← Havering (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort

Havering 2022

Local elections held 5 May 2022.

20 ward races

55 seats

52 elected below the proportional quota

94.5% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 55 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
RES	67,815	37.8%	21	38.2%	22	40.0%	-1
Conservative and Unionist Party	57,193	31.9%	23	41.8%	18	32.7%	+5
Labour Party	38,591	21.5%	9	16.4%	12	21.8%	-3
I RES	9,484	5.3%	2	3.6%	3	5.5%	-1
Green Party	2,608	1.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Liberal Democrats	1,493	0.8%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
HRES	1,386	0.8%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Independent	300	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
ECP	265	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
H & U IND	199	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	23	0.0%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	179,357	100.0%	55	100.0%	55	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Gooshays · 3 seats · won at 11.5% · +13.5 pts below quota
Rainham & Wennington · 3 seats · won at 12.4% · +12.6 pts below quota
St Alban's · 2 seats · won at 21.5% · +11.9 pts below quota
St Edward's · 3 seats · won at 13.5% · +11.5 pts below quota
South Hornchurch · 2 seats · won at 22.3% · +11.0 pts below quota
Hylands & Harrow Lodge · 3 seats · won at 14.4% · +10.6 pts below quota
Heaton · 3 seats · won at 14.8% · +10.2 pts below quota
Mawneys · 3 seats · won at 14.9% · +10.1 pts below quota
Rush Green & Crowlands · 3 seats · won at 14.9% · +10.1 pts below quota
Beam Park · 2 seats · won at 24.2% · +9.2 pts below quota
Marshalls & Rise Park · 3 seats · won at 16.5% · +8.5 pts below quota
Harold Wood · 3 seats · won at 17.0% · +8.0 pts below quota
Havering-atte-Bower · 3 seats · won at 17.1% · +7.9 pts below quota
Emerson Park · 2 seats · won at 25.8% · +7.6 pts below quota
Squirrels Heath · 3 seats · won at 17.5% · +7.5 pts below quota
St Andrew's · 3 seats · won at 21.6% · +3.4 pts below quota
Elm Park · 3 seats · won at 22.4% · +2.6 pts below quota
Cranham · 3 seats · won at 22.8% · +2.2 pts below quota
Upminster · 3 seats · won at 23.0% · +2.0 pts below quota
Hacton · 2 seats · won at 36.9% · above quota

Race results

Gooshays · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 11.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +13.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,828

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brown P.	Labour Party	1,038	13.3%	Elected
2	McGeary P.	Labour Party	1,014	13.0%	Elected
3	Tumilty K.	Labour Party	901	11.5%	Elected
4	Alexander I.	I RES	754	9.6%
5	Kukielka E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	721	9.2%
6	Samuel G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	720	9.2%
7	MacMaster G.	I RES	689	8.8%
8	Puncheon M.	I RES	575	7.3%
9	Mahal R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	568	7.3%
10	Kershaw M.	RES	346	4.4%
11	Trew G.	RES	263	3.4%
12	Morant K.	Green Party	239	3.1%

Electorate 11,635 · Ballots cast 7,828 · EC ward code E05013971 · Back to ward index

Rainham & Wennington · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 12.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +12.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,716

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ospreay S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,443	14.9%	Elected
2	McArdle J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,295	13.3%	Elected
3	Edwards S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,206	12.4%	Elected
4	Tucker J.	I RES	1,194	12.3%
5	Durant D.	I RES	955	9.8%
6	Darvill S.	Labour Party	881	9.1%
7	Tebbutt H.	I RES	848	8.7%
8	Ambia M.	Labour Party	827	8.5%
9	Osammor A.	Labour Party	825	8.5%
10	Adebayo S.	Green Party	242	2.5%

Electorate 9,662 · Ballots cast 9,716 · EC ward code E05013979 · Back to ward index

St Alban's · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,968

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Holt J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	939	23.7%	Elected
2	Keane J.	Labour Party	852	21.5%	Elected
3	Young A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	844	21.3%
4	Mendy H.	Labour Party	798	20.1%
5	Gould K.	RES	295	7.4%
6	Swann I.	RES	240	6.0%

Electorate 5,518 · Ballots cast 3,968 · EC ward code E05013981 · Back to ward index

St Edward's · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,046

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Chapman J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,108	15.7%	Elected
2	Taylor D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,003	14.2%	Elected
3	Patel N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	952	13.5%	Elected
4	Kendrick A.	RES	662	9.4%
5	Stilwell A.	RES	602	8.5%
6	Leatherbarrow A.	Labour Party	594	8.4%
7	Williams D.	Labour Party	589	8.4%
8	Adesanya A.	Labour Party	588	8.3%
9	Tyler D.	RES	526	7.5%
10	Kruzycka K.	Green Party	210	3.0%
11	Davies P.	Liberal Democrats	120	1.7%
12	Salt K.	Liberal Democrats	92	1.3%

Electorate 7,345 · Ballots cast 7,046 · EC ward code E05013983 · Back to ward index

South Hornchurch · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,564

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Anne Summers N.	I RES	1,023	22.4%	Elected
2	Williamson G.	I RES	1,019	22.3%	Elected
3	Pearman J.	Labour Party	669	14.7%
4	Akhtar M.	Labour Party	664	14.5%
5	Deon Burton M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	573	12.6%
6	Themistocli A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	500	11.0%
7	Arrowsmith K.	Green Party	116	2.5%

Electorate 7,402 · Ballots cast 4,564 · EC ward code E05013984 · Back to ward index

Hylands & Harrow Lodge · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 11,091

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Glass J.	RES	1,729	15.6%	Elected
2	Wood J.	RES	1,713	15.4%	Elected
3	Smith C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,596	14.4%	Elected
4	White C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,483	13.4%
5	Donald A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,476	13.3%
6	Farnsworth R.	Labour Party	822	7.4%
7	Wood M.	Labour Party	756	6.8%
8	Hassan M.	Labour Party	689	6.2%
9	Haines A.	Green Party	562	5.1%
10	Birch C.	ECP	140	1.3%
11	Birch J.	ECP	125	1.1%

Electorate 10,677 · Ballots cast 11,091 · EC ward code E05013976 · Back to ward index

Heaton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,812

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Anderson M.	Labour Party	1,267	16.2%	Elected
2	Darvill K.	Labour Party	1,200	15.4%	Elected
3	Walker F.	Labour Party	1,153	14.8%	Elected
4	Ajidele O.	Conservative and Unionist Party	775	9.9%
5	Green E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	645	8.3%
6	Rimkus R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	598	7.7%
7	Glenn M.	I RES	563	7.2%
8	Brice-Thompson W.	I RES	548	7.0%
9	Bakoulas M.	I RES	463	5.9%
10	Lavender B.	RES	308	3.9%
11	Tyler L.	RES	292	3.7%

Electorate 11,525 · Ballots cast 7,812 · EC ward code E05013975 · Back to ward index

Mawneys · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,864

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Frost J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,627	16.5%	Elected
2	Patel D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,595	16.2%	Elected
3	Smith C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,467	14.9%	Elected
4	Baker C.	RES	1,095	11.1%
5	Trew L.	RES	1,045	10.6%
6	Hipson D.	RES	963	9.8%
7	De Melo A.	Labour Party	681	6.9%
8	McGeary C.	Labour Party	631	6.4%
9	Nichols D.	Labour Party	587	6.0%
10	Brown G.	Liberal Democrats	87	0.9%
11	Deeks J.	Liberal Democrats	86	0.9%

Electorate 10,151 · Ballots cast 9,864 · EC ward code E05013978 · Back to ward index

Rush Green & Crowlands · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,876

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Benham R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,561	15.8%	Elected
2	Persaud V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,536	15.6%	Elected
3	Ryan T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,472	14.9%	Elected
4	Leatherbarrow A.	Labour Party	1,276	12.9%
5	Curtis J.	Labour Party	1,258	12.7%
6	Ritchie R.	Labour Party	1,184	12.0%
7	Bevan G.	RES	578	5.9%
8	Singh A.	RES	482	4.9%
9	Niemierko T.	RES	466	4.7%
10	O'Dea R.	Independent	63	0.6%

Electorate 10,324 · Ballots cast 9,876 · EC ward code E05013980 · Back to ward index

Beam Park · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +9.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,136

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Stanton M.	Labour Party	530	24.8%	Elected
2	McKeever T.	Labour Party	516	24.2%	Elected
3	Elliott R.	I RES	438	20.5%
4	Beal D.	I RES	415	19.4%
5	Oddy B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	102	4.8%
6	Strong T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	82	3.8%
7	Phillips K.	Green Party	30	1.4%
8	Huxtabe L.	Reform UK	23	1.1%

Electorate 3,697 · Ballots cast 2,136 · EC ward code E05013967 · Back to ward index

Marshalls & Rise Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 11,857

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Crowder P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,122	17.9%	Elected
2	Dervish O.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,981	16.7%	Elected
3	Misir R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,955	16.5%	Elected
4	Mann A.	RES	1,440	12.1%
5	Barrett K.	RES	1,432	12.1%
6	Chesney R.	RES	1,395	11.8%
7	McGeary S.	Labour Party	547	4.6%
8	Singh B.	Labour Party	497	4.2%
9	Singh C.	Labour Party	488	4.1%

Electorate 9,843 · Ballots cast 11,857 · EC ward code E05013977 · Back to ward index

Harold Wood · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 10,664

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Eagling B.	RES	2,081	19.5%	Elected
2	Goode M.	RES	1,884	17.7%	Elected
3	Wise D.	RES	1,812	17.0%	Elected
4	Beth C.	Labour Party	667	6.3%
5	Koseda K.	Labour Party	613	5.7%
6	Onaiwu S.	Labour Party	580	5.4%
7	Akinboboye T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	566	5.3%
8	Lammin D.	HRES	484	4.5%
9	Turner K.	HRES	472	4.4%
10	Meer A.	HRES	430	4.0%
11	Edes R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	426	4.0%
12	Webster G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	405	3.8%
13	Coles J.	Liberal Democrats	145	1.4%
14	Sanderson I.	Liberal Democrats	99	0.9%

Electorate 10,236 · Ballots cast 10,664 · EC ward code E05013973 · Back to ward index

Havering-atte-Bower · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,802

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Best R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,703	19.3%	Elected
2	Crowder J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,663	18.9%	Elected
3	White D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,504	17.1%	Elected
4	Perry C.	RES	1,157	13.1%
5	Alasia S.	Labour Party	1,008	11.5%
6	Lashley B.	Labour Party	977	11.1%
7	Ranjbaran T.	Labour Party	790	9.0%

Electorate 11,538 · Ballots cast 8,802 · EC ward code E05013974 · Back to ward index

Emerson Park · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,810

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Garrard L.	RES	1,512	26.0%	Elected
2	Godwin D.	RES	1,498	25.8%	Elected
3	Swan D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	947	16.3%
4	Khiljee N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	835	14.4%
5	Gupta A.	Labour Party	380	6.5%
6	McCarthy M.	Labour Party	331	5.7%
7	Heron S.	H & U IND	104	1.8%
8	Hogan V.	H & U IND	95	1.6%
9	Coles P.	Liberal Democrats	64	1.1%
10	Potter G.	Liberal Democrats	44	0.8%

Electorate 7,241 · Ballots cast 5,810 · EC ward code E05013970 · Back to ward index

Squirrels Heath · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 13,140

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Vickery C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,383	18.1%	Elected
2	Prince K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,331	17.7%	Elected
3	White M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,295	17.5%	Elected
4	Bryan K.	RES	1,124	8.6%
5	Perry R.	RES	967	7.4%
6	Rushworth C.	RES	897	6.8%
7	Burke M.	Labour Party	871	6.6%
8	Meyer N.	Labour Party	741	5.6%
9	Purnell C.	Labour Party	714	5.4%
10	Wallace M.	Independent	237	1.8%
11	Clarke T.	Liberal Democrats	235	1.8%
12	Hibbs-Brown C.	Liberal Democrats	184	1.4%
13	Stafford C.	Liberal Democrats	161	1.2%

Electorate 11,623 · Ballots cast 13,140 · EC ward code E05013985 · Back to ward index

St Andrew's · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +3.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 12,486

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Middleton P.	RES	2,855	22.9%	Elected
2	O'Sullivan G.	RES	2,823	22.6%	Elected
3	Vincent B.	RES	2,700	21.6%	Elected
4	Frost H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	747	6.0%
5	Mylod J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	735	5.9%
6	Rose O.	Conservative and Unionist Party	702	5.6%
7	Butler N.	Labour Party	624	5.0%
8	Jervis J.	Labour Party	534	4.3%
9	Miah A.	Labour Party	471	3.8%
10	Davis M.	Green Party	295	2.4%

Electorate 10,994 · Ballots cast 12,486 · EC ward code E05013982 · Back to ward index

Elm Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 12,614

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mugglestone B.	RES	2,971	23.6%	Elected
2	Nunn S.	RES	2,934	23.3%	Elected
3	Wilkes J.	RES	2,827	22.4%	Elected
4	Davis J.	Labour Party	769	6.1%
5	Carr G.	Labour Party	709	5.6%
6	Davis M.	Labour Party	616	4.9%
7	Best V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	608	4.8%
8	Azharuddin M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	474	3.8%
9	Travnicek M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	443	3.5%
10	Haines G.	Green Party	263	2.1%

Electorate 12,084 · Ballots cast 12,614 · EC ward code E05013969 · Back to ward index

Cranham · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 11,574

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ford G.	RES	3,107	26.8%	Elected
2	Tyler J.	RES	2,807	24.3%	Elected
3	Ruck P.	RES	2,636	22.8%	Elected
4	McEvoy T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	535	4.6%
5	Weedon D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	496	4.3%
6	Darvill K.	Labour Party	449	3.9%
7	Foong P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	435	3.8%
8	Dawson D.	Labour Party	338	2.9%
9	Stafford J.	Labour Party	306	2.6%
10	Hughes D.	Green Party	289	2.5%
11	Brown S.	Liberal Democrats	121	1.0%
12	Sait P.	Liberal Democrats	55	0.5%

Electorate 9,840 · Ballots cast 11,574 · EC ward code E05013968 · Back to ward index

Upminster · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 12,756

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hawthorn L.	RES	3,028	23.7%	Elected
2	Ford O.	RES	2,954	23.2%	Elected
3	Wilkins C.	RES	2,930	23.0%	Elected
4	Baker A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	953	7.5%
5	Miller S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	711	5.6%
6	Robinson B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	584	4.6%
7	Chalk P.	Labour Party	453	3.6%
8	McGeary S.	Labour Party	419	3.3%
9	Sullivan J.	Labour Party	362	2.8%
10	Collins M.	Green Party	362	2.8%

Electorate 10,359 · Ballots cast 12,756 · EC ward code E05013986 · Back to ward index

Hacton · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 36.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −3.6 pts Valid ballots 5,753

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Morgon R.	RES	2,315	40.2%	Elected
2	Whitney R.	RES	2,124	36.9%	Elected
3	Connew P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	430	7.5%
4	Marks P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	337	5.9%
5	Jiggens S.	Labour Party	275	4.8%
6	Earley S.	Labour Party	272	4.7%

Electorate 7,088 · Ballots cast 5,753 · EC ward code E05013972 · Back to ward index