← Rochdale (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Rochdale 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

20 ward races

20 seats

4 elected below the proportional quota

20.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 20 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Labour Party	26,198	53.2%	16	80.0%	12	60.0%	+4
Conservative and Unionist Party	11,306	23.0%	3	15.0%	5	25.0%	-2
Liberal Democrats	5,865	11.9%	1	5.0%	2	10.0%	-1
MIDDLE IND	3,370	6.8%	0	0.0%	1	5.0%	-1
Green Party	1,664	3.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Independent	607	1.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
FFS-FA	197	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	49,207	100.0%	20	100.0%	20	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Castleton · 1 seat · won at 39.4% · +10.6 pts below quota
Littleborough Lakeside · 1 seat · won at 44.1% · +5.9 pts below quota
Milnrow & Newhey · 1 seat · won at 47.2% · +2.8 pts below quota
Spotland & Falinge · 1 seat · won at 49.3% · +0.7 pts below quota
North Middleton · 1 seat · won at 50.0% · above quota
Smallbridge & Firgrove · 1 seat · won at 51.2% · above quota
South Middleton · 1 seat · won at 51.8% · above quota
Bamford · 1 seat · won at 53.8% · above quota
Norden · 1 seat · won at 53.9% · above quota
Balderstone & Kirkholt · 1 seat · won at 58.4% · above quota
Wardle, Shore & West Littleborough · 1 seat · won at 59.6% · above quota
West Heywood · 1 seat · won at 60.4% · above quota
West Middleton · 1 seat · won at 60.9% · above quota
East Middleton · 1 seat · won at 61.7% · above quota
Hopwood Hall · 1 seat · won at 64.9% · above quota
Kingsway · 1 seat · won at 68.6% · above quota
Healey · 1 seat · won at 68.9% · above quota
Central Rochdale · 1 seat · won at 72.9% · above quota
North Heywood · 1 seat · won at 78.6% · above quota
Milkstone & Deeplish · 1 seat · won at 80.0% · above quota

Race results

Castleton · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,238

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rashid, A.	Labour Party	882	39.4%	Elected
2	Bywater, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	473	21.1%
3	Jones, D.	Independent	443	19.8%
4	Swarbrick, J.	Liberal Democrats	227	10.1%
5	Kershaw, J.	Green Party	213	9.5%

Electorate 7,739 · Ballots cast 2,238 · Back to ward index

Littleborough Lakeside · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,502

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jackson, R.	Labour Party	1,103	44.1%	Elected
2	Hartley, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,096	43.8%
3	Otten, G.	Green Party	239	9.6%
4	Kauser, Z.	Liberal Democrats	64	2.6%

Electorate 7,344 · Ballots cast 2,502 · Back to ward index

Milnrow & Newhey · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,748

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bamford, D.	Liberal Democrats	1,297	47.2%	Elected
2	Gilmore, A.	Labour Party	935	34.0%
3	Forshaw, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	349	12.7%
4	Sharp, S.	Green Party	167	6.1%

Electorate 8,444 · Ballots cast 2,748 · Back to ward index

Spotland & Falinge · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,999

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Nisa, A.	Labour Party	1,479	49.3%	Elected
2	Asghar, R.	Liberal Democrats	1,143	38.1%
3	Conway, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	198	6.6%
4	Coats, M.	Green Party	179	6.0%

Electorate 8,642 · Ballots cast 2,999 · Back to ward index

North Middleton · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference 0.0 pts Valid ballots 2,472

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Atewologun, E.	Labour Party	1,236	50.0%	Elected
2	Wolf, L.	MIDDLE IND	1,008	40.8%
3	Bayman, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	228	9.2%

Electorate 8,954 · Ballots cast 2,472 · Back to ward index

Smallbridge & Firgrove · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.2 pts Valid ballots 2,250

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mir, A.	Labour Party	1,153	51.2%	Elected
2	Khalid, F.	Liberal Democrats	606	26.9%
3	Begum, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	294	13.1%
4	Ashton, P.	FFS-FA	197	8.8%

Electorate 8,333 · Ballots cast 2,250 · Back to ward index

South Middleton · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.8 pts Valid ballots 2,950

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dale, P.	Labour Party	1,527	51.8%	Elected
2	Hezelgrave-Whitworth, E.	MIDDLE IND	937	31.8%
3	Braiden, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	486	16.5%

Electorate 8,730 · Ballots cast 2,950 · Back to ward index

Bamford · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.8 pts Valid ballots 2,937

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Anstee, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,580	53.8%	Elected
2	Choudhury, R.	Labour Party	1,033	35.2%
3	Cunnane, S.	Liberal Democrats	324	11.0%

Electorate 8,152 · Ballots cast 2,937 · Back to ward index

Norden · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.9 pts Valid ballots 2,711

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Holly, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,462	53.9%	Elected
2	Kazmi, F.	Labour Party	638	23.5%
3	Robertson, S.	Liberal Democrats	382	14.1%
4	Croke, S.	Green Party	229	8.4%

Electorate 8,060 · Ballots cast 2,711 · Back to ward index

Balderstone & Kirkholt · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.4 pts Valid ballots 1,924

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Blundell, E.	Labour Party	1,124	58.4%	Elected
2	Razzaq, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	451	23.4%
3	Eves, J.	Green Party	185	9.6%
4	Grabowska, L.	Independent	164	8.5%

Electorate 8,032 · Ballots cast 1,924 · Back to ward index

Wardle, Shore & West Littleborough · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.6 pts Valid ballots 2,525

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Taylor, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,504	59.6%	Elected
2	Farnell, J.	Labour Party	689	27.3%
3	MacGuire, H.	Green Party	186	7.4%
4	Kelly, E.	Liberal Democrats	146	5.8%

Electorate 8,177 · Ballots cast 2,525 · Back to ward index

West Heywood · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.4 pts Valid ballots 1,959

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Robinson, L.	Labour Party	1,184	60.4%	Elected
2	Short, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	543	27.7%
3	Shaw, T.	Liberal Democrats	232	11.8%

Electorate 8,699 · Ballots cast 1,959 · Back to ward index

West Middleton · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.9 pts Valid ballots 1,838

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Patrick, N.	Labour Party	1,120	60.9%	Elected
2	Shore, P.	MIDDLE IND	471	25.6%
3	Roughsedge, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	157	8.5%
4	Edwards, N.	Liberal Democrats	90	4.9%

Electorate 7,164 · Ballots cast 1,838 · Back to ward index

East Middleton · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.7 pts Valid ballots 2,574

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Smith, T.	Labour Party	1,588	61.7%	Elected
2	Wynne, B.	MIDDLE IND	697	27.1%
3	Slack, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	289	11.2%

Electorate 8,379 · Ballots cast 2,574 · Back to ward index

Hopwood Hall · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.9 pts Valid ballots 2,180

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hodgkinson, P.	Labour Party	1,415	64.9%	Elected
2	Chonzi, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	408	18.7%
3	Glaysher, M.	MIDDLE IND	257	11.8%
4	Donaldson, I.	Liberal Democrats	100	4.6%

Electorate 8,498 · Ballots cast 2,180 · Back to ward index

Kingsway · single-seat

Marginal winner 68.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −18.6 pts Valid ballots 2,406

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Massey, R.	Labour Party	1,650	68.6%	Elected
2	Khalil, I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	384	16.0%
3	Taylor, S.	Liberal Democrats	200	8.3%
4	Hollinrake, M.	Green Party	172	7.1%

Electorate 8,206 · Ballots cast 2,406 · Back to ward index

Healey · single-seat

Marginal winner 68.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −18.9 pts Valid ballots 2,597

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ayrton, T.	Labour Party	1,789	68.9%	Elected
2	Mahmood, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	587	22.6%
3	Kauser, S.	Liberal Democrats	221	8.5%

Electorate 7,836 · Ballots cast 2,597 · Back to ward index

Central Rochdale · single-seat

Marginal winner 72.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −22.9 pts Valid ballots 3,411

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Zaheer, S.	Labour Party	2,487	72.9%	Elected
2	Ghafoor, A.	Liberal Democrats	601	17.6%
3	Ali, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	323	9.5%

Electorate 8,872 · Ballots cast 3,411 · Back to ward index

North Heywood · single-seat

Marginal winner 78.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −28.6 pts Valid ballots 1,614

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Place, B.	Labour Party	1,268	78.6%	Elected
2	Morrell, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	346	21.4%

Electorate 7,954 · Ballots cast 1,614 · Back to ward index

Milkstone & Deeplish · single-seat

Marginal winner 80.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −30.0 pts Valid ballots 2,372

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rashid, A.	Labour Party	1,898	80.0%	Elected
2	Akhtar, N.	Liberal Democrats	232	9.8%
3	Miah, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	148	6.2%
4	Ali, F.	Green Party	94	4.0%

Electorate 7,622 · Ballots cast 2,372 · Back to ward index