← Lincoln (all cycles) · 1 May 2025 cohort
Lincoln 2025
Local elections held 1 May 2025.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 8 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 8 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 6,158 | 31.8% | 3 | 37.5% | 3 | 37.5% | 0 |
| Labour Party | 4,269 | 22.1% | 3 | 37.5% | 2 | 25.0% | +1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 3,225 | 16.7% | 2 | 25.0% | 2 | 25.0% | 0 |
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 2,943 | 15.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 12.5% | -1 |
| Labour and Co-operative Party | 1,534 | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 1,025 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 90 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| The Liberal Party | 63 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Blue Revolution | 32 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 19,339 | 100.0% | 8 | 100.0% | 8 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Boultham · 1 seat · won at 35.3% · +14.7 pts below quota
- Ermine & Cathedral · 1 seat · won at 35.5% · +14.5 pts below quota
- Park · 1 seat · won at 39.5% · +10.5 pts below quota
- Hartsholme · 1 seat · won at 39.6% · +10.4 pts below quota
- Swallow Beck & Witham · 1 seat · won at 40.7% · +9.3 pts below quota
- St. Giles · 1 seat · won at 41.4% · +8.6 pts below quota
- Birchwood · 1 seat · won at 41.9% · +8.1 pts below quota
- Carholme · 1 seat · won at 45.2% · +4.8 pts below quota
Race results
Boultham · single-seat
Marginal winner 35.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,037
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kev Clarke | Labour Party | 720 | 35.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Mike Bailey | Reform UK | 598 | 29.4% | |
| 3 | Debbie Grant | Liberal Democrats | 389 | 19.1% | |
| 4 | Dave Nash | Conservative and Unionist Party | 190 | 9.3% | |
| 5 | David Alan Kenyon | Green Party | 140 | 6.9% |
Ermine & Cathedral · single-seat
Marginal winner 35.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,812
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karen Lee | Labour Party | 997 | 35.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Elizabeth Hughes | Reform UK | 959 | 34.1% | |
| 3 | Tom Hulme | Conservative and Unionist Party | 429 | 15.3% | |
| 4 | Valerie Anne Wilkinson | Green Party | 222 | 7.9% | |
| 5 | James Brown | Liberal Democrats | 177 | 6.3% | |
| 6 | Charles William Shaw | The Liberal Party | 28 | 1.0% |
Park · single-seat
Marginal winner 39.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,044
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natasha Chapman | Liberal Democrats | 808 | 39.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Debra Armiger | Labour and Co-operative Party | 597 | 29.2% | |
| 3 | Tony Todd | Reform UK | 440 | 21.5% | |
| 4 | Joey Gwinn | Conservative and Unionist Party | 109 | 5.3% | |
| 5 | Nick Parker | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 90 | 4.4% |
Hartsholme · single-seat
Marginal winner 39.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,374
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stuart Grantham | Reform UK | 940 | 39.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Biff Bean | Labour Party | 923 | 38.9% | |
| 3 | Kai Benjamin Harrison | Conservative and Unionist Party | 358 | 15.1% | |
| 4 | Steven James Whaley | Liberal Democrats | 153 | 6.4% |
Swallow Beck & Witham · single-seat
Marginal winner 40.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,680
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liam Mark Kelly | Reform UK | 1,091 | 40.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Hilton Spratt | Conservative and Unionist Party | 743 | 27.7% | |
| 3 | Kate Marnoch | Labour Party | 466 | 17.4% | |
| 4 | Sally Horscroft | Green Party | 199 | 7.4% | |
| 5 | Sharon Nicola Osborne | Liberal Democrats | 181 | 6.8% |
St. Giles · single-seat
Marginal winner 41.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,563
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Christopher | Liberal Democrats | 1,060 | 41.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Gareth John Shields | Reform UK | 668 | 26.1% | |
| 3 | Rosanne Christina Kirk | Labour and Co-operative Party | 436 | 17.0% | |
| 4 | Victoria Carolyn Brooks | Conservative and Unionist Party | 284 | 11.1% | |
| 5 | Seamus Eoin Murray | Green Party | 115 | 4.5% |
Birchwood · single-seat
Marginal winner 41.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,258
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brenda Hazel Collier | Reform UK | 946 | 41.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Eddie Strengiel | Conservative and Unionist Party | 566 | 25.1% | |
| 3 | Amanda Spalding | Labour and Co-operative Party | 501 | 22.2% | |
| 4 | Jim Charters | Liberal Democrats | 245 | 10.9% |
Carholme · single-seat
Marginal winner 45.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,571
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neil McElhinney Murray | Labour Party | 1,163 | 45.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Matthew Howkins | Reform UK | 516 | 20.1% | |
| 3 | Charles Antony Rogers | Green Party | 349 | 13.6% | |
| 4 | Freddie Joseph Easters | Conservative and Unionist Party | 264 | 10.3% | |
| 5 | Aidan Turner | Liberal Democrats | 212 | 8.2% | |
| 6 | Tinashe Chipawe | The Liberal Party | 35 | 1.4% | |
| 7 | Mike Gilbert | Blue Revolution | 32 | 1.2% |