← Hertsmere (all cycles) · 1 May 2025 cohort

Hertsmere 2025

Local elections held 1 May 2025.

7 ward races
7 seats
5 elected below the proportional quota
71.4% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 7 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 7 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party8,71035.8%457.1%457.1%0
Reform UK5,80023.8%228.6%228.6%0
Liberal Democrats4,14817.0%114.3%114.3%0
Labour and Co-operative Party2,0058.2%00.0%00.0%0
Labour Party1,6046.6%00.0%00.0%0
Green Party1,1244.6%00.0%00.0%0
Independent9654.0%00.0%00.0%0
Total24,356100.0%7100.0%7100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Borehamwood North · single-seat

Marginal winner 30.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +19.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,188

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Simon Edward RhodesReform UK97230.5%Elected
2Michelle Louise VinceIndependent75123.6%
3Alexander BrightConservative and Unionist Party62819.7%
4Parveen RaniLabour and Co-operative Party60919.1%
5Hannah Gunning UriLiberal Democrats1233.9%
6Narinder SianGreen Party1053.3%

Electorate 11,755 · Ballots cast 3,195 · Invalid 7 · EC ward code 56917 · Back to ward index

Borehamwood South · single-seat

Marginal winner 33.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +16.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,075

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Saul JacobReform UK1,01833.1%Elected
2Richard ButlerLabour Party88128.7%
3Lucy SelbyConservative and Unionist Party86228.0%
4Madalyn BielfieldGreen Party1635.3%
5Annabel Irene HennessyLiberal Democrats1514.9%

Electorate 11,156 · Ballots cast 3,086 · Invalid 11 · EC ward code 56918 · Back to ward index

Potters Bar East · single-seat

Marginal winner 34.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +15.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,943

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1John GrahamConservative and Unionist Party1,36234.5%Elected
2Craig Alexander YoungReform UK1,08127.4%
3Tushar KumarLabour and Co-operative Party78920.0%
4Lisa Jean GriffinLiberal Democrats2576.5%
5David John ListerGreen Party2406.1%
6Jonathan Edward MeldrumIndependent2145.4%

Electorate 11,580 · Ballots cast 3,956 · Invalid 13 · EC ward code 29761 · Back to ward index

Potters Bar West & Shenley · single-seat

Marginal winner 35.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,564

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Morris BrightConservative and Unionist Party1,26135.4%Elected
2Louise SofferReform UK1,00228.1%
3Radhika SettipalliLabour Party72320.3%
4Holly GunningLiberal Democrats3359.4%
5Ed PooleGreen Party2436.8%

Electorate 11,431 · Ballots cast 3,578 · Invalid 14 · EC ward code 56922 · Back to ward index

Bushey South · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,841

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Seamus QuiltyConservative and Unionist Party1,50239.1%Elected
2Chris ShentonLiberal Democrats1,41136.7%
3Arabella RollandReform UK63716.6%
4Nik OakleyLabour and Co-operative Party1724.5%
5Matt WheelerGreen Party1193.1%

Electorate 10,942 · Ballots cast 3,848 · Invalid 7 · EC ward code 29760 · Back to ward index

Bushey North · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.9 pts Valid ballots 3,040

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Laurence Stephen BrassLiberal Democrats1,64053.9%Elected
2David CarterConservative and Unionist Party59619.6%
3Antony MichaelsonReform UK50116.5%
4Michael MandongaLabour and Co-operative Party1715.6%
5Michael RaymentGreen Party1324.3%

Electorate 10,846 · Ballots cast 3,047 · Invalid 7 · EC ward code 29759 · Back to ward index

Watling · single-seat

Marginal winner 67.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.4 pts Valid ballots 3,705

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Caroline ClapperConservative and Unionist Party2,49967.4%Elected
2Gus ChannerReform UK58915.9%
3Satvinder Singh JussLabour and Co-operative Party2647.1%
4Stuart HowardLiberal Democrats2316.2%
5Cheryl StungoGreen Party1223.3%

Electorate 11,298 · Ballots cast 3,720 · Invalid 15 · EC ward code 29763 · Back to ward index