← Thurrock (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Thurrock 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

17 ward races

17 seats

7 elected below the proportional quota

41.2% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 17 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Labour Party	14,829	52.2%	12	70.6%	9	52.9%	+3
Conservative and Unionist Party	8,328	29.3%	1	5.9%	5	29.4%	-4
Independent	4,457	15.7%	4	23.5%	3	17.6%	+1
Green Party	810	2.8%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	28,424	100.0%	17	100.0%	17	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

The Homesteads · 1 seat · won at 35.9% · +14.1 pts below quota
Orsett · 1 seat · won at 39.8% · +10.2 pts below quota
Stanford East and Corringham Town · 1 seat · won at 41.3% · +8.7 pts below quota
Stanford-le-Hope West · 1 seat · won at 43.6% · +6.4 pts below quota
Corringham and Fobbing · 1 seat · won at 46.7% · +3.3 pts below quota
Little Thurrock Blackshots · 1 seat · won at 48.3% · +1.7 pts below quota
Chafford and North Stifford · 1 seat · won at 48.6% · +1.4 pts below quota
Ockendon · 1 seat · won at 53.1% · above quota
South Chafford · 1 seat · won at 56.4% · above quota
East Tilbury · 1 seat · won at 57.3% · above quota
Aveley and Uplands · 1 seat · won at 63.1% · above quota
West Thurrock and South Stifford · 1 seat · won at 63.3% · above quota
Grays Riverside · 1 seat · won at 64.4% · above quota
Belhus · 1 seat · won at 68.9% · above quota
Chadwell St. Mary · 1 seat · won at 72.1% · above quota
Grays Thurrock · 1 seat · won at 77.8% · above quota
Tilbury St. Chads · 1 seat · won at 80.2% · above quota

Race results

The Homesteads · single-seat

Marginal winner 35.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,034

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Holloway, C.	Labour Party	731	35.9%	Elected
2	Sargent, L.	Independent	713	35.1%
3	Mayes, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	590	29.0%

Electorate 6,388 · Ballots cast 2,034 · EC ward code E05002245 · Back to ward index

Orsett · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,651

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Day, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	657	39.8%	Elected
2	Duffin, J.	Independent	570	34.5%
3	Morris, C.	Labour Party	424	25.7%

Electorate 5,055 · Ballots cast 1,651 · EC ward code E05002240 · Back to ward index

Stanford East and Corringham Town · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,960

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jones, R.	Independent	809	41.3%	Elected
2	Kapoor, A.	Labour Party	768	39.2%
3	Wright, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	383	19.5%

Electorate 6,286 · Ballots cast 1,960 · EC ward code E05002242 · Back to ward index

Stanford-le-Hope West · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,506

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Byrne, R.	Independent	656	43.6%	Elected
2	Smith, P.	Labour Party	544	36.1%
3	Piccolo, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	306	20.3%

Electorate 5,652 · Ballots cast 1,506 · EC ward code E05002243 · Back to ward index

Corringham and Fobbing · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,464

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fox, J.	Independent	684	46.7%	Elected
2	Ralph, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	426	29.1%
3	Mackinlay, J.	Labour Party	354	24.2%

Electorate 4,439 · Ballots cast 1,464 · EC ward code E05002233 · Back to ward index

Little Thurrock Blackshots · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,491

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fletcher, M.	Labour Party	720	48.3%	Elected
2	Redsell, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	614	41.2%
3	Singh, M.	Green Party	157	10.5%

Electorate 5,145 · Ballots cast 1,491 · EC ward code E05002237 · Back to ward index

Chafford and North Stifford · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,758

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Heath, L.	Labour Party	855	48.6%	Elected
2	Carter, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	603	34.3%
3	Sowunmi, O.	Independent	300	17.1%

Electorate 5,645 · Ballots cast 1,758 · EC ward code E05002232 · Back to ward index

Ockendon · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.1 pts Valid ballots 2,395

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Polston, R.	Labour Party	1,271	53.1%	Elected
2	Spillman, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,124	46.9%

Electorate 8,478 · Ballots cast 2,395 · EC ward code E05002239 · Back to ward index

South Chafford · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.4 pts Valid ballots 1,352

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Watson, G.	Labour Party	763	56.4%	Elected
2	Ojetola, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	433	32.0%
3	Fallows, C.	Green Party	156	11.5%

Electorate 5,153 · Ballots cast 1,352 · EC ward code E05002241 · Back to ward index

East Tilbury · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.3 pts Valid ballots 1,265

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sammons, S.	Independent	725	57.3%	Elected
2	Craft, A.	Labour Party	444	35.1%
3	Miah, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	96	7.6%

Electorate 5,286 · Ballots cast 1,265 · EC ward code E05002234 · Back to ward index

Aveley and Uplands · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.1 pts Valid ballots 1,956

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sisterson, C.	Labour Party	1,235	63.1%	Elected
2	Ononaji, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	721	36.9%

Electorate 7,605 · Ballots cast 1,956 · EC ward code E05002229 · Back to ward index

West Thurrock and South Stifford · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.3 pts Valid ballots 2,009

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Watson, L.	Labour Party	1,272	63.3%	Elected
2	Blaj, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	526	26.2%
3	Goodyear, R.	Green Party	211	10.5%

Electorate 9,160 · Ballots cast 2,009 · EC ward code E05002248 · Back to ward index

Grays Riverside · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.4 pts Valid ballots 1,813

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fish, A.	Labour Party	1,168	64.4%	Elected
2	Ojetola, O.	Conservative and Unionist Party	359	19.8%
3	Fallows, D.	Green Party	286	15.8%

Electorate 8,342 · Ballots cast 1,813 · EC ward code E05002235 · Back to ward index

Belhus · single-seat

Marginal winner 68.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −18.9 pts Valid ballots 1,555

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Holloway, V.	Labour Party	1,072	68.9%	Elected
2	Polley, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	483	31.1%

Electorate 7,322 · Ballots cast 1,555 · EC ward code E05002230 · Back to ward index

Chadwell St. Mary · single-seat

Marginal winner 72.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −22.1 pts Valid ballots 1,572

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Alike, N.	Labour Party	1,133	72.1%	Elected
2	Taylor-Webb, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	439	27.9%

Electorate 7,403 · Ballots cast 1,572 · EC ward code E05002231 · Back to ward index

Grays Thurrock · single-seat

Marginal winner 77.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −27.8 pts Valid ballots 1,836

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kent, J.	Labour Party	1,428	77.8%	Elected
2	Rahman, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	408	22.2%

Electorate 6,723 · Ballots cast 1,836 · EC ward code E05002236 · Back to ward index

Tilbury St. Chads · single-seat

Marginal winner 80.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −30.2 pts Valid ballots 807

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Raper, K.	Labour Party	647	80.2%	Elected
2	Palmer, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	160	19.8%

Electorate 4,445 · Ballots cast 807 · EC ward code E05002247 · Back to ward index