← Torfaen (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort

Torfaen 2022

Local elections held 5 May 2022.

18 ward races
40 seats
27 elected below the proportional quota
67.5% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 18 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 40 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party28,09757.4%3075.0%2460.0%+6
Independent12,43225.4%1025.0%1025.0%0
Conservative and Unionist Party7,23114.8%00.0%615.0%-6
Liberal Democrats4550.9%00.0%00.0%0
PC4320.9%00.0%00.0%0
Green Party2680.5%00.0%00.0%0
FREE470.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total48,962100.0%40100.0%40100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Two Locks · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,981

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Thomas C.Labour Party78119.6%Elected
2Jones P.Labour Party69517.5%Elected
3Burnett R.Independent59715.0%Elected
4Evans K.Labour Party56214.1%
5Fortey K.Independent3629.1%
6Brown J.Conservative and Unionist Party2416.1%
7Boyce A.Conservative and Unionist Party2155.4%
8Senior R.Conservative and Unionist Party1894.7%
9Davies M.Liberal Democrats1654.1%
10Roberts B.Liberal Democrats1273.2%
11Stamper V.FREE471.2%

Electorate 4,869 · Ballots cast 3,981 · EC ward code W05001377 · Back to ward index

Pontnewynydd & Snatchwood · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,568

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Best A.Labour Party41226.3%Elected
2Simons N.Labour Party38924.8%Elected
3Jenkins w.Independent34722.1%
4Burgess R.Independent28218.0%
5Clarke M.Conservative and Unionist Party1388.8%

Electorate 3,021 · Ballots cast 1,568 · EC ward code W05001373 · Back to ward index

Upper Cwmbran · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,786

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Evans S.Labour Party57132.0%Elected
2Williams L.Labour Party45525.5%Elected
3Legge S.Independent38721.7%
4Kemp R.Independent37320.9%

Electorate 4,459 · Ballots cast 1,786 · EC ward code W05001378 · Back to ward index

Llantarnam · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,425

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Thomas D.Independent1,08119.9%Elected
2Slade A.Independent99618.4%Elected
3Jones N.Independent95017.5%Elected
4Bolton D.Labour Party66712.3%
5Bird A.Labour Party55010.1%
6Johnston L.Labour Party4818.9%
7Woolfall Jones M.PC4328.0%
8Davies P.Green Party2684.9%

Electorate 5,294 · Ballots cast 5,425 · EC ward code W05001368 · Back to ward index

St. Dials · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,048

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Haynes E.Independent63030.8%Elected
2Bonera C.Independent53025.9%Elected
3Jones F.Labour Party43721.3%
4Manneh K.Labour Party34917.0%
5Thomas P.Conservative and Unionist Party1025.0%

Electorate 3,546 · Ballots cast 2,048 · EC ward code W05001375 · Back to ward index

New Inn · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 18.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,714

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Byrne N.Labour Party90619.2%Elected
2Matthews R.Labour Party85918.2%Elected
3James J.Labour Party84818.0%Elected
4James K.Conservative and Unionist Party78016.5%
5Overton R.Conservative and Unionist Party67714.4%
6Jones N.Conservative and Unionist Party64413.7%

Electorate 4,817 · Ballots cast 4,714 · EC ward code W05001370 · Back to ward index

Pontnewydd · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,419

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Daniels D.Labour Party98422.3%Elected
2Morgan S.Labour Party94921.5%Elected
3Ashley S.Labour Party86319.5%Elected
4Campbell D.Independent50711.5%
5Brankley M.Independent48110.9%
6Edmunds D.Independent47210.7%
7Richards R.Liberal Democrats1633.7%

Electorate 5,636 · Ballots cast 4,419 · EC ward code W05001372 · Back to ward index

Blaenavon · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,671

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Jones J.Independent84323.0%Elected
2Horler N.Independent81822.3%Elected
3Cowles L.Labour Party72619.8%Elected
4Evans L.Labour Party60616.5%
5Hunt J.Labour Party44312.1%
6Senior A.Conservative and Unionist Party2356.4%

Electorate 4,758 · Ballots cast 3,671 · EC ward code W05001362 · Back to ward index

Abersychan · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,854

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Tew C.Independent1,02726.6%Elected
2Davies G.Labour Party93524.3%Elected
3Clarkson L.Labour Party77220.0%Elected
4Tomlinson W.Independent48112.5%
5Rogers B.Labour Party3809.9%
6Millard A.Conservative and Unionist Party2596.7%

Electorate 5,124 · Ballots cast 3,854 · EC ward code W05001361 · Back to ward index

Pontypool Fawr · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,584

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Jones M.Independent94026.2%Elected
2Price C.Labour Party83823.4%Elected
3James G.Labour Party81222.7%Elected
4Stephens P.Labour Party63917.8%
5Bishop L.Conservative and Unionist Party3559.9%

Electorate 5,750 · Ballots cast 3,584 · EC ward code W05001374 · Back to ward index

Panteg · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +1.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,282

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hunt A.Labour Party1,48028.0%Elected
2Parrish N.Labour Party1,25323.7%Elected
3Yeowell N.Labour Party1,23023.3%Elected
4Senior S.Conservative and Unionist Party5019.5%
5Martin J.Conservative and Unionist Party4157.9%
6Lang A.Conservative and Unionist Party4037.6%

Electorate 5,952 · Ballots cast 5,282 · EC ward code W05001371 · Back to ward index

Llanfrechfa and Ponthir · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.6 pts Valid ballots 769

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gauden K.Labour Party38950.6%Elected
2Bevan H.Conservative and Unionist Party38049.4%

Electorate 1,787 · Ballots cast 769 · EC ward code W05001367 · Back to ward index

Croesyceiliog · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 35.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −1.8 pts Valid ballots 2,699

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Clark R.Labour Party95035.2%Elected
2Gauden J.Labour Party94835.1%Elected
3Bubela A.Conservative and Unionist Party42115.6%
4Morgan R.Conservative and Unionist Party38014.1%

Electorate 4,274 · Ballots cast 2,699 · EC ward code W05001364 · Back to ward index

Fairwater · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 39.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −5.8 pts Valid ballots 1,686

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Seabourne R.Labour Party69741.3%Elected
2Watkins J.Labour Party66039.1%Elected
3Leaves A.Conservative and Unionist Party32919.5%

Electorate 3,934 · Ballots cast 1,686 · EC ward code W05001365 · Back to ward index

Trevethin & Penygarn · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 39.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −5.8 pts Valid ballots 1,465

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Malson S.Labour Party67646.1%Elected
2Horlor J.Labour Party57439.2%Elected
3White A.Conservative and Unionist Party21514.7%

Electorate 3,901 · Ballots cast 1,465 · EC ward code W05001376 · Back to ward index

Greenmeadow · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.5 pts Valid ballots 683

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Owen M.Labour Party42762.5%Elected
2O'Connell J.Independent25637.5%

Electorate 2,103 · Ballots cast 683 · EC ward code W05001366 · Back to ward index

Llanyrafon · single-seat

Marginal winner 66.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −16.6 pts Valid ballots 704

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Williams D.Labour Party46966.6%Elected
2Scriven C.Conservative and Unionist Party23533.4%

Electorate 1,962 · Ballots cast 704 · EC ward code W05001369 · Back to ward index

Coed Eva · single-seat

Marginal winner 69.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.7 pts Valid ballots 624

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Cross F.Labour Party43569.7%Elected
2Edmunds N.Conservative and Unionist Party11718.8%
3Clarke S.Independent7211.5%

Electorate 1,937 · Ballots cast 624 · EC ward code W05001363 · Back to ward index