← North Warwickshire (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

North Warwickshire 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

17 ward races
35 seats
27 elected below the proportional quota
77.1% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 17 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 35 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party13,78547.9%1748.6%1748.6%0
Labour Party13,05545.4%1542.9%1645.7%-1
Independent1,6085.6%38.6%25.7%+1
Green Party1600.6%00.0%00.0%0
Heritage Party1510.5%00.0%00.0%0
Total28,759100.0%35100.0%35100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Water Orton · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,697

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Stuart, S.Independent43325.5%Elected
2Reilly, D.Conservative and Unionist Party38422.6%Elected
3Lee, M.Conservative and Unionist Party33519.7%
4Freeman, F.Independent29217.2%
5Foley, T.Labour Party1649.7%
6Broughton, J.Labour Party895.2%

Electorate 2,701 · Ballots cast 1,697 · Back to ward index

Atherstone South & Mancetter · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,674

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Barnett, M.Labour Party45327.1%Elected
2Clews, D.Conservative and Unionist Party42125.1%Elected
3Stanley, M.Labour Party40124.0%
4Clews, A.Conservative and Unionist Party39923.8%

Electorate 2,931 · Ballots cast 1,674 · Back to ward index

Arley & Whitacre · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,523

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gosling, J.Labour Party76721.8%Elected
2Jackson, M.Labour Party62317.7%Elected
3Turley, N.Labour Party59416.9%Elected
4Norgrove, H.Conservative and Unionist Party50714.4%
5Jones, C.Conservative and Unionist Party46213.1%
6Parker, K.Conservative and Unionist Party41911.9%
7Downes, P.Heritage Party1514.3%

Electorate 4,488 · Ballots cast 3,523 · Back to ward index

Atherstone North · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,491

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Jarvis, R.Conservative and Unionist Party39426.4%Elected
2Singh, M.Conservative and Unionist Party37825.4%Elected
3Pickard, D.Labour Party36924.7%
4Smith, J.Labour Party35023.5%

Electorate 2,839 · Ballots cast 1,491 · Back to ward index

Newton Regis & Warton · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,065

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Humphreys, D.Conservative and Unionist Party52625.5%Elected
2Ririe, B.Labour Party52525.4%Elected
3Humphreys, M.Conservative and Unionist Party52025.2%
4Whapples, F.Labour Party49423.9%

Electorate 3,090 · Ballots cast 2,065 · Back to ward index

Coleshill North · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,423

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Farrow, J.Labour Party40028.1%Elected
2Fowler, P.Conservative and Unionist Party36925.9%Elected
3Richardson, A.Labour Party33923.8%
4Lewis, C.Conservative and Unionist Party31522.1%

Electorate 2,494 · Ballots cast 1,423 · Back to ward index

Polesworth East · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 26.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,528

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Parsons, D.Labour Party53234.8%Elected
2Chapman, N.Labour Party40126.2%Elected
3Hancocks, D.Conservative and Unionist Party32621.3%
4Bayley, J.Conservative and Unionist Party26917.6%

Electorate 2,932 · Ballots cast 1,528 · Back to ward index

Coleshill South · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 26.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +6.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,558

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Symonds, C.Conservative and Unionist Party53334.2%Elected
2Hayfield, C.Conservative and Unionist Party41626.7%Elected
3Brett, A.Labour Party30519.6%
4Brown, K.Labour Party30419.5%

Electorate 2,786 · Ballots cast 1,558 · Back to ward index

Hartshill · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 27.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +6.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,518

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bell, T.Conservative and Unionist Party43628.7%Elected
2Hobley, K.Labour Party41227.1%Elected
3Parsons, E.Labour Party34522.7%
4Parker, M.Conservative and Unionist Party32521.4%

Electorate 2,832 · Ballots cast 1,518 · Back to ward index

Baddesley & Grendon · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 27.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +6.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,134

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Wright, A.Conservative and Unionist Party63729.9%Elected
2Davey, B.Conservative and Unionist Party58327.3%Elected
3Sharp, M.Labour Party48222.6%
4Sweet, N.Labour Party43220.2%

Electorate 3,425 · Ballots cast 2,134 · Back to ward index

Kingsbury · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 27.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +5.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,487

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Jenns, A.Conservative and Unionist Party56938.3%Elected
2Bates, D.Conservative and Unionist Party41027.6%Elected
3Page, P.Labour Party22214.9%
4Jalaf, S.Labour Party17511.8%
5Ayasamy, S.Independent1117.5%

Electorate 2,851 · Ballots cast 1,487 · Back to ward index

Polesworth West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 29.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +4.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,347

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Whapples, E.Labour Party40329.9%Elected
2Osborne, M.Labour Party39429.3%Elected
3Hanratty, S.Conservative and Unionist Party28321.0%
4Hancocks, S.Conservative and Unionist Party26719.8%

Electorate 2,448 · Ballots cast 1,347 · Back to ward index

Hurley & Wood End · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 30.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,704

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Phillips, O.Labour Party52130.6%Elected
2Phillips, H.Labour Party52130.6%Elected
3Given, J.Conservative and Unionist Party36021.1%
4Holt, D.Conservative and Unionist Party30217.7%

Electorate 2,960 · Ballots cast 1,704 · Back to ward index

Dordon · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 31.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,163

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Melia, B.Independent41135.3%Elected
2Ridley, D.Independent36131.0%Elected
3Morson, P.Labour Party21818.7%
4Phillips, A.Labour Party17314.9%

Electorate 2,283 · Ballots cast 1,163 · Back to ward index

Curdworth · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 31.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +1.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,638

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Smith, S.Conservative and Unionist Party56634.6%Elected
2Watson, M.Conservative and Unionist Party52131.8%Elected
3Banner, C.Labour Party22013.4%
4Banner, M.Labour Party17110.4%
5Harris, J.Green Party1609.8%

Electorate 2,675 · Ballots cast 1,638 · Back to ward index

Atherstone Central · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 33.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +0.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,216

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Dirveiks, N.Labour Party41334.0%Elected
2Taylor, R.Labour Party40333.1%Elected
3Jordan, M.Conservative and Unionist Party21617.8%
4Gurney, P.Conservative and Unionist Party18415.1%

Electorate 2,895 · Ballots cast 1,216 · Back to ward index

Fillongley · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 34.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −1.6 pts Valid ballots 1,593

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Simpson, M.Conservative and Unionist Party59737.5%Elected
2Wright, D.Conservative and Unionist Party55634.9%Elected
3Doyle, J.Labour Party22514.1%
4Hodkinson, D.Labour Party21513.5%

Electorate 2,744 · Ballots cast 1,593 · Back to ward index