← Warwick (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Warwick 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

14 ward races

14 seats

6 elected below the proportional quota

42.9% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	14,795	32.5%	5	35.7%	5	35.7%	0
Labour Party	11,613	25.5%	3	21.4%	4	28.6%	-1
Green Party	9,285	20.4%	3	21.4%	3	21.4%	0
Liberal Democrats	7,731	17.0%	2	14.3%	2	14.3%	0
RES	1,160	2.6%	1	7.1%	0	0.0%	+1
Independent	493	1.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Social Democratic Party	217	0.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)	112	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
VOLT	63	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
UKV	21	0.0%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	45,490	100.0%	14	100.0%	14	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Warwick South · 1 seat · won at 37.6% · +12.4 pts below quota
Kenilworth St John's · 1 seat · won at 40.4% · +9.6 pts below quota
Leamington Clarendon · 1 seat · won at 42.0% · +8.0 pts below quota
Whitnash · 1 seat · won at 46.0% · +4.0 pts below quota
Warwick North · 1 seat · won at 47.1% · +2.9 pts below quota
Lapworth & West Kenilworth · 1 seat · won at 47.4% · +2.6 pts below quota
Leamington North · 1 seat · won at 50.4% · above quota
Warwick West · 1 seat · won at 51.6% · above quota
Leamington Willes · 1 seat · won at 54.7% · above quota
Budbrooke & Bishop's Tachbrook · 1 seat · won at 55.0% · above quota
Kenilworth Park Hill · 1 seat · won at 55.3% · above quota
Cubbington & Leek Wotton · 1 seat · won at 56.3% · above quota
Leamington Milverton · 1 seat · won at 58.0% · above quota
Leamington Brunswick · 1 seat · won at 58.5% · above quota

Race results

Warwick South · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,418

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Birdi P.S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,286	37.6%	Elected
2	Gorman K.J.	Green Party	890	26.0%
3	Hugl L.	Labour Party	715	20.9%
4	Barr T.G.	Liberal Democrats	493	14.4%
5	Burr C.J.	Social Democratic Party	34	1.0%

Electorate 7,693 · Ballots cast 3,418 · EC ward code E58001594 · Back to ward index

Kenilworth St John's · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,746

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Spencer R.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,513	40.4%	Elected
2	Marsh A.J.G.	Liberal Democrats	1,195	31.9%
3	Edwards W.R.	Green Party	504	13.5%
4	Green J.M.	Labour Party	477	12.7%
5	Harris W.R.	Social Democratic Party	57	1.5%

Electorate 7,665 · Ballots cast 3,746 · EC ward code E58001572 · Back to ward index

Leamington Clarendon · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,303

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Millar S.	Labour Party	1,388	42.0%	Elected
2	Davies N.S.	Liberal Democrats	814	24.6%
3	Earl C.V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	738	22.3%
4	Dyakov-Richmond I.	Green Party	281	8.5%
5	Ahmed H.	Independent	82	2.5%

Electorate 7,290 · Ballots cast 3,303 · EC ward code E58001577 · Back to ward index

Whitnash · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,523

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Falp J.	RES	1,160	46.0%	Elected
2	Burley P.	Labour Party	667	26.4%
3	Norris D.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	408	16.2%
4	Richards S.J.	Green Party	180	7.1%
5	Steele L.J.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	69	2.7%
6	Walsh C.	Liberal Democrats	39	1.5%

Electorate 7,456 · Ballots cast 2,523 · EC ward code E58001598 · Back to ward index

Warwick North · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,840

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	D'Arcy J.	Labour Party	1,339	47.1%	Elected
2	Williams P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,239	43.6%
3	Das-Gupta R.	Liberal Democrats	157	5.5%
4	Payne J.	Social Democratic Party	105	3.7%

Electorate 7,001 · Ballots cast 2,840 · EC ward code E58001593 · Back to ward index

Lapworth & West Kenilworth · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,059

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cooke J.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,450	47.4%	Elected
2	Watson J.	Green Party	606	19.8%
3	Gallagher S.	Independent	411	13.4%
4	Eason R.C.	Liberal Democrats	309	10.1%
5	Hoten N.P.H.	Labour Party	283	9.3%

Electorate 7,143 · Ballots cast 3,059 · EC ward code E58001575 · Back to ward index

Leamington North · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.4 pts Valid ballots 3,375

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Boad S.E.	Liberal Democrats	1,702	50.4%	Elected
2	King C.	Labour Party	738	21.9%
3	Butler J.P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	631	18.7%
4	Watson M.E.	Green Party	261	7.7%
5	Smith G.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	43	1.3%

Electorate 8,367 · Ballots cast 3,375 · EC ward code E58001579 · Back to ward index

Warwick West · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.6 pts Valid ballots 3,588

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Holland J.R.	Labour Party	1,852	51.6%	Elected
2	Murphy N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,266	35.3%
3	Atkins P.G.	Green Party	311	8.7%
4	Chowdry M.A.	Liberal Democrats	159	4.4%

Electorate 9,216 · Ballots cast 3,588 · EC ward code E58001595 · Back to ward index

Leamington Willes · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.7 pts Valid ballots 3,052

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Roberts W.	Green Party	1,670	54.7%	Elected
2	Adkins H.E.	Labour Party	1,055	34.6%
3	Davies B.M.P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	281	9.2%
4	Kandola J.	Liberal Democrats	46	1.5%

Electorate 7,516 · Ballots cast 3,052 · EC ward code E58001580 · Back to ward index

Budbrooke & Bishop's Tachbrook · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.0 pts Valid ballots 3,992

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Matecki J.B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,197	55.0%	Elected
2	Box K.A.	Labour Party	970	24.3%
3	Harrison D.J.H.	Green Party	512	12.8%
4	Jackson G.	Liberal Democrats	313	7.8%

Electorate 9,911 · Ballots cast 3,992 · EC ward code E58001557 · Back to ward index

Kenilworth Park Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.3 pts Valid ballots 3,584

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Drew T.J.	Green Party	1,983	55.3%	Elected
2	Metcalf A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,153	32.2%
3	Cooke S.A.	Liberal Democrats	225	6.3%
4	Eastaugh J.	Labour Party	223	6.2%

Electorate 7,899 · Ballots cast 3,584 · EC ward code E58001571 · Back to ward index

Cubbington & Leek Wotton · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.3 pts Valid ballots 3,179

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Redford W.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,791	56.3%	Elected
2	Roberts J.H.	Labour Party	647	20.4%
3	Smith A.V.	Green Party	397	12.5%
4	Lomas N.S.	Liberal Democrats	281	8.8%
5	Perdigao L.	VOLT	63	2.0%

Electorate 7,479 · Ballots cast 3,179 · EC ward code E58001562 · Back to ward index

Leamington Milverton · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.0 pts Valid ballots 3,323

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gifford B.	Liberal Democrats	1,926	58.0%	Elected
2	Shortland L.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	597	18.0%
3	Dixon R.	Labour Party	576	17.3%
4	Duns S.J.	Green Party	224	6.7%

Electorate 6,827 · Ballots cast 3,323 · EC ward code E58001578 · Back to ward index

Leamington Brunswick · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.5 pts Valid ballots 2,508

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Chilvers J.D.	Green Party	1,466	58.5%	Elected
2	Norris J.	Labour Party	683	27.2%
3	Sayer C.F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	245	9.8%
4	Aujla P.K.	Liberal Democrats	72	2.9%
5	Spann B.	UKV	21	0.8%
6	Chehal D.	Social Democratic Party	21	0.8%

Electorate 7,877 · Ballots cast 2,508 · EC ward code E58001576 · Back to ward index