← Trafford (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Trafford 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

21 ward races
63 seats
57 elected below the proportional quota
90.5% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 21 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 63 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party83,27544.2%4165.1%2844.4%+13
Conservative and Unionist Party53,11128.2%1015.9%1828.6%-8
Green Party30,81816.4%69.5%1015.9%-4
Liberal Democrats20,16710.7%69.5%711.1%-1
Independent4010.2%00.0%00.0%0
Reform UK2810.1%00.0%00.0%0
Britain First1530.1%00.0%00.0%0
WEP1070.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total188,313100.0%63100.0%63100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Hale · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 10,107

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Leicester, J.Green Party1,79817.8%Elected
2Spencer, H.Green Party1,52115.0%Elected
3Sutton, O.Green Party1,45814.4%Elected
4Chalkin, D.Conservative and Unionist Party1,32913.1%
5Carroll, S.Conservative and Unionist Party1,30913.0%
6Chinthala, A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,18811.8%
7Jarkowski, M.Labour Party3663.6%
8Millson, C.Labour Party3493.5%
9Nesbitt, M.Labour Party3123.1%
10Boysen, M.Liberal Democrats2072.0%
11McIntosh, D.Liberal Democrats1461.4%
12Pollard, R.Liberal Democrats1241.2%

Electorate 7,707 · Ballots cast 10,107 · Back to ward index

Broadheath · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 10,963

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Western, D.Labour Party1,69515.5%Elected
2Whyte, A.Labour Party1,67415.3%Elected
3Chakraborty, K.Conservative and Unionist Party1,58514.5%Elected
4Savary, S.Labour Party1,56614.3%
5Nathani, P.Conservative and Unionist Party1,29411.8%
6Scharosch, R.Conservative and Unionist Party1,20711.0%
7Chandler, F.Green Party3753.4%
8Dodds, M.Green Party2722.5%
9Young, A.Green Party2682.4%
10Marritt, C.Liberal Democrats2682.4%
11Bird, L.Liberal Democrats2522.3%
12Farndon, S.Independent1921.8%
13Miller, J.Liberal Democrats1621.5%
14Southworth, D.Britain First1531.4%

Electorate 8,771 · Ballots cast 10,963 · Back to ward index

Manor · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,903

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Duncan, R.Conservative and Unionist Party1,50716.9%Elected
2Holden, J.Conservative and Unionist Party1,45016.3%Elected
3Paul, R.Conservative and Unionist Party1,29414.5%Elected
4Cosby, F.Labour Party1,19513.4%
5Hirst, S.Labour Party1,14112.8%
6Little, S.Labour Party1,10712.4%
7McGlashan, J.Green Party2542.9%
8Baggaley, J.Green Party2292.6%
9Plunkett, D.Green Party1912.1%
10Cullen, K.Liberal Democrats1701.9%
11Nolte, G.Liberal Democrats1441.6%
12Peaker, J.Liberal Democrats1141.3%
13Richards, S.WEP1071.2%

Electorate 8,370 · Ballots cast 8,903 · Back to ward index

Bowdon · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 11,198

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Eckersley, P.Conservative and Unionist Party1,80616.1%Elected
2Zhi, S.Conservative and Unionist Party1,75615.7%Elected
3Whetton, M.Conservative and Unionist Party1,74115.5%Elected
4Green, B.Green Party1,58414.1%
5Gilmartin, K.Green Party1,58014.1%
6Twose, G.Green Party1,43112.8%
7Hague, T.Labour Party3503.1%
8Lamerton, K.Labour Party3473.1%
9Spindler, J.Labour Party2612.3%
10Davies, H.Liberal Democrats1371.2%
11Miniaci, M.Liberal Democrats1101.0%
12Sellars, M.Liberal Democrats950.8%

Electorate 8,396 · Ballots cast 11,198 · Back to ward index

Brooklands · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 11,165

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Jones, W.Labour Party1,85216.6%Elected
2Thompson, R.Labour Party1,85016.6%Elected
3Babar, M.Labour Party1,74915.7%Elected
4Boyes, C.Conservative and Unionist Party1,49413.4%
5Barker, D.Conservative and Unionist Party1,45913.1%
6Hart, A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,37012.3%
7Aspden, R.Green Party3933.5%
8Leftwich, D.Green Party3823.4%
9Cutforth, R.Green Party3152.8%
10Cliff, P.Liberal Democrats3012.7%

Electorate 7,678 · Ballots cast 11,165 · Back to ward index

Hale Barns & Timperley South · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,661

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Butt, D.Conservative and Unionist Party1,51117.4%Elected
2Evans, N.Conservative and Unionist Party1,47017.0%Elected
3Taylor, M.Conservative and Unionist Party1,35915.7%Elected
4Fryer, A.Liberal Democrats94210.9%
5Ramsbottom, M.Liberal Democrats86610.0%
6Tolhurst-Cleaver, L.Liberal Democrats7949.2%
7Twiney, B.Labour Party4184.8%
8Holmes, A.Labour Party4124.8%
9Larkin, J.Labour Party3624.2%
10Schorah, D.Green Party2102.4%
11Brunt, S.Green Party1752.0%
12Ross, J.Green Party1421.6%

Electorate 7,521 · Ballots cast 8,661 · Back to ward index

Ashton Upon Mersey · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 10,032

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gilbert, S.Labour Party1,90118.9%Elected
2Hartley, B.Labour Party1,86518.6%Elected
3O'Brien, T.Labour Party1,71017.0%Elected
4Dwyer, K.Conservative and Unionist Party1,14811.4%
5Lamb, J.Conservative and Unionist Party1,13011.3%
6Narang, A.Conservative and Unionist Party9599.6%
7Robertson-Brown, C.Green Party4124.1%
8Robertson-Brown, N.Green Party2482.5%
9Tyldesley, R.Green Party1982.0%
10Devine, G.Liberal Democrats1711.7%
11Clarke, K.Liberal Democrats1711.7%
12Kierman, D.Liberal Democrats1191.2%

Electorate 7,536 · Ballots cast 10,032 · Back to ward index

Timperley Central · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 18.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 10,432

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Ennis, S.Liberal Democrats1,97618.9%Elected
2Newgrosh, J.Liberal Democrats1,88718.1%Elected
3Lepori, S.Liberal Democrats1,87418.0%Elected
4Hancock, L.Conservative and Unionist Party9238.8%
5Alexander, N.Conservative and Unionist Party8998.6%
6Kelly, R.Conservative and Unionist Party8688.3%
7Clarke, M.Labour Party4994.8%
8Gajanan, K.Labour Party4644.4%
9Renshaw, M.Labour Party4614.4%
10Byron, C.Green Party2472.4%
11Byron, M.Green Party1791.7%
12O'Brien, K.Green Party1551.5%

Electorate 8,409 · Ballots cast 10,432 · Back to ward index

Davyhulme · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 18.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +6.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,251

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Maitland, S.Labour Party1,87720.3%Elected
2Carter, K.Labour Party1,87420.3%Elected
3Winstanley, B.Labour Party1,73518.8%Elected
4Coupe, J.Conservative and Unionist Party1,00710.9%
5Haworth, T.Conservative and Unionist Party8689.4%
6Mitchell, A.Conservative and Unionist Party7888.5%
7Bartley, B.Green Party3824.1%
8Chatterton, K.Green Party2162.3%
9Westbrook, J.Green Party2122.3%
10Zuk, G.Liberal Democrats1551.7%
11Swansborough, P.Reform UK1371.5%

Electorate 8,813 · Ballots cast 9,251 · Back to ward index

Timperley North · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 18.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +6.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 11,666

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Brophy, J.Liberal Democrats2,43720.9%Elected
2Frass, W.Liberal Democrats2,21119.0%Elected
3Minnis, M.Liberal Democrats2,18918.8%Elected
4Brodie, J.Conservative and Unionist Party8437.2%
5Biller, C.Conservative and Unionist Party7996.8%
6Pulla, B.Conservative and Unionist Party6905.9%
7Fell, R.Labour Party6505.6%
8Heatley, P.Labour Party5654.8%
9Legg, A.Labour Party5104.4%
10Font, R.Green Party2912.5%
11Harrison, J.Green Party2211.9%
12Vadera, A.Green Party2021.7%
13Cooper, H.Independent580.5%

Electorate 8,646 · Ballots cast 11,666 · Back to ward index

Sale Central · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 18.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +6.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,815

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Brotherton, B.Labour Party1,97422.4%Elected
2Parker, E.Labour Party1,81220.6%Elected
3Deakin, Z.Labour Party1,65618.8%Elected
4Bancks, M.Conservative and Unionist Party6747.6%
5Parker, G.Conservative and Unionist Party6247.1%
6Nichanametla, A.Conservative and Unionist Party5986.8%
7Turner, D.Green Party4545.2%
8Green, J.Green Party4385.0%
9Stewart, T.Green Party3023.4%
10Kramer, J.Liberal Democrats2833.2%

Electorate 7,491 · Ballots cast 8,815 · Back to ward index

Flixton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,865

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Carter, G.Labour Party1,92721.7%Elected
2O'Sullivan, D.Labour Party1,75019.7%Elected
3Thomas, S.Labour Party1,70319.2%Elected
4Lally, P.Conservative and Unionist Party8589.7%
5McGrath, M.Conservative and Unionist Party6977.9%
6Taylor, S.Conservative and Unionist Party6887.8%
7Cotter, K.Green Party4124.6%
8Woodward, T.Green Party3453.9%
9Cavanagh, A.Green Party2983.4%
10Kinsella, T.Liberal Democrats1872.1%

Electorate 8,532 · Ballots cast 8,865 · Back to ward index

Urmston · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,063

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Harding, J.Labour Party2,04422.6%Elected
2Hynes, C.Labour Party1,88920.8%Elected
3Procter, K.Labour Party1,74319.2%Elected
4Mitchell, C.Conservative and Unionist Party7708.5%
5John, L.Conservative and Unionist Party6857.6%
6Sulle, J.Conservative and Unionist Party6286.9%
7Westbrook, K.Green Party4785.3%
8Tennant, S.Green Party3013.3%
9Whyte, L.Green Party2983.3%
10Franklin-Johnston, J.Liberal Democrats2272.5%

Electorate 8,507 · Ballots cast 9,063 · Back to ward index

Bucklow-St. Martins · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,503

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1New, A.Labour Party1,16325.8%Elected
2Williams, A.Labour Party91620.3%Elected
3Wright, J.Labour Party87219.4%Elected
4Johnson, E.Conservative and Unionist Party3367.5%
5Reilly, J.Conservative and Unionist Party3157.0%
6Reilly, J.Conservative and Unionist Party3086.8%
7Olsen, W.Green Party1784.0%
8Westbrook, M.Green Party1583.5%
9Capucho, R.Green Party1583.5%
10Wright, S.Liberal Democrats992.2%

Electorate 7,268 · Ballots cast 4,503 · Back to ward index

Sale Moor · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +4.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,251

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bennett, J.Labour Party1,73721.1%Elected
2Patel, L.Labour Party1,68220.4%Elected
3Baskerville, O.Labour Party1,66220.1%Elected
4Bell, D.Conservative and Unionist Party7268.8%
5Halliday, C.Conservative and Unionist Party6898.4%
6Morten, J.Conservative and Unionist Party5967.2%
7Hargreaves, C.Green Party3864.7%
8Hession, S.Green Party2853.5%
9Leicester, S.Green Party2463.0%
10Campion, M.Liberal Democrats2422.9%

Electorate 8,165 · Ballots cast 8,251 · Back to ward index

Altrincham · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +4.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,344

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Coggins, G.Green Party1,98021.2%Elected
2Jerrome, D.Green Party1,94720.8%Elected
3Welton, M.Green Party1,89620.3%Elected
4Bliss, R.Conservative and Unionist Party7047.5%
5Myers, P.Conservative and Unionist Party6977.5%
6Achanta, K.Conservative and Unionist Party6647.1%
7Mayer, C.Labour Party4104.4%
8Slater, B.Labour Party3643.9%
9Weston, W.Labour Party3213.4%
10Brophy, L.Liberal Democrats1551.7%
11Kinsella, M.Liberal Democrats1031.1%
12Hepburn, S.Liberal Democrats1031.1%

Electorate 7,709 · Ballots cast 9,344 · Back to ward index

Lostock & Barton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +4.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,033

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Axford, J.Labour Party1,56922.3%Elected
2Cordingley, M.Labour Party1,52421.7%Elected
3Procter, S.Labour Party1,43020.3%Elected
4Donnelly, S.Conservative and Unionist Party5698.1%
5Thomas, S.Conservative and Unionist Party5007.1%
6Stany, A.Conservative and Unionist Party4616.6%
7Bowater, S.Green Party3054.3%
8French, R.Green Party2032.9%
9Skelton, M.Green Party1882.7%
10Dillon, S.Reform UK1442.0%
11Marshall, J.Liberal Democrats1402.0%

Electorate 8,094 · Ballots cast 7,033 · Back to ward index

Stretford & Humphrey Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,371

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Adshead, S.Labour Party1,96223.4%Elected
2Slater, J.Labour Party1,88022.5%Elected
3Ross, T.Labour Party1,85122.1%Elected
4Hooley, C.Conservative and Unionist Party5126.1%
5Emmanuel, S.Conservative and Unionist Party4825.8%
6O'Neill, L.Green Party4645.5%
7Thomas, J.Conservative and Unionist Party4375.2%
8James, H.Green Party3303.9%
9Ryan, J.Green Party2873.4%
10Power, S.Liberal Democrats1662.0%

Electorate 8,623 · Ballots cast 8,371 · Back to ward index

Longford · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,616

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Haughey, S.Labour Party1,97125.9%Elected
2Lloyd, J.Labour Party1,76823.2%Elected
3Jarman, D.Labour Party1,73422.8%Elected
4Westbrook, M.Green Party4886.4%
5Kaufman, M.Green Party3374.4%
6Patel, S.Green Party3224.2%
7Booth, D.Conservative and Unionist Party3174.2%
8Paul, S.Conservative and Unionist Party2583.4%
9Lijo, L.Conservative and Unionist Party2523.3%
10Carberry-Power, D.Liberal Democrats1692.2%

Electorate 7,755 · Ballots cast 7,616 · Back to ward index

Gorse Hill & Cornbrook · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,220

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Acton, D.Labour Party1,58225.4%Elected
2Hornby, F.Labour Party1,50624.2%Elected
3Walsh, L.Labour Party1,43023.0%Elected
4Clitheroe, L.Green Party2884.6%
5John, S.Conservative and Unionist Party2534.1%
6Wadsworth, J.Green Party2484.0%
7May, E.Conservative and Unionist Party2323.7%
8Sabastian, S.Conservative and Unionist Party1843.0%
9Wadsworth, D.Green Party1692.7%
10Gibb, H.Independent1512.4%
11Reyes, J.Liberal Democrats981.6%
12McGuiness, A.Liberal Democrats791.3%

Electorate 8,266 · Ballots cast 6,220 · Back to ward index

Old Trafford · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference −0.1 pts Valid ballots 7,854

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hassan, W.Labour Party2,23528.5%Elected
2Hirst, E.Labour Party2,11827.0%Elected
3Taylor, S.Labour Party1,97325.1%Elected
4Mayo, J.Green Party4135.3%
5Moncrieff, A.Green Party4055.2%
6Raikes, R.Green Party2703.4%
7Coupe, D.Conservative and Unionist Party1411.8%
8Hooley, A.Conservative and Unionist Party1151.5%
9Hick, A.Liberal Democrats941.2%
10Luke, C.Conservative and Unionist Party901.1%

Electorate 8,341 · Ballots cast 7,854 · Back to ward index