← Mole Valley (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort

Mole Valley 2022

Local elections held 5 May 2022.

14 ward races

14 seats

2 elected below the proportional quota

14.3% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Liberal Democrats	11,070	45.3%	8	57.1%	7	50.0%	+1
Conservative and Unionist Party	7,910	32.4%	3	21.4%	5	35.7%	-2
AIAR	2,977	12.2%	3	21.4%	2	14.3%	+1
Green Party	1,480	6.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Labour Party	889	3.6%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Independent	107	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	24,433	100.0%	14	100.0%	14	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Leatherhead South · 1 seat · won at 46.7% · +3.3 pts below quota
Capel Leigh & Newdigate · 1 seat · won at 48.7% · +1.3 pts below quota
Leatherhead North · 1 seat · won at 54.3% · above quota
Brockham Betchworth & Buckland · 1 seat · won at 57.7% · above quota
Dorking North · 1 seat · won at 57.9% · above quota
Fetcham East · 1 seat · won at 58.7% · above quota
Holmwoods · 1 seat · won at 60.2% · above quota
Bookham North · 1 seat · won at 60.6% · above quota
Ashtead Common · 1 seat · won at 61.1% · above quota
Bookham South · 1 seat · won at 61.1% · above quota
Dorking South · 1 seat · won at 61.4% · above quota
Ashtead Village · 1 seat · won at 62.9% · above quota
Ashtead Park · 1 seat · won at 64.1% · above quota
Fetcham West · 1 seat · won at 65.8% · above quota

Race results

Leatherhead South · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,451

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Slater J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	677	46.7%	Elected
2	Parsons G.	Liberal Democrats	539	37.1%
3	Awcock M.	Green Party	118	8.1%
4	Clark A.	Labour Party	117	8.1%

Electorate 3,412 · Ballots cast 1,451 · EC ward code E05007324 · Back to ward index

Capel Leigh & Newdigate · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,659

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Engel C.	Liberal Democrats	808	48.7%	Elected
2	Osborne-Patterson C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	739	44.5%
3	Scott L.	Green Party	112	6.8%

Electorate 3,417 · Ballots cast 1,659 · EC ward code E05007316 · Back to ward index

Leatherhead North · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.3 pts Valid ballots 1,818

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brinkie J.	Liberal Democrats	988	54.3%	Elected
2	Purcell P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	578	31.8%
3	Stringer J.	Labour Party	145	8.0%
4	Moram J.	Independent	107	5.9%

Electorate 5,486 · Ballots cast 1,818 · EC ward code E05007323 · Back to ward index

Brockham Betchworth & Buckland · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.7 pts Valid ballots 1,679

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Budd S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	969	57.7%	Elected
2	Hebberd M.	Liberal Democrats	522	31.1%
3	Crook C.	Green Party	122	7.3%
4	Nasskau L.	Labour Party	66	3.9%

Electorate 3,596 · Ballots cast 1,679 · EC ward code E05007315 · Back to ward index

Dorking North · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.9 pts Valid ballots 1,522

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Draper D.	Liberal Democrats	881	57.9%	Elected
2	Weston Holland S.	Green Party	303	19.9%
3	Austin P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	245	16.1%
4	Cockle-Hearne S.	Labour Party	93	6.1%

Electorate 3,446 · Ballots cast 1,522 · EC ward code E05007318 · Back to ward index

Fetcham East · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.7 pts Valid ballots 1,327

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hall T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	779	58.7%	Elected
2	Miller C.	Liberal Democrats	440	33.2%
3	McGrath S.	Green Party	108	8.1%

Electorate 3,101 · Ballots cast 1,327 · EC ward code E05007320 · Back to ward index

Holmwoods · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.2 pts Valid ballots 1,657

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wellman C.	Liberal Democrats	997	60.2%	Elected
2	Maruziva L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	546	33.0%
3	Foster C.	Labour Party	114	6.9%

Electorate 4,694 · Ballots cast 1,657 · EC ward code E05007322 · Back to ward index

Bookham North · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.6 pts Valid ballots 2,344

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Weller M.	Liberal Democrats	1,420	60.6%	Elected
2	Moyse R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	785	33.5%
3	Roche J.	Green Party	139	5.9%

Electorate 4,703 · Ballots cast 2,344 · EC ward code E05007312 · Back to ward index

Ashtead Common · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.1 pts Valid ballots 1,356

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wiltshire P.	AIAR	828	61.1%	Elected
2	Newton G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	202	14.9%
3	Hogg R.	Liberal Democrats	201	14.8%
4	Sherring J.	Green Party	125	9.2%

Electorate 3,155 · Ballots cast 1,356 · EC ward code E05007308 · Back to ward index

Bookham South · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.1 pts Valid ballots 2,204

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Daly E.	Liberal Democrats	1,347	61.1%	Elected
2	Huggins M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	718	32.6%
3	Crook M.	Green Party	139	6.3%

Electorate 4,546 · Ballots cast 2,204 · EC ward code E05007313 · Back to ward index

Dorking South · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.4 pts Valid ballots 2,452

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cooksey M.	Liberal Democrats	1,505	61.4%	Elected
2	Kesseiri Austin R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	446	18.2%
3	Barford L.	Green Party	314	12.8%
4	Stroud K.	Labour Party	187	7.6%

Electorate 5,689 · Ballots cast 2,452 · EC ward code E05007319 · Back to ward index

Ashtead Village · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.9 pts Valid ballots 1,976

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Reilly A.	AIAR	1,243	62.9%	Elected
2	Crooks P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	321	16.2%
3	Shimmin P.	Liberal Democrats	245	12.4%
4	Gilchrist S.	Labour Party	167	8.5%

Electorate 4,694 · Ballots cast 1,976 · EC ward code E05007310 · Back to ward index

Ashtead Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.1 pts Valid ballots 1,414

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Stansfield G.	AIAR	906	64.1%	Elected
2	Connor S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	366	25.9%
3	Rugina L.	Liberal Democrats	142	10.0%

Electorate 3,430 · Ballots cast 1,414 · EC ward code E05007309 · Back to ward index

Fetcham West · single-seat

Marginal winner 65.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.8 pts Valid ballots 1,574

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Haque R.	Liberal Democrats	1,035	65.8%	Elected
2	Conisbee S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	539	34.2%

Electorate 3,207 · Ballots cast 1,574 · EC ward code E05007321 · Back to ward index