← Rugby (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Rugby 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

24 ward races

25 seats

9 elected below the proportional quota

36.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 24 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 25 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	29,816	49.1%	17	68.0%	12	48.0%	+5
Labour Party	16,210	26.7%	4	16.0%	7	28.0%	-3
Liberal Democrats	9,575	15.8%	4	16.0%	4	16.0%	0
Green Party	5,067	8.3%	0	0.0%	2	8.0%	-2
LIBER	95	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	60,763	100.0%	25	100.0%	25	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

New Bilton & Overslade · 1 seat · won at 40.0% · +10.0 pts below quota
Admirals & Cawston · 2 seats · won at 25.7% · +7.7 pts below quota
Eastlands · 1 seat · won at 42.4% · +7.6 pts below quota
Paddox · 1 seat · won at 45.1% · +4.9 pts below quota
Bilton & Hillside · 1 seat · won at 45.9% · +4.1 pts below quota
Newbold & Brownsover · 1 seat · won at 48.4% · +1.6 pts below quota
Benn · 1 seat · won at 48.4% · +1.6 pts below quota
Brownsover & Coton Park · 1 seat · won at 49.1% · +0.9 pts below quota
Coton & Boughton · 1 seat · won at 50.0% · above quota
Rokeby & Overslade · 1 seat · won at 50.1% · above quota
Eastlands · 1 seat · won at 50.4% · above quota
Admirals & Cawston · 1 seat · won at 51.0% · above quota
New Bilton · 1 seat · won at 51.9% · above quota
Benn · 1 seat · won at 52.5% · above quota
Bilton · 1 seat · won at 54.2% · above quota
Hillmorton · 1 seat · won at 55.1% · above quota
Clifton Newton & Churchover · 1 seat · won at 58.3% · above quota
Wolston & The Lawfords · 1 seat · won at 58.6% · above quota
Hillmorton · 1 seat · won at 59.3% · above quota
Fosse · 1 seat · won at 63.5% · above quota
Earl Craven · 1 seat · won at 64.2% · above quota
Dunsmore & Leam Valley · 1 seat · won at 65.8% · above quota
Dunsmore · 1 seat · won at 67.9% · above quota
Revel & Binley Wood · 1 seat · won at 69.5% · above quota

Race results

New Bilton & Overslade · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,245

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brown B.A.	Labour Party	899	40.0%	Elected
2	Bragg S.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	753	33.5%
3	Sandison N.J.	Liberal Democrats	361	16.1%
4	Pickup M.J.	Green Party	232	10.3%

Electorate 7,509 · Ballots cast 2,245 · EC ward code E58001581 · Back to ward index

Admirals & Cawston · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,544

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Watson-Merret C.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,181	26.0%	Elected
2	Williams M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,166	25.7%	Elected
3	Moran M.J.	Labour Party	774	17.0%
4	Vickers J.	Labour Party	650	14.3%
5	Chase L.M.	Liberal Democrats	373	8.2%
6	Farley J.	Green Party	206	4.5%
7	Sawyer A.	Liberal Democrats	194	4.3%

Electorate 6,771 · Ballots cast 4,544 · EC ward code E05010758 · Back to ward index

Eastlands · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,058

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Roodhouse S.	Liberal Democrats	872	42.4%	Elected
2	Watts T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	571	27.7%
3	Molina S.	Labour Party	448	21.8%
4	Dunne A.	Green Party	167	8.1%

Electorate 5,876 · Ballots cast 2,058 · EC ward code E05008986 · Back to ward index

Paddox · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,468

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Douglas T.M.	Liberal Democrats	1,114	45.1%	Elected
2	Jones A.G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	812	32.9%
3	Mawby C.	Labour Party	401	16.2%
4	Beggs B.	Green Party	141	5.7%

Electorate 5,655 · Ballots cast 2,468 · EC ward code E05008983 · Back to ward index

Bilton & Hillside · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,657

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kaur K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,680	45.9%	Elected
2	Pimm S.W.	Liberal Democrats	1,215	33.2%
3	Bates P.	Labour Party	555	15.2%
4	Brook R.J.	Green Party	207	5.7%

Electorate 7,769 · Ballots cast 3,657 · EC ward code E58001555 · Back to ward index

Newbold & Brownsover · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,732

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rabin W.D.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	838	48.4%	Elected
2	Brown K.R.G.	Labour Party	780	45.0%
3	Tafazzal H.	Liberal Democrats	114	6.6%

Electorate 6,403 · Ballots cast 1,732 · EC ward code E05008982 · Back to ward index

Benn · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,306

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Feeney S.Y.E.	Labour Party	1,116	48.4%	Elected
2	Cranham D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	684	29.7%
3	Stevenson B.	Green Party	326	14.1%
4	Trimble H.D.	Liberal Democrats	180	7.8%

Electorate 8,377 · Ballots cast 2,306 · EC ward code E58001553 · Back to ward index

Brownsover & Coton Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,689

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Simpson-Vince J.B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,321	49.1%	Elected
2	Ellis J.	Labour Party	1,008	37.5%
3	Pailthorpe C.	Green Party	165	6.1%
4	Blackburn E.J.	Liberal Democrats	142	5.3%
5	Pullin J.	LIBER	53	2.0%

Electorate 7,998 · Ballots cast 2,689 · EC ward code E58001556 · Back to ward index

Coton & Boughton · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference 0.0 pts Valid ballots 2,066

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Robbins C.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,034	50.0%	Elected
2	Livesey A.A.	Labour Party	697	33.7%
3	Blackburn E.J.	Liberal Democrats	150	7.3%
4	Pailthorpe C.	Green Party	143	6.9%
5	Pullin J.	LIBER	42	2.0%

Electorate 5,746 · Ballots cast 2,066 · EC ward code E05008977 · Back to ward index

Rokeby & Overslade · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.1 pts Valid ballots 2,405

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dumbleton C.	Liberal Democrats	1,205	50.1%	Elected
2	Lawrence T.J.P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	707	29.4%
3	Gore M.W.	Labour Party	360	15.0%
4	Crowley K.	Green Party	133	5.5%

Electorate 5,980 · Ballots cast 2,405 · EC ward code E05008985 · Back to ward index

Eastlands · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.4 pts Valid ballots 3,081

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Roodhouse J.	Liberal Democrats	1,554	50.4%	Elected
2	Thomas H.M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	827	26.8%
3	Gore M.W.	Labour Party	522	16.9%
4	Dunne A.	Green Party	178	5.8%

Electorate 7,807 · Ballots cast 3,081 · EC ward code E58001565 · Back to ward index

Admirals & Cawston · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.0 pts Valid ballots 3,095

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Butlin P.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,577	51.0%	Elected
2	Mistry I.	Labour Party	965	31.2%
3	Chase L.M.	Liberal Democrats	344	11.1%
4	Crowley K.	Green Party	209	6.8%

Electorate 9,295 · Ballots cast 3,095 · EC ward code E58001542 · Back to ward index

New Bilton · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.9 pts Valid ballots 1,508

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mistry I.	Labour Party	782	51.9%	Elected
2	Jones G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	532	35.3%
3	Pickup M.J.	Green Party	194	12.9%

Electorate 5,495 · Ballots cast 1,508 · EC ward code E05008981 · Back to ward index

Benn · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.5 pts Valid ballots 1,690

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	O'Rourke M.	Labour Party	888	52.5%	Elected
2	Lowe R.E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	461	27.3%
3	Stevenson B.	Green Party	219	13.0%
4	Trimble H.D.	Liberal Democrats	122	7.2%

Electorate 6,057 · Ballots cast 1,690 · EC ward code E05008974 · Back to ward index

Bilton · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.2 pts Valid ballots 2,316

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	A'Barrow H.B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,256	54.2%	Elected
2	Kennedy-George L.M.	Liberal Democrats	499	21.5%
3	Bates P.	Labour Party	401	17.3%
4	Brook R.J.	Green Party	160	6.9%

Electorate 5,184 · Ballots cast 2,316 · EC ward code E05008975 · Back to ward index

Hillmorton · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.1 pts Valid ballots 2,933

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dahmash Y.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,615	55.1%	Elected
2	Baulk S.	Labour Party	678	23.1%
3	New N.C.	Liberal Democrats	456	15.5%
4	Beggs B.	Green Party	184	6.3%

Electorate 7,785 · Ballots cast 2,933 · EC ward code E58001570 · Back to ward index

Clifton Newton & Churchover · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.3 pts Valid ballots 925

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hassell E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	539	58.3%	Elected
2	Harrington R.O.	Labour Party	232	25.1%
3	Summers M.A.	Green Party	80	8.6%
4	Trimble P.	Liberal Democrats	74	8.0%

Electorate 2,263 · Ballots cast 925 · EC ward code E05008976 · Back to ward index

Wolston & The Lawfords · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.6 pts Valid ballots 2,178

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Willis T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,276	58.6%	Elected
2	Rooney-Ellis A.K.	Labour Party	477	21.9%
3	Summers L.K.	Green Party	425	19.5%

Electorate 6,099 · Ballots cast 2,178 · EC ward code E05010760 · Back to ward index

Hillmorton · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.3 pts Valid ballots 1,913

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Daly A.M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,134	59.3%	Elected
2	Baulk S.	Labour Party	501	26.2%
3	Douglas J.E.	Liberal Democrats	171	8.9%
4	Feledziak N.	Green Party	107	5.6%

Electorate 5,301 · Ballots cast 1,913 · EC ward code E05008979 · Back to ward index

Fosse · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.5 pts Valid ballots 3,783

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Warwick A.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,404	63.5%	Elected
2	Brown K.R.G.	Labour Party	849	22.4%
3	Summers M.A.	Green Party	305	8.1%
4	Trimble P.	Liberal Democrats	225	5.9%

Electorate 9,371 · Ballots cast 3,783 · EC ward code E58001567 · Back to ward index

Earl Craven · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.2 pts Valid ballots 3,018

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Timms H.M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,938	64.2%	Elected
2	Harrington R.O.	Labour Party	633	21.0%
3	Summers L.K.	Green Party	447	14.8%

Electorate 8,197 · Ballots cast 3,018 · EC ward code E58001564 · Back to ward index

Dunsmore & Leam Valley · single-seat

Marginal winner 65.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.8 pts Valid ballots 3,026

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Roberts H.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,990	65.8%	Elected
2	Hughes B.	Labour Party	571	18.9%
3	Sandison R.L.	Green Party	255	8.4%
4	Kennedy-George L.M.	Liberal Democrats	210	6.9%

Electorate 8,510 · Ballots cast 3,026 · EC ward code E58001563 · Back to ward index

Dunsmore · single-seat

Marginal winner 67.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.9 pts Valid ballots 2,779

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Roberts H.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,888	67.9%	Elected
2	Hughes B.	Labour Party	552	19.9%
3	Sandison R.L.	Green Party	339	12.2%

Electorate 6,494 · Ballots cast 2,779 · EC ward code E05010759 · Back to ward index

Revel & Binley Wood · single-seat

Marginal winner 69.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.5 pts Valid ballots 2,348

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gillias T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,632	69.5%	Elected
2	Fenney S.Y.E.	Labour Party	471	20.1%
3	Ward S.G.	Green Party	245	10.4%

Electorate 5,222 · Ballots cast 2,348 · EC ward code E05008984 · Back to ward index