← Tewkesbury (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Tewkesbury 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

20 ward races

38 seats

27 elected below the proportional quota

71.1% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 38 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	16,216	34.3%	9	23.7%	13	34.2%	-4
Liberal Democrats	15,232	32.2%	16	42.1%	13	34.2%	+3
Green Party	7,049	14.9%	4	10.5%	6	15.8%	-2
Independent	4,292	9.1%	7	18.4%	3	7.9%	+4
T & T IND	2,345	5.0%	2	5.3%	2	5.3%	0
Labour Party	2,200	4.6%	0	0.0%	1	2.6%	-1
Total	47,334	100.0%	38	100.0%	38	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Northway · 2 seats · won at 18.0% · +15.4 pts below quota
Isbourne · 2 seats · won at 20.3% · +13.0 pts below quota
Cleeve St Michael's · 2 seats · won at 21.4% · +11.9 pts below quota
Winchcombe · 3 seats · won at 14.2% · +10.8 pts below quota
Innsworth · 2 seats · won at 22.8% · +10.5 pts below quota
Cleeve West · 2 seats · won at 26.0% · +7.3 pts below quota
Cleeve Hill · 2 seats · won at 27.0% · +6.3 pts below quota
Churchdown Brookfield with Hucclecote · 3 seats · won at 19.8% · +5.2 pts below quota
Churchdown St John's · 3 seats · won at 20.5% · +4.5 pts below quota
Severn Vale North · 1 seat · won at 46.1% · +3.9 pts below quota
Highnam With Haw Bridge · 2 seats · won at 29.5% · +3.8 pts below quota
Brockworth West · 2 seats · won at 30.8% · +2.5 pts below quota
Tewkesbury East · 2 seats · won at 30.8% · +2.5 pts below quota
Cleeve Grange · 1 seat · won at 49.4% · +0.6 pts below quota
Brockworth East · 2 seats · won at 33.0% · +0.4 pts below quota
Tewkesbury South · 2 seats · won at 33.7% · above quota
Badgeworth · 1 seat · won at 51.2% · above quota
Tewkesbury North & Twyning · 2 seats · won at 36.0% · above quota
Shurdington · 1 seat · won at 54.7% · above quota
Severn Vale South · 1 seat · won at 64.1% · above quota

Race results

Northway · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 18.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +15.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,530

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mactiernan, E.	Independent	348	22.7%	Elected
2	Godwin, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	275	18.0%	Elected
3	Fancourt, G.	Liberal Democrats	269	17.6%
4	Castle, F.	Labour Party	233	15.2%
5	Cromwell, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	218	14.2%
6	Guyll, K.	Liberal Democrats	187	12.2%

Electorate 3,581 · Ballots cast 1,530 · Back to ward index

Isbourne · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +13.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,214

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Coleman, C.	Independent	719	32.5%	Elected
2	Gore, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	450	20.3%	Elected
3	Smith, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	384	17.3%
4	Taylor, P.	Liberal Democrats	300	13.6%
5	Baddams, J.	Green Party	164	7.4%
6	Levett, M.	Labour Party	100	4.5%
7	White, C.	Green Party	97	4.4%

Electorate 3,112 · Ballots cast 2,214 · Back to ward index

Cleeve St Michael's · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,464

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hegenbarth, A.	Liberal Democrats	771	31.3%	Elected
2	Pervaiz, K.	Liberal Democrats	527	21.4%	Elected
3	East, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	446	18.1%
4	Reece, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	403	16.4%
5	Peake, J.	Labour Party	148	6.0%
6	Aubury, K.	Green Party	93	3.8%
7	Bown, M.	Green Party	76	3.1%

Electorate 4,272 · Ballots cast 2,464 · Back to ward index

Winchcombe · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,739

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mason, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	958	16.7%	Elected
2	Gray, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	834	14.5%	Elected
3	Madle, G.	Independent	814	14.2%	Elected
4	Murphy, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	784	13.7%
5	Sturgeon, S.	Labour Party	514	9.0%
6	Hurley, J.	Labour Party	373	6.5%
7	Corsie, C.	Green Party	334	5.8%
8	Reford, S.	Liberal Democrats	327	5.7%
9	Galey, S.	Green Party	304	5.3%
10	Mackinnon, T.	Liberal Democrats	294	5.1%
11	Walters, M.	Green Party	203	3.5%

Electorate 5,294 · Ballots cast 5,739 · Back to ward index

Innsworth · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,996

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hands, S.	Liberal Democrats	485	24.3%	Elected
2	Ockelton, P.	Liberal Democrats	455	22.8%	Elected
3	Bocking, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	414	20.7%
4	Rai, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	338	16.9%
5	Davies, V.	Labour Party	237	11.9%
6	Evans, R.	Independent	67	3.4%

Electorate 4,013 · Ballots cast 1,996 · Back to ward index

Cleeve West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 26.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,843

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Stanley, R.	Liberal Democrats	988	34.8%	Elected
2	Stewart, M.	Liberal Democrats	740	26.0%	Elected
3	Bird, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	426	15.0%
4	Ross, W.	Conservative and Unionist Party	359	12.6%
5	Harrison, E.	Labour Party	158	5.6%
6	North, A.	Green Party	101	3.6%
7	Wheeler, S.	Green Party	71	2.5%

Electorate 4,230 · Ballots cast 2,843 · Back to ward index

Cleeve Hill · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 27.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +6.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,334

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Adcock, N.	Liberal Democrats	943	28.3%	Elected
2	Agg, L.	Liberal Democrats	901	27.0%	Elected
3	Berliner, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	811	24.3%
4	Dean, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	679	20.4%

Electorate 3,974 · Ballots cast 3,334 · Back to ward index

Churchdown Brookfield with Hucclecote · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,534

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Smith, R.	Liberal Democrats	944	20.8%	Elected
2	Smith, P.	Liberal Democrats	926	20.4%	Elected
3	Yates, G.	Liberal Democrats	898	19.8%	Elected
4	Blackwell, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	529	11.7%
5	Grierson, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	459	10.1%
6	Furolo, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	332	7.3%
7	Totterdell, J.	Green Party	158	3.5%
8	Allen, G.	Green Party	147	3.2%
9	Milne, C.	Green Party	141	3.1%

Electorate 4,978 · Ballots cast 4,534 · Back to ward index

Churchdown St John's · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +4.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,804

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jordan, M.	Liberal Democrats	1,097	22.8%	Elected
2	Dove, S.	Liberal Democrats	1,015	21.1%	Elected
3	Skelt, L.	Liberal Democrats	986	20.5%	Elected
4	Evans, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	501	10.4%
5	Szlowieniec, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	420	8.7%
6	Gray, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	391	8.1%
7	Blackledge, A.	Green Party	149	3.1%
8	Cavallaro, G.	Green Party	123	2.6%
9	Dendulk, H.	Green Party	122	2.5%

Electorate 5,592 · Ballots cast 4,804 · Back to ward index

Severn Vale North · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 787

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mclain, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	363	46.1%	Elected
2	Lacey, D.	Liberal Democrats	310	39.4%
3	Billington, S.	Green Party	114	14.5%

Electorate 2,001 · Ballots cast 787 · Back to ward index

Highnam With Haw Bridge · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 29.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +3.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,674

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Smith, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	912	34.1%	Elected
2	McLain, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	790	29.5%	Elected
3	Bristow, J.	Green Party	504	18.8%
4	Millett, J.	Green Party	468	17.5%

Electorate 3,560 · Ballots cast 2,674 · Back to ward index

Brockworth West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 30.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,949

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harwood, D.	Independent	671	34.4%	Elected
2	Carter, C.	Independent	600	30.8%	Elected
3	Oliver, S.	Liberal Democrats	259	13.3%
4	Barwick, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	254	13.0%
5	Bocking, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	165	8.5%

Electorate 3,942 · Ballots cast 1,949 · Back to ward index

Tewkesbury East · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 30.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,733

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bowman, H.	Green Party	899	32.9%	Elected
2	Sundarajoo, H.	Green Party	842	30.8%	Elected
3	Smith, V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	536	19.6%
4	Reid, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	456	16.7%

Electorate 4,404 · Ballots cast 2,733 · Back to ward index

Cleeve Grange · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 676

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Budge, T.	Liberal Democrats	334	49.4%	Elected
2	Barriskell, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	243	35.9%
3	Boyd, C.	Labour Party	67	9.9%
4	Franklin, S.	Green Party	32	4.7%

Electorate 2,041 · Ballots cast 676 · Back to ward index

Brockworth East · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 33.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +0.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,450

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mills, C.	Independent	595	41.0%	Elected
2	Mills, J.	Independent	478	33.0%	Elected
3	Khazeni-Rad, K.	Liberal Democrats	161	11.1%
4	Hill, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	108	7.4%
5	Hill, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	108	7.4%

Electorate 3,021 · Ballots cast 1,450 · Back to ward index

Tewkesbury South · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 33.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −0.4 pts Valid ballots 2,380

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cody, C.	Green Party	1,025	43.1%	Elected
2	Dimond-Brown, M.	Green Party	802	33.7%	Elected
3	Coffey, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	259	10.9%
4	Darlington, Z.	Labour Party	153	6.4%
5	Collins, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	141	5.9%

Electorate 3,956 · Ballots cast 2,380 · Back to ward index

Badgeworth · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.2 pts Valid ballots 678

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Vines, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	347	51.2%	Elected
2	Yates, C.	Liberal Democrats	331	48.8%

Electorate 1,988 · Ballots cast 678 · Back to ward index

Tewkesbury North & Twyning · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 36.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −2.7 pts Valid ballots 3,172

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sztymiak, M.	T & T IND	1,202	37.9%	Elected
2	Workman, P.	T & T IND	1,143	36.0%	Elected
3	Robertson, E.	Labour Party	217	6.8%
4	Gilder, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	183	5.8%
5	Gilder, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	179	5.6%
6	Usmar, K.	Liberal Democrats	142	4.5%
7	Evans, B.	Liberal Democrats	106	3.3%

Electorate 4,123 · Ballots cast 3,172 · Back to ward index

Shurdington · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.7 pts Valid ballots 647

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Porter, G.	Liberal Democrats	354	54.7%	Elected
2	Surman, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	293	45.3%

Electorate 1,964 · Ballots cast 647 · Back to ward index

Severn Vale South · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.1 pts Valid ballots 730

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Williams, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	468	64.1%	Elected
2	Griffiths, M.	Liberal Democrats	182	24.9%
3	Hyett, D.	Green Party	80	11.0%

Electorate 1,820 · Ballots cast 730 · Back to ward index