← Rugby (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Rugby 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

14 ward races
14 seats
10 elected below the proportional quota
71.4% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party9,49936.4%535.7%535.7%0
Conservative and Unionist Party8,33931.9%642.9%535.7%+1
Liberal Democrats5,43720.8%321.4%321.4%0
Green Party1,7796.8%00.0%17.1%-1
Reform UK1,0734.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total26,127100.0%14100.0%14100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Eastlands · single-seat

Marginal winner 36.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +13.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,917

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Trimble, T.Liberal Democrats69536.3%Elected
2Adewumi, A.Labour Party58430.5%
3Baldwin, J.Conservative and Unionist Party36919.2%
4Pond, L.Reform UK1457.6%
5Stinchcombe, M.Green Party1246.5%

Electorate 5,757 · Ballots cast 1,917 · EC ward code E05008986 · Back to ward index

Bilton · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,157

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Howling, M.Conservative and Unionist Party82338.2%Elected
2Pimm, S.Liberal Democrats68931.9%
3Mander, C.Labour Party52824.5%
4Summers, L.Green Party1175.4%

Electorate 5,052 · Ballots cast 2,157 · EC ward code E05008975 · Back to ward index

Dunsmore · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,453

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Simpson-Vince, J.Conservative and Unionist Party94438.5%Elected
2Sandison, C.Liberal Democrats92437.7%
3Coomber, A.Labour Party41617.0%
4Ford, H.Green Party1696.9%

Electorate 7,474 · Ballots cast 2,453 · EC ward code E05010759 · Back to ward index

Wolston and the Lawfords · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,993

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Willis, T.Conservative and Unionist Party80840.5%Elected
2Holst, A.Labour Party72036.1%
3Birch, J.Reform UK20010.0%
4Hemsley, P.Green Party1919.6%
5Saxby-Edwards, V.Liberal Democrats743.7%

Electorate 5,953 · Ballots cast 1,993 · EC ward code E05010760 · Back to ward index

Hillmorton · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,158

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Daly, A.Conservative and Unionist Party94543.8%Elected
2Offordile, J.Labour Party90341.8%
3Douglas, J.Liberal Democrats2069.5%
4Kowalczuk, D.Green Party1044.8%

Electorate 6,764 · Ballots cast 2,158 · EC ward code E05008979 · Back to ward index

Clifton Newton and Churchover · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 811

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hassell, E.Conservative and Unionist Party36244.6%Elected
2Dyke, S.Labour Party33641.4%
3Linden, A.Green Party11313.9%

Electorate 2,422 · Ballots cast 811 · EC ward code E05008976 · Back to ward index

Paddox · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,070

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Thomas, M.Liberal Democrats96246.5%Elected
2Burne, S.Labour Party53926.0%
3Adkins, L.Conservative and Unionist Party32515.7%
4Holden, F.Reform UK1507.2%
5Beggs, B.Green Party944.5%

Electorate 5,516 · Ballots cast 2,070 · EC ward code E05008983 · Back to ward index

Admirals and Cawston · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,243

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Henderson, A.Labour Party1,06747.6%Elected
2Watson-Merret, C.Conservative and Unionist Party59226.4%
3James, A.Reform UK25011.1%
4Chase, L.Liberal Democrats2059.1%
5Farley, J.Green Party1295.8%

Electorate 6,855 · Ballots cast 2,243 · EC ward code E05010758 · Back to ward index

Newbold and Brownsover · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,625

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Freeman, T.Labour Party77847.9%Elected
2Rabin, W.Conservative and Unionist Party49130.2%
3Kedward, D.Reform UK1599.8%
4Summers, M.Green Party1207.4%
5Trimble, H.Liberal Democrats774.7%

Electorate 6,290 · Ballots cast 1,625 · EC ward code E05008982 · Back to ward index

Coton and Boughton · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,968

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Edwards, C.Labour Party95148.3%Elected
2Awotunde, D.Conservative and Unionist Party61931.5%
3Pullin, J.Reform UK1698.6%
4Blackburn, E.Liberal Democrats1236.3%
5Mawby, C.Green Party1065.4%

Electorate 5,858 · Ballots cast 1,968 · EC ward code E05008977 · Back to ward index

Rokeby and Overslade · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.8 pts Valid ballots 2,028

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Dumbleton, C.Liberal Democrats1,21259.8%Elected
2Kulkarni, A.Conservative and Unionist Party37118.3%
3Lee, C.Labour Party33416.5%
4Crowley, K.Green Party1115.5%

Electorate 5,735 · Ballots cast 2,028 · EC ward code E05008985 · Back to ward index

Revel and Binley Woods · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.4 pts Valid ballots 1,859

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gillias, T.Conservative and Unionist Party1,14161.4%Elected
2Bevin, R.Labour Party53828.9%
3Pickup, M.Green Party1095.9%
4Moran, J.Liberal Democrats713.8%

Electorate 5,118 · Ballots cast 1,859 · EC ward code E05008984 · Back to ward index

New Bilton · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.8 pts Valid ballots 1,239

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Mistry, I.Labour Party76661.8%Elected
2Lipowska, K.Conservative and Unionist Party28823.2%
3Sandison, R.Green Party1068.6%
4Tafazzal, H.Liberal Democrats796.4%

Electorate 5,292 · Ballots cast 1,239 · EC ward code E05008981 · Back to ward index

Benn · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.7 pts Valid ballots 1,606

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1O'Rourke, M.Labour Party1,03964.7%Elected
2Thomas, H.Conservative and Unionist Party26116.3%
3Stevenson, B.Green Party18611.6%
4Moran, R.Liberal Democrats1207.5%

Electorate 6,200 · Ballots cast 1,606 · EC ward code E05008974 · Back to ward index