← Pembrokeshire (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort

Pembrokeshire 2022

Local elections held 5 May 2022.

40 ward races

41 seats

10 elected below the proportional quota

24.4% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 40 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 41 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Independent	12,675	44.5%	22	53.7%	20	48.8%	+2
Conservative and Unionist Party	5,219	18.3%	7	17.1%	8	19.5%	-1
Labour Party	4,204	14.8%	6	14.6%	6	14.6%	0
PC	2,510	8.8%	1	2.4%	3	7.3%	-2
ND	2,337	8.2%	3	7.3%	3	7.3%	0
Liberal Democrats	1,261	4.4%	2	4.9%	1	2.4%	+1
Green Party	237	0.8%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
PROP	14	0.0%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	28,457	100.0%	41	100.0%	41	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Milford: Central · 1 seat · won at 29.8% · +20.2 pts below quota
Pembroke: Monkton & St Mary South · 2 seats · won at 16.2% · +17.2 pts below quota
St Ishmael's · 1 seat · won at 35.2% · +14.8 pts below quota
St. Davids · 1 seat · won at 37.4% · +12.6 pts below quota
Johnston · 1 seat · won at 37.9% · +12.1 pts below quota
Newport & Dinas · 1 seat · won at 38.4% · +11.6 pts below quota
Pembroke Dock: Bush · 1 seat · won at 42.1% · +7.9 pts below quota
Goodwick · 1 seat · won at 47.1% · +2.9 pts below quota
Milford: Hakin · 1 seat · won at 48.7% · +1.3 pts below quota
Solva · 1 seat · won at 50.6% · above quota
Boncath & Clydau · 1 seat · won at 52.1% · above quota
Kilgetty/Begelly · 1 seat · won at 52.2% · above quota
Bro Gwaun · 1 seat · won at 52.3% · above quota
Pembroke: St Michael · 1 seat · won at 52.7% · above quota
Milford: North · 1 seat · won at 52.9% · above quota
Llangwm · 1 seat · won at 53.3% · above quota
Crymych & Mynachlog-ddu · 1 seat · won at 53.7% · above quota
St Florence & St Mary Out Liberty · 1 seat · won at 56.6% · above quota
Hundleton · 1 seat · won at 56.9% · above quota
Tenby South · 1 seat · won at 58.0% · above quota
Maenclochog · 1 seat · won at 58.0% · above quota
Amroth & Saundersfoot North · 1 seat · won at 58.3% · above quota
Haverfordwest Prendergast · 1 seat · won at 58.6% · above quota
The Havens · 1 seat · won at 58.8% · above quota
Fishguard North East · 1 seat · won at 58.9% · above quota
Carew & Jefferston · 1 seat · won at 60.4% · above quota
Burton · 1 seat · won at 61.8% · above quota
Pembroke Dock: Bufferland · 1 seat · won at 63.2% · above quota
Saundersfoot South · 1 seat · won at 64.0% · above quota
Pembroke Dock: Central · 1 seat · won at 64.4% · above quota
Lampeter Velfrey · 1 seat · won at 66.9% · above quota
Milford West · 1 seat · won at 69.0% · above quota
Pembroke St. Mary North · 1 seat · won at 71.8% · above quota
Haverfordwest Garth · 1 seat · won at 72.3% · above quota
Narberth Urban · 1 seat · won at 74.4% · above quota
Manorbier & Penally · 1 seat · won at 75.9% · above quota
Lamphey · 1 seat · won at 76.0% · above quota
Camrose · 1 seat · won at 77.3% · above quota
Haverfordwest Castle · 1 seat · won at 78.0% · above quota
Llanrhian · 1 seat · won at 91.2% · above quota

Race results

Milford: Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 29.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +20.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 493

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Davies T.	Independent	147	29.8%	Elected
2	Powell A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	135	27.4%
3	Sinclair T.	Independent	109	22.1%
4	Jones M.	Independent	102	20.7%

Electorate 1,567 · Ballots cast 493 · EC ward code W05001462 · Back to ward index

Pembroke: Monkton & St Mary South · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +17.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,814

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Carey A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	362	20.0%	Elected
2	Grimes J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	293	16.2%	Elected
3	Edwards D.	Labour Party	265	14.6%
4	Bush D.	Independent	227	12.5%
5	Nutting J.	ND	219	12.1%
6	Laval M.	Labour Party	201	11.1%
7	Ebrey R.	Independent	159	8.8%
8	Herring L.	Liberal Democrats	88	4.9%

Electorate 2,719 · Ballots cast 1,814 · EC ward code W05001478 · Back to ward index

St Ishmael's · single-seat

Marginal winner 35.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 925

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Owens R.	Independent	326	35.2%	Elected
2	Cheshire M.	ND	256	27.7%
3	George C.	ND	227	24.5%
4	Harwood J.	Green Party	116	12.5%

Electorate 1,349 · Ballots cast 925 · EC ward code W05001487 · Back to ward index

St. Davids · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 757

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Price B.	ND	283	37.4%	Elected
2	Lloyd D.	Independent	250	33.0%
3	Hurdley R.	Labour Party	181	23.9%
4	Missen K.	Green Party	43	5.7%

Electorate 1,313 · Ballots cast 757 · EC ward code W05001484 · Back to ward index

Johnston · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 604

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Thomas A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	229	37.9%	Elected
2	Metcalf D.	Labour Party	226	37.4%
3	Gray J.	Independent	149	24.7%

Electorate 1,610 · Ballots cast 604 · EC ward code W05001451 · Back to ward index

Newport & Dinas · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 847

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Murphy H.	Independent	325	38.4%	Elected
2	Williams J.	Independent	279	32.9%
3	Donnelly M.	PC	243	28.7%

Electorate 1,612 · Ballots cast 847 · EC ward code W05001470 · Back to ward index

Pembroke Dock: Bush · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 411

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bowen M.	Labour Party	173	42.1%	Elected
2	Harvey S.	Independent	154	37.5%
3	Dowson P.	ND	84	20.4%

Electorate 1,457 · Ballots cast 411 · EC ward code W05001474 · Back to ward index

Goodwick · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 752

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gwynn N.	Labour Party	354	47.1%	Elected
2	John P.	Independent	339	45.1%
3	Porter L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	59	7.8%

Electorate 1,608 · Ballots cast 752 · EC ward code W05001444 · Back to ward index

Milford: Hakin · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 587

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Stoddart M.	Independent	286	48.7%	Elected
2	Edwards D.	Independent	176	30.0%
3	Bridges L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	125	21.3%

Electorate 1,948 · Ballots cast 587 · EC ward code W05001464 · Back to ward index

Solva · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.6 pts Valid ballots 755

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Carter M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	382	50.6%	Elected
2	Phillips J.	Labour Party	373	49.4%

Electorate 1,229 · Ballots cast 755 · EC ward code W05001483 · Back to ward index

Boncath & Clydau · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.1 pts Valid ballots 890

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ward I.	Independent	464	52.1%	Elected
2	Harries H.	PC	426	47.9%

Electorate 1,652 · Ballots cast 890 · EC ward code W05001434 · Back to ward index

Kilgetty/Begelly · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.2 pts Valid ballots 761

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cameron A.	Liberal Democrats	397	52.2%	Elected
2	Adams P.	PC	122	16.0%
3	Pugh D.	Independent	115	15.1%
4	Wyatt P.	Independent	85	11.2%
5	Ebrey C.	Independent	28	3.7%
6	Marshall G.	PROP	14	1.8%

Electorate 1,892 · Ballots cast 761 · EC ward code W05001452 · Back to ward index

Bro Gwaun · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.3 pts Valid ballots 650

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harries D.	Independent	340	52.3%	Elected
2	Kilmister B.	Liberal Democrats	310	47.7%

Electorate 1,524 · Ballots cast 650 · EC ward code W05001436 · Back to ward index

Pembroke: St Michael · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.7 pts Valid ballots 793

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Phillips M.	ND	418	52.7%	Elected
2	Brinn A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	375	47.3%

Electorate 1,581 · Ballots cast 793 · EC ward code W05001480 · Back to ward index

Milford: North · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.9 pts Valid ballots 629

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dennison A.	Independent	333	52.9%	Elected
2	Abbott B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	296	47.1%

Electorate 1,860 · Ballots cast 629 · EC ward code W05001466 · Back to ward index

Llangwm · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.3 pts Valid ballots 875

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	John M.	Independent	466	53.3%	Elected
2	Golding D.	ND	409	46.7%

Electorate 1,882 · Ballots cast 875 · EC ward code W05001456 · Back to ward index

Crymych & Mynachlog-ddu · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.7 pts Valid ballots 1,045

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Midway Rees S.	Independent	561	53.7%	Elected
2	Tomos C.	PC	484	46.3%

Electorate 1,929 · Ballots cast 1,045 · EC ward code W05001440 · Back to ward index

St Florence & St Mary Out Liberty · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.6 pts Valid ballots 557

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jordan R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	315	56.6%	Elected
2	Preston J.	PC	242	43.4%

Electorate 1,304 · Ballots cast 557 · EC ward code W05001486 · Back to ward index

Hundleton · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.9 pts Valid ballots 612

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Alderman S.	Independent	348	56.9%	Elected
2	Cooper J.	Independent	264	43.1%

Electorate 1,435 · Ballots cast 612 · EC ward code W05001450 · Back to ward index

Tenby South · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.0 pts Valid ballots 736

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Skyrme-Blackhall S.	Independent	427	58.0%	Elected
2	Rapi P.	PC	309	42.0%

Electorate 1,661 · Ballots cast 736 · EC ward code W05001489 · Back to ward index

Maenclochog · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.0 pts Valid ballots 870

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wright S.	Independent	505	58.0%	Elected
2	Wyn H.	PC	188	21.6%
3	Levy B.	Labour Party	177	20.3%

Electorate 1,732 · Ballots cast 870 · EC ward code W05001458 · Back to ward index

Amroth & Saundersfoot North · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.3 pts Valid ballots 800

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cormack A.	Liberal Democrats	466	58.3%	Elected
2	Baron T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	256	32.0%
3	McShane L.	Green Party	78	9.8%

Electorate 1,635 · Ballots cast 800 · EC ward code W05001433 · Back to ward index

Haverfordwest Prendergast · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.6 pts Valid ballots 667

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Edwards A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	391	58.6%	Elected
2	Thompson P.	Labour Party	276	41.4%

Electorate 1,706 · Ballots cast 667 · EC ward code W05001448 · Back to ward index

The Havens · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.8 pts Valid ballots 827

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Morgan P.	Independent	486	58.8%	Elected
2	Neumann N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	341	41.2%

Electorate 1,593 · Ballots cast 827 · EC ward code W05001490 · Back to ward index

Fishguard North East · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.9 pts Valid ballots 677

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ryan J.	Labour Party	399	58.9%	Elected
2	Murphy B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	278	41.1%

Electorate 1,504 · Ballots cast 677 · EC ward code W05001442 · Back to ward index

Carew & Jefferston · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.4 pts Valid ballots 717

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Thomas V.	Independent	433	60.4%	Elected
2	Harrison-Allen J.	Independent	173	24.1%
3	Everall P.	Independent	111	15.5%

Electorate 1,633 · Ballots cast 717 · EC ward code W05001438 · Back to ward index

Burton · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.8 pts Valid ballots 646

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Young D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	399	61.8%	Elected
2	Howells R.	Independent	247	38.2%

Electorate 1,552 · Ballots cast 646 · EC ward code W05001435 · Back to ward index

Pembroke Dock: Bufferland · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.2 pts Valid ballots 380

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wiggins M.	ND	240	63.2%	Elected
2	Goff G.	ND	76	20.0%
3	Gannon B.	Independent	64	16.8%

Electorate 1,182 · Ballots cast 380 · EC ward code W05001473 · Back to ward index

Saundersfoot South · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.0 pts Valid ballots 675

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Williams C.	Independent	432	64.0%	Elected
2	Wainwright M.	Independent	159	23.6%
3	Bishop J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	84	12.4%

Electorate 1,538 · Ballots cast 675 · EC ward code W05001482 · Back to ward index

Pembroke Dock: Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.4 pts Valid ballots 584

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Beynon J.	Labour Party	376	64.4%	Elected
2	Cowen R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	148	25.3%
3	Manning G.	ND	60	10.3%

Electorate 1,691 · Ballots cast 584 · EC ward code W05001475 · Back to ward index

Lampeter Velfrey · single-seat

Marginal winner 66.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −16.9 pts Valid ballots 531

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Simpson D.	Independent	355	66.9%	Elected
2	Lesnianski L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	176	33.1%

Electorate 1,294 · Ballots cast 531 · EC ward code W05001453 · Back to ward index

Milford West · single-seat

Marginal winner 69.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.0 pts Valid ballots 471

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sinnett R.	PC	325	69.0%	Elected
2	Joseph S.	Independent	146	31.0%

Electorate 1,555 · Ballots cast 471 · EC ward code W05001467 · Back to ward index

Pembroke St. Mary North · single-seat

Marginal winner 71.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −21.8 pts Valid ballots 563

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harvey J.	Independent	404	71.8%	Elected
2	Willcocks D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	159	28.2%

Electorate 1,735 · Ballots cast 563 · EC ward code W05001479 · Back to ward index

Haverfordwest Garth · single-seat

Marginal winner 72.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −22.3 pts Valid ballots 430

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Tinley A.	Independent	311	72.3%	Elected
2	Twigg J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	119	27.7%

Electorate 1,734 · Ballots cast 430 · EC ward code W05001446 · Back to ward index

Narberth Urban · single-seat

Marginal winner 74.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −24.4 pts Valid ballots 691

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Tierney M.	Labour Party	514	74.4%	Elected
2	McAndrew V.	Independent	177	25.6%

Electorate 1,813 · Ballots cast 691 · EC ward code W05001468 · Back to ward index

Manorbier & Penally · single-seat

Marginal winner 75.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −25.9 pts Valid ballots 711

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kidney P.	Independent	540	75.9%	Elected
2	Thomas S.	PC	171	24.1%

Electorate 1,766 · Ballots cast 711 · EC ward code W05001459 · Back to ward index

Lamphey · single-seat

Marginal winner 76.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −26.0 pts Valid ballots 613

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hodgson T.	Independent	466	76.0%	Elected
2	Carey J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	147	24.0%

Electorate 1,452 · Ballots cast 613 · EC ward code W05001454 · Back to ward index

Camrose · single-seat

Marginal winner 77.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −27.3 pts Valid ballots 695

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Adams J.	Independent	537	77.3%	Elected
2	Rutter J.	Labour Party	158	22.7%

Electorate 1,496 · Ballots cast 695 · EC ward code W05001437 · Back to ward index

Haverfordwest Castle · single-seat

Marginal winner 78.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −28.0 pts Valid ballots 681

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Tudor T.	Labour Party	531	78.0%	Elected
2	McKeeman S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	150	22.0%

Electorate 1,729 · Ballots cast 681 · EC ward code W05001445 · Back to ward index

Llanrhian · single-seat

Marginal winner 91.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −41.2 pts Valid ballots 735

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Prior N.	Independent	670	91.2%	Elected
2	Smith R.	ND	65	8.8%

Electorate 1,670 · Ballots cast 735 · EC ward code W05001457 · Back to ward index