← North Lincolnshire (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

North Lincolnshire 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

19 ward races

43 seats

30 elected below the proportional quota

69.8% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 19 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 43 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	41,514	51.4%	27	62.8%	23	53.5%	+4
Labour Party	33,138	41.0%	16	37.2%	18	41.9%	-2
Green Party	4,562	5.6%	0	0.0%	2	4.7%	-2
Independent	1,361	1.7%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Heritage Party	119	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)	112	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	80,806	100.0%	43	100.0%	43	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Barton · 3 seats · won at 13.7% · +11.3 pts below quota
Ridge · 2 seats · won at 25.5% · +7.8 pts below quota
Bottesford · 3 seats · won at 17.3% · +7.7 pts below quota
Ferry · 3 seats · won at 18.1% · +6.9 pts below quota
Broughton & Scawby · 2 seats · won at 27.9% · +5.4 pts below quota
Burton upon Stather & Winterton · 3 seats · won at 19.8% · +5.2 pts below quota
Ashby Central · 2 seats · won at 29.9% · +3.4 pts below quota
Axholme North · 2 seats · won at 30.8% · +2.5 pts below quota
Crosby & Park · 3 seats · won at 22.7% · +2.3 pts below quota
Brumby · 3 seats · won at 23.0% · +2.0 pts below quota
Brigg & Wolds · 3 seats · won at 23.2% · +1.8 pts below quota
Ashby Lakeside · 2 seats · won at 31.9% · +1.4 pts below quota
Kingsway with Lincoln Gardens · 2 seats · won at 32.3% · +1.0 pts below quota
Axholme Central · 2 seats · won at 33.3% · above quota
Burringham & Gunness · 1 seat · won at 50.7% · above quota
Frodingham · 2 seats · won at 35.5% · above quota
Town · 2 seats · won at 36.3% · above quota
Axholme South · 2 seats · won at 38.3% · above quota
Messingham · 1 seat · won at 61.4% · above quota

Race results

Barton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,030

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Vickers, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,568	19.5%	Elected
2	Vickers, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,252	15.6%	Elected
3	Patterson, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,101	13.7%	Elected
4	Jacques, N.	Green Party	1,037	12.9%
5	Thornton, C.	Green Party	820	10.2%
6	Watson, A.	Green Party	709	8.8%
7	Turner, N.	Labour Party	558	6.9%
8	Turner, S.	Labour Party	530	6.6%
9	Tchernych, D.	Labour Party	455	5.7%

Electorate 9,332 · Ballots cast 8,030 · Back to ward index

Ridge · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,929

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Garritt, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	817	27.9%	Elected
2	Foster, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	748	25.5%	Elected
3	Davies, M.	Labour Party	558	19.1%
4	Cossey, G.	Labour Party	496	16.9%
5	Stirling, J.	Green Party	198	6.8%
6	Talliss, A.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	112	3.8%

Electorate 4,947 · Ballots cast 2,929 · Back to ward index

Bottesford · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,787

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Armiger, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,582	18.0%	Elected
2	Longcake, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,535	17.5%	Elected
3	Davison, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,520	17.3%	Elected
4	Williams, G.	Labour Party	1,348	15.3%
5	Shearer, P.	Labour Party	1,280	14.6%
6	Humphreys, S.	Labour Party	1,232	14.0%
7	Wilsea, S.	Green Party	171	1.9%
8	Curtis, S.	Heritage Party	119	1.4%

Electorate 8,829 · Ballots cast 8,787 · Back to ward index

Ferry · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 18.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +6.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,862

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Clark, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,479	21.6%	Elected
2	Hannigan, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,362	19.8%	Elected
3	Wells, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,243	18.1%	Elected
4	Wilkinson, P.	Labour Party	824	12.0%
5	Swann, P.	Labour Party	821	12.0%
6	Rayner, S.	Labour Party	611	8.9%
7	Stephenson, S.	Green Party	522	7.6%

Electorate 9,104 · Ballots cast 6,862 · Back to ward index

Broughton & Scawby · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 27.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +5.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,880

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ross, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	528	28.1%	Elected
2	Lee, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	525	27.9%	Elected
3	Campion, M.	Labour Party	367	19.5%
4	Whittingham, C.	Labour Party	355	18.9%
5	Bannister, M.	Green Party	105	5.6%

Electorate 6,112 · Ballots cast 1,880 · Back to ward index

Burton upon Stather & Winterton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,950

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ogg, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,037	20.5%	Elected
2	Marper, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,975	19.8%	Elected
3	Rowson, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,974	19.8%	Elected
4	Jarvis, S.	Labour Party	1,305	13.1%
5	Davey, T.	Labour Party	1,200	12.1%
6	Brown, W.	Labour Party	1,158	11.6%
7	Baker, J.	Green Party	301	3.0%

Electorate 9,662 · Ballots cast 9,950 · Back to ward index

Ashby Central · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 29.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +3.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,602

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Grant, M.	Labour Party	784	30.1%	Elected
2	Davison, A.	Labour Party	778	29.9%	Elected
3	Knight, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	521	20.0%
4	Broughton, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	519	19.9%

Electorate 6,018 · Ballots cast 2,602 · Back to ward index

Axholme North · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 30.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,849

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Reed, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,207	31.4%	Elected
2	Briggs, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,187	30.8%	Elected
3	Chaplin, L.	Labour Party	663	17.2%
4	O'Rourke, S.	Labour Party	589	15.3%
5	Bones, N.	Green Party	203	5.3%

Electorate 6,441 · Ballots cast 3,849 · Back to ward index

Crosby & Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,249

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	O'Sullivan, C.	Labour Party	1,147	27.0%	Elected
2	Ahmed, N.	Labour Party	999	23.5%	Elected
3	Yates, H.	Labour Party	965	22.7%	Elected
4	Kirk, M.	Independent	524	12.3%
5	Rahman, L.	Independent	327	7.7%
6	Chowdhury, M.	Independent	287	6.8%

Electorate 9,428 · Ballots cast 4,249 · Back to ward index

Brumby · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,954

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Foster, L.	Labour Party	993	25.1%	Elected
2	Armitage, S.	Labour Party	920	23.3%	Elected
3	Swift, S.	Labour Party	909	23.0%	Elected
4	Mikkonen, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	397	10.0%
5	Sherwood, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	369	9.3%
6	Hannigan, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	366	9.3%

Electorate 8,463 · Ballots cast 3,954 · Back to ward index

Brigg & Wolds · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +1.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,896

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Waltham, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,181	24.5%	Elected
2	Sherwood, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,108	23.7%	Elected
3	Sherwood, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,062	23.2%	Elected
4	Walker, G.	Labour Party	769	8.6%
5	Rayner, L.	Labour Party	654	7.4%
6	Whitaker-Clark, M.	Labour Party	626	7.0%
7	Haynes, J.	Green Party	496	5.6%

Electorate 9,617 · Ballots cast 8,896 · Back to ward index

Ashby Lakeside · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 31.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +1.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,120

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bell, M.	Labour Party	687	32.4%	Elected
2	Matthews, J.	Labour Party	677	31.9%	Elected
3	Saunby, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	416	19.6%
4	Sykes, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	340	16.0%

Electorate 5,605 · Ballots cast 2,120 · Back to ward index

Kingsway with Lincoln Gardens · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 32.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +1.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,264

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gosling, A.	Labour Party	1,100	33.7%	Elected
2	Rayner, H.	Labour Party	1,055	32.3%	Elected
3	Mewis, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	598	18.3%
4	Marper, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	511	15.7%

Electorate 6,367 · Ballots cast 3,264 · Back to ward index

Axholme Central · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 33.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference 0.0 pts Valid ballots 3,422

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mitchell, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,265	37.0%	Elected
2	Robinson, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,141	33.3%	Elected
3	Allen, P.	Labour Party	574	16.8%
4	Jones, A.	Labour Party	442	12.9%

Electorate 5,979 · Ballots cast 3,422 · Back to ward index

Burringham & Gunness · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.7 pts Valid ballots 1,134

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Walshe, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	575	50.7%	Elected
2	Hart, D.	Labour Party	336	29.6%
3	Oldfield, D.	Independent	223	19.7%

Electorate 2,952 · Ballots cast 1,134 · Back to ward index

Frodingham · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 35.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −2.1 pts Valid ballots 1,886

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ellerby, A.	Labour Party	742	39.3%	Elected
2	Southern, D.	Labour Party	669	35.5%	Elected
3	Foster, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	259	13.7%
4	Allen, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	216	11.5%

Electorate 5,900 · Ballots cast 1,886 · Back to ward index

Town · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 36.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −3.0 pts Valid ballots 2,325

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Yeadon, L.	Labour Party	870	37.4%	Elected
2	Ali, M.	Labour Party	844	36.3%	Elected
3	Ahmed, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	323	13.9%
4	Anjum, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	288	12.4%

Electorate 6,024 · Ballots cast 2,325 · Back to ward index

Axholme South · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 38.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −4.9 pts Valid ballots 3,502

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rose, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,364	38.9%	Elected
2	Kennedy, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,340	38.3%	Elected
3	Southern, L.	Labour Party	400	11.4%
4	Parkinson, N.	Labour Party	398	11.4%

Electorate 5,820 · Ballots cast 3,502 · Back to ward index

Messingham · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.4 pts Valid ballots 1,165

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Poole, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	715	61.4%	Elected
2	Shaw, S.	Labour Party	450	38.6%

Electorate 3,182 · Ballots cast 1,165 · Back to ward index