← Rushmoor (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Rushmoor 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

13 ward races

13 seats

8 elected below the proportional quota

61.5% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Labour Party	10,739	48.1%	9	69.2%	7	53.8%	+2
Conservative and Unionist Party	8,218	36.8%	3	23.1%	5	38.5%	-2
Liberal Democrats	2,262	10.1%	1	7.7%	1	7.7%	0
Reform UK	794	3.6%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	212	0.9%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Heritage Party	85	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
HAMPS IND	21	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	22,331	100.0%	13	100.0%	13	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Knellwood · 1 seat · won at 40.5% · +9.5 pts below quota
West Heath · 1 seat · won at 40.8% · +9.2 pts below quota
St. Mark's · 1 seat · won at 42.5% · +7.5 pts below quota
Empress · 1 seat · won at 45.3% · +4.7 pts below quota
Fernhill · 1 seat · won at 45.8% · +4.2 pts below quota
Manor Park · 1 seat · won at 46.4% · +3.6 pts below quota
St. John's · 1 seat · won at 48.5% · +1.5 pts below quota
Cove and Southwood · 1 seat · won at 49.5% · +0.5 pts below quota
Rowhill · 1 seat · won at 51.9% · above quota
Wellington · 1 seat · won at 57.4% · above quota
Cherrywood · 1 seat · won at 61.5% · above quota
Aldershot Park · 1 seat · won at 68.4% · above quota
North Town · 1 seat · won at 82.4% · above quota

Race results

Knellwood · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,176

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Taylor, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	882	40.5%	Elected
2	Cragg, T.	Labour Party	740	34.0%
3	Trotter, M.	Liberal Democrats	469	21.6%
4	Joyce, K.	Heritage Party	85	3.9%

Electorate 5,633 · Ballots cast 2,176 · EC ward code E05008994 · Back to ward index

West Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,709

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jones, R.	Labour Party	697	40.8%	Elected
2	Hope, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	656	38.4%
3	Cowd, G.	Reform UK	185	10.8%
4	Fraser-Fleming, C.	Liberal Democrats	171	10.0%

Electorate 4,760 · Ballots cast 1,709 · EC ward code E05009001 · Back to ward index

St. Mark's · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,559

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Card, L.	Liberal Democrats	663	42.5%	Elected
2	Bedford, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	566	36.3%
3	Jabbi, M.	Labour Party	330	21.2%

Electorate 5,296 · Ballots cast 1,559 · EC ward code E05008999 · Back to ward index

Empress · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,976

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hall, J.	Labour Party	896	45.3%	Elected
2	Munro, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	692	35.0%
3	Lunn, A.	Liberal Democrats	237	12.0%
4	Simpson, I.	Reform UK	151	7.6%

Electorate 4,811 · Ballots cast 1,976 · EC ward code E05008992 · Back to ward index

Fernhill · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,672

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harden, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	765	45.8%	Elected
2	Warner, J.	Labour Party	758	45.3%
3	Blewett, B.	Liberal Democrats	149	8.9%

Electorate 5,146 · Ballots cast 1,672 · EC ward code E05008993 · Back to ward index

Manor Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,228

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Whitmee, I.	Labour Party	1,034	46.4%	Elected
2	Belbase, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	927	41.6%
3	Lyons, B.	Reform UK	215	9.6%
4	Cieszowska, A.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	52	2.3%

Electorate 5,591 · Ballots cast 2,228 · EC ward code E05008995 · Back to ward index

St. John's · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,662

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Day, T.	Labour Party	806	48.5%	Elected
2	Cooper, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	711	42.8%
3	Goodwin, M.	Liberal Democrats	145	8.7%

Electorate 4,984 · Ballots cast 1,662 · EC ward code E05008998 · Back to ward index

Cove and Southwood · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,900

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Carter, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	940	49.5%	Elected
2	Miles, B.	Labour Party	758	39.9%
3	Mitchell, E.	Liberal Democrats	202	10.6%

Electorate 5,543 · Ballots cast 1,900 · EC ward code E05008991 · Back to ward index

Rowhill · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.9 pts Valid ballots 1,923

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Greenway, L.	Labour Party	998	51.9%	Elected
2	Sheehan, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	515	26.8%
3	Betsworth, K.	Reform UK	243	12.6%
4	Hilliar, A.	Liberal Democrats	130	6.8%
5	Culshaw, Z.	HAMPS IND	21	1.1%
6	Warrington, D.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	16	0.8%

Electorate 5,024 · Ballots cast 1,923 · EC ward code E05008997 · Back to ward index

Wellington · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.4 pts Valid ballots 1,296

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Crawford, A.	Labour Party	744	57.4%	Elected
2	Gurung, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	503	38.8%
3	Lyddall, R.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	49	3.8%

Electorate 4,801 · Ballots cast 1,296 · EC ward code E05009000 · Back to ward index

Cherrywood · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.5 pts Valid ballots 1,543

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	O'Donovan, B.	Labour Party	949	61.5%	Elected
2	Thapa, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	498	32.3%
3	O'Dowd-Booth, O.	Liberal Democrats	96	6.2%

Electorate 5,009 · Ballots cast 1,543 · EC ward code E05008990 · Back to ward index

Aldershot Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 68.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −18.4 pts Valid ballots 1,331

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Roberts, M.	Labour Party	911	68.4%	Elected
2	Crerar, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	325	24.4%
3	Mortimer, T.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	95	7.1%

Electorate 5,050 · Ballots cast 1,331 · EC ward code E05008989 · Back to ward index

North Town · single-seat

Marginal winner 82.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −32.4 pts Valid ballots 1,356

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dibble, K.	Labour Party	1,118	82.4%	Elected
2	Withers, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	238	17.6%

Electorate 5,149 · Ballots cast 1,356 · EC ward code E05008996 · Back to ward index