← North Hertfordshire (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

North Hertfordshire 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

16 ward races

16 seats

7 elected below the proportional quota

43.8% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Liberal Democrats	9,237	32.4%	8	50.0%	6	37.5%	+2
Conservative and Unionist Party	8,622	30.3%	3	18.8%	5	31.3%	-2
Labour Party	7,365	25.9%	5	31.3%	4	25.0%	+1
Green Party	2,140	7.5%	0	0.0%	1	6.3%	-1
Independent	778	2.7%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	204	0.7%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Christian Peoples Alliance	142	0.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	28,488	100.0%	16	100.0%	16	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Royston Palace · 1 seat · won at 37.8% · +12.2 pts below quota
Letchworth South East · 1 seat · won at 38.4% · +11.6 pts below quota
Baldock Town · 1 seat · won at 42.8% · +7.2 pts below quota
Chesfield · 1 seat · won at 42.9% · +7.1 pts below quota
Letchworth Grange · 1 seat · won at 44.2% · +5.8 pts below quota
Letchworth South West · 1 seat · won at 46.3% · +3.7 pts below quota
Hitchin Walsworth · 1 seat · won at 49.5% · +0.5 pts below quota
Hitchwood Offa & Hoo · 1 seat · won at 50.1% · above quota
Royston Meridian · 1 seat · won at 51.7% · above quota
Royston Heath · 1 seat · won at 51.7% · above quota
Arbury · 1 seat · won at 53.7% · above quota
Hitchin Bearton · 1 seat · won at 55.0% · above quota
Ermine · 1 seat · won at 56.2% · above quota
Cadwell · 1 seat · won at 56.7% · above quota
Hitchin Highbury · 1 seat · won at 62.8% · above quota
Weston & Sandon · 1 seat · won at 78.6% · above quota

Race results

Royston Palace · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,454

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brownjohn, C.	Labour Party	549	37.8%	Elected
2	Green, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	364	25.0%
3	Inwood, R.	Independent	304	20.9%
4	Freeman, E.	Liberal Democrats	237	16.3%

Electorate 4,259 · Ballots cast 1,454 · Back to ward index

Letchworth South East · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,928

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Debenham, M.	Labour Party	741	38.4%	Elected
2	Clare, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	711	36.9%
3	Marment, P.	Liberal Democrats	237	12.3%
4	Hart, M.	Green Party	135	7.0%
5	Warren, G.	Reform UK	104	5.4%

Electorate 5,246 · Ballots cast 1,928 · Back to ward index

Baldock Town · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,143

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Muir, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	917	42.8%	Elected
2	Toone, J.	Labour Party	774	36.1%
3	Thomas, S.	Liberal Democrats	279	13.0%
4	Lee, T.	Green Party	173	8.1%

Electorate 5,638 · Ballots cast 2,143 · Back to ward index

Chesfield · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,625

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Griffiths, D.	Liberal Democrats	697	42.9%	Elected
2	Patmore, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	509	31.3%
3	Poopalasingham, V.	Labour Party	419	25.8%

Electorate 5,119 · Ballots cast 1,625 · Back to ward index

Letchworth Grange · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,900

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Marsh, D.	Labour Party	839	44.2%	Elected
2	Edwards, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	608	32.0%
3	Morris, D.	Green Party	205	10.8%
4	Jarvis, S.	Liberal Democrats	148	7.8%
5	Adelantado, S.	Reform UK	100	5.3%

Electorate 5,489 · Ballots cast 1,900 · Back to ward index

Letchworth South West · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,644

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Prendergast, S.	Liberal Democrats	1,223	46.3%	Elected
2	Derbyshire, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	897	33.9%
3	Billing, S.	Labour Party	344	13.0%
4	Muir, D.	Green Party	180	6.8%

Electorate 5,911 · Ballots cast 2,644 · Back to ward index

Hitchin Walsworth · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,227

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wright-Mason, D.	Labour Party	1,103	49.5%	Elected
2	Forsyth, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	482	21.6%
3	Townsend, L.	Liberal Democrats	312	14.0%
4	Lavin, W.	Green Party	272	12.2%
5	Smith, A.	Christian Peoples Alliance	58	2.6%

Electorate 6,134 · Ballots cast 2,227 · Back to ward index

Hitchwood Offa & Hoo · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.1 pts Valid ballots 2,375

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Barnard, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,191	50.1%	Elected
2	Maniega, S.	Liberal Democrats	445	18.7%
3	Clark, N.	Green Party	421	17.7%
4	Hogan, T.	Labour Party	318	13.4%

Electorate 5,976 · Ballots cast 2,375 · Back to ward index

Royston Meridian · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.7 pts Valid ballots 1,638

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Barnes, M.	Liberal Democrats	847	51.7%	Elected
2	Boakes, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	435	26.6%
3	Haugh, L.	Independent	173	10.6%
4	Lockett, S.	Labour Party	130	7.9%
5	Stephens, D.	Green Party	53	3.2%

Electorate 4,248 · Ballots cast 1,638 · Back to ward index

Royston Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.7 pts Valid ballots 1,844

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	May, B.	Liberal Democrats	954	51.7%	Elected
2	Baig, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	394	21.4%
3	Antony, M.	Independent	301	16.3%
4	Garland, K.	Labour Party	195	10.6%

Electorate 4,476 · Ballots cast 1,844 · Back to ward index

Arbury · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.7 pts Valid ballots 1,150

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Tyson, T.	Liberal Democrats	618	53.7%	Elected
2	Da Costa, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	437	38.0%
3	Chapman, L.	Labour Party	53	4.6%
4	Malcolm, D.	Green Party	42	3.7%

Electorate 2,259 · Ballots cast 1,150 · Back to ward index

Hitchin Bearton · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.0 pts Valid ballots 2,380

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Winstanley, D.	Labour Party	1,309	55.0%	Elected
2	Eltringham, D.	Green Party	382	16.1%
3	Laing, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	341	14.3%
4	Clayden, J.	Liberal Democrats	302	12.7%
5	Cordle, S.	Christian Peoples Alliance	46	1.9%

Electorate 6,290 · Ballots cast 2,380 · Back to ward index

Ermine · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.2 pts Valid ballots 921

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Morris, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	518	56.2%	Elected
2	Rainey, H.	Liberal Democrats	197	21.4%
3	Parker, H.	Green Party	107	11.6%
4	West, V.	Labour Party	99	10.7%

Electorate 2,144 · Ballots cast 921 · Back to ward index

Cadwell · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.7 pts Valid ballots 847

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Peace, L.	Liberal Democrats	480	56.7%	Elected
2	Williams, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	235	27.7%
3	Trangmar, A.	Labour Party	75	8.9%
4	Sander, A.	Green Party	57	6.7%

Electorate 1,973 · Ballots cast 847 · Back to ward index

Hitchin Highbury · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.8 pts Valid ballots 2,670

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hoskins, K.	Liberal Democrats	1,678	62.8%	Elected
2	Parmar, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	479	17.9%
3	Griggs, A.	Labour Party	362	13.6%
4	Vukmirovic, K.	Green Party	113	4.2%
5	Smith, L.	Christian Peoples Alliance	38	1.4%

Electorate 6,191 · Ballots cast 2,670 · Back to ward index

Weston & Sandon · single-seat

Marginal winner 78.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −28.6 pts Valid ballots 742

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jarvis, S.	Liberal Democrats	583	78.6%	Elected
2	Derbyshire, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	104	14.0%
3	Cameron, R.	Labour Party	55	7.4%

Electorate 1,621 · Ballots cast 742 · Back to ward index