← Warwick (all cycles) · 1 May 2025 cohort
Warwick 2025
Local elections held 1 May 2025.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Party | 11,043 | 27.0% | 6 | 42.9% | 4 | 28.6% | +2 |
| Reform UK | 7,944 | 19.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 21.4% | -3 |
| Liberal Democrats | 7,515 | 18.4% | 5 | 35.7% | 3 | 21.4% | +2 |
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 7,198 | 17.6% | 1 | 7.1% | 2 | 14.3% | -1 |
| Labour Party | 5,017 | 12.3% | 1 | 7.1% | 2 | 14.3% | -1 |
| Labour and Co-operative Party | 1,009 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Whitnash Residents Association | 939 | 2.3% | 1 | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0% | +1 |
| Independent | 206 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Freedom Alliance | 40 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 32 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 40,943 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Cubbington & Leek Wootton · 1 seat · won at 28.1% · +21.9 pts below quota
- Leamington Clarendon · 1 seat · won at 31.3% · +18.7 pts below quota
- Budbrooke & Bishop's Tachbrook · 1 seat · won at 33.5% · +16.5 pts below quota
- Lapworth & West Kenilworth · 1 seat · won at 34.9% · +15.1 pts below quota
- Warwick West · 1 seat · won at 37.7% · +12.3 pts below quota
- Kenilworth St. John's · 1 seat · won at 38.7% · +11.3 pts below quota
- Whitnash · 1 seat · won at 42.5% · +7.5 pts below quota
- Kenilworth Park Hill · 1 seat · won at 44.0% · +6.0 pts below quota
- Warwick South · 1 seat · won at 45.9% · +4.1 pts below quota
- Warwick North · 1 seat · won at 46.3% · +3.7 pts below quota
- Leamington North · 1 seat · won at 50.3% · above quota
- Leamington Milverton · 1 seat · won at 53.5% · above quota
- Leamington Brunswick · 1 seat · won at 61.1% · above quota
- Leamington Willes · 1 seat · won at 62.3% · above quota
Race results
Cubbington & Leek Wootton · single-seat
Marginal winner 28.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +21.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,865
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Edwards | Liberal Democrats | 805 | 28.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Stephen Esslemont | Reform UK | 629 | 22.0% | |
| 3 | Isabella Moore | Conservative and Unionist Party | 624 | 21.8% | |
| 4 | Becky Davidson | Green Party | 463 | 16.2% | |
| 5 | Linda Hugl | Labour Party | 198 | 6.9% | |
| 6 | Wallace Redford | Independent | 146 | 5.1% |
Leamington Clarendon · single-seat
Marginal winner 31.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +18.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,483
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Max Hugo Langer | Liberal Democrats | 777 | 31.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Sarah Millar | Labour Party | 749 | 30.2% | |
| 3 | Geoff Diamond | Reform UK | 352 | 14.2% | |
| 4 | Eloise Rhianon Chilvers | Green Party | 301 | 12.1% | |
| 5 | William Jaspar De Save | Conservative and Unionist Party | 252 | 10.1% | |
| 6 | Alex MacKay | Freedom Alliance | 40 | 1.6% | |
| 7 | Eyal Zimran | Independent | 13 | 0.5% |
Budbrooke & Bishop's Tachbrook · single-seat
Marginal winner 33.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +16.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,142
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan Matecki | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,386 | 33.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Jenny Bevan | Labour Party | 1,060 | 25.6% | |
| 3 | Colin George Oliver | Reform UK | 1,010 | 24.4% | |
| 4 | Marcia Elaine Watson | Green Party | 343 | 8.3% | |
| 5 | Paul Gerard McCloskey | Liberal Democrats | 341 | 8.2% |
Lapworth & West Kenilworth · single-seat
Marginal winner 34.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +15.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,959
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Laurence Stevens | Green Party | 1,032 | 34.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Richard Hales | Conservative and Unionist Party | 907 | 30.7% | |
| 3 | Stiliyan Stiliyanov Petrov | Reform UK | 594 | 20.1% | |
| 4 | John George Henry Dubber | Liberal Democrats | 340 | 11.5% | |
| 5 | Kevin John Purdy | Labour Party | 86 | 2.9% |
Warwick West · single-seat
Marginal winner 37.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,080
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Holland | Labour Party | 1,161 | 37.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Nigel Philip Clarke | Reform UK | 859 | 27.9% | |
| 3 | Moira-Ann Grainger | Conservative and Unionist Party | 523 | 17.0% | |
| 4 | Supreet Tangri | Green Party | 337 | 10.9% | |
| 5 | Mubarik Chowdry | Liberal Democrats | 200 | 6.5% |
Kenilworth St. John's · single-seat
Marginal winner 38.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,497
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richard Dickson | Liberal Democrats | 1,352 | 38.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Rik Spencer | Conservative and Unionist Party | 730 | 20.9% | |
| 3 | Joe Rukin | Green Party | 638 | 18.2% | |
| 4 | Tim Wade | Reform UK | 513 | 14.7% | |
| 5 | Jeremy Eastaugh | Labour Party | 260 | 7.4% |
Whitnash · single-seat
Marginal winner 42.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,207
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Judy Falp | Whitnash Residents Association | 939 | 42.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Aidan John Flaherty | Reform UK | 439 | 19.9% | |
| 3 | Sarah Jane Richards | Green Party | 279 | 12.6% | |
| 4 | Daniel Wilkinson | Labour and Co-operative Party | 263 | 11.9% | |
| 5 | Ben Jackson | Conservative and Unionist Party | 192 | 8.7% | |
| 6 | Justine Frances Ragany | Liberal Democrats | 63 | 2.9% | |
| 7 | Laurie James Steele | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 32 | 1.4% |
Kenilworth Park Hill · single-seat
Marginal winner 44.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,100
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tracey Jane Drew | Green Party | 1,365 | 44.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Malcolm Graham | Conservative and Unionist Party | 794 | 25.6% | |
| 3 | Andrew John Harwood | Reform UK | 485 | 15.6% | |
| 4 | Adrian John George Marsh | Liberal Democrats | 268 | 8.6% | |
| 5 | Sarah Purdy | Labour Party | 141 | 4.5% | |
| 6 | Trevor Alexander Churchill Wright | Independent | 47 | 1.5% |
Warwick South · single-seat
Marginal winner 45.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,546
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicola Scott | Green Party | 1,627 | 45.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Phillip John Rothwell | Conservative and Unionist Party | 664 | 18.7% | |
| 3 | Mike Dudley | Reform UK | 653 | 18.4% | |
| 4 | Julie Christa Fewins | Labour and Co-operative Party | 459 | 12.9% | |
| 5 | Kelvin Howard Lambert | Liberal Democrats | 143 | 4.0% |
Warwick North · single-seat
Marginal winner 46.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,706
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Jones | Green Party | 1,254 | 46.3% | Elected |
| 2 | David John Norris | Reform UK | 615 | 22.7% | |
| 3 | Oliver Jacques | Conservative and Unionist Party | 381 | 14.1% | |
| 4 | Simon Pargeter | Labour Party | 378 | 14.0% | |
| 5 | Laurence Michael Byrne | Liberal Democrats | 75 | 2.8% |
Leamington North · single-seat
Marginal winner 50.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.3 pts Valid ballots 3,137
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarah Elizabeth Boad | Liberal Democrats | 1,579 | 50.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Adam Allan | Reform UK | 694 | 22.1% | |
| 3 | Angela Valerie Smith | Green Party | 346 | 11.0% | |
| 4 | Jane Knight | Labour Party | 276 | 8.8% | |
| 5 | Lucy Katie Marshall | Conservative and Unionist Party | 241 | 7.7% |
Leamington Milverton · single-seat
Marginal winner 53.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.5 pts Valid ballots 2,733
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer McAllister | Liberal Democrats | 1,461 | 53.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Ross Garner | Reform UK | 379 | 13.9% | |
| 3 | Ruby Turok-Squire | Labour Party | 324 | 11.9% | |
| 4 | Hayley Elizabeth Lockwood Key | Conservative and Unionist Party | 287 | 10.5% | |
| 5 | Christopher Tagg | Green Party | 279 | 10.2% |
Leamington Brunswick · single-seat
Marginal winner 61.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.1 pts Valid ballots 2,082
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan Chilvers | Green Party | 1,273 | 61.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Ethan James Liddell | Reform UK | 370 | 17.8% | |
| 3 | Chris Knight | Labour and Co-operative Party | 287 | 13.8% | |
| 4 | Jack Alexander | Conservative and Unionist Party | 101 | 4.9% | |
| 5 | Perjit Kaur Aujla | Liberal Democrats | 53 | 2.5% |
Leamington Willes · single-seat
Marginal winner 62.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.3 pts Valid ballots 2,416
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will Roberts | Green Party | 1,506 | 62.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Krish Bhardwaj | Labour Party | 384 | 15.9% | |
| 3 | Siobhan Gibbs | Reform UK | 352 | 14.6% | |
| 4 | Jack Daniel Francis McCann | Conservative and Unionist Party | 116 | 4.8% | |
| 5 | Paulo Viana | Liberal Democrats | 58 | 2.4% |