← Tunbridge Wells (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Tunbridge Wells 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

22 ward races

24 seats

17 elected below the proportional quota

70.8% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 22 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 24 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	28,273	40.4%	14	58.3%	10	41.7%	+4
Liberal Democrats	17,206	24.6%	7	29.2%	6	25.0%	+1
Labour Party	11,589	16.5%	2	8.3%	4	16.7%	-2
Green Party	6,147	8.8%	0	0.0%	2	8.3%	-2
Tunbridge Wells Alliance	5,877	8.4%	1	4.2%	2	8.3%	-1
UK Independence Party (UKIP)	524	0.7%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Independent	165	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
ND	156	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	105	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	70,042	100.0%	24	100.0%	24	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Broadwater · 1 seat · won at 33.7% · +16.3 pts below quota
Tunbridge Wells North · 1 seat · won at 35.2% · +14.8 pts below quota
Rusthall · 1 seat · won at 35.7% · +14.3 pts below quota
Park · 1 seat · won at 35.7% · +14.3 pts below quota
Speldhurst & Bidborough · 2 seats · won at 21.1% · +12.3 pts below quota
Tunbridge Wells South · 1 seat · won at 39.5% · +10.5 pts below quota
Goudhurst & Lamberhurst · 1 seat · won at 40.0% · +10.0 pts below quota
Tunbridge Wells West · 1 seat · won at 42.4% · +7.6 pts below quota
St. James · 2 seats · won at 28.7% · +4.7 pts below quota
Brenchley & Horsmonden · 1 seat · won at 45.7% · +4.3 pts below quota
Pembury · 1 seat · won at 46.2% · +3.8 pts below quota
Tunbridge Wells Rural · 1 seat · won at 46.7% · +3.3 pts below quota
Tunbridge Wells East · 1 seat · won at 47.8% · +2.2 pts below quota
Pantiles & St. Marks · 1 seat · won at 48.1% · +1.9 pts below quota
Benenden & Cranbrook · 1 seat · won at 48.6% · +1.4 pts below quota
St. Johns · 1 seat · won at 49.2% · +0.8 pts below quota
Sherwood · 1 seat · won at 50.7% · above quota
Cranbrook · 1 seat · won at 51.9% · above quota
Southborough & High Brooms · 1 seat · won at 52.5% · above quota
Culverden · 1 seat · won at 53.7% · above quota
Hawkhurst & Sandhurst · 1 seat · won at 58.2% · above quota
Capel · 1 seat · won at 75.2% · above quota

Race results

Broadwater · single-seat

Marginal winner 33.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +16.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,365

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hall C.J.	Liberal Democrats	460	33.7%	Elected
2	Cobbold B.G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	419	30.7%
3	Thorne A.M.	Green Party	361	26.4%
4	Chapman M.A.R.	Labour Party	94	6.9%
5	Elder-Brown A.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	31	2.3%

Electorate 3,269 · Ballots cast 1,365 · EC ward code E05005132 · Back to ward index

Tunbridge Wells North · single-seat

Marginal winner 35.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,811

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Oakford P.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,048	35.2%	Elected
2	Tapp M.	Labour Party	1,968	33.9%
3	Malik A.M.	Liberal Democrats	1,057	18.2%
4	Hoskin A.	Green Party	611	10.5%
5	Marshall C.J.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	127	2.2%

Electorate 14,050 · Ballots cast 5,811 · EC ward code E58000744 · Back to ward index

Rusthall · single-seat

Marginal winner 35.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,604

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Britcher A.	Labour Party	572	35.7%	Elected
2	Allen J.C.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	455	28.4%
3	Funnell A.C.E.	Liberal Democrats	436	27.2%
4	Taylor A.C.	Green Party	141	8.8%

Electorate 3,672 · Ballots cast 1,604 · EC ward code E05005143 · Back to ward index

Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 35.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,484

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	White V.L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	887	35.7%	Elected
2	Wakeman S.	Tunbridge Wells Alliance	632	25.4%
3	Sullivan A.A.	Liberal Democrats	414	16.7%
4	Pound S.	Labour Party	332	13.4%
5	Fraser A.J.M.	Green Party	219	8.8%

Electorate 5,820 · Ballots cast 2,484 · EC ward code E05005141 · Back to ward index

Speldhurst & Bidborough · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,081

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Allen H.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	912	22.3%	Elected
2	Stanyer D.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	860	21.1%	Elected
3	Sankey M.G.R.	Tunbridge Wells Alliance	626	15.3%
4	Backshell A.H.	Tunbridge Wells Alliance	486	11.9%
5	Himmer C.J.	Green Party	311	7.6%
6	Stirling J.D.H.	Liberal Democrats	290	7.1%
7	Brice M.D.	Liberal Democrats	246	6.0%
8	Gray M.D.	Labour Party	176	4.3%
9	Musker A.P.	Labour Party	174	4.3%

Electorate 4,693 · Ballots cast 4,081 · EC ward code E05005149 · Back to ward index

Tunbridge Wells South · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,462

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bruneau B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,553	39.5%	Elected
2	Sullivan A.A.	Liberal Democrats	1,980	30.6%
3	Blackmore L.	Labour Party	837	13.0%
4	Hurst-Buist E.	Green Party	803	12.4%
5	Kift P.	Independent	165	2.6%
6	Elder-Brown A.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	124	1.9%

Electorate 14,320 · Ballots cast 6,462 · EC ward code E58000746 · Back to ward index

Goudhurst & Lamberhurst · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,603

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Knight D.	Tunbridge Wells Alliance	641	40.0%	Elected
2	Noakes C.B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	613	38.2%
3	Fowler S.J.	Labour Party	133	8.3%
4	Mason G.S.J.	Green Party	119	7.4%
5	Rappaport Q.	Liberal Democrats	97	6.1%

Electorate 3,566 · Ballots cast 1,603 · EC ward code E05005136 · Back to ward index

Tunbridge Wells West · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,405

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	McInroy J.P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,715	42.4%	Elected
2	Osborne D.H.	Liberal Democrats	1,835	28.6%
3	Musker A.P.	Labour Party	943	14.7%
4	Taylor A.C.	Green Party	912	14.2%

Electorate 14,546 · Ballots cast 6,405 · EC ward code E58000747 · Back to ward index

St. James · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +4.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,208

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Chapelard B.	Liberal Democrats	1,231	38.4%	Elected
2	Wormington R.	Liberal Democrats	920	28.7%	Elected
3	Huggestt T.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	295	9.2%
4	Lewis-Grey A.E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	285	8.9%
5	Mockett R.	Labour Party	258	8.0%
6	Klimanski A.	Labour Party	219	6.8%

Electorate 4,362 · Ballots cast 3,208 · EC ward code E05005144 · Back to ward index

Brenchley & Horsmonden · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,833

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	March J.C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	838	45.7%	Elected
2	Spencer J.D.	Tunbridge Wells Alliance	490	26.7%
3	Kerrigan K.A.	Labour Party	233	12.7%
4	Wilby L.E.	Green Party	161	8.8%
5	Bird A.H.	Liberal Democrats	111	6.1%

Electorate 4,147 · Ballots cast 1,833 · EC ward code E05005131 · Back to ward index

Pembury · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,963

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Roberts P.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	907	46.2%	Elected
2	Ward A.	Tunbridge Wells Alliance	675	34.4%
3	Webster P.	Labour Party	208	10.6%
4	Raptis Y.N.	Liberal Democrats	173	8.8%

Electorate 4,446 · Ballots cast 1,963 · EC ward code E05005142 · Back to ward index

Tunbridge Wells Rural · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,686

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hamilton S.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,656	46.7%	Elected
2	Patterson H.D.	Liberal Democrats	1,281	22.5%
3	Spicer C.E.	Green Party	794	14.0%
4	Boyle D.	Labour Party	777	13.7%
5	Hoare C.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	178	3.1%

Electorate 13,339 · Ballots cast 5,686 · EC ward code E58000745 · Back to ward index

Tunbridge Wells East · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,633

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Barrington-King P.V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,693	47.8%	Elected
2	Bullion A.J.	Liberal Democrats	1,272	22.6%
3	Betts M.R.	Labour Party	1,023	18.2%
4	Bisdee T.T.	Green Party	645	11.5%

Electorate 14,458 · Ballots cast 5,633 · EC ward code E58000743 · Back to ward index

Pantiles & St. Marks · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,617

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fitzsimmons W.B.	Liberal Democrats	1,259	48.1%	Elected
2	Randall L.P.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	946	36.1%
3	Hurst-Buist E.	Green Party	228	8.7%
4	Blackmore L.	Labour Party	184	7.0%

Electorate 5,231 · Ballots cast 2,617 · EC ward code E05005140 · Back to ward index

Benenden & Cranbrook · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,034

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Holden S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	989	48.6%	Elected
2	Hatcher L.P.	Tunbridge Wells Alliance	587	28.9%
3	Gardner T.	Liberal Democrats	152	7.5%
4	Groome J.A.	Labour Party	147	7.2%
5	Hurst J.A.	Green Party	128	6.3%
6	Stripp T.	Reform UK	31	1.5%

Electorate 5,264 · Ballots cast 2,034 · EC ward code E05005130 · Back to ward index

St. Johns · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,313

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lidstone P.A.	Liberal Democrats	1,138	49.2%	Elected
2	Tapp M.	Labour Party	592	25.6%
3	Clowes-Pritchard T.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	583	25.2%

Electorate 5,227 · Ballots cast 2,313 · EC ward code E05005145 · Back to ward index

Sherwood · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.7 pts Valid ballots 1,895

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Goodship L.R.F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	960	50.7%	Elected
2	Rogers S.	Labour Party	724	38.2%
3	Bullion A.J.	Liberal Democrats	211	11.1%

Electorate 5,650 · Ballots cast 1,895 · EC ward code E05005146 · Back to ward index

Cranbrook · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.9 pts Valid ballots 5,722

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Holden S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,967	51.9%	Elected
2	Warne N.E.	Tunbridge Wells Alliance	1,337	23.4%
3	Groome J.A.	Labour Party	455	8.0%
4	Hurst J.A.	Green Party	417	7.3%
5	Douglass G.	Liberal Democrats	316	5.5%
6	Carpenter V.C.	ND	156	2.7%
7	Stripp T.	Reform UK	74	1.3%

Electorate 14,251 · Ballots cast 5,722 · EC ward code E58000693 · Back to ward index

Southborough & High Brooms · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.5 pts Valid ballots 1,969

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hill D.	Labour Party	1,033	52.5%	Elected
2	Jamil N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	576	29.3%
3	Malik A.M.	Liberal Democrats	162	8.2%
4	Hoskin A.	Green Party	150	7.6%
5	Marshall C.J.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	48	2.4%

Electorate 5,523 · Ballots cast 1,969 · EC ward code E05005147 · Back to ward index

Culverden · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.7 pts Valid ballots 2,511

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rutland J.V.	Liberal Democrats	1,349	53.7%	Elected
2	Cole M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	829	33.0%
3	Caligaris-Adams L.E.	Labour Party	333	13.3%

Electorate 6,181 · Ballots cast 2,511 · EC ward code E05005134 · Back to ward index

Hawkhurst & Sandhurst · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.2 pts Valid ballots 1,890

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Palmer B.S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,100	58.2%	Elected
2	Neville E.M.	Tunbridge Wells Alliance	403	21.3%
3	Draper A.	Labour Party	158	8.4%
4	Williamson J.	Green Party	130	6.9%
5	Guinnessy B.J.	Liberal Democrats	99	5.2%

Electorate 4,908 · Ballots cast 1,890 · EC ward code E05005137 · Back to ward index

Capel · single-seat

Marginal winner 75.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −25.2 pts Valid ballots 953

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Patterson H.D.	Liberal Democrats	717	75.2%	Elected
2	Mackonochie C.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	187	19.6%
3	Spicer C.E.	Green Party	17	1.8%
4	Hoare C.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	16	1.7%
5	Day W.T.A.	Labour Party	16	1.7%

Electorate 1,793 · Ballots cast 953 · EC ward code E05005133 · Back to ward index