected
3	Frost, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	453	21.6%
4	Noble, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	379	18.1%

Electorate 4,034 · Ballots cast 2,098 · Back to ward index

Haverhill East · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +4.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 964

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hanlon, P.	Labour Party	303	31.4%	Elected
2	Miller-Jones, L.	Labour Party	279	28.9%	Elected
3	Burns, J.	Independent	222	23.0%
4	Khawaja, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	160	16.6%

Electorate 2,863 · Ballots cast 964 · Back to ward index

Withersfield · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 739

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wijenayaka, I.	Labour Party	339	45.9%	Elected
2	Stevens, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	325	44.0%
3	Lord, P.	Independent	75	10.1%

Electorate 1,833 · Ballots cast 739 · Back to ward index

Barrow · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 731

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Houlder, I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	350	47.9%	Elected
2	Williams, T.	Labour Party	192	26.3%
3	Kronbergs, Z.	Liberal Democrats	189	25.9%

Electorate 2,036 · Ballots cast 731 · Back to ward index

Brandon East · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 567

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wittam, P.	WS IND	275	48.5%	Elected
2	Mason, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	154	27.2%
3	Smith, S.	Independent	138	24.3%

Electorate 2,181 · Ballots cast 567 · Back to ward index

Haverhill South · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 32.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +0.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,088

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Smith, D.	Labour Party	383	35.2%	Elected
2	Smith, L.	Labour Party	353	32.4%	Elected
3	Crooks, J.	Independent	352	32.4%

Electorate 4,276 · Ballots cast 1,088 · Back to ward index

Tollgate · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 32.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +0.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,145

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hind, D.	Labour Party	740	34.5%	Elected
2	Sayer, M.	Labour Party	701	32.7%	Elected
3	Winter, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	354	16.5%
4	Sillett, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	350	16.3%

Electorate 4,174 · Ballots cast 2,145 · Back to ward index

Horringer · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 839

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Soons, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	418	49.8%	Elected
2	Ereira-Guyer, M.	Green Party	249	29.7%
3	Cornish, Q.	Labour Party	172	20.5%

Electorate 2,074 · Ballots cast 839 · Back to ward index

Westgate · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 34.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −0.6 pts Valid ballots 2,210

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rout, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	785	35.5%	Elected
2	Augustine, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	751	34.0%	Elected
3	McGoochan, P.	Labour Party	674	30.5%

Electorate 3,782 · Ballots cast 2,210 · Back to ward index

Manor · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.9 pts Valid ballots 697

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Taylor, D.	WS IND	355	50.9%	Elected
2	Harvey, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	342	49.1%

Electorate 2,050 · Ballots cast 697 · Back to ward index

Pakenham & Troston · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.4 pts Valid ballots 581

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Speed, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	310	53.4%	Elected
2	Stephenson, S.	Labour Party	271	46.6%

Electorate 1,875 · Ballots cast 581 · Back to ward index

Clare, Hundon & Kedington · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 29.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference −4.3 pts Valid ballots 4,187

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Clarke, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,381	33.0%	Elected
2	Rushbrook, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,226	29.3%	Elected
3	Richardson, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,226	29.3%	Elected
4	Turbefield, R.	Reform UK	354	8.5%

Electorate 6,087 · Ballots cast 4,187 · Back to ward index

Brandon West · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.2 pts Valid ballots 542

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lukaniuk, V.	WS IND	310	57.2%	Elected
2	Palmer, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	232	42.8%

Electorate 2,227 · Ballots cast 542 · Back to ward index

Kentford & Moulton · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.4 pts Valid ballots 900

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dicker, R.	WS IND	517	57.4%	Elected
2	Bennett, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	216	24.0%
3	Appleton, H.	Labour Party	167	18.6%

Electorate 2,269 · Ballots cast 900 · Back to ward index

Brandon Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.9 pts Valid ballots 492

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Savage, J.	WS IND	290	58.9%	Elected
2	Simmons, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	202	41.1%

Electorate 2,208 · Ballots cast 492 · Back to ward index

Eastgate · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.8 pts Valid ballots 650

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Waterman, C.	Labour Party	415	63.8%	Elected
2	Bastiani, Z.	Conservative and Unionist Party	235	36.2%

Electorate 1,729 · Ballots cast 650 · Back to ward index

Risby · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.0 pts Valid ballots 791

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Glossop, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	506	64.0%	Elected
2	Appleton, P.	Labour Party	285	36.0%

Electorate 2,264 · Ballots cast 791 · Back to ward index

Mildenhall Kingsway & Market · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.5 pts Valid ballots 592

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Shipp, I.	Independent	382	64.5%	Elected
2	Thielker, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	114	19.3%
3	Finn, P.	Labour Party	96	16.2%

Electorate 2,107 · Ballots cast 592 · Back to ward index

Exning · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.9 pts Valid ballots 636

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	London, J.	Liberal Democrats	413	64.9%	Elected
2	Wood, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	223	35.1%

Electorate 1,723 · Ballots cast 636 · Back to ward index

Rougham · single-seat

Marginal winner 66.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −16.1 pts Valid ballots 688

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mildmay-White, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	455	66.1%	Elected
2	Cullen, I.	Labour Party	233	33.9%

Electorate 1,850 · Ballots cast 688 · Back to ward index

Barningham · single-seat

Marginal winner 66.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −16.7 pts Valid ballots 793

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bull, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	529	66.7%	Elected
2	Alexander, C.	Labour Party	264	33.3%

Electorate 2,139 · Ballots cast 793 · Back to ward index

Whepstead & Wickhambrook · single-seat

Marginal winner 67.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.5 pts Valid ballots 764

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Pugh, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	516	67.5%	Elected
2	Sanderson, R.	Labour Party	248	32.5%

Electorate 2,077 · Ballots cast 764 · Back to ward index

Haverhill South East · single-seat

Marginal winner 72.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −22.0 pts Valid ballots 504

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brown, T.	Independent	363	72.0%	Elected
2	Andre, R.	Labour Party	141	28.0%

Electorate 1,815 · Ballots cast 504 · Back to ward index

Mildenhall Great Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner 82.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −32.1 pts Valid ballots 441

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Alecock, R.	Independent	362	82.1%	Elected
2	Leaman, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	79	17.9%

Electorate 2,037 · Ballots cast 441 · Back to ward index