← Stratford On Avon (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Stratford On Avon 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

13 ward races

13 seats

4 elected below the proportional quota

30.8% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	23,179	52.0%	11	84.6%	7	53.8%	+4
Liberal Democrats	13,258	29.7%	2	15.4%	4	30.8%	-2
Green Party	4,098	9.2%	0	0.0%	1	7.7%	-1
Labour Party	3,914	8.8%	0	0.0%	1	7.7%	-1
Reform UK	121	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Social Democratic Party	40	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	44,610	100.0%	13	100.0%	13	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Stratford North · 1 seat · won at 41.8% · +8.2 pts below quota
Alcester · 1 seat · won at 46.4% · +3.6 pts below quota
Studley · 1 seat · won at 48.2% · +1.8 pts below quota
Shipston On Stour · 1 seat · won at 49.3% · +0.7 pts below quota
Bidford & Welford · 1 seat · won at 50.5% · above quota
Stour & The Vale · 1 seat · won at 52.6% · above quota
Wellesbourne · 1 seat · won at 55.5% · above quota
Feldon · 1 seat · won at 55.9% · above quota
Stratford West · 1 seat · won at 56.5% · above quota
Stratford South · 1 seat · won at 57.7% · above quota
Kineton & Red Horse · 1 seat · won at 66.6% · above quota
Arden · 1 seat · won at 74.0% · above quota
Southam Stockton & Napton · 1 seat · won at 75.0% · above quota

Race results

Stratford North · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,072

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sinclair T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,283	41.8%	Elected
2	Warren-Howles C.A.	Liberal Democrats	1,168	38.0%
3	Scott S.	Labour Party	345	11.2%
4	Stott J.D.	Green Party	276	9.0%

Electorate 8,253 · Ballots cast 3,072 · EC ward code E58001589 · Back to ward index

Alcester · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,540

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Daniel P.O.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,642	46.4%	Elected
2	Juned S.	Liberal Democrats	1,356	38.3%
3	Fildew J.	Labour Party	369	10.4%
4	Eglin S.J.A.	Green Party	173	4.9%

Electorate 8,234 · Ballots cast 3,540 · EC ward code E58001543 · Back to ward index

Studley · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,837

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kerridge J.A.L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,367	48.2%	Elected
2	Rickhards C.A.	Liberal Democrats	1,146	40.4%
3	Foster A.M.	Labour Party	191	6.7%
4	Gaize V.	Green Party	133	4.7%

Electorate 7,240 · Ballots cast 2,837 · EC ward code E58001592 · Back to ward index

Shipston On Stour · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,583

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Barker J.M.V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,765	49.3%	Elected
2	Passingham D.G.	Green Party	1,104	30.8%
3	Dinnie J.B.	Liberal Democrats	540	15.1%
4	Fosster K.	Labour Party	174	4.9%

Electorate 8,284 · Ballots cast 3,583 · EC ward code E58001585 · Back to ward index

Bidford & Welford · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.5 pts Valid ballots 3,996

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Pemberton D.P.F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,016	50.5%	Elected
2	Perteghella M.	Liberal Democrats	1,335	33.4%
3	Price C.	Labour Party	415	10.4%
4	Genders T.W.	Green Party	230	5.8%

Electorate 10,441 · Ballots cast 3,996 · EC ward code E58001554 · Back to ward index

Stour & The Vale · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.6 pts Valid ballots 3,210

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Seccombe I.E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,687	52.6%	Elected
2	Cowcher D.G.	Liberal Democrats	1,181	36.8%
3	Wassell E.G.	Green Party	189	5.9%
4	Nealon A.J.	Labour Party	153	4.8%

Electorate 6,795 · Ballots cast 3,210 · EC ward code E58001588 · Back to ward index

Wellesbourne · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.5 pts Valid ballots 3,599

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	O'Donnell P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,996	55.5%	Elected
2	Johnston D.W.	Liberal Democrats	967	26.9%
3	Williams B.	Labour Party	318	8.8%
4	Mitchell H.D.	Green Party	278	7.7%
5	Griffiths T.H.	Social Democratic Party	40	1.1%

Electorate 8,632 · Ballots cast 3,599 · EC ward code E58001597 · Back to ward index

Feldon · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.9 pts Valid ballots 3,608

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kettle C.J.M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,016	55.9%	Elected
2	Solman N.	Liberal Democrats	775	21.5%
3	Fowler R.C.	Green Party	441	12.2%
4	Robinson D.A.	Labour Party	376	10.4%

Electorate 8,613 · Ballots cast 3,608 · EC ward code E58001566 · Back to ward index

Stratford West · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.5 pts Valid ballots 2,843

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fradgley J.E.M.	Liberal Democrats	1,607	56.5%	Elected
2	Richards P.W.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	841	29.6%
3	Bates W.	Labour Party	205	7.2%
4	Pettifor P.S.	Green Party	190	6.7%

Electorate 6,723 · Ballots cast 2,843 · EC ward code E58001591 · Back to ward index

Stratford South · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.7 pts Valid ballots 4,037

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rolfe C.L.	Liberal Democrats	2,330	57.7%	Elected
2	Bates M.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,165	28.9%
3	Monk A.G.K.	Labour Party	218	5.4%
4	Michaux S.J.	Green Party	203	5.0%
5	Crocker J.P.	Reform UK	121	3.0%

Electorate 8,557 · Ballots cast 4,037 · EC ward code E58001590 · Back to ward index

Kineton & Red Horse · single-seat

Marginal winner 66.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −16.6 pts Valid ballots 3,273

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mills C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,180	66.6%	Elected
2	Ballantyne R.	Green Party	368	11.2%
3	Sewell J.	Labour Party	365	11.2%
4	Greetham E.A.	Liberal Democrats	360	11.0%

Electorate 7,565 · Ballots cast 3,273 · EC ward code E58001573 · Back to ward index

Arden · single-seat

Marginal winner 74.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −24.0 pts Valid ballots 3,499

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Horner J.N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,588	74.0%	Elected
2	Turner B.R.	Labour Party	350	10.0%
3	Stott P.	Green Party	311	8.9%
4	Rees K.A.	Liberal Democrats	250	7.1%

Electorate 8,625 · Ballots cast 3,499 · EC ward code E58001545 · Back to ward index

Southam Stockton & Napton · single-seat

Marginal winner 75.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −25.0 pts Valid ballots 3,513

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Crump A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,633	75.0%	Elected
2	Jenkins B.M.	Labour Party	435	12.4%
3	Booth D.	Liberal Democrats	243	6.9%
4	James Z.L.	Green Party	202	5.8%

Electorate 8,546 · Ballots cast 3,513 · EC ward code E58001586 · Back to ward index