← Waltham Forest (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort

Waltham Forest 2022

Local elections held 5 May 2022.

22 ward races
60 seats
48 elected below the proportional quota
80.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 22 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 60 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party97,17359.1%4778.3%3761.7%+10
Conservative and Unionist Party36,53022.2%1321.7%1423.3%-1
Green Party12,3967.5%00.0%46.7%-4
Liberal Democrats12,2417.4%00.0%46.7%-4
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition3,4902.1%00.0%11.7%-1
Independent1,7611.1%00.0%00.0%0
WEP4040.2%00.0%00.0%0
Reform UK2740.2%00.0%00.0%0
ND430.0%00.0%00.0%0
Total164,312100.0%60100.0%60100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Valley · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 10,827

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Akram A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,81216.7%Elected
2Hemsted J.Conservative and Unionist Party1,78816.5%Elected
3Baptiste E.Labour Party1,75516.2%Elected
4Tonner K.Conservative and Unionist Party1,74616.1%
5Chaney S.Labour Party1,67315.5%
6Weeks N.Labour Party1,51514.0%
7Loxton J.Liberal Democrats2031.9%
8Heinze E.Liberal Democrats1721.6%
9Ozerim I.Liberal Democrats1631.5%

Electorate 9,940 · Ballots cast 10,827 · EC ward code E05013901 · Back to ward index

Hatch Lane & Highams Park North · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,936

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Fitzgerald M.Conservative and Unionist Party1,73217.4%Elected
2Halabi J.Conservative and Unionist Party1,65116.6%Elected
3James T.Conservative and Unionist Party1,61816.3%Elected
4Burns C.Labour Party1,56115.7%
5Fryd D.Labour Party1,32813.4%
6Rehman Z.Labour Party1,26412.7%
7Tatam R.Green Party6236.3%
8Cuffaro L.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1591.6%

Electorate 9,546 · Ballots cast 9,936 · EC ward code E05013890 · Back to ward index

Larkswood · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,928

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1O'Connell S.Conservative and Unionist Party1,69017.0%Elected
2Moss J.Conservative and Unionist Party1,66316.8%Elected
3Saumarez C.Conservative and Unionist Party1,64716.6%Elected
4Stern B.Labour Party1,20712.2%
5Mahmood B.Labour Party1,10811.2%
6Hussain M.Labour Party1,09511.0%
7Quigley T.Independent5815.9%
8Millstone C.Green Party5125.2%
9Faiz M.Liberal Democrats2412.4%
10Douglas L.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1141.1%
11King R.Reform UK700.7%

Electorate 9,352 · Ballots cast 9,928 · EC ward code E05013894 · Back to ward index

Grove Green · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,547

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Limbajee K.Labour Party1,61518.9%Elected
2Mbachu A.Labour Party1,51617.7%Elected
3Rasool U.Labour Party1,48717.4%Elected
4Angus A.Liberal Democrats97311.4%
5McCarthy N.Liberal Democrats8199.6%
6Measure M.Green Party7338.6%
7Dyer J.Liberal Democrats7208.4%
8Berg K.Conservative and Unionist Party1822.1%
9Berg I.Conservative and Unionist Party1812.1%
10Berg L.Conservative and Unionist Party1712.0%
11Parslow K.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1501.8%

Electorate 9,979 · Ballots cast 8,547 · EC ward code E05013888 · Back to ward index

Hale End & Highams Park South · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 27.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +6.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,890

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bell T.Labour Party1,61227.4%Elected
2Dore R.Labour Party1,59427.1%Elected
3Cooke K.Conservative and Unionist Party88115.0%
4Stone H.Conservative and Unionist Party71812.2%
5Dean C.WEP4046.9%
6Pond E.Independent2604.4%
7Holloway M.Green Party2574.4%
8Nuri C.Liberal Democrats1322.2%
9Ivens J.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition320.5%

Electorate 6,550 · Ballots cast 5,890 · EC ward code E05013889 · Back to ward index

Chapel End · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,659

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Mitchell L.Labour Party2,10124.3%Elected
2Douglas P.Labour Party1,87021.6%Elected
3Terry S.Labour Party1,66119.2%Elected
4Wheat S.Green Party90610.5%
5Bramley B.Liberal Democrats3944.6%
6Hemsted G.Conservative and Unionist Party3243.7%
7Hemsted R.Conservative and Unionist Party2983.4%
8Khadim I.Conservative and Unionist Party2833.3%
9Lewis A.Liberal Democrats2492.9%
10Watson G.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition2002.3%
11Miller M.Liberal Democrats1882.2%
12Driscoll K.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1852.1%

Electorate 9,482 · Ballots cast 8,659 · EC ward code E05013884 · Back to ward index

Leyton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,716

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Eglin R.Labour Party1,61024.0%Elected
2Ihenachor W.Labour Party1,47822.0%Elected
3Wheeler T.Labour Party1,29119.2%Elected
4Gardner R.Green Party5117.6%
5Ali S.Liberal Democrats4566.8%
6Chadha M.Liberal Democrats3905.8%
7Stone T.Liberal Democrats3134.7%
8Maske L.Conservative and Unionist Party2173.2%
9Karamehmet E.Conservative and Unionist Party2093.1%
10Mohammed E.Conservative and Unionist Party1702.5%
11Reynolds M.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition711.1%

Electorate 9,418 · Ballots cast 6,716 · EC ward code E05013896 · Back to ward index

Chingford Green · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 10,501

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Goldie M.Conservative and Unionist Party2,34822.4%Elected
2Isa K.Conservative and Unionist Party2,13020.3%Elected
3Imre S.Conservative and Unionist Party2,03919.4%Elected
4Ali-Rahman R.Labour Party1,0139.6%
5Burns N.Labour Party9859.4%
6Large N.Labour Party8798.4%
7Bayne C.Green Party5515.2%
8Boyle H.Liberal Democrats4063.9%
9Davis M.Reform UK1501.4%

Electorate 8,714 · Ballots cast 10,501 · EC ward code E05013885 · Back to ward index

St James · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,091

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Deakin C.Labour Party2,06825.6%Elected
2Thompson K.Labour Party1,85122.9%Elected
3Salek S.Labour Party1,59519.7%Elected
4Barrat R.Green Party1,13214.0%
5Lewendon M.Liberal Democrats3484.3%
6Edwards C.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition3073.8%
7Martlew N.Liberal Democrats2763.4%
8Khiljee N.Conservative and Unionist Party1852.3%
9Maqsoom Z.Conservative and Unionist Party1842.3%
10Mehmood F.Conservative and Unionist Party1451.8%

Electorate 8,776 · Ballots cast 8,091 · EC ward code E05013899 · Back to ward index

Upper Walthamstow · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +4.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,983

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Quin C.Labour Party1,29432.5%Elected
2Patel Y.Labour Party1,14528.7%Elected
3Payne R.Green Party42610.7%
4Samuel-Leport M.Conservative and Unionist Party41510.4%
5Bhuiyan M.Conservative and Unionist Party3689.2%
6Morgan J.Liberal Democrats2225.6%
7Hawksbee L.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition701.8%
8Fawad S.ND431.1%

Electorate 5,655 · Ballots cast 3,983 · EC ward code E05013900 · Back to ward index

Leytonstone · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +4.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,666

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gray J.Labour Party1,88621.8%Elected
2Loakes C.Labour Party1,88121.7%Elected
3Pye M.Labour Party1,77820.5%Elected
4Lafferty C.Green Party5576.4%
5Dawes M.Green Party5236.0%
6Mary Warrington R.Green Party4825.6%
7Bowden M.Conservative and Unionist Party2853.3%
8Adams S.Conservative and Unionist Party2833.3%
9Khan S.Conservative and Unionist Party2522.9%
10Mirza S.Liberal Democrats2232.6%
11McCarthy D.Liberal Democrats1962.3%
12Harrison R.Liberal Democrats1962.3%
13Hockey L.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition650.8%
14Talaia M.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition590.7%

Electorate 9,108 · Ballots cast 8,666 · EC ward code E05013897 · Back to ward index

Endlebury · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 29.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +3.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,112

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Berg R.Conservative and Unionist Party1,56830.7%Elected
2Best E.Conservative and Unionist Party1,52929.9%Elected
3King S.Labour Party94018.4%
4Willmoth L.Labour Party79415.5%
5Lea N.Liberal Democrats1613.1%
6Sachs-Eldridge S.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition661.3%
7Williams R.Reform UK541.1%

Electorate 6,611 · Ballots cast 5,112 · EC ward code E05013886 · Back to ward index

William Morris · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +3.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,583

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gardiner K.Labour Party2,65427.7%Elected
2Williams G.Labour Party2,56326.7%Elected
3Phipps J.Labour Party2,07321.6%Elected
4Greenwood H.Green Party1,12611.7%
5Ali H.Conservative and Unionist Party3273.4%
6Mitchell P.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition2953.1%
7Khan S.Conservative and Unionist Party2792.9%
8Seher A.Conservative and Unionist Party2662.8%

Electorate 9,871 · Ballots cast 9,583 · EC ward code E05013902 · Back to ward index

Cann Hall · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +3.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,692

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Littlejohn S.Labour Party1,94325.3%Elected
2Bianca Green K.Labour Party1,87324.3%Elected
3Rayner K.Labour Party1,67121.7%Elected
4Richardson P.Green Party6398.3%
5Carder J.Liberal Democrats3594.7%
6Ahmed S.Liberal Democrats3013.9%
7Gibbons H.Conservative and Unionist Party2833.7%
8Griffin O.Conservative and Unionist Party2813.7%
9Kizil E.Conservative and Unionist Party2242.9%
10Stronge T.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1181.5%

Electorate 10,639 · Ballots cast 7,692 · EC ward code E05013882 · Back to ward index

Forest · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +3.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,922

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Berberi M.Labour Party2,04522.9%Elected
2Malik Z.Labour Party1,98222.2%Elected
3Berberi K.Labour Party1,96122.0%Elected
4Roberts G.Green Party7168.0%
5Hadley J.Liberal Democrats4314.8%
6Randle J.Liberal Democrats3614.0%
7Sallery G.Liberal Democrats3163.5%
8Karamehmet S.Conservative and Unionist Party2893.2%
9Karamehmet I.Conservative and Unionist Party2843.2%
10Karamehmet S.Conservative and Unionist Party2622.9%
11Ahmad A.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1721.9%
12Ssekandwa A.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1031.2%

Electorate 10,548 · Ballots cast 8,922 · EC ward code E05013887 · Back to ward index

Higham Hill · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,496

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bellamy K.Labour Party2,00126.7%Elected
2Lewis K.Labour Party1,77523.7%Elected
3Strathearn A.Labour Party1,67322.3%Elected
4Ashcroft L.Green Party6628.8%
5Gil Martinez L.Liberal Democrats3164.2%
6Kelly R.Liberal Democrats2623.5%
7Smith P.Liberal Democrats2303.1%
8Cleverley M.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1582.1%
9Ikram H.Conservative and Unionist Party1502.0%
10Islam S.Conservative and Unionist Party1482.0%
11Sheikh A.Conservative and Unionist Party1211.6%

Electorate 9,599 · Ballots cast 7,496 · EC ward code E05013892 · Back to ward index

Lea Bridge · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,282

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Dhedhi S.Labour Party1,89226.0%Elected
2Whilby J.Labour Party1,88925.9%Elected
3Lyons G.Labour Party1,62722.3%Elected
4Fabios S.Independent92012.6%
5Hussain M.Conservative and Unionist Party2693.7%
6Shaikh M.Conservative and Unionist Party2423.3%
7Zafar M.Conservative and Unionist Party2263.1%
8Robinson B.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition2173.0%

Electorate 9,858 · Ballots cast 7,282 · EC ward code E05013895 · Back to ward index

Hoe Street · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,992

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Mirwitch M.Labour Party2,20624.5%Elected
2Khan A.Labour Party2,09123.3%Elected
3Dixon A.Labour Party2,03522.6%Elected
4Lambert S.Green Party96410.7%
5Simmons C.Liberal Democrats3734.1%
6Goodman J.Liberal Democrats3263.6%
7Bell P.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition2993.3%
8Ipadeola M.Conservative and Unionist Party2442.7%
9Irfan M.Conservative and Unionist Party2362.6%
10Mir N.Conservative and Unionist Party2182.4%

Electorate 9,770 · Ballots cast 8,992 · EC ward code E05013893 · Back to ward index

High Street · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +1.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,597

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Ihenachor C.Labour Party1,54723.5%Elected
2Connor T.Labour Party1,53123.2%Elected
3Anwar R.Labour Party1,52123.1%Elected
4Wooman A.Green Party71210.8%
5Pollard K.Liberal Democrats2553.9%
6Taaffe N.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1742.6%
7Cocking R.Liberal Democrats1682.5%
8Chopra-Evans M.Conservative and Unionist Party1612.4%
9Khan M.Conservative and Unionist Party1522.3%
10Latif H.Conservative and Unionist Party1432.2%
11Dinant Schreuder J.Liberal Democrats1352.0%
12Wallace-Esnard N.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition981.5%

Electorate 7,602 · Ballots cast 6,597 · EC ward code E05013891 · Back to ward index

Cathall · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 33.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference 0.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,215

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Asghar N.Labour Party1,18636.9%Elected
2O'Dea J.Labour Party1,07133.3%Elected
3Jarvis L.Green Party36411.3%
4Buckworth M.Conservative and Unionist Party1915.9%
5Rodden M.Liberal Democrats1775.5%
6Rana N.Conservative and Unionist Party1584.9%
7Joseph R.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition682.1%

Electorate 6,928 · Ballots cast 3,215 · EC ward code E05013883 · Back to ward index

Wood Street · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 36.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −2.8 pts Valid ballots 4,146

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Ashworth V.Labour Party1,78243.0%Elected
2Sweden R.Labour Party1,49936.2%Elected
3Addenbrooke T.Liberal Democrats3137.5%
4Dougall R.Conservative and Unionist Party2024.9%
5Finch M.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1814.4%
6Naqvi S.Conservative and Unionist Party1694.1%

Electorate 6,326 · Ballots cast 4,146 · EC ward code E05013903 · Back to ward index

Markhouse · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 37.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −3.8 pts Valid ballots 3,531

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Khan J.Labour Party1,32137.4%Elected
2Waldron S.Labour Party1,31137.1%Elected
3Addenbrooke C.Liberal Democrats2657.5%
4Bird E.Liberal Democrats2126.0%
5Hasan F.Conservative and Unionist Party1524.3%
6Maqsoom S.Conservative and Unionist Party1414.0%
7Taaffe L.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1293.7%

Electorate 6,741 · Ballots cast 3,531 · EC ward code E05013898 · Back to ward index