← Lincoln (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Lincoln 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

19 ward races

19 seats

10 elected below the proportional quota

52.6% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 19 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 19 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	16,365	42.1%	9	47.4%	9	47.4%	0
Labour Party	16,035	41.2%	9	47.4%	8	42.1%	+1
Green Party	3,095	8.0%	0	0.0%	1	5.3%	-1
Liberal Democrats	2,969	7.6%	1	5.3%	1	5.3%	0
Reform UK	195	0.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	165	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
The Liberal Party	65	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	38,889	100.0%	19	100.0%	19	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

St Giles · 1 seat · won at 40.0% · +10.0 pts below quota
Glebe · 1 seat · won at 44.4% · +5.6 pts below quota
Ermine & Cathedral · 1 seat · won at 44.5% · +5.5 pts below quota
Boultham · 1 seat · won at 46.4% · +3.6 pts below quota
Park · 1 seat · won at 46.9% · +3.1 pts below quota
Moorland · 1 seat · won at 47.9% · +2.1 pts below quota
Boultham · 1 seat · won at 48.3% · +1.7 pts below quota
Minster · 1 seat · won at 49.6% · +0.4 pts below quota
Abbey · 1 seat · won at 49.6% · +0.4 pts below quota
Castle · 1 seat · won at 49.7% · +0.3 pts below quota
Hartsholme · 1 seat · won at 50.9% · above quota
Park · 1 seat · won at 51.5% · above quota
Hartsholme · 1 seat · won at 57.5% · above quota
Carholme · 1 seat · won at 57.8% · above quota
Birchwood · 1 seat · won at 58.2% · above quota
Witham · 1 seat · won at 58.2% · above quota
Birchwood · 1 seat · won at 59.0% · above quota
Swallow Beck & Witham · 1 seat · won at 59.3% · above quota
Carholme · 1 seat · won at 59.7% · above quota

Race results

St Giles · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,367

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Clarke N.F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	946	40.0%	Elected
2	Renshaw R.A.	Labour Party	927	39.2%
3	Kenyon C.H.	Liberal Democrats	260	11.0%
4	McKenna F.	Green Party	234	9.9%

Electorate 7,796 · Ballots cast 2,367 · EC ward code E58000945 · Back to ward index

Glebe · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,589

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Metcalfe R.	Labour Party	705	44.4%	Elected
2	Beardmore J.R.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	677	42.6%
3	McKenna F.	Green Party	207	13.0%

Electorate 5,756 · Ballots cast 1,589 · EC ward code E05010789 · Back to ward index

Ermine & Cathedral · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,898

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lee K.E.	Labour Party	1,291	44.5%	Elected
2	Reid C.E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,289	44.5%
3	Wilkinson V.A.	Green Party	159	5.5%
4	Dale R.A.	Liberal Democrats	159	5.5%

Electorate 8,606 · Ballots cast 2,898 · EC ward code E58000905 · Back to ward index

Boultham · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,516

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Watt C.J.M.	Labour Party	704	46.4%	Elected
2	Carvalho D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	615	40.6%
3	Tooke S.J.O.	Green Party	121	8.0%
4	Parker C.A.	Liberal Democrats	76	5.0%

Electorate 4,828 · Ballots cast 1,516 · EC ward code E05010786 · Back to ward index

Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,152

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Killey J.E.	Labour Party	1,010	46.9%	Elected
2	Sperrin L.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	453	21.1%
3	Chapman N.S.	Liberal Democrats	364	16.9%
4	Horscroft S.A.	Green Party	200	9.3%
5	Penman D.K.	Reform UK	74	3.4%
6	Parker N.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	51	2.4%

Electorate 8,265 · Ballots cast 2,152 · EC ward code E58000931 · Back to ward index

Moorland · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,662

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fido M.T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	796	47.9%	Elected
2	Ellis G.	Labour Party	701	42.2%
3	Padley C.	Green Party	112	6.7%
4	Atkinson B.	Liberal Democrats	53	3.2%

Electorate 5,618 · Ballots cast 1,662 · EC ward code E05010792 · Back to ward index

Boultham · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,955

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Clarke K.	Labour Party	945	48.3%	Elected
2	Osbourne H.C.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	725	37.1%
3	Tooke S.J.O.	Green Party	184	9.4%
4	Parker C.A.	Liberal Democrats	101	5.2%

Electorate 6,637 · Ballots cast 1,955 · EC ward code E58000895 · Back to ward index

Minster · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,926

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Storer M.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	955	49.6%	Elected
2	Wells J.T.	Labour Party	769	39.9%
3	Dale R.A.	Liberal Democrats	118	6.1%
4	Wilkinson V.A.	Green Party	84	4.4%

Electorate 5,305 · Ballots cast 1,926 · EC ward code E05010791 · Back to ward index

Abbey · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,963

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Smalley C.F.	Liberal Democrats	974	49.6%	Elected
2	Moore V.	Labour Party	549	28.0%
3	Hansard R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	305	15.5%
4	Yates K.G.	Green Party	99	5.0%
5	Penman D.K.	Reform UK	36	1.8%

Electorate 6,072 · Ballots cast 1,963 · EC ward code E05010784 · Back to ward index

Castle · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,693

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Nannestad D.J.	Labour Party	842	49.7%	Elected
2	Storer R.L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	618	36.5%
3	Haigh N.	Green Party	155	9.2%
4	Turner A.D.	Liberal Democrats	78	4.6%

Electorate 5,266 · Ballots cast 1,693 · EC ward code E05010788 · Back to ward index

Hartsholme · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.9 pts Valid ballots 2,324

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Clarke M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,182	50.9%	Elected
2	Ellis A.	Labour Party	873	37.6%
3	Parr M.	Green Party	191	8.2%
4	Charters J.J.	Liberal Democrats	78	3.4%

Electorate 8,214 · Ballots cast 2,324 · EC ward code E58000915 · Back to ward index

Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.5 pts Valid ballots 1,397

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Burke C.	Labour Party	719	51.5%	Elected
2	Sperrin L.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	392	28.1%
3	Horscroft S.A.	Green Party	152	10.9%
4	Chapman N.S.	Liberal Democrats	98	7.0%
5	Parker N.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	36	2.6%

Electorate 5,927 · Ballots cast 1,397 · EC ward code E05010793 · Back to ward index

Hartsholme · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.5 pts Valid ballots 2,139

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Clarkson D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,229	57.5%	Elected
2	Ellis A.	Labour Party	626	29.3%
3	Parr M.	Green Party	194	9.1%
4	Charters J.J.	Liberal Democrats	90	4.2%

Electorate 6,301 · Ballots cast 2,139 · EC ward code E05010790 · Back to ward index

Carholme · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.8 pts Valid ballots 2,687

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Parker R.	Labour Party	1,554	57.8%	Elected
2	Choi J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	658	24.5%
3	Watson N.	Green Party	288	10.7%
4	Craven O.W.	Liberal Democrats	106	3.9%
5	Readings A.L.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	45	1.7%
6	Shaw C.W.	The Liberal Party	36	1.3%

Electorate 7,343 · Ballots cast 2,687 · EC ward code E58000898 · Back to ward index

Birchwood · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.2 pts Valid ballots 1,647

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Strengiel E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	958	58.2%	Elected
2	Gowen P.A.	Labour Party	562	34.1%
3	Radford J.A.	Green Party	76	4.6%
4	Chapman S.J.	Liberal Democrats	51	3.1%

Electorate 5,957 · Ballots cast 1,647 · EC ward code E05010785 · Back to ward index

Witham · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.2 pts Valid ballots 1,947

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mara B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,133	58.2%	Elected
2	Hutchins J.T.	Labour Party	573	29.4%
3	Parr A.	Green Party	127	6.5%
4	Uldall S.J.	Liberal Democrats	81	4.2%
5	Guthrie D.A.	Reform UK	33	1.7%

Electorate 6,073 · Ballots cast 1,947 · EC ward code E05010794 · Back to ward index

Birchwood · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.0 pts Valid ballots 2,276

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Strengiel E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,343	59.0%	Elected
2	Lowe L.	Labour Party	725	31.9%
3	Radford J.A.	Green Party	127	5.6%
4	Richardson T.	Liberal Democrats	81	3.6%

Electorate 7,586 · Ballots cast 2,276 · EC ward code E58000889 · Back to ward index

Swallow Beck & Witham · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.3 pts Valid ballots 2,789

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Spratt H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,655	59.3%	Elected
2	Roper C.W.	Labour Party	789	28.3%
3	Padley C.	Green Party	182	6.5%
4	Uldall S.J.	Liberal Democrats	111	4.0%
5	Guthrie D.A.	Reform UK	52	1.9%

Electorate 8,075 · Ballots cast 2,789 · EC ward code E58000948 · Back to ward index

Carholme · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.7 pts Valid ballots 1,962

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Preston L.E.	Labour Party	1,171	59.7%	Elected
2	Choi J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	436	22.2%
3	Watson N.	Green Party	203	10.3%
4	Craven O.W.	Liberal Democrats	90	4.6%
5	Readings A.L.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	33	1.7%
6	Shaw C.W.	The Liberal Party	29	1.5%

Electorate 5,362 · Ballots cast 1,962 · EC ward code E05010787 · Back to ward index