← Sevenoaks (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Sevenoaks 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

26 ward races

54 seats

41 elected below the proportional quota

75.9% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 26 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 54 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	31,747	51.1%	33	61.1%	29	53.7%	+4
Liberal Democrats	17,449	28.1%	14	25.9%	15	27.8%	-1
Green Party	6,629	10.7%	4	7.4%	6	11.1%	-2
Independent	3,273	5.3%	3	5.6%	2	3.7%	+1
Labour Party	2,923	4.7%	0	0.0%	2	3.7%	-2
Reform UK	83	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Social Democratic Party	78	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	62,182	100.0%	54	100.0%	54	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Dunton Green & Riverhead · 2 seats · won at 21.8% · +11.5 pts below quota
Edenbridge South & West · 2 seats · won at 24.4% · +8.9 pts below quota
Brasted Chevening & Sundridge · 3 seats · won at 16.8% · +8.2 pts below quota
Otford & Shoreham · 2 seats · won at 25.3% · +8.0 pts below quota
Sevenoaks Kippington · 2 seats · won at 25.6% · +7.7 pts below quota
Fawkham & West Kingsdown · 3 seats · won at 17.4% · +7.6 pts below quota
Swanley Christchurch & Swanley Village · 3 seats · won at 18.0% · +7.0 pts below quota
Hextable · 2 seats · won at 26.4% · +7.0 pts below quota
Sevenoaks Town & St. Johns · 3 seats · won at 18.2% · +6.8 pts below quota
Kemsing · 2 seats · won at 26.7% · +6.6 pts below quota
Seal & Weald · 2 seats · won at 27.6% · +5.8 pts below quota
Swanley White Oak · 3 seats · won at 19.4% · +5.6 pts below quota
Westerham & Crockham Hill · 2 seats · won at 28.3% · +5.0 pts below quota
Ash & New Ash Green · 3 seats · won at 20.0% · +5.0 pts below quota
Swanley St Mary's · 2 seats · won at 29.1% · +4.2 pts below quota
Farningham Horton Kirby & South Darenth · 2 seats · won at 30.8% · +2.5 pts below quota
Edenbridge North & East · 2 seats · won at 31.2% · +2.1 pts below quota
Sevenoaks Northern · 2 seats · won at 31.6% · +1.8 pts below quota
Hartley & Hodsoll Street · 3 seats · won at 24.2% · +0.8 pts below quota
Halstead Knockholt & Badgers Mount · 2 seats · won at 32.7% · +0.6 pts below quota
Penshurst Fordcombe & Chiddingstone · 1 seat · won at 53.5% · above quota
Cowden & Hever · 1 seat · won at 53.7% · above quota
Sevenoaks Eastern · 2 seats · won at 39.1% · above quota
Leigh & Chiddingstone Causeway · 1 seat · won at 58.6% · above quota
Eynsford · 1 seat · won at 63.7% · above quota
Crockenhill & Well Hill · 1 seat · won at 86.7% · above quota

Race results

Dunton Green & Riverhead · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,697

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bayley, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	639	23.7%	Elected
2	Clack, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	588	21.8%	Elected
3	Ancrum, L.	Liberal Democrats	464	17.2%
4	Gustard, R.	Liberal Democrats	354	13.1%
5	England, F.	Independent	323	12.0%
6	Marten, C.	Labour Party	176	6.5%
7	Owen, G.	Labour Party	153	5.7%

Electorate 4,203 · Ballots cast 2,697 · Back to ward index

Edenbridge South & West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,699

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Layland, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	495	29.1%	Elected
2	McArthur, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	415	24.4%	Elected
3	Mace, C.	Liberal Democrats	396	23.3%
4	Aldridge, J.	Liberal Democrats	393	23.1%

Electorate 3,187 · Ballots cast 1,699 · Back to ward index

Brasted Chevening & Sundridge · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,316

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Williams, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	918	17.3%	Elected
2	Robinson, S.	Liberal Democrats	897	16.9%	Elected
3	Alger, M.	Liberal Democrats	895	16.8%	Elected
4	McCloskey, J.	Liberal Democrats	884	16.6%
5	London, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	877	16.5%
6	Bonin, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	845	15.9%

Electorate 4,851 · Ballots cast 5,316 · Back to ward index

Otford & Shoreham · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,521

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Edwards-Winser, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	759	30.1%	Elected
2	Roy, I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	639	25.3%	Elected
3	Bannister, B.	Liberal Democrats	427	16.9%
4	Porter, I.	Liberal Democrats	402	15.9%
5	Forth, M.	Green Party	294	11.7%

Electorate 3,647 · Ballots cast 2,521 · Back to ward index

Sevenoaks Kippington · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,052

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gustard, C.	Liberal Democrats	811	26.6%	Elected
2	Varley, N.	Liberal Democrats	781	25.6%	Elected
3	Hunter, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	730	23.9%
4	Turner, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	652	21.4%
5	Grattidge, I.	Social Democratic Party	78	2.6%

Electorate 3,643 · Ballots cast 3,052 · Back to ward index

Fawkham & West Kingsdown · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,059

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harrison, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	820	26.8%	Elected
2	Bulford, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	758	24.8%	Elected
3	Malone, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	532	17.4%	Elected
4	Fothergill, M.	Independent	416	13.6%
5	Peters, S.	Green Party	284	9.3%
6	Russell, C.	Green Party	249	8.1%

Electorate 4,871 · Ballots cast 3,059 · Back to ward index

Swanley Christchurch & Swanley Village · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 18.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,633

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Barnes, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	858	23.6%	Elected
2	Horwood, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	808	22.2%	Elected
3	Scott, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	655	18.0%	Elected
4	Griffiths, D.	Labour Party	369	10.2%
5	George, M.	Labour Party	338	9.3%
6	Rashbrook, I.	Labour Party	334	9.2%
7	Searles, T.	Independent	271	7.5%

Electorate 4,650 · Ballots cast 3,633 · Back to ward index

Hextable · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 26.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,683

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kitchener, D.	Independent	631	37.5%	Elected
2	Hudson, C.	Independent	444	26.4%	Elected
3	Bull, H.	Independent	300	17.8%
4	Ali, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	154	9.2%
5	Al-Choudhury, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	154	9.2%

Electorate 3,264 · Ballots cast 1,683 · Back to ward index

Sevenoaks Town & St. Johns · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 18.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +6.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,066

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Camp, S.	Liberal Democrats	1,165	19.2%	Elected
2	Granville, V.	Liberal Democrats	1,156	19.1%	Elected
3	Skinner, D.	Liberal Democrats	1,103	18.2%	Elected
4	Fleming, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	936	15.4%
5	Platt, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	863	14.2%
6	Raikes, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	843	13.9%

Electorate 4,976 · Ballots cast 6,066 · Back to ward index

Kemsing · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 26.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +6.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,121

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Reay, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	646	30.5%	Elected
2	Haslam, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	567	26.7%	Elected
3	Head, I.	Green Party	471	22.2%
4	Willis, G.	Liberal Democrats	437	20.6%

Electorate 3,269 · Ballots cast 2,121 · Back to ward index

Seal & Weald · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 27.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +5.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,045

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Thornton, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	567	27.7%	Elected
2	Hogarth, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	564	27.6%	Elected
3	Michaelides, A.	Liberal Democrats	534	26.1%
4	Preutu, G.	Green Party	380	18.6%

Electorate 3,240 · Ballots cast 2,045 · Back to ward index

Swanley White Oak · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,049

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Darrington, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	630	20.7%	Elected
2	Darrington, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	609	20.0%	Elected
3	Ferrari, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	591	19.4%	Elected
4	George, A.	Labour Party	298	9.8%
5	Fittock, M.	Labour Party	289	9.5%
6	Michael, T.	Labour Party	244	8.0%
7	Andrews, S.	Independent	164	5.4%
8	Tuckfield, J.	Independent	139	4.6%
9	Venter, A.	Independent	85	2.8%

Electorate 4,773 · Ballots cast 3,049 · Back to ward index

Westerham & Crockham Hill · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +5.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,009

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Maskell, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	586	29.2%	Elected
2	Esler, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	569	28.3%	Elected
3	Mackay, T.	Liberal Democrats	357	17.8%
4	Storey, P.	Labour Party	276	13.7%
5	Baxter, R.	Liberal Democrats	221	11.0%

Electorate 3,508 · Ballots cast 2,009 · Back to ward index

Ash & New Ash Green · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,588

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Manston, L.	Green Party	1,066	23.2%	Elected
2	Manamperi, S.	Green Party	1,018	22.2%	Elected
3	Lindop, M.	Green Party	918	20.0%	Elected
4	Nelson, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	589	12.8%
5	Pender, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	537	11.7%
6	Juxon, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	460	10.0%

Electorate 4,519 · Ballots cast 4,588 · Back to ward index

Swanley St Mary's · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 29.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +4.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,217

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dyball, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	417	34.3%	Elected
2	Morgan, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	354	29.1%	Elected
3	Griffiths, J.	Labour Party	229	18.8%
4	Selvey, J.	Labour Party	217	17.8%

Electorate 3,276 · Ballots cast 1,217 · Back to ward index

Farningham Horton Kirby & South Darenth · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 30.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,757

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	White, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	550	31.3%	Elected
2	Ball, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	541	30.8%	Elected
3	Ward, T.	Liberal Democrats	357	20.3%
4	Croker, T.	Green Party	309	17.6%

Electorate 3,745 · Ballots cast 1,757 · Back to ward index

Edenbridge North & East · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 31.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,812

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Baker, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	690	38.1%	Elected
2	Morgan, J.	Liberal Democrats	566	31.2%	Elected
3	McGregor, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	556	30.7%

Electorate 4,275 · Ballots cast 1,812 · Back to ward index

Sevenoaks Northern · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 31.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +1.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,179

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Shea, C.	Liberal Democrats	750	34.4%	Elected
2	Leaman, A.	Liberal Democrats	688	31.6%	Elected
3	Collins, I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	389	17.9%
4	Estrada-Castillon, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	269	12.3%
5	Kersten, D.	Reform UK	83	3.8%

Electorate 3,237 · Ballots cast 2,179 · Back to ward index

Hartley & Hodsoll Street · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +0.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,298

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Abraham, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,066	24.8%	Elected
2	Cole, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,055	24.5%	Elected
3	Cole, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,041	24.2%	Elected
4	Young, M.	Green Party	381	8.9%
5	Chang, M.	Green Party	381	8.9%
6	Cobbold, R.	Green Party	374	8.7%

Electorate 4,742 · Ballots cast 4,298 · Back to ward index

Halstead Knockholt & Badgers Mount · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 32.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +0.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,846

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Williamson, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	620	33.6%	Elected
2	Grint, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	604	32.7%	Elected
3	Covill, L.	Liberal Democrats	336	18.2%
4	Roberts, J.	Liberal Democrats	286	15.5%

Electorate 2,762 · Ballots cast 1,846 · Back to ward index

Penshurst Fordcombe & Chiddingstone · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.5 pts Valid ballots 809

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Streatfeild, R.	Liberal Democrats	433	53.5%	Elected
2	Butcher, I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	376	46.5%

Electorate 1,931 · Ballots cast 809 · Back to ward index

Cowden & Hever · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.7 pts Valid ballots 627

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Barnett, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	337	53.7%	Elected
2	Ward, K.	Liberal Democrats	164	26.2%
3	Townsend, J.	Green Party	126	20.1%

Electorate 1,642 · Ballots cast 627 · Back to ward index

Sevenoaks Eastern · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 39.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −5.7 pts Valid ballots 2,229

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Clayton, T.	Liberal Democrats	911	40.9%	Elected
2	Purves, E.	Liberal Democrats	871	39.1%	Elected
3	Julius, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	235	10.5%
4	Reade, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	212	9.5%

Electorate 2,964 · Ballots cast 2,229 · Back to ward index

Leigh & Chiddingstone Causeway · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.6 pts Valid ballots 700

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Silander, M.	Liberal Democrats	410	58.6%	Elected
2	Smith, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	290	41.4%

Electorate 1,854 · Ballots cast 700 · Back to ward index

Eynsford · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.7 pts Valid ballots 593

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Barker, M.	Green Party	378	63.7%	Elected
2	Cheeseman, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	215	36.3%

Electorate 1,465 · Ballots cast 593 · Back to ward index

Crockenhill & Well Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner 86.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −36.7 pts Valid ballots 577

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Waterton, R.	Independent	500	86.7%	Elected
2	Taylor, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	77	13.3%

Electorate 1,567 · Ballots cast 577 · Back to ward index