← North East Lincolnshire (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort
North East Lincolnshire 2021
Local elections held 6 May 2021.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 12 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 16,077 | 55.9% | 12 | 85.7% | 9 | 64.3% | +3 |
| Labour Party | 7,347 | 25.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 28.6% | -4 |
| Liberal Democrats | 2,854 | 9.9% | 2 | 14.3% | 1 | 7.1% | +1 |
| Independent | 1,101 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 569 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| FREE | 502 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 282 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Social Democratic Party | 21 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 28,753 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- South · 1 seat · won at 44.5% · +5.5 pts below quota
- Croft Baker · 1 seat · won at 46.4% · +3.6 pts below quota
- East Marsh · 2 seats · won at 30.7% · +2.6 pts below quota
- Immingham · 1 seat · won at 48.1% · +1.9 pts below quota
- Sidney Sussex · 1 seat · won at 48.7% · +1.3 pts below quota
- Heneage · 1 seat · won at 50.1% · above quota
- Scartho · 2 seats · won at 34.8% · above quota
- Park · 1 seat · won at 52.8% · above quota
- Freshney · 1 seat · won at 57.0% · above quota
- Yarborough · 1 seat · won at 57.7% · above quota
- Haverstoe · 1 seat · won at 71.9% · above quota
- Humberston & New Waltham · 1 seat · won at 76.5% · above quota
Race results
South · single-seat
Marginal winner 44.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,412
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Batson P.D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 628 | 44.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Mill S.J. | Labour Party | 533 | 37.7% | |
| 3 | Bramley J.E. | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 126 | 8.9% | |
| 4 | Emmerson L.L. | Independent | 112 | 7.9% | |
| 5 | O'Flynn V. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 13 | 0.9% |
Croft Baker · single-seat
Marginal winner 46.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,335
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reynolds G.D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,083 | 46.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Wheatley K.H. | Labour Party | 723 | 31.0% | |
| 3 | Horobin R. | Liberal Democrats | 407 | 17.4% | |
| 4 | Parkinson J.A. | FREE | 88 | 3.8% | |
| 5 | Best J.D. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 34 | 1.5% |
East Marsh · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 30.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,183
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rudd K. | Liberal Democrats | 788 | 36.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Aisthorpe N.D. | Liberal Democrats | 671 | 30.7% | Elected |
| 3 | Quibell K.A. | Labour Party | 211 | 9.7% | |
| 4 | Hogan C.M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 195 | 8.9% | |
| 5 | Dasein B.M. | Independent | 159 | 7.3% | |
| 6 | Coulbeck L. | Independent | 159 | 7.3% |
Immingham · single-seat
Marginal winner 48.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,378
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Astbury G.E. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,144 | 48.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Watson D.A. | Labour Party | 721 | 30.3% | |
| 3 | Turner D. | Independent | 273 | 11.5% | |
| 4 | Barton D. | Independent | 211 | 8.9% | |
| 5 | Newton N.R. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 29 | 1.2% |
Sidney Sussex · single-seat
Marginal winner 48.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,621
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robinson B.M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 790 | 48.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Rogers G. | Labour Party | 618 | 38.1% | |
| 3 | Smith A. | FREE | 92 | 5.7% | |
| 4 | Bonner L. | Liberal Democrats | 74 | 4.6% | |
| 5 | Gee M.P. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 47 | 2.9% |
Heneage · single-seat
Marginal winner 50.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.1 pts Valid ballots 1,859
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smith M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 931 | 50.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Clough E.L. | Labour Party | 734 | 39.5% | |
| 3 | Driver A. | Liberal Democrats | 73 | 3.9% | |
| 4 | Bolton D. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 64 | 3.4% | |
| 5 | Francis T.A. | FREE | 57 | 3.1% |
Scartho · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 34.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −1.5 pts Valid ballots 4,534
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croft C.L. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,739 | 38.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Shepherd R. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,578 | 34.8% | Elected |
| 3 | Augusta R. | Labour Party | 740 | 16.3% | |
| 4 | Slattery J. | Independent | 187 | 4.1% | |
| 5 | Pow V. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 103 | 2.3% | |
| 6 | Stockton J.M. | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 99 | 2.2% | |
| 7 | Woods N.L. | FREE | 88 | 1.9% |
Park · single-seat
Marginal winner 52.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.8 pts Valid ballots 2,734
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Westcott D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,444 | 52.8% | Elected |
| 2 | Shuff K.G. | Labour Party | 676 | 24.7% | |
| 3 | De Freitas D.M. | Liberal Democrats | 450 | 16.5% | |
| 4 | Greenfield A.H. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 68 | 2.5% | |
| 5 | Blake A.A. | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 57 | 2.1% | |
| 6 | Lobley N.A. | FREE | 39 | 1.4% |
Freshney · single-seat
Marginal winner 57.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.0 pts Valid ballots 1,940
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasted T. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,105 | 57.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Barber C. | Labour Party | 758 | 39.1% | |
| 3 | Shaw T.J. | FREE | 41 | 2.1% | |
| 4 | Clifford D.M. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 36 | 1.9% |
Yarborough · single-seat
Marginal winner 57.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.7 pts Valid ballots 1,913
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandford M.L. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,104 | 57.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Kaczmarek E.T.P. | Labour Party | 561 | 29.3% | |
| 3 | Stephen L. | Liberal Democrats | 144 | 7.5% | |
| 4 | Barlow K.I. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 83 | 4.3% | |
| 5 | Mellors T. | Social Democratic Party | 21 | 1.1% |
Haverstoe · single-seat
Marginal winner 71.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −21.9 pts Valid ballots 2,914
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parkinson B. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 2,094 | 71.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Rodwell I.S. | Labour Party | 519 | 17.8% | |
| 3 | Teakle K. | Liberal Democrats | 247 | 8.5% | |
| 4 | Tuplin P. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 54 | 1.9% |
Humberston & New Waltham · single-seat
Marginal winner 76.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −26.5 pts Valid ballots 2,930
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dawkins H.A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 2,242 | 76.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Townsend I.K. | Labour Party | 553 | 18.9% | |
| 3 | Jolly W.P. | FREE | 97 | 3.3% | |
| 4 | Mitchell D. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 38 | 1.3% |