← Stratford On Avon (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Stratford On Avon 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

39 ward races
41 seats
17 elected below the proportional quota
41.5% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 39 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 41 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Liberal Democrats18,93642.4%2561.0%1843.9%+7
Conservative and Unionist Party15,92035.7%1229.3%1536.6%-3
Green Party4,74110.6%37.3%49.8%-1
Labour Party4,0019.0%00.0%49.8%-4
Independent9692.2%12.4%00.0%+1
Reform UK640.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total44,631100.0%41100.0%41100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Bishop’s Itchington, Fenny Compton & Napton · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +9.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,018

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Rock, N.Liberal Democrats99824.8%Elected
2Gist, N.Liberal Democrats95523.8%Elected
3Kettle, C.Conservative and Unionist Party85521.3%
4Bushnell, K.Conservative and Unionist Party67216.7%
5Leask, J.Labour Party2005.0%
6Colton, S.Green Party1884.7%
7North, M.Green Party1503.7%

Electorate 5,594 · Ballots cast 4,018 · Back to ward index

Alcester West · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,180

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Harmer, J.Liberal Democrats47840.5%Elected
2Foster, A.Labour Party36230.7%
3Smithers, G.Conservative and Unionist Party30926.2%
4Carpenter, N.Green Party312.6%

Electorate 2,538 · Ballots cast 1,180 · Back to ward index

Bidford East · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 867

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Pemberton, D.Conservative and Unionist Party35540.9%Elected
2Price, C.Labour Party29333.8%
3Vos, R.Liberal Democrats15217.5%
4Gilson, J.Green Party677.7%

Electorate 2,839 · Ballots cast 867 · Back to ward index

Gaydon, Kineton & Upper Lighthorne · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,718

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Mills, C.Conservative and Unionist Party87432.2%Elected
2Scorer, A.Conservative and Unionist Party68325.1%Elected
3Lee, T.Liberal Democrats2599.5%
4Thomas, B.Labour Party2569.4%
5Ballantyne, R.Green Party2509.2%
6Webb, A.Green Party2388.8%
7Solman, N.Liberal Democrats1585.8%

Electorate 4,490 · Ballots cast 2,718 · Back to ward index

Stratford Avenue · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 843

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Grocott, L.Liberal Democrats35341.9%Elected
2Sinclair, T.Conservative and Unionist Party27632.7%
3Guise, S.Green Party16619.7%
4Wilkinson, D.Labour Party485.7%

Electorate 2,496 · Ballots cast 843 · Back to ward index

Quinton · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,069

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Skinner, D.Liberal Democrats46843.8%Elected
2Bates, M.Conservative and Unionist Party43941.1%
3Venus, T.Green Party918.5%
4Sewell, J.Labour Party716.6%

Electorate 2,944 · Ballots cast 1,069 · Back to ward index

Tredington · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,199

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Harvey, T.Conservative and Unionist Party53744.8%Elected
2Fincham, A.Liberal Democrats49941.6%
3Wakeford, M.Green Party947.8%
4Redman, S.Labour Party695.8%

Electorate 2,679 · Ballots cast 1,199 · Back to ward index

Bidford West · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 750

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Fleming, W.Conservative and Unionist Party34145.5%Elected
2Brown, C.Liberal Democrats20327.1%
3Dempsey, P.Labour Party13918.5%
4Evans-Goodrich, G.Green Party678.9%

Electorate 2,440 · Ballots cast 750 · Back to ward index

Studley North · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 784

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hencher-Serafin, P.Liberal Democrats35845.7%Elected
2Kerridge, J.Conservative and Unionist Party30438.8%
3Bates, W.Labour Party8210.5%
4Waldon, A.Green Party405.1%

Electorate 2,387 · Ballots cast 784 · Back to ward index

Wellesbourne North & Rural · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,255

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Parry, A.Conservative and Unionist Party58146.3%Elected
2Brown, K.Liberal Democrats50240.0%
3Campbell, A.Labour Party1149.1%
4Venus, T.Green Party584.6%

Electorate 2,971 · Ballots cast 1,255 · Back to ward index

Stratford Hathaway · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 701

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Coles, E.Liberal Democrats33047.1%Elected
2Rhodes, L.Labour Party22532.1%
3Forman, G.Conservative and Unionist Party10214.6%
4Pettifor, P.Green Party446.3%

Electorate 2,167 · Ballots cast 701 · Back to ward index

Southam South · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 686

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Padgham, G.Liberal Democrats32347.1%Elected
2Walters, R.Conservative and Unionist Party28241.1%
3Gordon-Cumming, J.Green Party8111.8%

Electorate 2,378 · Ballots cast 686 · Back to ward index

Harbury · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,123

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Ostrander, S.Liberal Democrats53347.5%Elected
2Harris, J.Independent43538.7%
3Eastap, L.Labour Party918.1%
4Baddon, A.Reform UK645.7%

Electorate 2,641 · Ballots cast 1,123 · Back to ward index

Brailes & Compton · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,228

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Whalley-Hoggins, S.Conservative and Unionist Party61249.8%Elected
2Billins, S.Liberal Democrats52042.3%
3Woods, R.Labour Party967.8%

Electorate 2,787 · Ballots cast 1,228 · Back to ward index

Stratford Clopton · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference 0.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,025

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Petrovic, L.Liberal Democrats51250.0%Elected
2Fojtik, J.Labour Party31530.7%
3Short, J.Conservative and Unionist Party19819.3%

Electorate 2,579 · Ballots cast 1,025 · Back to ward index

Wellesbourne East & Rural · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.1 pts Valid ballots 1,074

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Johnston, D.Liberal Democrats56052.1%Elected
2Briggs, B.Conservative and Unionist Party38335.7%
3Penson, S.Labour Party746.9%
4Mordue, M.Green Party575.3%

Electorate 2,657 · Ballots cast 1,074 · Back to ward index

Wellesbourne South · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.9 pts Valid ballots 1,049

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Cowcher, D.Liberal Democrats55552.9%Elected
2Kendall, D.Conservative and Unionist Party37936.1%
3Fewins, J.Labour Party747.1%
4Sanders, R.Green Party413.9%

Electorate 2,466 · Ballots cast 1,049 · Back to ward index

Stratford Orchard Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.3 pts Valid ballots 1,355

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Fradgley, I.Liberal Democrats72253.3%Elected
2Rengaraju, B.Conservative and Unionist Party35025.8%
3Hill, J.Labour Party21015.5%
4Rickett, M.Green Party735.4%

Electorate 2,970 · Ballots cast 1,355 · Back to ward index

Studley South · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.8 pts Valid ballots 938

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Edden, N.Liberal Democrats50553.8%Elected
2McCrory, G.Conservative and Unionist Party28830.7%
3Leask, A.Labour Party899.5%
4Giles, D.Green Party566.0%

Electorate 2,770 · Ballots cast 938 · Back to ward index

Tysoe · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.1 pts Valid ballots 1,140

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Littlewood, M.Conservative and Unionist Party62855.1%Elected
2Bowring, L.Liberal Democrats26223.0%
3Aves, A.Green Party12911.3%
4Holland, A.Labour Party12110.6%

Electorate 2,711 · Ballots cast 1,140 · Back to ward index

Kinwarton · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.6 pts Valid ballots 1,305

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Holmes, T.Liberal Democrats73956.6%Elected
2Harford, L.Conservative and Unionist Party43733.5%
3Foster, K.Labour Party886.7%
4Hardy, R.Green Party413.1%

Electorate 2,994 · Ballots cast 1,305 · Back to ward index

Salford Priors & Alcester Rural · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.9 pts Valid ballots 832

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Stanley, L.Conservative and Unionist Party47356.9%Elected
2Watson, M.Liberal Democrats19323.2%
3O'Hagan, A.Labour Party9010.8%
4Genders, T.Green Party769.1%

Electorate 2,443 · Ballots cast 832 · Back to ward index

Stratford Bishopton · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.3 pts Valid ballots 958

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Alcock, V.Liberal Democrats54957.3%Elected
2Meehan, J.Conservative and Unionist Party26727.9%
3Malloy, R.Labour Party757.8%
4Riley, J.Green Party677.0%

Electorate 2,424 · Ballots cast 958 · Back to ward index

Henley-in-Arden · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.5 pts Valid ballots 1,045

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Rice, M.Liberal Democrats60157.5%Elected
2Tibbs, I.Conservative and Unionist Party34332.8%
3Turner, B.Labour Party1019.7%

Electorate 2,575 · Ballots cast 1,045 · Back to ward index

Stratford Welcombe · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.8 pts Valid ballots 1,255

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Harding, R.Liberal Democrats72657.8%Elected
2Jefferson, A.Conservative and Unionist Party43734.8%
3Nealon, A.Labour Party927.3%

Electorate 2,789 · Ballots cast 1,255 · Back to ward index

Shipston South · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.2 pts Valid ballots 1,090

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Passingham, D.Green Party63458.2%Elected
2Barker, J.Conservative and Unionist Party45641.8%

Electorate 2,485 · Ballots cast 1,090 · Back to ward index

Long Marston · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.4 pts Valid ballots 865

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Keighley, J.Liberal Democrats50558.4%Elected
2Cox, R.Conservative and Unionist Party22325.8%
3Parrott, C.Labour Party9210.6%
4Mitchell, H.Green Party455.2%

Electorate 2,291 · Ballots cast 865 · Back to ward index

Claverdon & Snitterfield · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.1 pts Valid ballots 1,213

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Parker, D.Green Party75362.1%Elected
2Richards, P.Conservative and Unionist Party36730.3%
3Knapman, N.Liberal Democrats937.7%

Electorate 2,527 · Ballots cast 1,213 · Back to ward index

Shipston North · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.2 pts Valid ballots 961

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hatch, O.Green Party60763.2%Elected
2Turner, N.Conservative and Unionist Party24525.5%
3Albon, S.Liberal Democrats10911.3%

Electorate 2,499 · Ballots cast 961 · Back to ward index

Stratford Shottery · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.4 pts Valid ballots 1,361

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Curtis, D.Liberal Democrats86363.4%Elected
2Jennings, M.Conservative and Unionist Party31323.0%
3Bigwood, S.Labour Party936.8%
4Herbert, V.Green Party926.8%

Electorate 2,899 · Ballots cast 1,361 · Back to ward index

Wootton Wawen · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.5 pts Valid ballots 1,059

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Shenton, I.Conservative and Unionist Party68364.5%Elected
2Hunter, D.Liberal Democrats20719.5%
3Duffin, C.Green Party928.7%
4Spicer, G.Labour Party777.3%

Electorate 2,967 · Ballots cast 1,059 · Back to ward index

Southam East, Central & Stockton · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.7 pts Valid ballots 886

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Crump, A.Conservative and Unionist Party57364.7%Elected
2Lambert, C.Liberal Democrats22825.7%
3Watkin, D.Green Party859.6%

Electorate 2,385 · Ballots cast 886 · Back to ward index

Southam North & Long Itchington · single-seat

Marginal winner 66.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −16.4 pts Valid ballots 794

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Adam, L.Liberal Democrats52766.4%Elected
2Bell, N.Conservative and Unionist Party17922.5%
3Hartigan, J.Labour Party587.3%
4James, Z.Green Party303.8%

Electorate 2,453 · Ballots cast 794 · Back to ward index

Alcester East · single-seat

Marginal winner 66.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −16.7 pts Valid ballots 822

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Juned, S.Liberal Democrats54866.7%Elected
2Daniell, E.Conservative and Unionist Party19423.6%
3Randle, E.Labour Party556.7%
4Stott, P.Green Party253.0%

Electorate 2,406 · Ballots cast 822 · Back to ward index

Tanworth-in-Arden · single-seat

Marginal winner 67.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.8 pts Valid ballots 823

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Organ, L.Conservative and Unionist Party55867.8%Elected
2Rees, K.Liberal Democrats12114.7%
3Johnston, E.Green Party779.4%
4Williams, R.Labour Party678.1%

Electorate 2,641 · Ballots cast 823 · Back to ward index

Stratford Guildhall & Bridgetown · single-seat

Marginal winner 68.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −18.3 pts Valid ballots 1,259

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Fradgley, J.Liberal Democrats86068.3%Elected
2Dixon, A.Conservative and Unionist Party26220.8%
3Roe, C.Labour Party856.8%
4Michaux, S.Green Party524.1%

Electorate 2,762 · Ballots cast 1,259 · Back to ward index

Southam West · single-seat

Marginal winner 69.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.7 pts Valid ballots 766

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bromwich, T.Independent53469.7%Elected
2Booth, D.Liberal Democrats15019.6%
3Stott, J.Green Party8210.7%

Electorate 2,465 · Ballots cast 766 · Back to ward index

Stratford Tiddington · single-seat

Marginal winner 73.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −23.1 pts Valid ballots 1,073

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Rolfe, C.Liberal Democrats78473.1%Elected
2Tibbs, A.Conservative and Unionist Party19518.2%
3Cooper, H.Labour Party595.5%
4Dennis, A.Green Party353.3%

Electorate 2,322 · Ballots cast 1,073 · Back to ward index

Welford-on-Avon · single-seat

Marginal winner 73.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −23.5 pts Valid ballots 1,262

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Perteghella, M.Liberal Democrats92873.5%Elected
2Wade, A.Conservative and Unionist Party26721.2%
3Kaye, E.Labour Party403.2%
4Evans, S.Green Party272.1%

Electorate 2,563 · Ballots cast 1,262 · Back to ward index