← Oxford (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Oxford 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

24 ward races

25 seats

18 elected below the proportional quota

72.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 24 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 25 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Labour Party	15,260	38.2%	11	44.0%	10	40.0%	+1
Green Party	6,823	17.1%	4	16.0%	4	16.0%	0
Independent Oxford Alliance	6,200	15.5%	4	16.0%	4	16.0%	0
Liberal Democrats	6,052	15.2%	5	20.0%	4	16.0%	+1
Conservative and Unionist Party	2,777	7.0%	0	0.0%	2	8.0%	-2
Independent	2,233	5.6%	1	4.0%	1	4.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	371	0.9%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
ND	173	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Workers Party of Britain	31	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	39,920	100.0%	25	100.0%	25	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

St Clement's · 1 seat · won at 32.9% · +17.1 pts below quota
Quarry and Risinghurst · 1 seat · won at 34.7% · +15.3 pts below quota
Barton and Sandhills · 1 seat · won at 35.9% · +14.1 pts below quota
Summertown · 1 seat · won at 38.3% · +11.7 pts below quota
Blackbird Leys · 2 seats · won at 22.3% · +11.0 pts below quota
Cowley · 1 seat · won at 39.2% · +10.8 pts below quota
Donnington · 1 seat · won at 39.4% · +10.6 pts below quota
Headington · 1 seat · won at 39.6% · +10.4 pts below quota
Northfield Brook · 1 seat · won at 40.3% · +9.7 pts below quota
Cutteslowe and Sunnymead · 1 seat · won at 41.8% · +8.2 pts below quota
Lye Valley · 1 seat · won at 44.1% · +5.9 pts below quota
Rose Hill and Iffley · 1 seat · won at 44.1% · +5.9 pts below quota
Marston · 1 seat · won at 44.7% · +5.3 pts below quota
Holywell · 1 seat · won at 46.1% · +3.9 pts below quota
St Mary's · 1 seat · won at 46.6% · +3.4 pts below quota
Littlemore · 1 seat · won at 47.2% · +2.8 pts below quota
Temple Cowley · 1 seat · won at 48.6% · +1.4 pts below quota
Wolvercote · 1 seat · won at 50.3% · above quota
Hinksey Park · 1 seat · won at 51.0% · above quota
Churchill · 1 seat · won at 51.4% · above quota
Headington Hill and Northway · 1 seat · won at 53.7% · above quota
Osney and St Thomas · 1 seat · won at 54.5% · above quota
Carfax and Jericho · 1 seat · won at 56.6% · above quota
Walton Manor · 1 seat · won at 57.9% · above quota

Race results

St Clement's · single-seat

Marginal winner 32.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +17.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,593

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Powell, A.	Green Party	524	32.9%	Elected
2	Naqvi, S.	Independent Oxford Alliance	507	31.8%
3	Erlam, J.	Labour Party	475	29.8%
4	Coggins, G.	Liberal Democrats	62	3.9%
5	Bonner, J.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	25	1.6%

Electorate 4,129 · Ballots cast 1,593 · EC ward code E05013114 · Back to ward index

Quarry and Risinghurst · single-seat

Marginal winner 34.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +15.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,499

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Smith, R.	Liberal Democrats	868	34.7%	Elected
2	Taylor, J.	Labour Party	861	34.5%
3	Ramcharan, S.	Independent Oxford Alliance	512	20.5%
4	Taylor, L.	Green Party	153	6.1%
5	Stafford, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	105	4.2%

Electorate 5,183 · Ballots cast 2,499 · EC ward code E05013112 · Back to ward index

Barton and Sandhills · single-seat

Marginal winner 35.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,266

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Qayyum, A.	Labour Party	454	35.9%	Elected
2	Artwell, C.	Independent Oxford Alliance	402	31.8%
3	Nala-Hartley, J.	ND	173	13.7%
4	Sukumaran, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	119	9.4%
5	Rogers, P.	Liberal Democrats	118	9.3%

Electorate 4,521 · Ballots cast 1,266 · EC ward code E05013096 · Back to ward index

Summertown · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,730

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jupp, T.	Liberal Democrats	662	38.3%	Elected
2	Shuter, P.	Labour Party	589	34.0%
3	Pope, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	278	16.1%
4	Sigamany, I.	Green Party	201	11.6%

Electorate 4,212 · Ballots cast 1,730 · EC ward code E05013116 · Back to ward index

Blackbird Leys · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,844

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Smith, L.	Labour Party	423	22.9%	Elected
2	Arshad, L.	Labour Party	411	22.3%	Elected
3	Evans, M.	Independent	369	20.0%
4	McLean, S.	Independent	340	18.4%
5	Jones, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	72	3.9%
6	Muthoni, C.	Green Party	53	2.9%
7	Bennett, S.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	52	2.8%
8	Thomas, D.	Green Party	43	2.3%
9	Kantor, A.	Liberal Democrats	41	2.2%
10	Kowalska, A.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	40	2.2%

Electorate 4,012 · Ballots cast 1,844 · EC ward code E05013097 · Back to ward index

Cowley · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,147

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Yeatman, I.	Independent Oxford Alliance	842	39.2%	Elected
2	Hull, M.	Labour Party	614	28.6%
3	Urban, S.	Liberal Democrats	484	22.5%
4	Alston, S.	Green Party	113	5.3%
5	King, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	64	3.0%
6	Chapman, A.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	30	1.4%

Electorate 4,899 · Ballots cast 2,147 · EC ward code E05013100 · Back to ward index

Donnington · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,779

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Morris, M.	Green Party	701	39.4%	Elected
2	James, T.	Labour Party	536	30.1%
3	Banaras, H.	Independent Oxford Alliance	414	23.3%
4	Bazley, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	72	4.0%
5	Hitchcock, P.	Liberal Democrats	34	1.9%
6	Hone, K.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	22	1.2%

Electorate 4,509 · Ballots cast 1,779 · EC ward code E05013102 · Back to ward index

Headington · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,139

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Altaf-Khan, M.	Liberal Democrats	847	39.6%	Elected
2	West, P.	Independent	577	27.0%
3	Kaul, S.	Labour Party	485	22.7%
4	Hitchins, R.	Green Party	163	7.6%
5	Bajaj, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	67	3.1%

Electorate 4,774 · Ballots cast 2,139 · EC ward code E05013103 · Back to ward index

Northfield Brook · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 973

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ottino, S.	Labour Party	392	40.3%	Elected
2	De Sousa, S.	Independent Oxford Alliance	385	39.6%
3	Sims, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	68	7.0%
4	Newman, D.	Green Party	68	7.0%
5	Morlin, R.	Liberal Democrats	37	3.8%
6	Douglas-Brown, R.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	23	2.4%

Electorate 4,380 · Ballots cast 973 · EC ward code E05013110 · Back to ward index

Cutteslowe and Sunnymead · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,993

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gant, A.	Liberal Democrats	834	41.8%	Elected
2	Vinnicombe, C.	Labour Party	515	25.8%
3	McNeil, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	397	19.9%
4	Fox, J.	Green Party	247	12.4%

Electorate 4,979 · Ballots cast 1,993 · EC ward code E05013101 · Back to ward index

Lye Valley · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,484

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harley, J.	Independent Oxford Alliance	654	44.1%	Elected
2	Oshodi, I.	Labour Party	593	40.0%
3	Thorniley, J.	Green Party	120	8.1%
4	Patmore, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	70	4.7%
5	Joshua, B.	Liberal Democrats	47	3.2%

Electorate 4,098 · Ballots cast 1,484 · EC ward code E05013108 · Back to ward index

Rose Hill and Iffley · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,974

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Henwood, D.	Independent Oxford Alliance	870	44.1%	Elected
2	Paule, M.	Labour Party	814	41.2%
3	Stallard, H.	Green Party	159	8.1%
4	Jackson, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	61	3.1%
5	Norman, K.	Liberal Democrats	56	2.8%
6	Simwogerere, R.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	14	0.7%

Electorate 4,551 · Ballots cast 1,974 · EC ward code E05013113 · Back to ward index

Marston · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,943

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Clarkson, M.	Labour Party	868	44.7%	Elected
2	Robinson, K.	Green Party	718	37.0%
3	Hatfield, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	288	14.8%
4	Levy, D.	Liberal Democrats	69	3.6%

Electorate 4,624 · Ballots cast 1,943 · EC ward code E05013109 · Back to ward index

Holywell · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 981

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Regisford, D.	Green Party	452	46.1%	Elected
2	Cook, C.	Labour Party	372	37.9%
3	Judge, H.	Liberal Democrats	98	10.0%
4	Scaysbrook, E.	Independent	59	6.0%

Electorate 2,800 · Ballots cast 981 · EC ward code E05013106 · Back to ward index

St Mary's · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,910

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jarvis, C.	Green Party	890	46.6%	Elected
2	Leigh, M.	Labour Party	518	27.1%
3	Skinner, J.	Independent Oxford Alliance	409	21.4%
4	Whelan, R.	Liberal Democrats	43	2.3%
5	Robinson, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	28	1.5%
6	Munoz, O.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	22	1.2%

Electorate 5,061 · Ballots cast 1,910 · EC ward code E05013115 · Back to ward index

Littlemore · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,724

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Stares, A.	Independent Oxford Alliance	814	47.2%	Elected
2	Douglas, S.	Labour Party	730	42.3%
3	Blaxter, T.	Green Party	98	5.7%
4	Vogel, E.	Liberal Democrats	50	2.9%
5	Cox, R.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	32	1.9%

Electorate 4,429 · Ballots cast 1,724 · EC ward code E05013107 · Back to ward index

Temple Cowley · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,828

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Azad, M.	Independent	888	48.6%	Elected
2	Hicks, C.	Labour Party	657	35.9%
3	Scrase, R.	Green Party	129	7.1%
4	Brett, T.	Liberal Democrats	71	3.9%
5	Sims, F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	52	2.8%
6	Fedorov, B.	Workers Party of Britain	31	1.7%

Electorate 4,800 · Ballots cast 1,828 · EC ward code E05013117 · Back to ward index

Wolvercote · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.3 pts Valid ballots 1,669

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Goddard, S.	Liberal Democrats	839	50.3%	Elected
2	Siantonas, A.	Labour Party	383	22.9%
3	Campbell, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	276	16.5%
4	Lanchbery, P.	Green Party	171	10.2%

Electorate 3,846 · Ballots cast 1,669 · EC ward code E05013119 · Back to ward index

Hinksey Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.0 pts Valid ballots 1,799

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Railton, A.	Labour Party	917	51.0%	Elected
2	Christopher, B.	Independent Oxford Alliance	391	21.7%
3	Young, N.	Green Party	337	18.7%
4	Tanner, R.	Liberal Democrats	95	5.3%
5	Howell, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	59	3.3%

Electorate 4,350 · Ballots cast 1,799 · EC ward code E05013105 · Back to ward index

Churchill · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.4 pts Valid ballots 1,113

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lygo, M.	Labour Party	572	51.4%	Elected
2	Bhagwandin, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	188	16.9%
3	Watts, D.	Green Party	145	13.0%
4	Morbin, J.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	111	10.0%
5	Coggins, P.	Liberal Democrats	97	8.7%

Electorate 4,721 · Ballots cast 1,113 · EC ward code E05013099 · Back to ward index

Headington Hill and Northway · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.7 pts Valid ballots 1,215

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Chapman, N.	Labour Party	653	53.7%	Elected
2	Hurt, S.	Green Party	216	17.8%
3	Horsfall-Turner, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	205	16.9%
4	Packford, H.	Liberal Democrats	141	11.6%

Electorate 4,162 · Ballots cast 1,215 · EC ward code E05013104 · Back to ward index

Osney and St Thomas · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.5 pts Valid ballots 1,654

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Pressel, S.	Labour Party	902	54.5%	Elected
2	Edwards, S.	Green Party	567	34.3%
3	Rosser, A.	Liberal Democrats	100	6.0%
4	Van Ryeneveld, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	85	5.1%

Electorate 4,418 · Ballots cast 1,654 · EC ward code E05013111 · Back to ward index

Carfax and Jericho · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.6 pts Valid ballots 1,217

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Diggins, L.	Labour Party	689	56.6%	Elected
2	Garnett, E.	Green Party	323	26.5%
3	Frankopan, J.	Liberal Democrats	113	9.3%
4	Elliott, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	92	7.6%

Electorate 3,625 · Ballots cast 1,217 · EC ward code E05013098 · Back to ward index

Walton Manor · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.9 pts Valid ballots 1,446

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fry, J.	Labour Party	837	57.9%	Elected
2	Wade, L.	Liberal Democrats	246	17.0%
3	Goodall, C.	Green Party	232	16.0%
4	Lenon, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	131	9.1%

Electorate 3,467 · Ballots cast 1,446 · EC ward code E05013118 · Back to ward index