← Luton (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Luton 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

19 ward races

45 seats

34 elected below the proportional quota

75.6% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 19 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 45 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Labour Party	46,166	50.2%	27	60.0%	23	51.1%	+4
Liberal Democrats	33,338	36.3%	15	33.3%	17	37.8%	-2
Conservative and Unionist Party	9,238	10.0%	3	6.7%	4	8.9%	-1
Independent	2,728	3.0%	0	0.0%	1	2.2%	-1
Reform UK	455	0.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	91,925	100.0%	45	100.0%	45	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Biscot · 2 seats · won at 22.2% · +11.1 pts below quota
Round Green · 2 seats · won at 23.0% · +10.3 pts below quota
South · 2 seats · won at 25.3% · +8.0 pts below quota
Barnfield · 3 seats · won at 17.3% · +7.7 pts below quota
Bramingham · 3 seats · won at 17.6% · +7.4 pts below quota
Leagrave · 2 seats · won at 26.0% · +7.4 pts below quota
Poets · 2 seats · won at 26.8% · +6.5 pts below quota
Saints · 3 seats · won at 18.6% · +6.4 pts below quota
Central · 2 seats · won at 28.3% · +5.0 pts below quota
Sundon Park · 2 seats · won at 28.9% · +4.4 pts below quota
Northwell · 3 seats · won at 21.0% · +4.0 pts below quota
Beech Hill · 3 seats · won at 21.8% · +3.2 pts below quota
High Town · 2 seats · won at 30.7% · +2.7 pts below quota
Challney · 3 seats · won at 23.7% · +1.3 pts below quota
Dallow · 2 seats · won at 32.4% · +1.0 pts below quota
Vauxhall · 2 seats · won at 33.7% · above quota
Stopsley · 3 seats · won at 25.8% · above quota
Lewsey · 2 seats · won at 39.1% · above quota
Wigmore · 2 seats · won at 41.1% · above quota

Race results

Biscot · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,178

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Raja, Z.	Labour Party	937	22.4%	Elected
2	Saleem, T.	Labour Party	929	22.2%	Elected
3	Ali-Khan, F.	Independent	713	17.1%
4	Moheeuddin, T.	Independent	643	15.4%
5	Uddin, S.	Liberal Democrats	525	12.6%
6	Malik, J.	Liberal Democrats	431	10.3%

Electorate 6,463 · Ballots cast 4,178 · Back to ward index

Round Green · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,472

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fry, G.	Liberal Democrats	910	26.2%	Elected
2	Ahmed, Z.	Liberal Democrats	799	23.0%	Elected
3	Khan, R.	Labour Party	785	22.6%
4	Waheed, Y.	Labour Party	682	19.6%
5	Choudhury, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	160	4.6%
6	Shaikh, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	136	3.9%

Electorate 6,433 · Ballots cast 3,472 · Back to ward index

South · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,546

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Stevens, S.	Liberal Democrats	710	27.9%	Elected
2	Isles, C.	Labour Party	645	25.3%	Elected
3	Abodunrin-Olokode, D.	Liberal Democrats	602	23.6%
4	Agbley, D.	Labour Party	589	23.1%

Electorate 6,025 · Ballots cast 2,546 · Back to ward index

Barnfield · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,953

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Franks, D.	Liberal Democrats	1,690	18.9%	Elected
2	Petts, J.	Liberal Democrats	1,627	18.2%	Elected
3	Ali, A.	Liberal Democrats	1,551	17.3%	Elected
4	Ahmed, S.	Labour Party	1,174	13.1%
5	Saleem, S.	Labour Party	956	10.7%
6	Haque, A.	Labour Party	932	10.4%
7	Dearden, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	378	4.2%
8	Deekue, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	371	4.1%
9	Mohmand, Z.	Conservative and Unionist Party	274	3.1%

Electorate 8,862 · Ballots cast 8,953 · Back to ward index

Bramingham · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,311

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Miller, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,601	19.3%	Elected
2	Baker, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,529	18.4%	Elected
3	Ambia, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,463	17.6%	Elected
4	Billington, D.	Labour Party	1,279	15.4%
5	Amin, B.	Labour Party	1,268	15.3%
6	Khan, M.	Labour Party	1,171	14.1%

Electorate 9,591 · Ballots cast 8,311 · Back to ward index

Leagrave · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 26.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,243

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lovell, M.	Labour Party	1,020	31.5%	Elected
2	Steer, F.	Labour Party	842	26.0%	Elected
3	Alom, I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	692	21.3%
4	Nikyalvi, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	465	14.3%
5	Fletcher, J.	Reform UK	224	6.9%

Electorate 6,863 · Ballots cast 3,243 · Back to ward index

Poets · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 26.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +6.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,226

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Burnett, J.	Labour Party	919	28.5%	Elected
2	Khan, A.	Labour Party	866	26.8%	Elected
3	Ali, T.	Liberal Democrats	749	23.2%
4	Omondi, E.	Liberal Democrats	692	21.5%

Electorate 5,803 · Ballots cast 3,226 · Back to ward index

Saints · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 18.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +6.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,216

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hussain, S.	Labour Party	1,630	19.8%	Elected
2	Abbas, G.	Labour Party	1,594	19.4%	Elected
3	Naser, S.	Labour Party	1,525	18.6%	Elected
4	Malik, A.	Liberal Democrats	1,202	14.6%
5	Khurshid, S.	Liberal Democrats	1,187	14.4%
6	Hussain, B.	Liberal Democrats	1,078	13.1%

Electorate 8,615 · Ballots cast 8,216 · Back to ward index

Central · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +5.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,578

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Begum, F.	Labour Party	626	39.7%	Elected
2	Hanif, M.	Labour Party	447	28.3%	Elected
3	Ahmed, B.	Independent	195	12.4%
4	Aziz, A.	Liberal Democrats	122	7.7%
5	Aziz, A.	Liberal Democrats	110	7.0%
6	Hussain, A.	Independent	78	4.9%

Electorate 5,203 · Ballots cast 1,578 · Back to ward index

Sundon Park · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +4.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,324

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Moore, S.	Liberal Democrats	1,010	30.4%	Elected
2	Mead, C.	Liberal Democrats	962	28.9%	Elected
3	Johnson, D.	Labour Party	722	21.7%
4	Akhtar, M.	Labour Party	630	19.0%

Electorate 5,592 · Ballots cast 3,324 · Back to ward index

Northwell · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +4.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,217

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Roche, R.	Labour Party	1,400	22.5%	Elected
2	Nicholls, A.	Labour Party	1,397	22.5%	Elected
3	Ajisola, B.	Labour Party	1,306	21.0%	Elected
4	Turner, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	664	10.7%
5	Ali, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	520	8.4%
6	Rudrangi, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	482	7.8%
7	Cohen, J.	Reform UK	231	3.7%
8	Hussain, A.	Independent	217	3.5%

Electorate 9,214 · Ballots cast 6,217 · Back to ward index

Beech Hill · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +3.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,855

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Chowdhury, R.	Labour Party	2,158	24.4%	Elected
2	Hussain, J.	Labour Party	2,127	24.0%	Elected
3	Malik, R.	Labour Party	1,928	21.8%	Elected
4	Karim, M.	Liberal Democrats	958	10.8%
5	Latif, A.	Liberal Democrats	947	10.7%
6	Javed, G.	Liberal Democrats	737	8.3%

Electorate 8,917 · Ballots cast 8,855 · Back to ward index

High Town · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 30.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,552

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Taylor, J.	Labour Party	798	31.3%	Elected
2	Ali, U.	Labour Party	783	30.7%	Elected
3	French, J.	Independent	446	17.5%
4	Shahid, M.	Independent	294	11.5%
5	Hill, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	231	9.1%

Electorate 6,224 · Ballots cast 2,552 · Back to ward index

Challney · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +1.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,514

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mahmood, B.	Labour Party	1,572	24.1%	Elected
2	Malik, K.	Labour Party	1,562	24.0%	Elected
3	Shaw, T.	Labour Party	1,546	23.7%	Elected
4	Javid, M.	Liberal Democrats	654	10.0%
5	Zaman, S.	Liberal Democrats	593	9.1%
6	Ahktar, F.	Liberal Democrats	587	9.0%

Electorate 9,270 · Ballots cast 6,514 · Back to ward index

Dallow · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 32.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +1.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,271

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Farooq, M.	Labour Party	1,101	33.7%	Elected
2	Khan, A.	Labour Party	1,059	32.4%	Elected
3	Hussain, B.	Liberal Democrats	619	18.9%
4	Hussain, A.	Liberal Democrats	492	15.0%

Electorate 5,556 · Ballots cast 3,271 · Back to ward index

Vauxhall · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 33.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −0.4 pts Valid ballots 2,572

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Keens, T.	Liberal Democrats	893	34.7%	Elected
2	Bridgen, L.	Liberal Democrats	868	33.7%	Elected
3	Begum, S.	Labour Party	422	16.4%
4	Thomas, B.	Labour Party	389	15.1%

Electorate 5,142 · Ballots cast 2,572 · Back to ward index

Stopsley · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference −0.8 pts Valid ballots 8,282

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Underwood, R.	Liberal Democrats	2,185	26.4%	Elected
2	Wynn, D.	Liberal Democrats	2,142	25.9%	Elected
3	Marshall, N.	Liberal Democrats	2,137	25.8%	Elected
4	Islam, S.	Labour Party	629	7.6%
5	Ahmed, I.	Labour Party	596	7.2%
6	Choudhury, S.	Labour Party	593	7.2%

Electorate 9,170 · Ballots cast 8,282 · Back to ward index

Lewsey · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 39.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −5.7 pts Valid ballots 2,334

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Simmons, H.	Labour Party	1,008	43.2%	Elected
2	Begum, Y.	Labour Party	912	39.1%	Elected
3	Carpenter, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	272	11.7%
4	Parveen, A.	Independent	142	6.1%

Electorate 6,215 · Ballots cast 2,334 · Back to ward index

Wigmore · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 41.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −7.8 pts Valid ballots 4,281

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gallagher, C.	Liberal Democrats	1,809	42.3%	Elected
2	Skepelhorn, A.	Liberal Democrats	1,760	41.1%	Elected
3	Ahmed, R.	Labour Party	374	8.7%
4	Mayunga, B.	Labour Party	338	7.9%

Electorate 6,931 · Ballots cast 4,281 · Back to ward index