← Welwyn Hatfield (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Welwyn Hatfield 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

16 ward races
16 seats
13 elected below the proportional quota
81.3% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party9,10233.9%425.0%637.5%-2
Labour Party8,54931.8%850.0%531.3%+3
Liberal Democrats5,75021.4%425.0%425.0%0
Green Party2,5529.5%00.0%16.3%-1
Reform UK8953.3%00.0%00.0%0
Total26,848100.0%16100.0%16100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Sherrards · single-seat

Marginal winner 31.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +18.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,925

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gilbert, L.Labour Party60631.5%Elected
2Mughal, A.Liberal Democrats59030.6%
3Reyner, D.Conservative and Unionist Party47524.7%
4Cox, D.Green Party1286.6%
5Aaron, J.Reform UK1266.5%

Electorate 4,373 · Ballots cast 1,925 · EC ward code E05011070 · Back to ward index

Panshanger · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,419

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Khan, S.Liberal Democrats54138.1%Elected
2Tunstall, S.Conservative and Unionist Party46232.6%
3Hewitt, P.Labour Party31422.1%
4Cowley-French, A.Green Party1027.2%

Electorate 4,379 · Ballots cast 1,419 · EC ward code E05011068 · Back to ward index

Welwyn East · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,943

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Cragg, J.Conservative and Unionist Party77740.0%Elected
2von Bulow, G.Labour Party58730.2%
3Almeyda, G.Liberal Democrats25012.9%
4Dexter, D.Green Party1789.2%
5Holdsworth, T.Reform UK1517.8%

Electorate 5,092 · Ballots cast 1,943 · EC ward code E05011072 · Back to ward index

Hatfield Villages · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,610

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Otumunye, J.Labour Party66941.6%Elected
2Cook, A.Conservative and Unionist Party55134.2%
3Taylor, B.Liberal Democrats29218.1%
4Kukol, A.Green Party986.1%

Electorate 5,943 · Ballots cast 1,610 · EC ward code E05011064 · Back to ward index

Welham Green and Hatfield South · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,681

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Zukowskyj, P.Liberal Democrats69941.6%Elected
2Travell, T.Conservative and Unionist Party59335.3%
3Mendez, L.Labour Party32219.2%
4Nendick, I.Green Party674.0%

Electorate 5,303 · Ballots cast 1,681 · EC ward code E05011071 · Back to ward index

Hatfield East · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,853

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Asare, S.Labour Party78342.3%Elected
2Hunt, C.Conservative and Unionist Party59732.2%
3Fatemi, P.Liberal Democrats31517.0%
4Gregory, I.Green Party1588.5%

Electorate 5,637 · Ballots cast 1,853 · EC ward code E05011062 · Back to ward index

Peartree · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,435

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Platt, R.Liberal Democrats62143.3%Elected
2Green, T.Labour Party52136.3%
3Dhelaria, J.Conservative and Unionist Party17512.2%
4Dickson, T.Green Party1188.2%

Electorate 5,512 · Ballots cast 1,435 · EC ward code E05011069 · Back to ward index

Welwyn West · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,873

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bardet, A.Conservative and Unionist Party81743.6%Elected
2Butcher, S.Green Party80142.8%
3Osborne, A.Labour Party19010.1%
4Richardson, R.Liberal Democrats653.5%

Electorate 4,878 · Ballots cast 1,873 · EC ward code E05011073 · Back to ward index

Handside · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,494

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Skottowe, A.Liberal Democrats1,09143.7%Elected
2Thomson, F.Conservative and Unionist Party84533.9%
3Shah, V.Labour Party32112.9%
4Hopley, P.Green Party1365.5%
5Lewis, A.Reform UK1014.0%

Electorate 5,417 · Ballots cast 2,494 · EC ward code E05011060 · Back to ward index

Hatfield South West · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,763

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bonkur, K.Labour Party78444.5%Elected
2Joglu, M.Liberal Democrats48927.7%
3Stanbury, C.Conservative and Unionist Party41823.7%
4Henn, A.Green Party724.1%

Electorate 5,973 · Ballots cast 1,763 · EC ward code E05011063 · Back to ward index

Haldens · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,558

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hobbs, M.Labour Party74347.7%Elected
2Hellyer, A.Conservative and Unionist Party45128.9%
3Payne, J.Liberal Democrats23715.2%
4Smith, L.Green Party1278.2%

Electorate 4,934 · Ballots cast 1,558 · EC ward code E05011059 · Back to ward index

Hatfield Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,337

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Walsh, I.Labour Party64548.2%Elected
2Bond, J.Conservative and Unionist Party32824.5%
3Smith, M.Reform UK13510.1%
4Edwards, A.Liberal Democrats1249.3%
5Miles, C.Green Party1057.9%

Electorate 5,359 · Ballots cast 1,337 · EC ward code E05011061 · Back to ward index

Howlands · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,549

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gardner, K.Labour Party76949.6%Elected
2Seeger, B.Conservative and Unionist Party42827.6%
3Milliken, D.Reform UK1429.2%
4Berrington, P.Green Party1147.4%
5Skoczylas, H.Liberal Democrats966.2%

Electorate 5,283 · Ballots cast 1,549 · EC ward code E05011066 · Back to ward index

Hollybush · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.2 pts Valid ballots 1,243

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Chesterman, A.Labour Party64952.2%Elected
2Artemi, M.Conservative and Unionist Party29723.9%
3Haddow, H.Reform UK1209.7%
4Gamby, P.Green Party927.4%
5Haider, F.Liberal Democrats856.8%

Electorate 4,884 · Ballots cast 1,243 · EC ward code E05011065 · Back to ward index

Brookmans Park and Little Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.9 pts Valid ballots 1,759

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Short, M.Conservative and Unionist Party1,03658.9%Elected
2Beevers, G.Labour Party37421.3%
3Basford, P.Liberal Democrats1377.8%
4Sandhu, H.Reform UK1206.8%
5Berrington, W.Green Party925.2%

Electorate 4,974 · Ballots cast 1,759 · EC ward code E05011058 · Back to ward index

Northaw and Cuffley · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.6 pts Valid ballots 1,406

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Fitzsimon, B.Conservative and Unionist Party85260.6%Elected
2Barrett, S.Labour Party27219.3%
3Edwards, B.Green Party16411.7%
4Green, A.Liberal Democrats1188.4%

Electorate 4,649 · Ballots cast 1,406 · EC ward code E05011067 · Back to ward index