← South Holland (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

South Holland 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

18 ward races

37 seats

20 elected below the proportional quota

54.1% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 18 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 37 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	18,974	53.5%	19	51.4%	21	56.8%	-2
SH IND	10,470	29.5%	15	40.5%	11	29.7%	+4
Independent	4,206	11.9%	3	8.1%	4	10.8%	-1
Green Party	1,221	3.4%	0	0.0%	1	2.7%	-1
Labour Party	401	1.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	212	0.6%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	35,484	100.0%	37	100.0%	37	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Holbeach Town · 3 seats · won at 13.6% · +11.4 pts below quota
Spalding Wygate · 2 seats · won at 24.8% · +8.6 pts below quota
Spalding St. Marys · 2 seats · won at 25.8% · +7.6 pts below quota
Donington Quadring & Gosberton · 3 seats · won at 17.7% · +7.3 pts below quota
Sutton Bridge · 2 seats · won at 28.0% · +5.4 pts below quota
Spalding Monks House · 2 seats · won at 28.0% · +5.3 pts below quota
Spalding St. Pauls · 2 seats · won at 29.4% · +3.9 pts below quota
Pinchbeck & Surfleet · 3 seats · won at 21.1% · +3.9 pts below quota
Crowland & Deeping St. Nicholas · 3 seats · won at 22.3% · +2.7 pts below quota
Long Sutton · 3 seats · won at 23.3% · +1.7 pts below quota
Spalding St. Johns · 2 seats · won at 33.8% · above quota
Whaplode & Holbeach St. Johns · 2 seats · won at 34.8% · above quota
Moulton Weston & Cowbit · 3 seats · won at 26.6% · above quota
Gedney · 1 seat · won at 60.7% · above quota
Spalding Castle · 1 seat · won at 64.7% · above quota
Fleet · 1 seat · won at 65.6% · above quota
Holbeach Hurn · 1 seat · won at 73.7% · above quota
The Saints · 1 seat · won at 76.8% · above quota

Race results

Holbeach Town · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,085

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Carter, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	959	23.5%	Elected
2	Hutchinson, S.	SH IND	734	18.0%	Elected
3	Chapman, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	557	13.6%	Elected
4	Foyster, P.	SH IND	523	12.8%
5	Rudkin, G.	Independent	496	12.1%
6	Chandler, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	484	11.8%
7	Biggadike, F.	Independent	332	8.1%

Electorate 6,336 · Ballots cast 4,085 · Back to ward index

Spalding Wygate · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,708

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Whitbourn, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	473	27.7%	Elected
2	Spencer, A.	SH IND	423	24.8%	Elected
3	Gambba-Jones, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	411	24.1%
4	Forman, A.	Labour Party	401	23.5%

Electorate 4,763 · Ballots cast 1,708 · Back to ward index

Spalding St. Marys · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,831

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Le Sage, M.	SH IND	559	30.5%	Elected
2	Ashby, D.	SH IND	472	25.8%	Elected
3	Hayes, W.	Conservative and Unionist Party	432	23.6%
4	Porter, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	368	20.1%

Electorate 3,647 · Ballots cast 1,831 · Back to ward index

Donington Quadring & Gosberton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,575

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	King, J.	SH IND	856	23.9%	Elected
2	Bingham, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	737	20.6%	Elected
3	Geaney, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	631	17.7%	Elected
4	Walsh, S.	SH IND	597	16.7%
5	Johnson, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	542	15.2%
6	Swainson, M.	Reform UK	212	5.9%

Electorate 5,854 · Ballots cast 3,575 · Back to ward index

Sutton Bridge · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +5.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,762

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Booth, M.	SH IND	540	30.6%	Elected
2	Brewis, C.	SH IND	493	28.0%	Elected
3	Coupland, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	381	21.6%
4	Marchant, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	348	19.8%

Electorate 3,423 · Ballots cast 1,762 · Back to ward index

Spalding Monks House · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +5.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,871

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Chauhan, S.	SH IND	604	32.3%	Elected
2	Sheard, I.	SH IND	524	28.0%	Elected
3	Timewell, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	468	25.0%
4	Gemmell, V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	275	14.7%

Electorate 4,203 · Ballots cast 1,871 · Back to ward index

Spalding St. Pauls · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 29.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +3.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,309

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gibson, R.	SH IND	458	35.0%	Elected
2	Boulding, B.	SH IND	385	29.4%	Elected
3	Scalese, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	269	20.6%
4	Sutton, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	197	15.0%

Electorate 3,641 · Ballots cast 1,309 · Back to ward index

Pinchbeck & Surfleet · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +3.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,700

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sneath, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	904	24.4%	Elected
2	Avery, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	886	23.9%	Elected
3	Slade, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	780	21.1%	Elected
4	Moore, T.	Independent	699	18.9%
5	Jenkins, S.	Green Party	431	11.6%

Electorate 5,894 · Ballots cast 3,700 · Back to ward index

Crowland & Deeping St. Nicholas · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,593

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Astill, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	770	29.7%	Elected
2	Alcock, B.	Independent	757	29.2%	Elected
3	Harrison, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	577	22.3%	Elected
4	Cook-Nykyforczuk, A.	Green Party	489	18.9%

Electorate 5,402 · Ballots cast 2,593 · Back to ward index

Long Sutton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +1.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,355

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Tennant, A.	Independent	982	29.3%	Elected
2	Tyrrell, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	967	28.8%	Elected
3	Wilkinson, D.	Independent	782	23.3%	Elected
4	Thompson, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	624	18.6%

Electorate 6,066 · Ballots cast 3,355 · Back to ward index

Spalding St. Johns · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 33.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −0.4 pts Valid ballots 1,809

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hasan, M.	SH IND	732	40.5%	Elected
2	Le Sage, J.	SH IND	611	33.8%	Elected
3	Sneath, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	242	13.4%
4	Savage, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	224	12.4%

Electorate 4,312 · Ballots cast 1,809 · Back to ward index

Whaplode & Holbeach St. Johns · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 34.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −1.5 pts Valid ballots 1,593

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Beal, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	615	38.6%	Elected
2	Redgate, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	555	34.8%	Elected
3	Griffen, H.	SH IND	423	26.6%

Electorate 3,583 · Ballots cast 1,593 · Back to ward index

Moulton Weston & Cowbit · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 26.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference −1.6 pts Valid ballots 3,599

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Casson, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,006	28.0%	Elected
2	Sneath, T.	SH IND	976	27.1%	Elected
3	Woolf, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	958	26.6%	Elected
4	Grocock, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	659	18.3%

Electorate 5,874 · Ballots cast 3,599 · Back to ward index

Gedney · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.7 pts Valid ballots 476

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Reynolds, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	289	60.7%	Elected
2	Stancer, M.	SH IND	187	39.3%

Electorate 1,818 · Ballots cast 476 · Back to ward index

Spalding Castle · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.7 pts Valid ballots 518

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Taylor, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	335	64.7%	Elected
2	Blake, M.	Green Party	183	35.3%

Electorate 1,830 · Ballots cast 518 · Back to ward index

Fleet · single-seat

Marginal winner 65.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.6 pts Valid ballots 569

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Barnes, P.	SH IND	373	65.6%	Elected
2	McNally, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	196	34.4%

Electorate 1,926 · Ballots cast 569 · Back to ward index

Holbeach Hurn · single-seat

Marginal winner 73.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −23.7 pts Valid ballots 449

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Worth, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	331	73.7%	Elected
2	Blackman, W.	Green Party	118	26.3%

Electorate 1,799 · Ballots cast 449 · Back to ward index

The Saints · single-seat

Marginal winner 76.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −26.8 pts Valid ballots 682

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Eldridge, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	524	76.8%	Elected
2	Seymour, M.	Independent	158	23.2%

Electorate 2,120 · Ballots cast 682 · Back to ward index