← Surrey Heath (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort
Surrey Heath 2023
Local elections held 4 May 2023.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 35 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 28,416 | 48.8% | 24 | 68.6% | 18 | 51.4% | +6 |
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 22,912 | 39.4% | 6 | 17.1% | 14 | 40.0% | -8 |
| Independent | 3,927 | 6.7% | 3 | 8.6% | 2 | 5.7% | +1 |
| Labour Party | 2,428 | 4.2% | 2 | 5.7% | 1 | 2.9% | +1 |
| Reform UK | 372 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 145 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 58,200 | 100.0% | 35 | 100.0% | 35 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Windlesham & Chobham · 3 seats · won at 11.1% · +13.9 pts below quota
- Bagshot · 3 seats · won at 13.0% · +12.0 pts below quota
- Bisley & West End · 3 seats · won at 14.0% · +11.0 pts below quota
- St Pauls · 2 seats · won at 23.9% · +9.4 pts below quota
- Lightwater · 3 seats · won at 16.7% · +8.3 pts below quota
- Mytchett & Deepcut · 3 seats · won at 18.8% · +6.2 pts below quota
- Old Dean · 2 seats · won at 27.4% · +6.0 pts below quota
- Parkside · 2 seats · won at 28.1% · +5.2 pts below quota
- Frimley Green · 3 seats · won at 20.3% · +4.7 pts below quota
- St. Michaels · 2 seats · won at 29.2% · +4.2 pts below quota
- Heatherside · 3 seats · won at 21.2% · +3.8 pts below quota
- Frimley · 2 seats · won at 29.9% · +3.4 pts below quota
- Town · 2 seats · won at 30.4% · +2.9 pts below quota
- Watchetts · 2 seats · won at 30.5% · +2.8 pts below quota
Race results
Windlesham & Chobham · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 11.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +13.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,520
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wheeler, V. | Independent | 864 | 15.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Tedder, P. | Independent | 790 | 14.3% | Elected |
| 3 | McGrath, E. | Independent | 611 | 11.1% | Elected |
| 4 | Cars, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 535 | 9.7% | |
| 5 | Moqbel, A. | Liberal Democrats | 534 | 9.7% | |
| 6 | Massarano, J. | Liberal Democrats | 513 | 9.3% | |
| 7 | Ibrahim, S. | Liberal Democrats | 490 | 8.9% | |
| 8 | Bakar, A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 394 | 7.1% | |
| 9 | Khan, F. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 352 | 6.4% | |
| 10 | Hook, A. | Independent | 292 | 5.3% | |
| 11 | Relton, C. | Green Party | 145 | 2.6% |
Bagshot · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 13.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +12.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,238
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gordon, M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,061 | 20.3% | Elected |
| 2 | White, V. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 978 | 18.7% | Elected |
| 3 | Wilson, R. | Liberal Democrats | 681 | 13.0% | Elected |
| 4 | Cann, F. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 677 | 12.9% | |
| 5 | Whitcroft, C. | Liberal Democrats | 676 | 12.9% | |
| 6 | Virani, Z. | Liberal Democrats | 599 | 11.4% | |
| 7 | Willgoss, A. | Independent | 364 | 6.9% | |
| 8 | Goggin, S. | Reform UK | 202 | 3.9% |
Bisley & West End · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 14.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,163
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noble, L. | Liberal Democrats | 1,312 | 21.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Kang, S. | Liberal Democrats | 902 | 14.6% | Elected |
| 3 | Perrett, Y. | Liberal Democrats | 863 | 14.0% | Elected |
| 4 | Page, A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 753 | 12.2% | |
| 5 | Henderson, T. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 702 | 11.4% | |
| 6 | Hanney, A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 625 | 10.1% | |
| 7 | Alleway, G. | Independent | 598 | 9.7% | |
| 8 | Keeling, A. | Independent | 408 | 6.6% |
St Pauls · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 23.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +9.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,897
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cope, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 714 | 24.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Thorne, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 692 | 23.9% | Elected |
| 3 | Browne, S. | Liberal Democrats | 673 | 23.2% | |
| 4 | Hodges-Long, M. | Liberal Democrats | 654 | 22.6% | |
| 5 | Ridgway, G. | Labour Party | 83 | 2.9% | |
| 6 | Radeva, M. | Labour Party | 81 | 2.8% |
Lightwater · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 16.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,455
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hoad, J. | Liberal Democrats | 1,184 | 18.3% | Elected |
| 2 | MacDonald, S. | Liberal Democrats | 1,128 | 17.5% | Elected |
| 3 | Thompson, K. | Liberal Democrats | 1,080 | 16.7% | Elected |
| 4 | Cooper, K. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 966 | 15.0% | |
| 5 | Jennings-Evans, R. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 943 | 14.6% | |
| 6 | Harris, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 840 | 13.0% | |
| 7 | Appleford, P. | Reform UK | 170 | 2.6% | |
| 8 | Johnson, T. | Labour Party | 144 | 2.2% |
Mytchett & Deepcut · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 18.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +6.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,066
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whitcroft, D. | Liberal Democrats | 995 | 19.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Rise, M. | Liberal Democrats | 961 | 19.0% | Elected |
| 3 | Betton, C. | Liberal Democrats | 950 | 18.8% | Elected |
| 4 | Fard, A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 752 | 14.8% | |
| 5 | Alexander, L. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 747 | 14.7% | |
| 6 | Natolie, D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 661 | 13.0% |
Old Dean · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 27.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +6.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,842
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garrett, S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 563 | 30.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Mears, L. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 504 | 27.4% | Elected |
| 3 | Gibbs, H. | Labour Party | 393 | 21.3% | |
| 4 | Gibbs, B. | Labour Party | 382 | 20.7% |
Parkside · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 28.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +5.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,965
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee, R. | Liberal Democrats | 837 | 28.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Kang, N. | Liberal Democrats | 833 | 28.1% | Elected |
| 3 | Grainger, L. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 653 | 22.0% | |
| 4 | Bennett, S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 642 | 21.7% |
Frimley Green · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 20.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +4.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,268
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olmo, J. | Liberal Democrats | 1,131 | 21.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Whitcroft, H. | Liberal Democrats | 1,111 | 21.1% | Elected |
| 3 | Mylvaganam, S. | Liberal Democrats | 1,070 | 20.3% | Elected |
| 4 | Black, S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 738 | 14.0% | |
| 5 | Thomson, H. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 610 | 11.6% | |
| 6 | Fard, A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 608 | 11.5% |
St. Michaels · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 29.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +4.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,265
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quin, J. | Labour Party | 684 | 30.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Rowlands, M. | Labour Party | 661 | 29.2% | Elected |
| 3 | Buxton, C. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 503 | 22.2% | |
| 4 | Mwenketishi, G. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 417 | 18.4% |
Heatherside · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 21.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +3.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,143
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skipper, J. | Liberal Democrats | 1,613 | 22.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Ashbery, L. | Liberal Democrats | 1,559 | 21.8% | Elected |
| 3 | Raikes, B. | Liberal Democrats | 1,512 | 21.2% | Elected |
| 4 | Wood, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 829 | 11.6% | |
| 5 | Dickens, S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 819 | 11.5% | |
| 6 | Henry, D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 811 | 11.4% |
Frimley · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 29.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +3.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,413
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashbery, A. | Liberal Democrats | 783 | 32.4% | Elected |
| 2 | O'Mahoney, D. | Liberal Democrats | 722 | 29.9% | Elected |
| 3 | Croke, S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 511 | 21.2% | |
| 4 | Ratiram, D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 397 | 16.5% |
Town · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 30.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,267
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glauert, M. | Liberal Democrats | 706 | 31.1% | Elected |
| 2 | MacIntyre, L. | Liberal Democrats | 690 | 30.4% | Elected |
| 3 | Drury, N. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 457 | 20.2% | |
| 4 | Singh, R. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 414 | 18.3% |
Watchetts · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 30.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,698
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Finan-Cooke, L. | Liberal Democrats | 831 | 30.8% | Elected |
| 2 | Finan-Cooke, K. | Liberal Democrats | 823 | 30.5% | Elected |
| 3 | Adam-Holboj, C. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 533 | 19.8% | |
| 4 | Dias, B. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 511 | 18.9% |