← North Hertfordshire (all cycles) · 1 May 2025 cohort
North Hertfordshire 2025
Local elections held 1 May 2025.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 9 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 9 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 10,175 | 27.0% | 4 | 44.4% | 3 | 33.3% | +1 |
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 9,243 | 24.6% | 2 | 22.2% | 3 | 33.3% | -1 |
| Reform UK | 7,422 | 19.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 22.2% | -2 |
| Labour and Co-operative Party | 5,635 | 15.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 1 | 11.1% | +2 |
| Green Party | 3,065 | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Labour Party | 1,995 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Christian Peoples Alliance | 93 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 37,628 | 100.0% | 9 | 100.0% | 9 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Letchworth North · 1 seat · won at 29.7% · +20.3 pts below quota
- Hitchin Rural · 1 seat · won at 33.8% · +16.2 pts below quota
- Letchworth South · 1 seat · won at 35.2% · +14.8 pts below quota
- Baldock & Letchworth East · 1 seat · won at 35.4% · +14.6 pts below quota
- Knebworth & Codicote · 1 seat · won at 38.4% · +11.6 pts below quota
- Royston East & Ermine · 1 seat · won at 39.1% · +10.9 pts below quota
- Hitchin North · 1 seat · won at 41.9% · +8.1 pts below quota
- Hitchin South · 1 seat · won at 43.5% · +6.5 pts below quota
- Royston West & Rural · 1 seat · won at 48.7% · +1.3 pts below quota
Race results
Letchworth North · single-seat
Marginal winner 29.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +20.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,836
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tina Bhartwas | Labour and Co-operative Party | 1,141 | 29.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Harrison Edwards | Reform UK | 984 | 25.7% | |
| 3 | Hammad Baig | Conservative and Unionist Party | 856 | 22.3% | |
| 4 | Claire Winchester | Liberal Democrats | 457 | 11.9% | |
| 5 | David Paul Morris | Green Party | 398 | 10.4% |
Hitchin Rural · single-seat
Marginal winner 33.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +16.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,856
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Barnard | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,302 | 33.8% | Elected |
| 2 | Nigel Mason | Labour Party | 852 | 22.1% | |
| 3 | Ravi Odedra | Reform UK | 836 | 21.7% | |
| 4 | Sal Jarvis | Liberal Democrats | 488 | 12.7% | |
| 5 | Mary Karin Marshall | Green Party | 350 | 9.1% | |
| 6 | Bob Adams | Christian Peoples Alliance | 28 | 0.7% |
Letchworth South · single-seat
Marginal winner 35.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,229
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Prendergast | Liberal Democrats | 1,489 | 35.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Terry Hone | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,079 | 25.5% | |
| 3 | Garry Warren | Reform UK | 783 | 18.5% | |
| 4 | Amy Allen | Labour and Co-operative Party | 632 | 14.9% | |
| 5 | Dugald James Muir | Green Party | 246 | 5.8% |
Baldock & Letchworth East · single-seat
Marginal winner 35.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,046
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Willoughby | Labour and Co-operative Party | 1,432 | 35.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Muir | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,218 | 30.1% | |
| 3 | Pippa Clayton | Reform UK | 735 | 18.2% | |
| 4 | David Chalmers | Liberal Democrats | 379 | 9.4% | |
| 5 | Tim Lee | Green Party | 282 | 7.0% |
Knebworth & Codicote · single-seat
Marginal winner 38.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,985
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ralph Muncer | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,531 | 38.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Sandreni Bonfante | Liberal Democrats | 999 | 25.1% | |
| 3 | James Murray-Watson | Reform UK | 845 | 21.2% | |
| 4 | Daniel Allen | Labour Party | 345 | 8.7% | |
| 5 | Des Stephens | Green Party | 265 | 6.6% |
Royston East & Ermine · single-seat
Marginal winner 39.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,380
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ruth Brown | Liberal Democrats | 1,711 | 39.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Fraser Jones | Reform UK | 1,033 | 23.6% | |
| 3 | Callum Lachlan Bartram-Bell | Conservative and Unionist Party | 996 | 22.7% | |
| 4 | Sarah Lucas | Labour and Co-operative Party | 372 | 8.5% | |
| 5 | Peter Wilkin | Green Party | 268 | 6.1% |
Hitchin North · single-seat
Marginal winner 41.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,101
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Albert | Labour and Co-operative Party | 1,718 | 41.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Deolinda Maria Eltringham | Green Party | 737 | 18.0% | |
| 3 | Ashley Brandon | Reform UK | 622 | 15.2% | |
| 4 | Michael Goddard | Conservative and Unionist Party | 581 | 14.2% | |
| 5 | Dominic Griffiths | Liberal Democrats | 415 | 10.1% | |
| 6 | Daisy Appoh | Christian Peoples Alliance | 28 | 0.7% |
Hitchin South · single-seat
Marginal winner 43.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,643
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Lucas | Liberal Democrats | 2,020 | 43.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Anthony John-Goodman | Conservative and Unionist Party | 889 | 19.1% | |
| 3 | Indie Sunner | Labour Party | 798 | 17.2% | |
| 4 | Tracy Maney | Reform UK | 590 | 12.7% | |
| 5 | Elizabeth Ryder Ford | Green Party | 309 | 6.7% | |
| 6 | Sid Cordle | Christian Peoples Alliance | 37 | 0.8% |
Royston West & Rural · single-seat
Marginal winner 48.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,552
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Jarvis | Liberal Democrats | 2,217 | 48.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Alan Deeney | Reform UK | 994 | 21.8% | |
| 3 | Suzy Brandes | Conservative and Unionist Party | 791 | 17.4% | |
| 4 | Vijaiya Poopalasingham | Labour and Co-operative Party | 340 | 7.5% | |
| 5 | Julie Rackham | Green Party | 210 | 4.6% |