← Rugby (all cycles) · 1 May 2025 cohort
Rugby 2025
Local elections held 1 May 2025.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 10 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 10 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 8,708 | 30.1% | 4 | 40.0% | 4 | 40.0% | 0 |
| Reform UK | 8,085 | 27.9% | 2 | 20.0% | 3 | 30.0% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 5,267 | 18.2% | 2 | 20.0% | 2 | 20.0% | 0 |
| Labour Party | 3,748 | 12.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 10.0% | -1 |
| Labour and Co-operative Party | 1,658 | 5.7% | 2 | 20.0% | 0 | 0.0% | +2 |
| Green Party | 1,448 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| National Housing Party United Kingdom | 33 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 28,947 | 100.0% | 10 | 100.0% | 10 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Dunsmore & Leam Valley · 1 seat · won at 32.1% · +17.9 pts below quota
- Brownsover & Coton Park · 1 seat · won at 32.4% · +17.6 pts below quota
- Earl Craven · 1 seat · won at 33.7% · +16.3 pts below quota
- Admirals & Cawston · 1 seat · won at 35.7% · +14.3 pts below quota
- Bilton & Hillside · 1 seat · won at 37.2% · +12.8 pts below quota
- Hillmorton · 1 seat · won at 40.2% · +9.8 pts below quota
- Benn · 1 seat · won at 42.5% · +7.5 pts below quota
- Fosse · 1 seat · won at 47.0% · +3.0 pts below quota
- New Bilton & Overslade · 1 seat · won at 47.2% · +2.8 pts below quota
- Eastlands · 1 seat · won at 48.0% · +2.0 pts below quota
Race results
Dunsmore & Leam Valley · single-seat
Marginal winner 32.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +17.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,667
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dale Keeling | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,177 | 32.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Ian Jones | Reform UK | 1,034 | 28.2% | |
| 3 | Isabelle Anne McKenzie | Liberal Democrats | 997 | 27.2% | |
| 4 | Nicola Jane Jones | Labour Party | 246 | 6.7% | |
| 5 | Helen Rebecca Ford | Green Party | 213 | 5.8% |
Brownsover & Coton Park · single-seat
Marginal winner 32.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +17.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,520
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senthil Karadiar | Labour and Co-operative Party | 816 | 32.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Jamie Pullin | Reform UK | 724 | 28.7% | |
| 3 | Wayne David John Rabin | Conservative and Unionist Party | 715 | 28.4% | |
| 4 | Edward John Blackburn | Liberal Democrats | 265 | 10.5% |
Earl Craven · single-seat
Marginal winner 33.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +16.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,848
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anne-Marie Sonko | Reform UK | 960 | 33.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Devenne T Kedward | Conservative and Unionist Party | 915 | 32.1% | |
| 3 | Rishi Caleyachetty | Labour Party | 563 | 19.8% | |
| 4 | Pete Nash | Green Party | 225 | 7.9% | |
| 5 | Nicky Bainbridge | Liberal Democrats | 185 | 6.5% |
Admirals & Cawston · single-seat
Marginal winner 35.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,117
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dean Richards | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,113 | 35.7% | Elected |
| 2 | John Birch | Reform UK | 828 | 26.6% | |
| 3 | Alan Frederick Pavis | Labour Party | 727 | 23.3% | |
| 4 | Lee Martin Chase | Liberal Democrats | 242 | 7.8% | |
| 5 | Frank Green | Green Party | 207 | 6.6% |
Bilton & Hillside · single-seat
Marginal winner 37.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,179
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Warwick Pimm | Liberal Democrats | 1,183 | 37.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Phillip Howling | Conservative and Unionist Party | 905 | 28.5% | |
| 3 | Gareth Burgess | Reform UK | 764 | 24.0% | |
| 4 | David Buckingham | Labour Party | 327 | 10.3% |
Hillmorton · single-seat
Marginal winner 40.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,130
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yousef Dahmash | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,257 | 40.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Gareth Keeley | Reform UK | 834 | 26.6% | |
| 3 | Alison Ann Livesey | Labour Party | 580 | 18.5% | |
| 4 | Mark Thomas | Liberal Democrats | 424 | 13.5% | |
| 5 | Lloyd Morgan | National Housing Party United Kingdom | 33 | 1.1% |
Benn · single-seat
Marginal winner 42.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,980
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarah Yvonne Elizabeth Feeney | Labour and Co-operative Party | 842 | 42.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Shane Benton | Reform UK | 471 | 23.8% | |
| 3 | Christopher Johnson | Conservative and Unionist Party | 272 | 13.7% | |
| 4 | Becca Stevenson | Green Party | 259 | 13.1% | |
| 5 | James Robert Moran | Liberal Democrats | 136 | 6.9% |
Fosse · single-seat
Marginal winner 47.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,816
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adrian David Warwick | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,794 | 47.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Paignton Morris | Reform UK | 1,132 | 29.7% | |
| 3 | Tony Freeman | Labour Party | 451 | 11.8% | |
| 4 | Maralyn Janet Pickup | Green Party | 224 | 5.9% | |
| 5 | Victoria Saxby Edwards | Liberal Democrats | 215 | 5.6% |
New Bilton & Overslade · single-seat
Marginal winner 47.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,357
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Glover | Reform UK | 641 | 47.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Barbara Brown | Labour Party | 573 | 42.2% | |
| 3 | Samuel Greig Edwards | Liberal Democrats | 327 | 24.1% | |
| 4 | J.P. Downes | Conservative and Unionist Party | 286 | 21.1% | |
| 5 | Christopher Andrew Mawby | Green Party | 172 | 12.7% |
Eastlands · single-seat
Marginal winner 48.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,692
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerry Roodhouse | Liberal Democrats | 1,293 | 48.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Francis Holden | Reform UK | 697 | 25.9% | |
| 3 | Philip John Burns | Labour Party | 281 | 10.4% | |
| 4 | Sarah Catherine Downes | Conservative and Unionist Party | 274 | 10.2% | |
| 5 | Bob Beggs | Green Party | 148 | 5.5% |