← Stratford On Avon (all cycles) · 1 May 2025 cohort

Stratford On Avon 2025

Local elections held 1 May 2025.

13 ward races
13 seats
11 elected below the proportional quota
84.6% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Liberal Democrats13,49332.0%753.8%430.8%+3
Conservative and Unionist Party13,06331.0%430.8%430.8%0
Reform UK10,87625.8%215.4%430.8%-2
Green Party2,8446.7%00.0%17.7%-1
Labour Party1,7464.1%00.0%00.0%0
Labour and Co-operative Party1480.4%00.0%00.0%0
Total42,170100.0%13100.0%13100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Studley · single-seat

Marginal winner 32.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +17.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,657

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Luke Stephen CooperReform UK87132.8%Elected
2Justin Antony Lee KerridgeConservative and Unionist Party82831.2%
3Peter August Hencher-SerafinLiberal Democrats76828.9%
4Sherron Marie-Louise GuiseGreen Party993.7%
5Alastair James NealonLabour Party913.4%

Electorate 7,230 · Ballots cast 2,660 · Invalid 3 · EC ward code 57010 · Back to ward index

Feldon · single-seat

Marginal winner 33.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +16.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,393

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Christopher KettleConservative and Unionist Party1,13333.4%Elected
2Louis William McMaster AdamLiberal Democrats1,12633.2%
3Joshua John Hearne-WilkinsReform UK78323.1%
4Rachel Clare FrenguelliLabour Party1925.7%
5Michael MordueGreen Party1594.7%

Electorate 9,119 · Ballots cast 3,398 · Invalid 5 · EC ward code 57003 · Back to ward index

Bidford & Welford · single-seat

Marginal winner 35.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +15.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,873

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Cliff BrownLiberal Democrats1,35635.0%Elected
2Neil Richard LawrenceReform UK1,34034.6%
3William FlemingConservative and Unionist Party87322.5%
4Sarah Judith CohenGreen Party1774.6%
5John W HartiganLabour Party1273.3%

Electorate 11,124 · Ballots cast 3,878 · Invalid 5 · EC ward code 57002 · Back to ward index

Alcester · single-seat

Marginal winner 35.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +15.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,416

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1James Michael NorrisLiberal Democrats1,19635.0%Elected
2Ashley Stuart JonesReform UK89826.3%
3Sarah Gail HessionConservative and Unionist Party82024.0%
4Andrew Mark FosterLabour Party38111.2%
5Tom GendersGreen Party1193.5%

Electorate 8,290 · Ballots cast 3,418 · Invalid 2 · EC ward code 57000 · Back to ward index

Stour & the Vale · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,044

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1David CurtisLiberal Democrats1,12937.1%Elected
2Isobel SeccombeConservative and Unionist Party96131.6%
3Sean Christopher Bartholomew EdmundsReform UK76025.0%
4Allison Joy AvesGreen Party1274.2%
5Sally BigwoodLabour Party672.2%

Electorate 7,066 · Ballots cast 3,045 · Invalid 1 · EC ward code 57006 · Back to ward index

Arden · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,416

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1James Phillip CrockerReform UK1,27337.3%Elected
2India TibbsConservative and Unionist Party98828.9%
3Stuart KeighleyLiberal Democrats91726.8%
4Helen Dora MitchellGreen Party1474.3%
5Jude Samuel DohertyLabour Party902.6%

Electorate 8,430 · Ballots cast 3,417 · Invalid 1 · EC ward code 57001 · Back to ward index

Shipston · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,539

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Joanna BarkerConservative and Unionist Party1,32537.4%Elected
2Julie Patricia HudsonGreen Party89925.4%
3Robert John PalmerReform UK82323.3%
4Andy FinchamLiberal Democrats38410.9%
5Mary Allison FraserLabour Party1083.1%

Electorate 8,363 · Ballots cast 3,543 · Invalid 4 · EC ward code 46587 · Back to ward index

Stratford North · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,942

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Lorraine GrocottLiberal Democrats1,11838.0%Elected
2Tim SinclairConservative and Unionist Party1,02734.9%
3Julie Marie AllisonReform UK53218.1%
4Jacob David Simon HillLabour and Co-operative Party1485.0%
5Niki CarpenterGreen Party1174.0%

Electorate 8,108 · Ballots cast 2,947 · Invalid 5 · EC ward code 57007 · Back to ward index

Wellesbourne · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,489

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1George CowcherLiberal Democrats1,49943.0%Elected
2Penny-Anne O'DonnellConservative and Unionist Party96227.6%
3James Milner PinkReform UK76421.9%
4Tess VenusGreen Party1584.5%
5David James SpillaneLabour Party1053.0%

Electorate 8,747 · Ballots cast 3,496 · Invalid 7 · EC ward code 57011 · Back to ward index

Kineton & Red Horse · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,096

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Christopher John MillsConservative and Unionist Party1,40445.3%Elected
2John Paul LearyReform UK79925.8%
3Nick SolmanLiberal Democrats35911.6%
4Rob BallantyneGreen Party35111.3%
5Bruno FrenguelliLabour Party1835.9%

Electorate 8,078 · Ballots cast 3,100 · Invalid 4 · EC ward code 57004 · Back to ward index

Stratford West · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,731

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Steve AlbonLiberal Democrats1,25946.1%Elected
2Tina Ann BroughReform UK67824.8%
3Jane Ellen Patricia MeehanConservative and Unionist Party51919.0%
4Jason FojtikLabour Party1405.1%
5Vince HerbertGreen Party1354.9%

Electorate 7,413 · Ballots cast 2,738 · Invalid 7 · EC ward code 57009 · Back to ward index

Southam, Stockton & Napton · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.1 pts Valid ballots 2,962

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Andy CrumpConservative and Unionist Party1,78060.1%Elected
2James MosscropReform UK56919.2%
3Zoe Louise JamesGreen Party2618.8%
4Chris LambertLiberal Democrats2016.8%
5Trevor Paul DuttonLabour Party1515.1%

Electorate 8,861 · Ballots cast 2,966 · Invalid 4 · EC ward code 46588 · Back to ward index

Stratford South · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.3 pts Valid ballots 3,617

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Kate RolfeLiberal Democrats2,18160.3%Elected
2Helen Jane CooperReform UK78621.7%
3Krish RengarajuConservative and Unionist Party44312.2%
4Matthew Colin PeacockLabour Party1113.1%
5Peter Samuel PettiforGreen Party952.6%

Electorate 8,733 · Ballots cast 3,628 · Invalid 11 · EC ward code 57008 · Back to ward index