← North Hertfordshire (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

North Hertfordshire 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

24 ward races

24 seats

17 elected below the proportional quota

70.8% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 24 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 24 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	31,238	42.3%	13	54.2%	11	45.8%	+2
Labour Party	19,345	26.2%	7	29.2%	6	25.0%	+1
Liberal Democrats	15,633	21.1%	4	16.7%	5	20.8%	-1
Green Party	7,105	9.6%	0	0.0%	2	8.3%	-2
Christian Peoples Alliance	231	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Independent	167	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	150	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Social Democratic Party	39	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	22	0.0%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	73,930	100.0%	24	100.0%	24	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Hitchin South · 1 seat · won at 37.7% · +12.3 pts below quota
Hitchin Oughton · 1 seat · won at 39.1% · +10.9 pts below quota
Hitchin Walsworth · 1 seat · won at 41.4% · +8.6 pts below quota
Hitchin Priory · 1 seat · won at 42.0% · +8.0 pts below quota
Chesfield · 1 seat · won at 42.7% · +7.3 pts below quota
Baldock East · 1 seat · won at 43.3% · +6.7 pts below quota
Letchworth East · 1 seat · won at 44.4% · +5.6 pts below quota
Baldock & Letchworth East · 1 seat · won at 45.1% · +4.9 pts below quota
Letchworth North · 1 seat · won at 45.7% · +4.3 pts below quota
Letchworth South West · 1 seat · won at 46.3% · +3.7 pts below quota
Letchworth South East · 1 seat · won at 46.4% · +3.6 pts below quota
Letchworth South · 1 seat · won at 47.7% · +2.3 pts below quota
Letchworth Grange · 1 seat · won at 48.0% · +2.0 pts below quota
Baldock Town · 1 seat · won at 48.3% · +1.7 pts below quota
Hitchin Rural · 1 seat · won at 48.4% · +1.6 pts below quota
Hitchin Highbury · 1 seat · won at 48.4% · +1.6 pts below quota
Hitchin Bearton · 1 seat · won at 49.4% · +0.6 pts below quota
Royston East & Ermine · 1 seat · won at 50.9% · above quota
Royston West & Rural · 1 seat · won at 51.7% · above quota
Hitchwood Offa & Hoo · 1 seat · won at 52.4% · above quota
Hitchin North · 1 seat · won at 52.4% · above quota
Letchworth Wilbury · 1 seat · won at 54.0% · above quota
Knebworth & Codicote · 1 seat · won at 55.5% · above quota
Knebworth · 1 seat · won at 57.5% · above quota

Race results

Hitchin South · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,114

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Clark P.	Liberal Democrats	1,930	37.7%	Elected
2	Ashley D.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,888	36.9%
3	Dennis-Harburg E.L.	Labour Party	765	15.0%
4	Larsen S.	Green Party	455	8.9%
5	Smith L.	Christian Peoples Alliance	54	1.1%
6	Clare B.J.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	22	0.4%

Electorate 10,877 · Ballots cast 5,114 · EC ward code E58000642 · Back to ward index

Hitchin Oughton · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,281

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mason N.D.	Labour Party	501	39.1%	Elected
2	Patmore S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	369	28.8%
3	Marshall M.K.	Green Party	245	19.1%
4	Grunshaw T.J.	Liberal Democrats	101	7.9%
5	McDonald J.M.	Independent	65	5.1%

Electorate 3,712 · Ballots cast 1,281 · EC ward code E05004770 · Back to ward index

Hitchin Walsworth · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,790

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dennis-Harburg E.L.	Labour Party	1,154	41.4%	Elected
2	Laing C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,042	37.3%
3	Townsend L.	Liberal Democrats	301	10.8%
4	Larsen S.	Green Party	293	10.5%

Electorate 6,298 · Ballots cast 2,790 · EC ward code E05004772 · Back to ward index

Hitchin Priory · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,874

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Thake R.A.C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	787	42.0%	Elected
2	Bhakar R.	Liberal Democrats	548	29.2%
3	Taylor P.M.	Labour Party	286	15.3%
4	Stephens D.	Green Party	233	12.4%
5	Cordle S.	Christian Peoples Alliance	20	1.1%

Electorate 3,807 · Ballots cast 1,874 · EC ward code E05004771 · Back to ward index

Chesfield · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,706

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Tyler T.	Liberal Democrats	728	42.7%	Elected
2	Griffiths D.J.C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	727	42.6%
3	Hogan T.	Labour Party	251	14.7%

Electorate 5,285 · Ballots cast 1,706 · EC ward code E05004765 · Back to ward index

Baldock East · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,142

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cowell J.T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	495	43.3%	Elected
2	Winter R.W.	Liberal Democrats	302	26.4%
3	Chapman L.J.	Labour Party	212	18.6%
4	Turner J.L.	Green Party	133	11.6%

Electorate 2,334 · Ballots cast 1,142 · EC ward code E05004762 · Back to ward index

Letchworth East · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,600

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mantle I.	Labour Party	711	44.4%	Elected
2	Durston J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	467	29.2%
3	Morris D.P.	Green Party	205	12.8%
4	Spencer M.R.P.	Liberal Democrats	115	7.2%
5	Ross P.	Independent	102	6.4%

Electorate 4,477 · Ballots cast 1,600 · EC ward code E05004776 · Back to ward index

Baldock & Letchworth East · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,354

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Muir M.D.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,963	45.1%	Elected
2	Chapman L.J.	Labour Party	1,251	28.7%
3	Winter R.W.	Liberal Democrats	624	14.3%
4	Lee T.	Green Party	516	11.9%

Electorate 10,777 · Ballots cast 4,354 · EC ward code E58000602 · Back to ward index

Letchworth North · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,468

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bhartwas T.	Labour Party	2,044	45.7%	Elected
2	Bloxham S.N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,998	44.7%
3	Evans J.	Liberal Democrats	426	9.5%

Electorate 11,888 · Ballots cast 4,468 · EC ward code E58000647 · Back to ward index

Letchworth South West · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,758

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hone T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,276	46.3%	Elected
2	Weeder P.	Liberal Democrats	724	26.3%
3	Plater T.	Labour Party	474	17.2%
4	Borgars A.E.	Green Party	245	8.9%
5	McGetrick M.	Social Democratic Party	39	1.4%

Electorate 6,054 · Ballots cast 2,758 · EC ward code E05004779 · Back to ward index

Letchworth South East · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,081

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Levett D.C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	966	46.4%	Elected
2	Stears-Handscomb M.J.	Labour Party	726	34.9%
3	Marment P.A.J.	Liberal Democrats	175	8.4%
4	Middleton H.T.	Green Party	155	7.4%
5	Warren G.E.	Reform UK	59	2.8%

Electorate 5,374 · Ballots cast 2,081 · EC ward code E05004778 · Back to ward index

Letchworth South · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,722

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hone T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,254	47.7%	Elected
2	Allen A.D.	Labour Party	1,163	24.6%
3	Weeder P.	Liberal Democrats	830	17.6%
4	Borgars A.E.	Green Party	384	8.1%
5	Warren G.E.	Reform UK	91	1.9%

Electorate 10,996 · Ballots cast 4,722 · EC ward code E58000648 · Back to ward index

Letchworth Grange · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,207

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bloxham S.N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,059	48.0%	Elected
2	Nolan S.	Labour Party	733	33.2%
3	Hancock E.S.	Green Party	215	9.7%
4	Finch A.E.	Liberal Democrats	200	9.1%

Electorate 5,644 · Ballots cast 2,207 · EC ward code E05004777 · Back to ward index

Baldock Town · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,319

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Weeks M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,120	48.3%	Elected
2	Willoughby A.K.O.	Labour Party	734	31.7%
3	Thomas S.	Liberal Democrats	242	10.4%
4	Lee T.	Green Party	223	9.6%

Electorate 5,753 · Ballots cast 2,319 · EC ward code E05004763 · Back to ward index

Hitchin Rural · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,391

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Barnard D.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,127	48.4%	Elected
2	Sander A.E.	Green Party	980	22.3%
3	Jungreuthmayer A.	Labour Party	818	18.6%
4	Parkin M.M.	Liberal Democrats	413	9.4%
5	Appoh D.	Christian Peoples Alliance	53	1.2%

Electorate 10,517 · Ballots cast 4,391 · EC ward code E58000641 · Back to ward index

Hitchin Highbury · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,923

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Clark P.	Liberal Democrats	1,416	48.4%	Elected
2	Mangat G.D.S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	820	28.1%
3	Griggs A.J.	Labour Party	412	14.1%
4	Eltringham D.M.	Green Party	242	8.3%
5	Smith L.	Christian Peoples Alliance	33	1.1%

Electorate 6,276 · Ballots cast 2,923 · EC ward code E05004769 · Back to ward index

Hitchin Bearton · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,661

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Albert I.C.	Labour Party	1,314	49.4%	Elected
2	Muncer R.G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	586	22.0%
3	Sander A.E.	Green Party	383	14.4%
4	Clayden J.	Liberal Democrats	378	14.2%

Electorate 6,452 · Ballots cast 2,661 · EC ward code E05004768 · Back to ward index

Royston East & Ermine · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.9 pts Valid ballots 4,552

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hill F.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,317	50.9%	Elected
2	Brown R.G.	Liberal Democrats	1,255	27.6%
3	Lockett S.J.	Labour Party	669	14.7%
4	Turner S.A.	Green Party	311	6.8%

Electorate 11,421 · Ballots cast 4,552 · EC ward code E58000658 · Back to ward index

Royston West & Rural · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.7 pts Valid ballots 5,010

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jarvis S.	Liberal Democrats	2,591	51.7%	Elected
2	Davies G.E.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,900	37.9%
3	Garland K.	Labour Party	519	10.4%

Electorate 12,157 · Ballots cast 5,010 · EC ward code E58000659 · Back to ward index

Hitchwood Offa & Hoo · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.4 pts Valid ballots 2,741

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Strong C.P.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,436	52.4%	Elected
2	Claire A.	Green Party	787	28.7%
3	Jungreuthmayer A.	Labour Party	304	11.1%
4	Wright P.	Liberal Democrats	214	7.8%

Electorate 5,923 · Ballots cast 2,741 · EC ward code E05004773 · Back to ward index

Hitchin North · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.4 pts Valid ballots 5,152

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Billing J.	Labour Party	2,701	52.4%	Elected
2	Bishop J.C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,366	26.5%
3	Marshall M.K.	Green Party	530	10.3%
4	Ircha A.	Liberal Democrats	484	9.4%
5	Cordle S.	Christian Peoples Alliance	71	1.4%

Electorate 11,956 · Ballots cast 5,152 · EC ward code E58000640 · Back to ward index

Letchworth Wilbury · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.0 pts Valid ballots 1,428

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Allen A.D.	Labour Party	771	54.0%	Elected
2	Bloxham M.M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	536	37.5%
3	Jarvis S.	Liberal Democrats	121	8.5%

Electorate 4,025 · Ballots cast 1,428 · EC ward code E05004780 · Back to ward index

Knebworth & Codicote · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.5 pts Valid ballots 4,510

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Thake R.A.C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,504	55.5%	Elected
2	Tyler T.	Liberal Democrats	886	19.6%
3	Jenner D.	Labour Party	647	14.3%
4	Nice K.M.	Green Party	473	10.5%

Electorate 10,040 · Ballots cast 4,510 · EC ward code E58000646 · Back to ward index

Knebworth · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.5 pts Valid ballots 2,146

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Tandi M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,235	57.5%	Elected
2	Munoz Maniega S.	Liberal Democrats	629	29.3%
3	Jenner D.	Labour Party	185	8.6%
4	Malcolm D.R.	Green Party	97	4.5%

Electorate 4,201 · Ballots cast 2,146 · EC ward code E05004775 · Back to ward index