← Pendle (all cycles) · 1 May 2025 cohort
Pendle 2025
Local elections held 1 May 2025.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 5 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 6 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 8,943 | 28.4% | 2 | 33.3% | 2 | 33.3% | 0 |
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 7,753 | 24.6% | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 33.3% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 6,571 | 20.8% | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 16.7% | 0 |
| Independent | 4,904 | 15.5% | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 16.7% | +1 |
| Labour Party | 1,931 | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 1,158 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Labour and Co-operative Party | 262 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 18 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 31,540 | 100.0% | 6 | 100.0% | 6 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Pendle Hill · 1 seat · won at 38.3% · +11.7 pts below quota
- Pendle Central · 1 seat · won at 42.4% · +7.6 pts below quota
- Nelson East · 1 seat · won at 44.9% · +5.1 pts below quota
- Pendle Rural · 2 seats · won at 31.3% · +2.0 pts below quota
- Brierfield & Nelson West · 1 seat · won at 65.7% · above quota
Race results
Pendle Hill · single-seat
Marginal winner 38.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,175
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard Hartley | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,599 | 38.3% | Elected |
| 2 | John Metcalfe | Reform UK | 1,352 | 32.4% | |
| 3 | Mark Benjamin Dawson | Labour Party | 551 | 13.2% | |
| 4 | Brian Newman | Liberal Democrats | 467 | 11.2% | |
| 5 | Annette Marti | Green Party | 206 | 4.9% |
Pendle Central · single-seat
Marginal winner 42.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,342
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marion Ellen Atkinson | Reform UK | 1,417 | 42.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Ash Sutcliffe | Conservative and Unionist Party | 868 | 26.0% | |
| 3 | Andy Bell | Liberal Democrats | 694 | 20.8% | |
| 4 | Philip Heyworth | Labour Party | 245 | 7.3% | |
| 5 | Benjamin Daniel Harrop | Green Party | 118 | 3.5% |
Nelson East · single-seat
Marginal winner 44.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,396
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azhar Ali | Independent | 1,976 | 44.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Mohammad Aslam | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,102 | 25.1% | |
| 3 | Vanessa Maria Robinson | Reform UK | 772 | 17.6% | |
| 4 | Nicki James Shepherd | Labour Party | 305 | 6.9% | |
| 5 | Mary Elizabeth Thomas | Liberal Democrats | 122 | 2.8% | |
| 6 | Rebecca Aimee Lanyon Willmott | Green Party | 101 | 2.3% | |
| 7 | Les Beswick | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 18 | 0.4% |
Pendle Rural · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 31.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,829
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Michael Baxter Whipp | Liberal Democrats | 2,869 | 36.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Nathan Thomas McCollum | Reform UK | 2,454 | 31.3% | Elected |
| 3 | Victoria Fletcher | Reform UK | 2,416 | 30.9% | |
| 4 | David Hartley | Liberal Democrats | 2,314 | 29.6% | |
| 5 | Jenny Purcell | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,977 | 25.3% | |
| 6 | Jane Pratt | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,689 | 21.6% | |
| 7 | Euan Robert Clouston | Labour Party | 431 | 5.5% | |
| 8 | Lynn Marie Hannon | Labour Party | 399 | 5.1% | |
| 9 | Sylvia Joyce Godfrey | Green Party | 327 | 4.2% | |
| 10 | Jane Wood | Green Party | 293 | 3.7% |
Brierfield & Nelson West · single-seat
Marginal winner 65.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.7 pts Valid ballots 4,458
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohammed Iqbal | Independent | 2,928 | 65.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Christine Stables | Reform UK | 532 | 11.9% | |
| 3 | Mohamad Irfan Ayub | Conservative and Unionist Party | 518 | 11.6% | |
| 4 | Karl Peter Barnsley | Labour and Co-operative Party | 262 | 5.9% | |
| 5 | Scott Cunliffe | Green Party | 113 | 2.5% | |
| 6 | Susan Land | Liberal Democrats | 105 | 2.4% |