← Thurrock (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Thurrock 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

16 ward races
16 seats
10 elected below the proportional quota
62.5% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party11,83345.1%956.3%850.0%+1
Conservative and Unionist Party8,49032.4%425.0%637.5%-2
TH IND2,70610.3%16.3%16.3%0
Independent2,63310.0%212.5%16.3%+1
Reform UK4361.7%00.0%00.0%0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)790.3%00.0%00.0%0
Green Party640.2%00.0%00.0%0
Total26,241100.0%16100.0%16100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Stanford East & Corringham Town · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,794

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Cecil, J.Labour Party66737.2%Elected
2Ralph, S.Conservative and Unionist Party56831.7%
3Jones, R.Independent55931.2%

Electorate 6,317 · Ballots cast 1,794 · Back to ward index

Stanford-le-Hope West · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,686

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Speight, N.Independent64338.1%Elected
2Smith, P.Labour Party53231.6%
3Hebb, S.Conservative and Unionist Party51130.3%

Electorate 5,537 · Ballots cast 1,686 · Back to ward index

Corringham & Fobbing · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,424

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Arnold, D.Conservative and Unionist Party55539.0%Elected
2Fox, J.TH IND54538.3%
3Alike, N.Labour Party32422.8%

Electorate 4,391 · Ballots cast 1,424 · Back to ward index

Little Thurrock Rectory · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,462

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Kelly, T.Conservative and Unionist Party58039.7%Elected
2Sarwar, E.Labour Party55037.6%
3Cherry, R.TH IND33222.7%

Electorate 4,539 · Ballots cast 1,462 · Back to ward index

Stifford Clays · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,490

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hooper, M.Labour Party61040.9%Elected
2Holland, G.Conservative and Unionist Party47631.9%
3Smith, J.TH IND34022.8%
4Beauchamp-Stansfield, J.Green Party644.3%

Electorate 5,006 · Ballots cast 1,490 · Back to ward index

The Homesteads · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,213

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Byrne, G.TH IND94242.6%Elected
2Miah, S.Conservative and Unionist Party60327.2%
3Benson, T.Labour Party54424.6%
4Poskitt, B.Reform UK1245.6%

Electorate 6,376 · Ballots cast 2,213 · Back to ward index

Tilbury Riverside & Thurrock Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,081

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Manwa, C.Labour Party48645.0%Elected
2Austin, C.Independent45141.7%
3Mayes, A.Conservative and Unionist Party14413.3%

Electorate 4,826 · Ballots cast 1,081 · Back to ward index

Ockendon · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,101

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Jefferies, A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,01448.3%Elected
2Watson, G.Labour Party83939.9%
3Byrne, R.TH IND24811.8%

Electorate 8,333 · Ballots cast 2,101 · Back to ward index

Belhus · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,576

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hurrell, M.Labour Party76548.5%Elected
2Akinbohun, A.Conservative and Unionist Party43327.5%
3Baker, C.TH IND29919.0%
4Keal, M.UK Independence Party (UKIP)795.0%

Electorate 7,210 · Ballots cast 1,576 · Back to ward index

Chafford & North Stifford · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,509

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hartstean, V.Labour Party74149.1%Elected
2Coxshall, M.Conservative and Unionist Party63942.3%
3Truman, S.Reform UK1298.5%

Electorate 5,581 · Ballots cast 1,509 · Back to ward index

Aveley & Uplands · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.7 pts Valid ballots 1,762

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Maney, J.Conservative and Unionist Party92852.7%Elected
2Sisterson, C.Labour Party83447.3%

Electorate 7,519 · Ballots cast 1,762 · Back to ward index

West Thurrock & South Stifford · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.9 pts Valid ballots 1,863

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Green, A.Labour Party1,09858.9%Elected
2Ojetola, T.Conservative and Unionist Party76541.1%

Electorate 8,908 · Ballots cast 1,863 · Back to ward index

Grays Thurrock · single-seat

Marginal winner 68.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −18.6 pts Valid ballots 1,677

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Kent, C.Labour Party1,15168.6%Elected
2Alo, E.Conservative and Unionist Party34320.5%
3Grayson, R.Reform UK18310.9%

Electorate 6,644 · Ballots cast 1,677 · Back to ward index

Chadwell St. Mary · single-seat

Marginal winner 73.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −23.1 pts Valid ballots 1,718

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Chukwu, D.Labour Party1,25673.1%Elected
2Corcoran, S.Conservative and Unionist Party46226.9%

Electorate 7,317 · Ballots cast 1,718 · Back to ward index

East Tilbury · single-seat

Marginal winner 74.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −24.9 pts Valid ballots 1,308

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Massey, F.Independent98074.9%Elected
2Craft, A.Labour Party24518.7%
3Palmer, D.Conservative and Unionist Party836.3%

Electorate 5,222 · Ballots cast 1,308 · Back to ward index

Grays Riverside · single-seat

Marginal winner 75.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −25.5 pts Valid ballots 1,577

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Morris-Cook, V.Labour Party1,19175.5%Elected
2Folorunsho, E.Conservative and Unionist Party38624.5%

Electorate 8,206 · Ballots cast 1,577 · Back to ward index