← Mole Valley (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort
Mole Valley 2023
Local elections held 4 May 2023.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 39 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 38,140 | 48.4% | 30 | 76.9% | 20 | 51.3% | +10 |
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 21,700 | 27.5% | 3 | 7.7% | 11 | 28.2% | -8 |
| Green Party | 8,130 | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 10.3% | -4 |
| ASHT IND | 8,075 | 10.2% | 6 | 15.4% | 4 | 10.3% | +2 |
| Labour Party | 1,544 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 1,241 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 78,830 | 100.0% | 39 | 100.0% | 39 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Capel, Leigh, Newdigate & Charlwood · 3 seats · won at 12.3% · +12.7 pts below quota
- Ashtead Park · 3 seats · won at 14.9% · +10.1 pts below quota
- Leatherhead South · 3 seats · won at 15.0% · +10.0 pts below quota
- Holmwoods & Beare Green · 3 seats · won at 15.5% · +9.5 pts below quota
- Dorking North · 3 seats · won at 15.9% · +9.1 pts below quota
- Mickleham, Westcott & Okewood · 3 seats · won at 17.9% · +7.1 pts below quota
- Brockham, Betchworth, Buckland, Box Hill & Headley · 3 seats · won at 18.2% · +6.8 pts below quota
- Fetcham · 3 seats · won at 19.0% · +6.0 pts below quota
- Leatherhead North · 3 seats · won at 19.3% · +5.7 pts below quota
- Dorking South · 3 seats · won at 19.4% · +5.6 pts below quota
- Bookham East & Eastwick Park · 3 seats · won at 19.6% · +5.4 pts below quota
- Bookham West · 3 seats · won at 20.0% · +5.0 pts below quota
- Ashtead Lanes & Common · 3 seats · won at 22.4% · +2.6 pts below quota
Race results
Capel, Leigh, Newdigate & Charlwood · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 12.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +12.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,876
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bushnell, L. | Liberal Democrats | 894 | 15.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Farrar-Astrop, J. | Liberal Democrats | 810 | 13.8% | Elected |
| 3 | Loach, A. | Liberal Democrats | 720 | 12.3% | Elected |
| 4 | Osborne-Patterson, C. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 698 | 11.9% | |
| 5 | Baldwin, T. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 620 | 10.6% | |
| 6 | Saunders, M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 619 | 10.5% | |
| 7 | Scott, L. | Green Party | 604 | 10.3% | |
| 8 | Abbott, R. | Green Party | 438 | 7.5% | |
| 9 | Hollis, K. | Green Party | 409 | 7.0% | |
| 10 | Nasskau, L. | Labour Party | 64 | 1.1% |
Ashtead Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 14.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,529
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cooper, M. | ASHT IND | 1,242 | 19.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Stansfield, G. | ASHT IND | 1,140 | 17.5% | Elected |
| 3 | Sevenoaks, G. | ASHT IND | 970 | 14.9% | Elected |
| 4 | Patel, R. | Independent | 706 | 10.8% | |
| 5 | Harper, D. | Independent | 535 | 8.2% | |
| 6 | Cutler, K. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 269 | 4.1% | |
| 7 | Brown, P. | Green Party | 264 | 4.0% | |
| 8 | Smith, A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 253 | 3.9% | |
| 9 | MacLeod, V. | Liberal Democrats | 245 | 3.8% | |
| 10 | Wray, M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 236 | 3.6% | |
| 11 | Waugh, J. | Liberal Democrats | 215 | 3.3% | |
| 12 | Cressy, A. | Liberal Democrats | 200 | 3.1% | |
| 13 | Eagle, S. | Labour Party | 136 | 2.1% | |
| 14 | Smith, G. | Green Party | 118 | 1.8% |
Leatherhead South · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 15.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,535
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kendrick, B. | Liberal Democrats | 960 | 17.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Slater, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 852 | 15.4% | Elected |
| 3 | Chambers, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 831 | 15.0% | Elected |
| 4 | Parsons, G. | Liberal Democrats | 779 | 14.1% | |
| 5 | Elcock-Haskins, H. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 754 | 13.6% | |
| 6 | O'Shea, N. | Liberal Democrats | 700 | 12.6% | |
| 7 | Awcock, M. | Green Party | 301 | 5.4% | |
| 8 | Clark, A. | Labour Party | 207 | 3.7% | |
| 9 | Sherring, J. | Green Party | 151 | 2.7% |
Holmwoods & Beare Green · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 15.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,059
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hobbs, R. | Liberal Democrats | 979 | 19.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Malcomson, C. | Liberal Democrats | 879 | 17.4% | Elected |
| 3 | Wellman, C. | Liberal Democrats | 782 | 15.5% | Elected |
| 4 | Maruziva, L. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 607 | 12.0% | |
| 5 | Botting, L. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 546 | 10.8% | |
| 6 | Mir, D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 524 | 10.4% | |
| 7 | Roche, J. | Green Party | 224 | 4.4% | |
| 8 | Auckland, E. | Green Party | 198 | 3.9% | |
| 9 | Case, F. | Green Party | 162 | 3.2% | |
| 10 | Foster, C. | Labour Party | 158 | 3.1% |
Dorking North · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 15.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,813
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Watson, H. | Liberal Democrats | 1,301 | 19.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Draper, D. | Liberal Democrats | 1,207 | 17.7% | Elected |
| 3 | Rosam, E. | Liberal Democrats | 1,082 | 15.9% | Elected |
| 4 | Crook, C. | Green Party | 778 | 11.4% | |
| 5 | Smith, P. | Green Party | 642 | 9.4% | |
| 6 | Holland, S. | Green Party | 627 | 9.2% | |
| 7 | Mansfield, C. | Labour Party | 339 | 5.0% | |
| 8 | Foulston, M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 316 | 4.6% | |
| 9 | Cude, P. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 264 | 3.9% | |
| 10 | Frost, S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 257 | 3.8% |
Mickleham, Westcott & Okewood · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 17.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,182
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Budleigh, C. | Liberal Democrats | 1,180 | 19.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Magesh, A. | Liberal Democrats | 1,108 | 17.9% | Elected |
| 3 | Mursaleen-Plank, L. | Liberal Democrats | 1,106 | 17.9% | Elected |
| 4 | Hebberd, M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 769 | 12.4% | |
| 5 | Irvine, D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 703 | 11.4% | |
| 6 | Musgrave, G. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 684 | 11.1% | |
| 7 | Poke, J. | Green Party | 372 | 6.0% | |
| 8 | Szachno-Hodgkinson, D. | Green Party | 260 | 4.2% |
Brockham, Betchworth, Buckland, Box Hill & Headley · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 18.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +6.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,987
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potter, P. | Liberal Democrats | 1,217 | 20.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Budd, S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,139 | 19.0% | Elected |
| 3 | Keay, P. | Liberal Democrats | 1,089 | 18.2% | Elected |
| 4 | Nelson, B. | Liberal Democrats | 868 | 14.5% | |
| 5 | Austin, R. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 645 | 10.8% | |
| 6 | Tiley, C. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 576 | 9.6% | |
| 7 | Green, P. | Green Party | 285 | 4.8% | |
| 8 | Humphrey, N. | Labour Party | 168 | 2.8% |
Fetcham · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 19.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +6.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,893
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haque, R. | Liberal Democrats | 1,426 | 20.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Hammond, P. | Liberal Democrats | 1,402 | 20.3% | Elected |
| 3 | Joseph, C. | Liberal Democrats | 1,311 | 19.0% | Elected |
| 4 | Chambers, S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 853 | 12.4% | |
| 5 | Austin, P. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 755 | 11.0% | |
| 6 | McCorquodale, D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 617 | 9.0% | |
| 7 | Crook, J. | Green Party | 219 | 3.2% | |
| 8 | Creber, D. | Green Party | 159 | 2.3% | |
| 9 | Heath, B. | Labour Party | 151 | 2.2% |
Leatherhead North · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 19.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,241
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vyvyan-Robinson, K. | Liberal Democrats | 689 | 21.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Wall, B. | Liberal Democrats | 661 | 20.4% | Elected |
| 3 | Wear, B. | Liberal Democrats | 624 | 19.3% | Elected |
| 4 | Gibbs, A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 368 | 11.4% | |
| 5 | Gibbs, A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 330 | 10.2% | |
| 6 | Ali, M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 302 | 9.3% | |
| 7 | Stewart, S. | Green Party | 267 | 8.2% |
Dorking South · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 19.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,096
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cooksey, M. | Liberal Democrats | 1,301 | 21.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Cooksey, S. | Liberal Democrats | 1,219 | 20.0% | Elected |
| 3 | Wright, N. | Liberal Democrats | 1,185 | 19.4% | Elected |
| 4 | Crook, M. | Green Party | 445 | 7.3% | |
| 5 | Jones, R. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 413 | 6.8% | |
| 6 | Barford, L. | Green Party | 395 | 6.5% | |
| 7 | Gunn, B. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 386 | 6.3% | |
| 8 | Sharpe, L. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 384 | 6.3% | |
| 9 | Bolton, G. | Green Party | 368 | 6.0% |
Bookham East & Eastwick Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 19.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,496
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daly, E. | Liberal Democrats | 1,577 | 21.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Kennedy, P. | Liberal Democrats | 1,568 | 20.9% | Elected |
| 3 | Matthews, A. | Liberal Democrats | 1,467 | 19.6% | Elected |
| 4 | Chambers, S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 994 | 13.3% | |
| 5 | Swinbank, R. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 834 | 11.1% | |
| 6 | Morrish, P. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 800 | 10.7% | |
| 7 | Stewart, E. | Green Party | 176 | 2.3% | |
| 8 | Mansfield, B. | Labour Party | 80 | 1.1% |
Bookham West · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 20.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,275
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weller, M. | Liberal Democrats | 1,408 | 22.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Adams, R. | Liberal Democrats | 1,390 | 22.2% | Elected |
| 3 | Miller, C. | Liberal Democrats | 1,256 | 20.0% | Elected |
| 4 | Cracknell, T. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 725 | 11.6% | |
| 5 | Moyse, R. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 664 | 10.6% | |
| 6 | Zharova-Berbner, D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 564 | 9.0% | |
| 7 | Suggett, E. | Green Party | 268 | 4.3% |
Ashtead Lanes & Common · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 22.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,848
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hunt, C. | ASHT IND | 1,636 | 23.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Wiltshire, P. | ASHT IND | 1,553 | 22.7% | Elected |
| 3 | Hawksworth, D. | ASHT IND | 1,534 | 22.4% | Elected |
| 4 | Shimmin, P. | Liberal Democrats | 488 | 7.1% | |
| 5 | Hartwell, A. | Liberal Democrats | 425 | 6.2% | |
| 6 | Moncur, R. | Liberal Democrats | 422 | 6.2% | |
| 7 | Cook, D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 284 | 4.1% | |
| 8 | Newton, G. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 265 | 3.9% | |
| 9 | Gilchrist, S. | Labour Party | 241 | 3.5% |