← Rushmoor (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Rushmoor 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

18 ward races

19 seats

6 elected below the proportional quota

31.6% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 18 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 19 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	24,527	51.5%	15	78.9%	10	52.6%	+5
Labour Party	15,468	32.5%	4	21.1%	6	31.6%	-2
Liberal Democrats	7,070	14.9%	0	0.0%	3	15.8%	-3
Independent	298	0.6%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)	158	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	85	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	47,606	100.0%	19	100.0%	19	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

North Town · 2 seats · won at 25.8% · +7.6 pts below quota
Aldershot North · 1 seat · won at 43.6% · +6.4 pts below quota
St. Marks · 1 seat · won at 44.6% · +5.4 pts below quota
Rowhill · 1 seat · won at 45.1% · +4.9 pts below quota
Aldershot South · 1 seat · won at 46.8% · +3.2 pts below quota
Farnborough South · 1 seat · won at 47.2% · +2.8 pts below quota
Empress · 1 seat · won at 50.9% · above quota
Aldershot Park · 1 seat · won at 51.6% · above quota
Cherrywood · 1 seat · won at 52.7% · above quota
Farnborough North · 1 seat · won at 54.0% · above quota
Wellington · 1 seat · won at 54.9% · above quota
Knellwood · 1 seat · won at 55.5% · above quota
West Heath · 1 seat · won at 56.6% · above quota
Manor Park · 1 seat · won at 56.9% · above quota
Farnborough West · 1 seat · won at 60.2% · above quota
Cove & Southwood · 1 seat · won at 64.9% · above quota
St. John · 1 seat · won at 67.5% · above quota
Fernhill · 1 seat · won at 72.2% · above quota

Race results

North Town · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,954

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dibble K.	Labour Party	1,110	37.6%	Elected
2	Spall S.J.	Labour Party	761	25.8%	Elected
3	Hartley M.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	519	17.6%
4	Trussler S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	469	15.9%
5	Christodoulou G.A.	Liberal Democrats	95	3.2%

Electorate 4,910 · Ballots cast 2,954 · EC ward code E05008996 · Back to ward index

Aldershot North · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,862

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Crawford A.	Labour Party	1,684	43.6%	Elected
2	Choudhary C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,629	42.2%
3	Hilliar A.R.	Liberal Democrats	549	14.2%

Electorate 11,609 · Ballots cast 3,862 · EC ward code E58000525 · Back to ward index

St. Marks · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,739

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bedford D.B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	775	44.6%	Elected
2	Mitchell E.R.	Liberal Democrats	698	40.1%
3	Hewitt C.R.	Labour Party	266	15.3%

Electorate 5,230 · Ballots cast 1,739 · EC ward code E05008999 · Back to ward index

Rowhill · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,967

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sheehan M.L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	887	45.1%	Elected
2	Crawford A.	Labour Party	722	36.7%
3	Hilliar A.R.	Liberal Democrats	358	18.2%

Electorate 5,042 · Ballots cast 1,967 · EC ward code E05008997 · Back to ward index

Aldershot South · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,543

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Withers B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,128	46.8%	Elected
2	Austin G.F.	Labour Party	2,059	45.3%
3	Trotter M.	Liberal Democrats	356	7.8%

Electorate 13,197 · Ballots cast 4,543 · EC ward code E58000526 · Back to ward index

Farnborough South · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,520

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jackman A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,607	47.2%	Elected
2	Mitchell T.W.	Liberal Democrats	1,613	29.2%
3	Smith J.	Labour Party	940	17.0%
4	Wallace D.M.	Independent	202	3.7%
5	Culshaw Z.J.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	94	1.7%
6	Seery B.S.	Reform UK	64	1.2%

Electorate 14,400 · Ballots cast 5,520 · EC ward code E58000560 · Back to ward index

Empress · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.9 pts Valid ballots 1,848

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Munro M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	940	50.9%	Elected
2	Jones B.	Labour Party	408	22.1%
3	Card L.J.	Liberal Democrats	383	20.7%
4	Wallace D.M.	Independent	96	5.2%
5	Seery B.S.	Reform UK	21	1.1%

Electorate 4,573 · Ballots cast 1,848 · EC ward code E05008992 · Back to ward index

Aldershot Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.6 pts Valid ballots 1,528

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Roberts M.	Labour Party	788	51.6%	Elected
2	Trussler S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	638	41.8%
3	Scopes L.	Liberal Democrats	102	6.7%

Electorate 5,141 · Ballots cast 1,528 · EC ward code E05008989 · Back to ward index

Cherrywood · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.7 pts Valid ballots 1,704

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Thapa N.B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	898	52.7%	Elected
2	Grattan C.P.	Labour Party	806	47.3%

Electorate 5,222 · Ballots cast 1,704 · EC ward code E05008990 · Back to ward index

Farnborough North · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.0 pts Valid ballots 4,418

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Chadd R.L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,385	54.0%	Elected
2	Grattan C.P.	Labour Party	1,452	32.9%
3	Fraser-Fleming C.	Liberal Democrats	581	13.2%

Electorate 13,358 · Ballots cast 4,418 · EC ward code E58000559 · Back to ward index

Wellington · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.9 pts Valid ballots 1,070

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Belbase J.N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	587	54.9%	Elected
2	Koohestani H.	Labour Party	402	37.6%
3	O'Dowd-Booth O.J.	Liberal Democrats	81	7.6%

Electorate 4,028 · Ballots cast 1,070 · EC ward code E05009000 · Back to ward index

Knellwood · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.5 pts Valid ballots 2,404

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Taylor P.G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,334	55.5%	Elected
2	Card C.W.	Liberal Democrats	605	25.2%
3	Williams G.I.	Labour Party	401	16.7%
4	Culshaw Z.J.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	64	2.7%

Electorate 5,640 · Ballots cast 2,404 · EC ward code E05008994 · Back to ward index

West Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.6 pts Valid ballots 1,793

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hope M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,015	56.6%	Elected
2	Thomas R.	Labour Party	460	25.7%
3	Fraser-Fleming C.	Liberal Democrats	318	17.7%

Electorate 4,903 · Ballots cast 1,793 · EC ward code E05009001 · Back to ward index

Manor Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.9 pts Valid ballots 2,174

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Clifford D.E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,237	56.9%	Elected
2	Crossley J.	Labour Party	701	32.2%
3	Trotter M.	Liberal Democrats	236	10.9%

Electorate 5,685 · Ballots cast 2,174 · EC ward code E05008995 · Back to ward index

Farnborough West · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.2 pts Valid ballots 4,817

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cooper R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,902	60.2%	Elected
2	Jabbi M.	Labour Party	1,105	22.9%
3	Card C.W.	Liberal Democrats	810	16.8%

Electorate 13,474 · Ballots cast 4,817 · EC ward code E58000561 · Back to ward index

Cove & Southwood · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.9 pts Valid ballots 1,966

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Carter S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,275	64.9%	Elected
2	Jabbi M.	Labour Party	406	20.7%
3	Whyman J.	Liberal Democrats	285	14.5%

Electorate 5,325 · Ballots cast 1,966 · EC ward code E05008991 · Back to ward index

St. John · single-seat

Marginal winner 67.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.5 pts Valid ballots 1,725

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Canty J.B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,165	67.5%	Elected
2	Warner J.L.	Labour Party	560	32.5%

Electorate 5,050 · Ballots cast 1,725 · EC ward code E05008998 · Back to ward index

Fernhill · single-seat

Marginal winner 72.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −22.2 pts Valid ballots 1,574

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Auton J.M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,137	72.2%	Elected
2	Collins R.L.	Labour Party	437	27.8%

Electorate 5,289 · Ballots cast 1,574 · EC ward code E05008993 · Back to ward index