← West Suffolk (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

West Suffolk 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

14 ward races

16 seats

9 elected below the proportional quota

56.3% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	26,314	51.1%	15	93.8%	10	62.5%	+5
Labour Party	9,413	18.3%	0	0.0%	3	18.8%	-3
Green Party	7,857	15.3%	0	0.0%	2	12.5%	-2
Independent	4,257	8.3%	0	0.0%	1	6.3%	-1
WS IND	1,959	3.8%	1	6.3%	0	0.0%	+1
Liberal Democrats	1,600	3.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
CPB	120	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	51,520	100.0%	16	100.0%	16	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Eastgate And Moreton Hall · 1 seat · won at 35.3% · +14.7 pts below quota
Tower · 2 seats · won at 18.8% · +14.5 pts below quota
Haverhill Cangle · 2 seats · won at 21.0% · +12.3 pts below quota
Mildenhall · 1 seat · won at 40.1% · +9.9 pts below quota
Exning And Newmarket · 1 seat · won at 40.8% · +9.2 pts below quota
Brandon · 1 seat · won at 41.0% · +9.0 pts below quota
Newmarket And Red Lodge · 1 seat · won at 46.9% · +3.1 pts below quota
Haverhill East And Kedington · 1 seat · won at 57.4% · above quota
Row Heath · 1 seat · won at 60.4% · above quota
Hardwick · 1 seat · won at 61.6% · above quota
Clare · 1 seat · won at 63.3% · above quota
Thingoe North · 1 seat · won at 64.7% · above quota
Thingoe South · 1 seat · won at 65.3% · above quota
Blackbourn · 1 seat · won at 70.7% · above quota

Race results

Eastgate And Moreton Hall · single-seat

Marginal winner 35.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,755

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Thompson P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	973	35.3%	Elected
2	Beckwith T.	Independent	788	28.6%
3	Allcocks L.	Labour Party	378	13.7%
4	Warby F.	Independent	266	9.7%
5	Livsey J.M.	Green Party	266	9.7%
6	Linehan D.R.	Liberal Democrats	84	3.0%

Electorate 7,316 · Ballots cast 2,755 · EC ward code E58001749 · Back to ward index

Tower · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 18.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +14.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 11,182

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Everitt R.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,277	20.4%	Elected
2	Nettleton D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,104	18.8%	Elected
3	Holland S.	Green Party	1,993	17.8%
4	Rowe M.S.	Green Party	1,489	13.3%
5	Higgins D.E.	Labour Party	1,409	12.6%
6	Sayer M.A.	Labour Party	830	7.4%
7	Stennett F.	Independent	691	6.2%
8	Poulson D.J.	Liberal Democrats	269	2.4%
9	Turner D.A.	CPB	120	1.1%

Electorate 16,494 · Ballots cast 11,182 · EC ward code E58001754 · Back to ward index

Haverhill Cangle · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,800

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mason J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,994	29.3%	Elected
2	Sowa H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,429	21.0%	Elected
3	Smith D.M.	Labour Party	869	12.8%
4	Smith L.	Labour Party	864	12.7%
5	Luccarini A.J.	Independent	467	6.9%
6	Fox P.C.S.	Independent	411	6.0%
7	Forsdyke N.L.	Green Party	301	4.4%
8	Leathers M.L.	Green Party	276	4.1%
9	Payne D.C.	Liberal Democrats	189	2.8%

Electorate 13,849 · Ballots cast 6,800 · EC ward code E58001760 · Back to ward index

Mildenhall · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,504

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Stanbury L.G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,004	40.1%	Elected
2	Neal A.	Independent	855	34.1%
3	Finn P.	Labour Party	271	10.8%
4	Chandler D.	Independent	163	6.5%
5	Blomfield J.M.E.	Green Party	151	6.0%
6	Avison B.J.G.	Liberal Democrats	60	2.4%

Electorate 7,537 · Ballots cast 2,504 · EC ward code E58001432 · Back to ward index

Exning And Newmarket · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,514

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hood R.D.S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,025	40.8%	Elected
2	O'Neill C.	WS IND	683	27.2%
3	Warren C.T.	Labour Party	579	23.0%
4	Wheeler C.	Green Party	227	9.0%

Electorate 8,531 · Ballots cast 2,514 · EC ward code E58001412 · Back to ward index

Brandon · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,973

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lukaniuk V.C.	WS IND	808	41.0%	Elected
2	Mason C.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	766	38.8%
3	Dean S.M.	Labour Party	298	15.1%
4	Tanner W.J.	Green Party	101	5.1%

Electorate 6,992 · Ballots cast 1,973 · EC ward code E58001404 · Back to ward index

Newmarket And Red Lodge · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,626

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Drummond A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,232	46.9%	Elected
2	Swallow C.J.M.	Labour Party	497	18.9%
3	Appleby A.J.	WS IND	468	17.8%
4	Morse S.R.	Green Party	219	8.3%
5	Pinsker R.B.	Liberal Democrats	210	8.0%

Electorate 10,340 · Ballots cast 2,626 · EC ward code E58001433 · Back to ward index

Haverhill East And Kedington · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.4 pts Valid ballots 2,071

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Roach D.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,188	57.4%	Elected
2	Page D.P.	Labour Party	469	22.6%
3	Davidson B.	Independent	247	11.9%
4	Mynott R.J.	Green Party	167	8.1%

Electorate 7,092 · Ballots cast 2,071 · EC ward code E58001751 · Back to ward index

Row Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.4 pts Valid ballots 2,681

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Noble C.L.B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,620	60.4%	Elected
2	Chipulina T.L.	Labour Party	387	14.4%
3	Waldron D.	Independent	369	13.8%
4	Unwin C.	Green Party	305	11.4%

Electorate 9,168 · Ballots cast 2,681 · EC ward code E58001438 · Back to ward index

Hardwick · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.6 pts Valid ballots 2,933

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rout R.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,806	61.6%	Elected
2	Macpherson J.D.A.	Labour Party	448	15.3%
3	Dexter-Mills C.	Green Party	350	11.9%
4	Korfanty H.W.	Liberal Democrats	329	11.2%

Electorate 6,692 · Ballots cast 2,933 · EC ward code E58001750 · Back to ward index

Clare · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.3 pts Valid ballots 3,668

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bennett B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,322	63.3%	Elected
2	Rogers K.L.	Labour Party	704	19.2%
3	Bell J.J.W.	Green Party	642	17.5%

Electorate 8,993 · Ballots cast 3,668 · EC ward code E58001759 · Back to ward index

Thingoe North · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.7 pts Valid ballots 3,030

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hopfensperger B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,961	64.7%	Elected
2	Parker K.	Labour Party	471	15.5%
3	Ingwall King O.G.	Green Party	369	12.2%
4	Chapman i.R.	Liberal Democrats	229	7.6%

Electorate 7,363 · Ballots cast 3,030 · EC ward code E58001752 · Back to ward index

Thingoe South · single-seat

Marginal winner 65.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.3 pts Valid ballots 3,359

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Soons K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,192	65.3%	Elected
2	Davies R.H.	Labour Party	470	14.0%
3	Martin V.	Green Party	467	13.9%
4	Brooks L.	Liberal Democrats	230	6.8%

Electorate 7,808 · Ballots cast 3,359 · EC ward code E58001753 · Back to ward index

Blackbourn · single-seat

Marginal winner 70.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −20.7 pts Valid ballots 3,424

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Spicer J.G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,421	70.7%	Elected
2	Lakin W.G.	Green Party	534	15.6%
3	Bailey J.R.	Labour Party	469	13.7%

Electorate 8,333 · Ballots cast 3,424 · EC ward code E58001401 · Back to ward index