← Test Valley (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Test Valley 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

20 ward races

43 seats

33 elected below the proportional quota

76.7% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 43 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Liberal Democrats	33,747	45.7%	17	39.5%	21	48.8%	-4
Conservative and Unionist Party	31,534	42.7%	26	60.5%	19	44.2%	+7
Labour Party	2,867	3.9%	0	0.0%	1	2.3%	-1
Independent	2,854	3.9%	0	0.0%	1	2.3%	-1
Green Party	2,692	3.6%	0	0.0%	1	2.3%	-1
Heritage Party	71	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)	49	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	73,814	100.0%	43	100.0%	43	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Andover Millway · 3 seats · won at 13.0% · +12.0 pts below quota
Andover Winton · 2 seats · won at 21.4% · +11.9 pts below quota
Blackwater · 2 seats · won at 21.4% · +11.9 pts below quota
Andover St Mary's · 3 seats · won at 13.3% · +11.7 pts below quota
Andover Harroway · 3 seats · won at 13.4% · +11.6 pts below quota
Andover Romans · 3 seats · won at 13.6% · +11.4 pts below quota
Mid Test · 3 seats · won at 16.4% · +8.6 pts below quota
Chilworth, Nursling & Rownhams · 3 seats · won at 16.6% · +8.4 pts below quota
Romsey Cupernham · 3 seats · won at 18.1% · +6.9 pts below quota
Romsey Abbey · 2 seats · won at 27.2% · +6.1 pts below quota
Andover Downlands · 2 seats · won at 27.7% · +5.7 pts below quota
Anna · 2 seats · won at 30.0% · +3.4 pts below quota
North Baddesley · 3 seats · won at 22.0% · +3.0 pts below quota
Charlton & the Pentons · 1 seat · won at 48.0% · +2.0 pts below quota
Romsey Tadburn · 2 seats · won at 33.7% · above quota
Harewood · 1 seat · won at 52.0% · above quota
Valley Park · 2 seats · won at 37.7% · above quota
Ampfield & Braishfield · 1 seat · won at 62.0% · above quota
Bourne Valley · 1 seat · won at 64.4% · above quota
Bellinger · 1 seat · won at 66.5% · above quota

Race results

Andover Millway · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +12.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,930

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brooks, Z.	Conservative and Unionist Party	936	15.8%	Elected
2	Neal, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	794	13.4%	Elected
3	Leech, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	770	13.0%	Elected
4	Gregory, T.	Liberal Democrats	756	12.7%
5	McGarry, M.	Liberal Democrats	698	11.8%
6	Simmonds, N.	Liberal Democrats	529	8.9%
7	Hosen, C.	Green Party	424	7.2%
8	Farren, M.	Independent	421	7.1%
9	Pomphrey, A.	Green Party	369	6.2%
10	Emmerson, D.	Independent	233	3.9%

Electorate 6,761 · Ballots cast 5,930 · Back to ward index

Andover Winton · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,576

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gillies, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	645	25.0%	Elected
2	Matthews, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	552	21.4%	Elected
3	Hughes, J.	Liberal Democrats	410	15.9%
4	Hall-Cooper, A.	Liberal Democrats	330	12.8%
5	Meyer, R.	Independent	283	11.0%
6	Horsnell, A.	Independent	195	7.6%
7	Rowles, R.	Independent	161	6.3%

Electorate 4,837 · Ballots cast 2,576 · Back to ward index

Blackwater · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,522

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Adams-King, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,465	32.4%	Elected
2	Bailey, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	969	21.4%	Elected
3	Ezard, T.	Liberal Democrats	858	19.0%
4	Craig, C.	Independent	643	14.2%
5	Reeves, J.	Green Party	294	6.5%
6	Beesley, A.	Liberal Democrats	293	6.5%

Electorate 5,049 · Ballots cast 4,522 · Back to ward index

Andover St Mary's · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,792

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Andersen, I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	676	17.8%	Elected
2	Cattell, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	538	14.2%	Elected
3	Budzynski, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	504	13.3%	Elected
4	Fitchet, A.	Labour Party	479	12.6%
5	Bird, K.	Liberal Democrats	457	12.1%
6	Cole, J.	Labour Party	426	11.2%
7	Waue, S.	Independent	306	8.1%
8	Briggs, A.	Liberal Democrats	206	5.4%
9	Hurst, P.	Liberal Democrats	200	5.3%

Electorate 5,974 · Ballots cast 3,792 · Back to ward index

Andover Harroway · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,869

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gregori, L.	Liberal Democrats	781	16.0%	Elected
2	Hughes, R.	Liberal Democrats	716	14.7%	Elected
3	Borg-Neal, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	652	13.4%	Elected
4	Burley, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	645	13.2%
5	Hamilton, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	642	13.2%
6	Reynolds, E.	Liberal Democrats	581	11.9%
7	Mitchell, L.	Green Party	309	6.3%
8	Roll, P.	Labour Party	295	6.1%
9	Juliff, G.	Independent	248	5.1%

Electorate 7,286 · Ballots cast 4,869 · Back to ward index

Andover Romans · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,090

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sangster, J.	Liberal Democrats	659	16.1%	Elected
2	Brooks, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	577	14.1%	Elected
3	North, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	557	13.6%	Elected
4	Msonthi, J.	Liberal Democrats	554	13.5%
5	Kidd, R.	Liberal Democrats	549	13.4%
6	Preston, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	540	13.2%
7	Hardstaff, S.	Independent	364	8.9%
8	Lindfield, S.	Labour Party	290	7.1%

Electorate 7,357 · Ballots cast 4,090 · Back to ward index

Mid Test · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,258

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Johnston, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,402	17.0%	Elected
2	Jeffrey, I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,382	16.7%	Elected
3	MacDonald, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,351	16.4%	Elected
4	Hall, D.	Liberal Democrats	1,225	14.8%
5	Marshall, A.	Liberal Democrats	972	11.8%
6	Theron, R.	Liberal Democrats	897	10.9%
7	Shaw, C.	Green Party	405	4.9%
8	Cotterell, J.	Green Party	368	4.5%
9	Elliott, J.	Labour Party	256	3.1%

Electorate 7,221 · Ballots cast 8,258 · Back to ward index

Chilworth, Nursling & Rownhams · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,570

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dunleavey, K.	Liberal Democrats	1,190	18.1%	Elected
2	Bundy, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,144	17.4%	Elected
3	Swain, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,091	16.6%	Elected
4	Berry, L.	Liberal Democrats	1,060	16.1%
5	Gomer, J.	Liberal Democrats	1,048	16.0%
6	Maltby, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,037	15.8%

Electorate 6,584 · Ballots cast 6,570 · Back to ward index

Romsey Cupernham · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 18.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +6.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,576

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Burnage, J.	Liberal Democrats	1,435	21.8%	Elected
2	Gwynne, N.	Liberal Democrats	1,327	20.2%	Elected
3	Kohli, R.	Liberal Democrats	1,187	18.1%	Elected
4	Mayer, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	869	13.2%
5	Ray, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	768	11.7%
6	Maslen, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	664	10.1%
7	Chillingworth, A.	Labour Party	326	5.0%

Electorate 6,519 · Ballots cast 6,576 · Back to ward index

Romsey Abbey · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 27.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +6.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,733

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gidley, S.	Liberal Democrats	1,132	30.3%	Elected
2	Daas, N.	Liberal Democrats	1,017	27.2%	Elected
3	Michell, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	704	18.9%
4	Dwyer, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	642	17.2%
5	Berg, B.	Labour Party	167	4.5%
6	Peterson, A.	Heritage Party	71	1.9%

Electorate 4,776 · Ballots cast 3,733 · Back to ward index

Andover Downlands · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 27.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +5.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,630

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Donnelly, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	526	32.3%	Elected
2	Lodge, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	451	27.7%	Elected
3	Hughes, K.	Liberal Democrats	261	16.0%
4	Cotter, K.	Labour Party	200	12.3%
5	Burgess, C.	Liberal Democrats	192	11.8%

Electorate 4,497 · Ballots cast 1,630 · Back to ward index

Anna · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 30.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +3.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,676

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Flood, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,373	37.4%	Elected
2	Hasselmann, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,102	30.0%	Elected
3	Burnage, P.	Liberal Democrats	454	12.4%
4	Thom, C.	Liberal Democrats	387	10.5%
5	Bartholomew, C.	Green Party	360	9.8%

Electorate 4,933 · Ballots cast 3,676 · Back to ward index

North Baddesley · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +3.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,449

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ford, A.	Liberal Democrats	1,373	25.2%	Elected
2	Cooper, G.	Liberal Democrats	1,239	22.7%	Elected
3	Warnes, A.	Liberal Democrats	1,198	22.0%	Elected
4	Colton, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	513	9.4%
5	Billett, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	483	8.9%
6	Franke, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	416	7.6%
7	Jackson, C.	Labour Party	227	4.2%

Electorate 5,769 · Ballots cast 5,449 · Back to ward index

Charlton & the Pentons · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 894

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lashbrook, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	429	48.0%	Elected
2	Reynolds, J.	Liberal Democrats	253	28.3%
3	Howland, P.	Green Party	163	18.2%
4	Woods, N.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	49	5.5%

Electorate 2,606 · Ballots cast 894 · Back to ward index

Romsey Tadburn · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 33.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −0.3 pts Valid ballots 3,872

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cooper, M.	Liberal Democrats	1,463	37.8%	Elected
2	Parker, J.	Liberal Democrats	1,304	33.7%	Elected
3	Collier, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	494	12.8%
4	Bloomfield, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	410	10.6%
5	Nixson, C.	Labour Party	201	5.2%

Electorate 4,617 · Ballots cast 3,872 · Back to ward index

Harewood · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.0 pts Valid ballots 1,253

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Drew, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	652	52.0%	Elected
2	Clark, D.	Liberal Democrats	601	48.0%

Electorate 2,616 · Ballots cast 1,253 · Back to ward index

Valley Park · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 37.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −4.4 pts Valid ballots 3,441

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dowden, A.	Liberal Democrats	1,458	42.4%	Elected
2	Dowden, C.	Liberal Democrats	1,297	37.7%	Elected
3	Ball, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	356	10.3%
4	Davies, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	330	9.6%

Electorate 4,638 · Ballots cast 3,441 · Back to ward index

Ampfield & Braishfield · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.0 pts Valid ballots 990

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Yalden, S.	Liberal Democrats	614	62.0%	Elected
2	Rawson-Smith, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	376	38.0%

Electorate 2,209 · Ballots cast 990 · Back to ward index

Bourne Valley · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.4 pts Valid ballots 894

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	North, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	576	64.4%	Elected
2	Walters, G.	Liberal Democrats	318	35.6%

Electorate 2,465 · Ballots cast 894 · Back to ward index

Bellinger · single-seat

Marginal winner 66.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −16.5 pts Valid ballots 799

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lashbrook, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	531	66.5%	Elected
2	Johnson, G.	Liberal Democrats	268	33.5%

Electorate 2,574 · Ballots cast 799 · Back to ward index