← Uttlesford (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Uttlesford 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

22 ward races

39 seats

31 elected below the proportional quota

79.5% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 22 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 39 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
RES	17,098	36.3%	22	56.4%	15	38.5%	+7
Conservative and Unionist Party	14,447	30.7%	11	28.2%	13	33.3%	-2
Liberal Democrats	6,910	14.7%	4	10.3%	6	15.4%	-2
Labour Party	4,114	8.7%	0	0.0%	3	7.7%	-3
Green Party	2,211	4.7%	0	0.0%	1	2.6%	-1
Independent	2,119	4.5%	2	5.1%	1	2.6%	+1
Reform UK	141	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	47,040	100.0%	39	100.0%	39	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Felsted & Stebbing · 2 seats · won at 19.5% · +13.8 pts below quota
Stansted South & Birchanger · 2 seats · won at 20.1% · +13.2 pts below quota
Elsenham & Henham · 2 seats · won at 20.5% · +12.8 pts below quota
Takeley · 3 seats · won at 13.0% · +12.0 pts below quota
Great Dunmow South & Barnston · 3 seats · won at 13.4% · +11.6 pts below quota
Saffron Walden Shire · 3 seats · won at 13.8% · +11.2 pts below quota
Great Dunmow North · 2 seats · won at 22.2% · +11.1 pts below quota
Saffron Walden Audley · 2 seats · won at 22.5% · +10.9 pts below quota
Saffron Walden Castle · 2 seats · won at 23.4% · +10.0 pts below quota
Ashdon · 1 seat · won at 41.2% · +8.8 pts below quota
Broad Oak & the Hallingburys · 2 seats · won at 25.3% · +8.0 pts below quota
Debden & Wimbish · 1 seat · won at 42.2% · +7.8 pts below quota
The Sampfords · 1 seat · won at 42.9% · +7.1 pts below quota
Thaxted & the Eastons · 2 seats · won at 26.3% · +7.0 pts below quota
Stansted North · 2 seats · won at 28.3% · +5.0 pts below quota
Littlebury Chesterford & Wenden Lofts · 2 seats · won at 30.8% · +2.5 pts below quota
Newport · 2 seats · won at 33.9% · above quota
Stort Valley · 1 seat · won at 57.6% · above quota
Clavering · 1 seat · won at 59.7% · above quota
Flitch Green Little Dunmow · 1 seat · won at 61.8% · above quota
High Easter & The Rodings · 1 seat · won at 70.0% · above quota
Hatfield Heath · 1 seat · won at 71.8% · above quota

Race results

Felsted & Stebbing · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +13.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,493

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Evans, J.	RES	498	20.0%	Elected
2	Silcock, R.	Liberal Democrats	487	19.5%	Elected
3	Merifield, S.	RES	470	18.9%
4	Bailey, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	376	15.1%
5	Botten, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	352	14.1%
6	Corr, F.	Liberal Democrats	310	12.4%

Electorate 3,534 · Ballots cast 2,493 · Back to ward index

Stansted South & Birchanger · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +13.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,094

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gooding, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	480	22.9%	Elected
2	Church, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	421	20.1%	Elected
3	Caton, M.	Liberal Democrats	396	18.9%
4	Khan, A.	Liberal Democrats	370	17.7%
5	MacPherson, A.	Labour Party	136	6.5%
6	Budzinska, P.	RES	117	5.6%
7	Bilt, T.	Labour Party	88	4.2%
8	Wolker, J.	RES	86	4.1%

Electorate 3,341 · Ballots cast 2,094 · Back to ward index

Elsenham & Henham · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,351

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lees, P.	RES	690	29.3%	Elected
2	Donald, B.	RES	483	20.5%	Elected
3	MacKay, S.	Liberal Democrats	288	12.3%
4	Farrelly, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	254	10.8%
5	James, F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	193	8.2%
6	Mowbray, A.	Labour Party	120	5.1%
7	Burlton, B.	Labour Party	117	5.0%
8	Lecount, G.	Independent	106	4.5%
9	Saffrey, A.	Green Party	100	4.3%

Electorate 3,687 · Ballots cast 2,351 · Back to ward index

Takeley · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +12.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,670

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bagnall, G.	RES	630	17.2%	Elected
2	Sutton, M.	RES	539	14.7%	Elected
3	Coletta, M.	RES	477	13.0%	Elected
4	Bradley, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	466	12.7%
5	Gordon, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	381	10.4%
6	Disanayake, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	303	8.3%
7	Flawn, L.	Liberal Democrats	264	7.2%
8	Roberts, T.	Labour Party	195	5.3%
9	Fleming, M.	Liberal Democrats	150	4.1%
10	Winters, O.	Labour Party	133	3.6%
11	Kimber, P.	Liberal Democrats	132	3.6%

Electorate 5,074 · Ballots cast 3,670 · Back to ward index

Great Dunmow South & Barnston · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,188

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Loveday, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	653	15.6%	Elected
2	Martin, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	613	14.6%	Elected
3	Regan, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	562	13.4%	Elected
4	Jones, R.	RES	482	11.5%
5	Lavelle, P.	RES	477	11.4%
6	Herbert, K.	RES	468	11.2%
7	Cavanagh, B.	Labour Party	278	6.6%
8	Darcy, G.	Labour Party	257	6.1%
9	Muir, C.	Labour Party	224	5.3%
10	Jones, P.	Liberal Democrats	174	4.2%

Electorate 5,010 · Ballots cast 4,188 · Back to ward index

Saffron Walden Shire · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,779

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ahmed, M.	RES	879	15.2%	Elected
2	Fiddy, C.	RES	876	15.2%	Elected
3	Mcbirnie, D.	RES	796	13.8%	Elected
4	Fairhurst, P.	Green Party	470	8.1%
5	Osborne, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	457	7.9%
6	Phipps, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	376	6.5%
7	Bowen, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	367	6.4%
8	Kaemer, S.	Labour Party	336	5.8%
9	Sampson, A.	Labour Party	325	5.6%
10	Baxter, A.	Liberal Democrats	308	5.3%
11	Sault, S.	Liberal Democrats	301	5.2%
12	Ede, S.	Liberal Democrats	288	5.0%

Electorate 5,551 · Ballots cast 5,779 · Back to ward index

Great Dunmow North · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,324

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Armstrong, A.	RES	528	22.7%	Elected
2	Davey, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	517	22.2%	Elected
3	Church, W.	Conservative and Unionist Party	463	19.9%
4	Clarke, V.	RES	368	15.8%
5	Sham, T.	Labour Party	165	7.1%
6	Annang, W.	Labour Party	152	6.5%
7	Kimber, T.	Liberal Democrats	131	5.6%

Electorate 3,920 · Ballots cast 2,324 · Back to ward index

Saffron Walden Audley · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,883

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Coote, A.	RES	666	23.1%	Elected
2	Reeve, A.	RES	648	22.5%	Elected
3	Parker, C.	Labour Party	324	11.2%
4	Light, B.	Green Party	302	10.5%
5	Pearson, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	293	10.2%
6	Rolfe, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	262	9.1%
7	Braddy, M.	Labour Party	223	7.7%
8	Perry, D.	Liberal Democrats	165	5.7%

Electorate 3,523 · Ballots cast 2,883 · Back to ward index

Saffron Walden Castle · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,609

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Asker, H.	RES	771	29.6%	Elected
2	Freeman, R.	RES	610	23.4%	Elected
3	Sadler, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	246	9.4%
4	Trimnell, S.	Labour Party	233	8.9%
5	Bagni, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	232	8.9%
6	Gildea, E.	Green Party	194	7.4%
7	Early, J.	Labour Party	154	5.9%
8	Lefever, J.	Liberal Democrats	119	4.6%
9	StClair-Armstrong, G.	Reform UK	50	1.9%

Electorate 3,595 · Ballots cast 2,609 · Back to ward index

Ashdon · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 701

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Moran, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	289	41.2%	Elected
2	Vries, J.	RES	259	36.9%
3	Allington, P.	Green Party	153	21.8%

Electorate 1,598 · Ballots cast 701 · Back to ward index

Broad Oak & the Hallingburys · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,301

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Driscoll, G.	RES	643	27.9%	Elected
2	Reeve, N.	RES	583	25.3%	Elected
3	Church, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	442	19.2%
4	Salomon, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	419	18.2%
5	Richards, T.	Liberal Democrats	159	6.9%
6	Featherstone, M.	Reform UK	55	2.4%

Electorate 3,248 · Ballots cast 2,301 · Back to ward index

Debden & Wimbish · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 666

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Luck, S.	RES	281	42.2%	Elected
2	Noble, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	213	32.0%
3	Grogan, J.	Labour Party	74	11.1%
4	Barrows, S.	Liberal Democrats	61	9.2%
5	Wilkinson, J.	Green Party	37	5.6%

Electorate 1,711 · Ballots cast 666 · Back to ward index

The Sampfords · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 801

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Tayler, M.	RES	344	42.9%	Elected
2	Smith, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	340	42.4%
3	Allington, S.	Green Party	73	9.1%
4	Dyer, M.	Liberal Democrats	44	5.5%

Electorate 1,766 · Ballots cast 801 · Back to ward index

Thaxted & the Eastons · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 26.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,636

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Foley, M.	RES	893	33.9%	Elected
2	Haynes, R.	RES	694	26.3%	Elected
3	Beverly, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	364	13.8%
4	Pryer, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	255	9.7%
5	Wattebot, A.	Liberal Democrats	121	4.6%
6	Young, A.	Labour Party	113	4.3%
7	O'Brien, P.	Liberal Democrats	102	3.9%
8	Roberts, T.	Green Party	94	3.6%

Electorate 3,959 · Ballots cast 2,636 · Back to ward index

Stansted North · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +5.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,732

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dean, A.	Liberal Democrats	796	29.1%	Elected
2	Sell, G.	Liberal Democrats	773	28.3%	Elected
3	Prior, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	422	15.4%
4	Braeckman, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	421	15.4%
5	Wadham, J.	Labour Party	169	6.2%
6	Dodgson, S.	Labour Party	151	5.5%

Electorate 3,622 · Ballots cast 2,732 · Back to ward index

Littlebury Chesterford & Wenden Lofts · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 30.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,207

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gregory, N.	Independent	1,025	32.0%	Elected
2	Pavitt, R.	Independent	988	30.8%	Elected
3	Mughal, W.	Conservative and Unionist Party	399	12.4%
4	Slota-Newson, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	386	12.0%
5	Radford, D.	Green Party	213	6.6%
6	Roderick, S.	Liberal Democrats	196	6.1%

Electorate 3,533 · Ballots cast 3,207 · Back to ward index

Newport · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 33.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −0.5 pts Valid ballots 2,319

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Emanuel, J.	RES	795	34.3%	Elected
2	Hargreaves, N.	RES	785	33.9%	Elected
3	Beeching, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	320	13.8%
4	Dyer, M.	Liberal Democrats	214	9.2%
5	Radford, M.	Green Party	205	8.8%

Electorate 3,228 · Ballots cast 2,319 · Back to ward index

Stort Valley · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.6 pts Valid ballots 635

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Loughlin, J.	Liberal Democrats	366	57.6%	Elected
2	Cairns, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	176	27.7%
3	Ghosh, S.	Labour Party	57	9.0%
4	Roddis, N.	Reform UK	36	5.7%

Electorate 1,629 · Ballots cast 635 · Back to ward index

Clavering · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.7 pts Valid ballots 826

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Oliver, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	493	59.7%	Elected
2	Gold, D.	Green Party	198	24.0%
3	Barnes, A.	Liberal Democrats	135	16.3%

Electorate 1,870 · Ballots cast 826 · Back to ward index

Flitch Green Little Dunmow · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.8 pts Valid ballots 570

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Criscione, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	352	61.8%	Elected
2	Clark, L.	RES	101	17.7%
3	Evans, I.	Liberal Democrats	60	10.5%
4	Thomas, L.	Green Party	57	10.0%

Electorate 1,939 · Ballots cast 570 · Back to ward index

High Easter & The Rodings · single-seat

Marginal winner 70.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −20.0 pts Valid ballots 684

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Barker, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	479	70.0%	Elected
2	Shaw, M.	Green Party	115	16.8%
3	Gullam, F.	Labour Party	90	13.2%

Electorate 1,960 · Ballots cast 684 · Back to ward index

Hatfield Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner 71.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −21.8 pts Valid ballots 571

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lemon, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	410	71.8%	Elected
2	Williams, T.	RES	161	28.2%

Electorate 1,789 · Ballots cast 571 · Back to ward index