← Swindon (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Swindon 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

19 ward races

19 seats

7 elected below the proportional quota

36.8% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 19 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 19 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Labour Party	29,901	51.9%	16	84.2%	10	52.6%	+6
Conservative and Unionist Party	19,977	34.6%	2	10.5%	7	36.8%	-5
Liberal Democrats	4,563	7.9%	1	5.3%	1	5.3%	0
Green Party	2,824	4.9%	0	0.0%	1	5.3%	-1
Independent	259	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	138	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	57,662	100.0%	19	100.0%	19	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Wroughton & Wichelstowe · 1 seat · won at 35.6% · +14.4 pts below quota
St. Andrews · 1 seat · won at 40.4% · +9.6 pts below quota
Blunsdon & Highworth · 1 seat · won at 45.2% · +4.8 pts below quota
Covingham & Dorcan · 1 seat · won at 46.2% · +3.8 pts below quota
Priory Vale · 1 seat · won at 47.6% · +2.4 pts below quota
Shaw · 1 seat · won at 49.2% · +0.8 pts below quota
St. Margaret & South Marston · 1 seat · won at 49.8% · +0.2 pts below quota
Chiseldon & Lawn · 1 seat · won at 51.2% · above quota
Lydiard & Freshbrook · 1 seat · won at 52.7% · above quota
Penhill & Upper Stratton · 1 seat · won at 53.2% · above quota
Gorse Hill & Pinehurst · 1 seat · won at 56.5% · above quota
Haydon Wick · 1 seat · won at 57.3% · above quota
Walcot & Park North · 1 seat · won at 58.2% · above quota
Liden Eldene & Park South · 1 seat · won at 58.6% · above quota
Eastcott · 1 seat · won at 60.0% · above quota
Rodbourne Cheney · 1 seat · won at 60.5% · above quota
Central · 1 seat · won at 61.8% · above quota
Old Town · 1 seat · won at 64.5% · above quota
Mannington & Western · 1 seat · won at 65.1% · above quota

Race results

Wroughton & Wichelstowe · single-seat

Marginal winner 35.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,458

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Poole, A.	Liberal Democrats	874	35.6%	Elected
2	Cook, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	854	34.7%
3	Ahmed, S.	Labour Party	477	19.4%
4	Fairbourn, P.	Green Party	253	10.3%

Electorate 6,651 · Ballots cast 2,458 · Back to ward index

St. Andrews · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,776

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mills, J.	Labour Party	1,525	40.4%	Elected
2	Heyes, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,305	34.6%
3	Williams, B.	Green Party	829	22.0%
4	Syed, E.	Liberal Democrats	117	3.1%

Electorate 12,741 · Ballots cast 3,776 · Back to ward index

Blunsdon & Highworth · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,336

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gardiner, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,509	45.2%	Elected
2	Gow, L.	Labour Party	1,168	35.0%
3	Day, A.	Green Party	418	12.5%
4	King, D.	Liberal Democrats	241	7.2%

Electorate 9,019 · Ballots cast 3,336 · Back to ward index

Covingham & Dorcan · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,816

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Heenan, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,302	46.2%	Elected
2	Pullen, T.	Labour Party	1,133	40.2%
3	Salmon, M.	Liberal Democrats	178	6.3%
4	March, H.	Green Party	162	5.8%
5	Hunter, S.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	41	1.5%

Electorate 8,281 · Ballots cast 2,816 · Back to ward index

Priory Vale · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,851

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ali, R.	Labour Party	1,357	47.6%	Elected
2	Manro, V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,200	42.1%
3	Terry, L.	Green Party	173	6.1%
4	King, G.	Liberal Democrats	121	4.2%

Electorate 8,657 · Ballots cast 2,851 · Back to ward index

Shaw · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,101

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ali, J.	Labour Party	1,525	49.2%	Elected
2	Singh, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,309	42.2%
3	Dickinson, M.	Liberal Democrats	267	8.6%

Electorate 7,984 · Ballots cast 3,101 · Back to ward index

St. Margaret & South Marston · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,306

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Butcher, T.	Labour Party	1,645	49.8%	Elected
2	Vallender, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,289	39.0%
3	March, E.	Green Party	224	6.8%
4	Shepherd, C.	Liberal Democrats	148	4.5%

Electorate 9,232 · Ballots cast 3,306 · Back to ward index

Chiseldon & Lawn · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.2 pts Valid ballots 2,685

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hopkins, N.	Labour Party	1,376	51.2%	Elected
2	Jefferies, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,010	37.6%
3	Quidwai, F.	Liberal Democrats	299	11.1%

Electorate 6,229 · Ballots cast 2,685 · Back to ward index

Lydiard & Freshbrook · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.7 pts Valid ballots 2,827

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Begum, R.	Labour Party	1,489	52.7%	Elected
2	Smith, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,098	38.8%
3	Quidwai, B.	Liberal Democrats	143	5.1%
4	Pettefar, R.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	97	3.4%

Electorate 8,071 · Ballots cast 2,827 · Back to ward index

Penhill & Upper Stratton · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.2 pts Valid ballots 2,728

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Venkatesh, R.	Labour Party	1,452	53.2%	Elected
2	Ibitoye, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,045	38.3%
3	Horrobin, M.	Liberal Democrats	231	8.5%

Electorate 9,104 · Ballots cast 2,728 · Back to ward index

Gorse Hill & Pinehurst · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.5 pts Valid ballots 2,831

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ballman, J.	Labour Party	1,600	56.5%	Elected
2	Fernandes, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	941	33.2%
3	Bentley, A.	Green Party	205	7.2%
4	Khan, Z.	Liberal Democrats	85	3.0%

Electorate 9,211 · Ballots cast 2,831 · Back to ward index

Haydon Wick · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.3 pts Valid ballots 3,192

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Adamcova, S.	Labour Party	1,828	57.3%	Elected
2	Renard, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,176	36.8%
3	Muhammad, O.	Liberal Democrats	188	5.9%

Electorate 8,756 · Ballots cast 3,192 · Back to ward index

Walcot & Park North · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.2 pts Valid ballots 2,887

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bushell, E.	Labour Party	1,681	58.2%	Elected
2	Estrocio, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	860	29.8%
3	Norris, D.	Independent	186	6.4%
4	Pajak, D.	Liberal Democrats	160	5.5%

Electorate 8,902 · Ballots cast 2,887 · Back to ward index

Liden Eldene & Park South · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.6 pts Valid ballots 2,686

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Davies, M.	Labour Party	1,575	58.6%	Elected
2	Solomon, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	974	36.3%
3	Thomas, C.	Liberal Democrats	137	5.1%

Electorate 8,028 · Ballots cast 2,686 · Back to ward index

Eastcott · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.0 pts Valid ballots 3,198

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dixon, P.	Labour Party	1,919	60.0%	Elected
2	Pajak, S.	Liberal Democrats	714	22.3%
3	Fernandes, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	417	13.0%
4	Noyce, C.	Green Party	148	4.6%

Electorate 7,989 · Ballots cast 3,198 · Back to ward index

Rodbourne Cheney · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.5 pts Valid ballots 2,725

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Grant, J.	Labour Party	1,649	60.5%	Elected
2	Vempati, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	762	28.0%
3	Hebden, R.	Green Party	190	7.0%
4	McCormick, Z.	Liberal Democrats	124	4.6%

Electorate 9,177 · Ballots cast 2,725 · Back to ward index

Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.8 pts Valid ballots 4,787

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Shaikh, A.	Labour Party	2,960	61.8%	Elected
2	Barreto, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,577	32.9%
3	Pajak, H.	Liberal Democrats	177	3.7%
4	Rodrigues, M.	Independent	73	1.5%

Electorate 10,249 · Ballots cast 4,787 · Back to ward index

Old Town · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.5 pts Valid ballots 3,176

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Watts, C.	Labour Party	2,047	64.5%	Elected
2	Heavens, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	717	22.6%
3	Hughes, B.	Green Party	222	7.0%
4	Wiltshire, M.	Liberal Democrats	190	6.0%

Electorate 8,104 · Ballots cast 3,176 · Back to ward index

Mannington & Western · single-seat

Marginal winner 65.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.1 pts Valid ballots 2,296

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Howard, F.	Labour Party	1,495	65.1%	Elected
2	Stephen, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	632	27.5%
3	McCormick, F.	Liberal Democrats	169	7.4%

Electorate 7,495 · Ballots cast 2,296 · Back to ward index