← Mole Valley (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Mole Valley 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

19 ward races

19 seats

5 elected below the proportional quota

26.3% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 19 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 19 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	20,589	38.7%	8	42.1%	8	42.1%	0
Liberal Democrats	19,994	37.6%	7	36.8%	7	36.8%	0
ASHT IND	5,791	10.9%	4	21.1%	2	10.5%	+2
Green Party	3,807	7.2%	0	0.0%	1	5.3%	-1
Labour Party	2,893	5.4%	0	0.0%	1	5.3%	-1
Reform UK	150	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Social Democratic Party	8	0.0%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	53,232	100.0%	19	100.0%	19	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Bookham South · 1 seat · won at 47.0% · +3.0 pts below quota
Leatherhead North · 1 seat · won at 47.1% · +2.9 pts below quota
Bookham & Fetcham West · 1 seat · won at 47.8% · +2.2 pts below quota
Dorking Rural · 1 seat · won at 49.2% · +0.8 pts below quota
Bookham North · 1 seat · won at 49.5% · +0.5 pts below quota
Holmwoods · 1 seat · won at 50.6% · above quota
Leatherhead & Fetcham East · 1 seat · won at 53.9% · above quota
Ashtead Park · 1 seat · won at 54.7% · above quota
Dorking South & The Holmwoods · 1 seat · won at 54.7% · above quota
Dorking South · 1 seat · won at 55.9% · above quota
Leatherhead South · 1 seat · won at 56.5% · above quota
Fetcham West · 1 seat · won at 58.2% · above quota
Dorking Hills · 1 seat · won at 58.6% · above quota
Ashtead Village · 1 seat · won at 58.7% · above quota
Ashtead · 1 seat · won at 59.1% · above quota
Dorking North · 1 seat · won at 59.6% · above quota
Fetcham East · 1 seat · won at 60.6% · above quota
Westcott · 1 seat · won at 61.8% · above quota
Ashtead Common · 1 seat · won at 63.3% · above quota

Race results

Bookham South · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,375

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Chambers J.H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,117	47.0%	Elected
2	Matthews A.H.	Liberal Democrats	1,039	43.7%
3	Crook M.I.G.	Green Party	119	5.0%
4	Bates H.J.	Labour Party	74	3.1%
5	Moody D.R.	Reform UK	26	1.1%

Electorate 4,531 · Ballots cast 2,375 · EC ward code E05007313 · Back to ward index

Leatherhead North · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,881

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kendrick B.M.	Liberal Democrats	886	47.1%	Elected
2	Purcell P.P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	781	41.5%
3	Pemberton F.F.	Labour Party	214	11.4%

Electorate 5,503 · Ballots cast 1,881 · EC ward code E05007323 · Back to ward index

Bookham & Fetcham West · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,080

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Curran C.M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,907	47.8%	Elected
2	Haque R.	Liberal Democrats	2,603	42.8%
3	Roche J.F.	Green Party	316	5.2%
4	Nasskau L.P.	Labour Party	173	2.8%
5	Moody T.	Reform UK	81	1.3%

Electorate 12,067 · Ballots cast 6,080 · EC ward code E58001466 · Back to ward index

Dorking Rural · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,915

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Clack H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,416	49.2%	Elected
2	Malcomson C.P.	Liberal Democrats	1,864	37.9%
3	Scott L.C.	Green Party	509	10.4%
4	Foster C.M.	Labour Party	126	2.6%

Electorate 11,143 · Ballots cast 4,915 · EC ward code E58001475 · Back to ward index

Bookham North · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,320

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Chambers S.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,148	49.5%	Elected
2	Weller M.J.	Liberal Democrats	935	40.3%
3	Roche J.F.	Green Party	126	5.4%
4	Nasskau L.P.	Labour Party	68	2.9%
5	Moody T.	Reform UK	43	1.9%

Electorate 4,730 · Ballots cast 2,320 · EC ward code E05007312 · Back to ward index

Holmwoods · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.6 pts Valid ballots 1,790

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hobbs R.M.	Liberal Democrats	906	50.6%	Elected
2	Maruziva L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	663	37.0%
3	Scott L.C.	Green Party	116	6.5%
4	Foster C.M.	Labour Party	105	5.9%

Electorate 4,756 · Ballots cast 1,790 · EC ward code E05007322 · Back to ward index

Leatherhead & Fetcham East · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.9 pts Valid ballots 4,881

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hall T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,633	53.9%	Elected
2	De Silva J.E.M.	Liberal Democrats	1,315	26.9%
3	Clark A.	Labour Party	490	10.0%
4	Harwood T.L.	Green Party	443	9.1%

Electorate 12,126 · Ballots cast 4,881 · EC ward code E58001508 · Back to ward index

Ashtead Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.7 pts Valid ballots 1,456

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harper D.J.	ASHT IND	796	54.7%	Elected
2	St John L.B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	404	27.7%
3	Brewer J.	Liberal Democrats	110	7.6%
4	Essex R.M.	Green Party	79	5.4%
5	Eagle S.L.	Labour Party	67	4.6%

Electorate 3,453 · Ballots cast 1,456 · EC ward code E05007309 · Back to ward index

Dorking South & The Holmwoods · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.7 pts Valid ballots 4,396

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cooksey S.J.	Liberal Democrats	2,406	54.7%	Elected
2	Jones R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,282	29.2%
3	Baines-Buffery H.A.	Green Party	427	9.7%
4	Stroud K.	Labour Party	281	6.4%

Electorate 10,459 · Ballots cast 4,396 · EC ward code E58001476 · Back to ward index

Dorking South · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.9 pts Valid ballots 2,598

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wright N.	Liberal Democrats	1,452	55.9%	Elected
2	Jones R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	658	25.3%
3	Barford L.J.	Green Party	299	11.5%
4	Stroud K.	Labour Party	189	7.3%

Electorate 5,703 · Ballots cast 2,598 · EC ward code E05007319 · Back to ward index

Leatherhead South · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.5 pts Valid ballots 1,551

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Moss S.T.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	877	56.5%	Elected
2	Parsons G.J.	Liberal Democrats	389	25.1%
3	Clark A.	Labour Party	148	9.5%
4	Bailey T.	Green Party	137	8.8%

Electorate 3,474 · Ballots cast 1,551 · EC ward code E05007324 · Back to ward index

Fetcham West · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.2 pts Valid ballots 1,581

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kennedy P.G.	Liberal Democrats	920	58.2%	Elected
2	Crooks P.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	622	39.3%
3	Coote M.J.	Labour Party	39	2.5%

Electorate 3,206 · Ballots cast 1,581 · EC ward code E05007321 · Back to ward index

Dorking Hills · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.6 pts Valid ballots 5,101

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Watson H.V.A.	Liberal Democrats	2,989	58.6%	Elected
2	Musgrave G.T.C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,510	29.6%
3	Crook C.	Green Party	414	8.1%
4	Cockle-Hearne S.A.J.	Labour Party	188	3.7%

Electorate 10,871 · Ballots cast 5,101 · EC ward code E58001474 · Back to ward index

Ashtead Village · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.7 pts Valid ballots 2,071

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cooper M.	ASHT IND	1,215	58.7%	Elected
2	Bridgen M.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	441	21.3%
3	Shimmin P.R.	Liberal Democrats	167	8.1%
4	Quinn S.S.	Labour Party	143	6.9%
5	Smith J.L.	Green Party	105	5.1%

Electorate 4,710 · Ballots cast 2,071 · EC ward code E05007310 · Back to ward index

Ashtead · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.1 pts Valid ballots 4,917

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Townsend C.	ASHT IND	2,908	59.1%	Elected
2	Bridgen M.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,092	22.2%
3	T Hart C.E.	Liberal Democrats	361	7.3%
4	Tod I.	Green Party	285	5.8%
5	Gilchrist S.	Labour Party	271	5.5%

Electorate 12,004 · Ballots cast 4,917 · EC ward code E58001463 · Back to ward index

Dorking North · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.6 pts Valid ballots 1,575

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Coghlan C.	Liberal Democrats	938	59.6%	Elected
2	Hebberd M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	330	21.0%
3	McGrath S.	Green Party	201	12.8%
4	Cockle-Hearne S.A.J.	Labour Party	106	6.7%

Electorate 3,438 · Ballots cast 1,575 · EC ward code E05007318 · Back to ward index

Fetcham East · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.6 pts Valid ballots 1,451

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brooks L.L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	880	60.6%	Elected
2	Miller C.M.	Liberal Democrats	370	25.5%
3	Harwood T.L.	Green Party	144	9.9%
4	Coote K.R.	Labour Party	57	3.9%

Electorate 3,109 · Ballots cast 1,451 · EC ward code E05007320 · Back to ward index

Westcott · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.8 pts Valid ballots 916

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Friend J.T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	566	61.8%	Elected
2	Magesh A.	Liberal Democrats	219	23.9%
3	Everitt J.J.	Green Party	87	9.5%
4	Stringer J.R.	Labour Party	36	3.9%
5	Hunt S.R.	Social Democratic Party	8	0.9%

Electorate 1,819 · Ballots cast 916 · EC ward code E05007328 · Back to ward index

Ashtead Common · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.3 pts Valid ballots 1,377

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hawksworth D.L.	ASHT IND	872	63.3%	Elected
2	Newton G.M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	262	19.0%
3	T Hart C.E.	Liberal Democrats	125	9.1%
4	Mottershead J.	Labour Party	118	8.6%

Electorate 3,200 · Ballots cast 1,377 · EC ward code E05007308 · Back to ward index