← Three Rivers (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Three Rivers 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

19 ward races
19 seats
7 elected below the proportional quota
36.8% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 19 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 19 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party20,85438.9%736.8%842.1%-1
Liberal Democrats20,25437.8%1157.9%842.1%+3
Labour Party7,01313.1%15.3%210.5%-1
Green Party4,9069.1%00.0%15.3%-1
Independent4460.8%00.0%00.0%0
VOICE1150.2%00.0%00.0%0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition390.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total53,627100.0%19100.0%19100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Dickinsons · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,505

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Rainbow P.D.Liberal Democrats1,07843.0%Elected
2Mitchell C.Green Party96138.4%
3Barnes R.Conservative and Unionist Party37014.8%
4Swift Gillett J.Labour Party963.8%

Electorate 5,151 · Ballots cast 2,505 · EC ward code E05009429 · Back to ward index

Gade Valley · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,604

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Clark R.Liberal Democrats74046.1%Elected
2Cawthorne M.W.S.Conservative and Unionist Party38924.3%
3Steer D.Labour Party23614.7%
4Brading E.Green Party1227.6%
5Phipps B.Independent1177.3%

Electorate 5,124 · Ballots cast 1,604 · EC ward code E05009431 · Back to ward index

South Oxhey & Eastbury · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,751

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Alley C.Conservative and Unionist Party1,75146.7%Elected
2Cox S.Labour Party1,38336.9%
3Southall R.I.Liberal Democrats41111.0%
4Lawrence C.Green Party1744.6%
5Shattock R.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition320.9%

Electorate 12,108 · Ballots cast 3,751 · EC ward code E58000662 · Back to ward index

Penn And Mill End · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,809

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Seabourne R.Liberal Democrats84646.8%Elected
2Barber D.Conservative and Unionist Party67037.0%
3Gray C.J.Labour Party1588.7%
4Roberts A.C.Green Party1357.5%

Electorate 5,256 · Ballots cast 1,809 · EC ward code E05009435 · Back to ward index

Three Rivers Rural · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,201

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Williams P.Liberal Democrats2,46847.5%Elected
2Reed C.Conservative and Unionist Party1,97638.0%
3Stafford R.Green Party3637.0%
4Steer D.Labour Party2675.1%
5Diggins S.Independent1272.4%

Electorate 11,932 · Ballots cast 5,201 · EC ward code E58000669 · Back to ward index

Abbots Langley · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,250

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bedford S.Liberal Democrats2,06148.5%Elected
2O'Brien A.D.Conservative and Unionist Party1,21928.7%
3Farrington H.Labour Party71316.8%
4Trevett K.Green Party2576.0%

Electorate 12,421 · Ballots cast 4,250 · EC ward code E58000601 · Back to ward index

Rickmansworth West · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,086

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hiscocks P.Conservative and Unionist Party2,02049.4%Elected
2Nelmes S.J.Liberal Democrats1,47236.0%
3Smith C.Labour Party3348.2%
4Macmillen D.A.Green Party2606.4%

Electorate 10,970 · Ballots cast 4,086 · EC ward code E58000657 · Back to ward index

Leavesden · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.3 pts Valid ballots 1,890

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Giles-Medhurst S.B.A.Liberal Democrats95150.3%Elected
2Tailor H.K.Conservative and Unionist Party54829.0%
3Nolan M.S.Labour Party28014.8%
4Perry B.Green Party1115.9%

Electorate 5,951 · Ballots cast 1,890 · EC ward code E05009432 · Back to ward index

Abbots Langley And Bedmond · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.4 pts Valid ballots 1,963

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bedford M.Liberal Democrats98950.4%Elected
2O'Brien A.D.Conservative and Unionist Party58029.5%
3Farrington H.Labour Party26413.4%
4Rayment M.Green Party1306.6%

Electorate 5,014 · Ballots cast 1,963 · EC ward code E05009425 · Back to ward index

Croxley · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.2 pts Valid ballots 4,991

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Lloyd C.Liberal Democrats2,55651.2%Elected
2Walker T.Conservative and Unionist Party1,31126.3%
3Gallagher A.Green Party82216.5%
4Swift Gillett J.Labour Party3026.1%

Electorate 10,773 · Ballots cast 4,991 · EC ward code E58000619 · Back to ward index

Durrants · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.3 pts Valid ballots 2,298

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Lloyd C.Liberal Democrats1,17951.3%Elected
2Walker T.Conservative and Unionist Party73532.0%
3Gallagher A.Green Party24710.7%
4Grillo J.Labour Party1376.0%

Electorate 5,080 · Ballots cast 2,298 · EC ward code E05009430 · Back to ward index

Rickmansworth Town · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.2 pts Valid ballots 2,367

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hudson L.Conservative and Unionist Party1,26053.2%Elected
2Smith T.Liberal Democrats60125.4%
3Macmillen D.A.Green Party25610.8%
4Smith C.Labour Party25010.6%

Electorate 5,716 · Ballots cast 2,367 · EC ward code E05009436 · Back to ward index

Rickmansworth East & Oxhey Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.7 pts Valid ballots 4,556

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Ranger R.Conservative and Unionist Party2,49054.7%Elected
2Smith T.Liberal Democrats1,04723.0%
3Waite W.Labour Party63513.9%
4Roberts A.C.Green Party3848.4%

Electorate 11,530 · Ballots cast 4,556 · EC ward code E58000656 · Back to ward index

Oxhey Hall And Hayling · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.7 pts Valid ballots 2,080

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Scarth A.Liberal Democrats1,13754.7%Elected
2Hallam-Attree G.I.Conservative and Unionist Party44321.3%
3Leahy C.Labour Party42320.3%
4Chabrel M.Green Party773.7%

Electorate 5,419 · Ballots cast 2,080 · EC ward code E05009434 · Back to ward index

South Oxhey · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.8 pts Valid ballots 1,451

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1King J.Labour Party80955.8%Elected
2Oakey D.Conservative and Unionist Party49534.1%
3Lawrence C.Green Party755.2%
4Southall R.I.Liberal Democrats654.5%
5Shattock R.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition70.5%

Electorate 5,277 · Ballots cast 1,451 · EC ward code E05009437 · Back to ward index

Carpenders Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.9 pts Valid ballots 1,844

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Coltman D.Conservative and Unionist Party1,03155.9%Elected
2Waite W.Labour Party38420.8%
3Dunne G.Liberal Democrats24013.0%
4Usadadiya K.VOICE1156.2%
5Trevett K.Green Party744.0%

Electorate 5,368 · Ballots cast 1,844 · EC ward code E05009426 · Back to ward index

Chorleywood North And Sarratt · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.6 pts Valid ballots 2,356

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Reed C.Conservative and Unionist Party1,35657.6%Elected
2Trevett B.Liberal Democrats55423.5%
3Zerny D.J.Independent2028.6%
4Loader P.Green Party1556.6%
5Gallagher M.Labour Party893.8%

Electorate 5,836 · Ballots cast 2,356 · EC ward code E05009427 · Back to ward index

Chorleywood South And Maple Cross · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.3 pts Valid ballots 2,801

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Williams P.Liberal Democrats1,63258.3%Elected
2Hearn P.Conservative and Unionist Party89331.9%
3Stafford R.Green Party1655.9%
4Rodden I.Labour Party1114.0%

Electorate 5,883 · Ballots cast 2,801 · EC ward code E05009428 · Back to ward index

Moor Park And Eastbury · single-seat

Marginal winner 72.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −22.2 pts Valid ballots 1,824

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Morris D.Conservative and Unionist Party1,31772.2%Elected
2Asquith J.Liberal Democrats22712.4%
3Gordon P.Labour Party1427.8%
4Chandra D.Green Party1387.6%

Electorate 4,660 · Ballots cast 1,824 · EC ward code E05009433 · Back to ward index