← Warwick (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Warwick 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

17 ward races
44 seats
44 elected below the proportional quota
100.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 17 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 44 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Green Party27,78926.3%1431.8%1227.3%+2
Conservative and Unionist Party27,53826.1%613.6%1227.3%-6
Liberal Democrats23,84722.6%1022.7%1022.7%0
Labour Party22,57621.4%1125.0%920.5%+2
WHIT RES3,5873.4%36.8%12.3%+2
UK Independence Party (UKIP)1220.1%00.0%00.0%0
Heritage Party1160.1%00.0%00.0%0
Reform UK730.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total105,648100.0%44100.0%44100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Cubbington & Leek Wootton · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +13.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,248

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Payne, J.Liberal Democrats69721.5%Elected
2Redford, P.Conservative and Unionist Party63319.5%Elected
3Wright, T.Conservative and Unionist Party61518.9%
4Ragany, J.Liberal Democrats60818.7%
5Roberts, J.Labour Party3079.5%
6Beattie, E.Green Party2016.2%
7Byart, A.Green Party1875.8%

Electorate 4,471 · Ballots cast 3,248 · Back to ward index

Warwick Aylesford · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,344

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Browne, D.Labour Party80224.0%Elected
2Rosu, G.Labour Party71021.2%Elected
3Bartlett, L.Conservative and Unionist Party61718.5%
4Colnet, L.Conservative and Unionist Party55716.7%
5Atkins, P.Green Party2006.0%
6Dahlmann, F.Liberal Democrats1715.1%
7Boileau, J.Liberal Democrats1444.3%
8O'Brien, T.Green Party1434.3%

Electorate 5,034 · Ballots cast 3,344 · Back to ward index

Budbrooke · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,973

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Matecki, J.Conservative and Unionist Party90522.8%Elected
2Phillips, P.Conservative and Unionist Party86421.7%Elected
3Barrott, J.Labour Party80620.3%
4Jackson, G.Liberal Democrats74918.9%
5Lever, S.Green Party3498.8%
6Dearing, J.Green Party3007.6%

Electorate 5,191 · Ballots cast 3,973 · Back to ward index

Kenilworth Abbey & Arden · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,477

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Armstrong, D.Green Party1,59716.9%Elected
2Aizlewood, K.Green Party1,53516.2%Elected
3Hales, R.Conservative and Unionist Party1,29213.6%Elected
4Watson, J.Green Party1,27513.5%
5Cooke, J.Conservative and Unionist Party1,26213.3%
6Gee, J.Conservative and Unionist Party1,23013.0%
7Gurney-Terry, A.Liberal Democrats3493.7%
8Williams, E.Liberal Democrats3453.6%
9Deacon, H.Labour Party3073.2%
10Macy, T.Liberal Democrats2853.0%

Electorate 8,411 · Ballots cast 9,477 · Back to ward index

Bishop's Tachbrook · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,024

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Collins, M.Labour Party67622.4%Elected
2Day, A.Conservative and Unionist Party66822.1%Elected
3Fox, D.Labour Party66321.9%
4Greene, M.Conservative and Unionist Party62720.7%
5Alty, J.Green Party1615.3%
6Skilton, D.Green Party1053.5%
7Lomas, N.Liberal Democrats652.1%
8Lambert, K.Liberal Democrats592.0%

Electorate 4,681 · Ballots cast 3,024 · Back to ward index

Kenilworth Park Hill · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,184

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Kennedy, A.Green Party1,83820.0%Elected
2Cron, L.Green Party1,58517.3%Elected
3Williams, L.Green Party1,33314.5%Elected
4Graham, M.Conservative and Unionist Party1,06611.6%
5Bunker, F.Conservative and Unionist Party97110.6%
6Lasok, F.Conservative and Unionist Party8469.2%
7Easthaugh, J.Labour Party4915.3%
8Marsh, A.Liberal Democrats4364.7%
9Chalmers, A.Liberal Democrats4044.4%
10Fuchss, S.Liberal Democrats2142.3%

Electorate 7,767 · Ballots cast 9,184 · Back to ward index

Warwick Myton & Heathcote · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,848

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gorman, K.Green Party1,46018.6%Elected
2Harrison, D.Green Party1,41418.0%Elected
3Yellapragada, H.Green Party1,17415.0%Elected
4Dore, G.Conservative and Unionist Party86711.0%
5Low, C.Conservative and Unionist Party84110.7%
6Murphy, N.Conservative and Unionist Party7759.9%
7Mangat, M.Labour Party7439.5%
8McHugh, M.Liberal Democrats1772.3%
9Kelly, J.Liberal Democrats1772.3%
10Pittarello, D.Liberal Democrats1471.9%
11Sedgley, M.Reform UK730.9%

Electorate 6,630 · Ballots cast 7,848 · Back to ward index

Leamington Lillington · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,199

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Boad, A.Liberal Democrats1,76319.2%Elected
2Kohler, P.Liberal Democrats1,62617.7%Elected
3Russell, D.Liberal Democrats1,38215.0%Elected
4Murphy, A.Labour Party7277.9%
5Parkins, S.Labour Party7107.7%
6Turok, R.Labour Party5526.0%
7Rothwell, P.Conservative and Unionist Party5275.7%
8Stevens, D.Conservative and Unionist Party4675.1%
9Watson, M.Green Party4444.8%
10Wakeford, L.Conservative and Unionist Party3393.7%
11Smith, A.Green Party3113.4%
12Walton, T.Green Party2352.6%
13Chapman, G.Heritage Party1161.3%

Electorate 8,832 · Ballots cast 9,199 · Back to ward index

Radford Semele · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,085

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Noonan, B.Conservative and Unionist Party43540.1%Elected
2Byrne, L.Liberal Democrats39836.7%
3Hugl, L.Labour Party14713.5%
4Wiseman, P.Green Party1059.7%

Electorate 2,842 · Ballots cast 1,085 · Back to ward index

Kenilworth St John's · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,759

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Dickson, K.Liberal Democrats1,94820.0%Elected
2Dickson, R.Liberal Democrats1,82618.7%Elected
3Milton, A.Liberal Democrats1,47315.1%Elected
4Spencer, R.Conservative and Unionist Party1,16611.9%
5Rukin, J.Green Party97210.0%
6Metcalf, A.Conservative and Unionist Party9569.8%
7Moore, I.Conservative and Unionist Party8869.1%
8Shiels, P.Labour Party5325.5%

Electorate 7,730 · Ballots cast 9,759 · Back to ward index

Warwick Saltisford · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +9.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,651

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Dray, K.Labour Party96826.5%Elected
2Sinnott, J.Labour Party87223.9%Elected
3Morley, J.Conservative and Unionist Party51514.1%
4Herring, H.Conservative and Unionist Party51314.1%
5Chilvers, E.Green Party3289.0%
6Fell, C.Liberal Democrats2376.5%
7Beddow, A.Liberal Democrats2186.0%

Electorate 5,391 · Ballots cast 3,651 · Back to ward index

Warwick All Saints & Woodloes · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,830

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Sullivan, J.Labour Party1,27216.2%Elected
2Kang, R.Labour Party1,23415.8%Elected
3Wightman, P.Labour Party1,22215.6%Elected
4Tracey, J.Conservative and Unionist Party98912.6%
5Jacques, O.Conservative and Unionist Party97912.5%
6Grainger, M.Conservative and Unionist Party97712.5%
7Lewis, T.Green Party3694.7%
8Nickels, J.Green Party3494.5%
9Boynton, M.Liberal Democrats2563.3%
10Cooper, A.Liberal Democrats1832.3%

Electorate 7,302 · Ballots cast 7,830 · Back to ward index

Leamington Milverton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,754

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gifford, B.Liberal Democrats1,92622.0%Elected
2Gifford, C.Liberal Democrats1,61518.4%Elected
3Syson, S.Liberal Democrats1,42416.3%Elected
4Marshall, A.Labour Party6417.3%
5Adkins, H.Labour Party5726.5%
6Deeley, S.Labour Party5185.9%
7Byrne, L.Conservative and Unionist Party4945.6%
8Key, H.Conservative and Unionist Party4745.4%
9North, C.Conservative and Unionist Party4385.0%
10Philpott, C.Green Party3674.2%
11Holmes, J.Green Party2853.3%

Electorate 7,211 · Ballots cast 8,754 · Back to ward index

Whitnash · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,012

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Barton, A.WHIT RES1,29521.5%Elected
2Falp, J.WHIT RES1,28421.4%Elected
3Margrave, R.WHIT RES1,00816.8%Elected
4Ling, F.Labour Party64510.7%
5Clark, V.Green Party3165.3%
6Edwards, W.Green Party2644.4%
7Walsh, C.Liberal Democrats2153.6%
8Reid, B.Green Party2143.6%
9Ahern, J.Conservative and Unionist Party1873.1%
10Parmar, E.Conservative and Unionist Party1612.7%
11Moore, D.Conservative and Unionist Party1592.6%
12Jessamine, J.Liberal Democrats1422.4%
13Steele, L.UK Independence Party (UKIP)1222.0%

Electorate 7,409 · Ballots cast 6,012 · Back to ward index

Leamington Clarendon · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,455

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hunt, K.Labour Party1,48019.9%Elected
2King, C.Labour Party1,42719.1%Elected
3Harrison, J.Labour Party1,30217.5%Elected
4Richards, S.Green Party5697.6%
5Alexander, D.Liberal Democrats4936.6%
6Thompson, A.Conservative and Unionist Party4826.5%
7Hutchings, B.Liberal Democrats4415.9%
8Brown, P.Liberal Democrats4275.7%
9Cox, N.Conservative and Unionist Party4255.7%
10Stone, N.Conservative and Unionist Party4095.5%

Electorate 7,579 · Ballots cast 7,455 · Back to ward index

Leamington Brunswick · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,005

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Chilvers, J.Green Party1,13022.6%Elected
2Davison, I.Green Party1,04220.8%Elected
3Tangri, N.Green Party96819.3%Elected
4Barker, J.Labour Party4699.4%
5Sweeney, J.Labour Party4078.1%
6Kerr, M.Labour Party4008.0%
7Garth, T.Conservative and Unionist Party1603.2%
8Bateman, J.Conservative and Unionist Party1292.6%
9Aujla, P.Liberal Democrats1042.1%
10Jee, H.Conservative and Unionist Party1012.0%
11Mitte, J.Liberal Democrats561.1%
12Dickinson, L.Liberal Democrats390.8%

Electorate 6,817 · Ballots cast 5,005 · Back to ward index

Leamington Willes · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +3.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,800

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Luckhurst, M.Green Party1,61123.7%Elected
2Roberts, W.Green Party1,60923.7%Elected
3Billiald, E.Green Party1,44421.2%Elected
4Bhardwaj, K.Labour Party97414.3%
5Foden, H.Liberal Democrats2533.7%
6Calder, S.Conservative and Unionist Party2303.4%
7Pandey, A.Liberal Democrats2143.1%
8Chaloner, T.Conservative and Unionist Party1692.5%
9Naylor, D.Liberal Democrats1612.4%
10Heather, C.Conservative and Unionist Party1352.0%

Electorate 7,444 · Ballots cast 6,800 · Back to ward index