Hart 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

11 ward races

11 seats

4 elected below the proportional quota

36.4% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 11 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 11 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	9,965	37.8%	2	18.2%	5	45.5%	-3
Liberal Democrats	6,301	23.9%	4	36.4%	3	27.3%	+1
CCH	4,595	17.4%	4	36.4%	2	18.2%	+2
Labour Party	2,484	9.4%	0	0.0%	1	9.1%	-1
Independent	1,841	7.0%	1	9.1%	0	0.0%	+1
Green Party	914	3.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	94	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
OMRL	79	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Heritage Party	78	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	26,351	100.0%	11	100.0%	11	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Fleet West · 1 seat · won at 42.7% · +7.3 pts below quota
Fleet Central · 1 seat · won at 44.3% · +5.7 pts below quota
Crookham West and Ewshot · 1 seat · won at 44.8% · +5.2 pts below quota
Hook · 1 seat · won at 46.1% · +3.9 pts below quota
Fleet East · 1 seat · won at 53.7% · above quota
Hartley Wintney · 1 seat · won at 54.6% · above quota
Crookham East · 1 seat · won at 55.4% · above quota
Yateley East · 1 seat · won at 60.5% · above quota
Yateley West · 1 seat · won at 60.6% · above quota
Odiham · 1 seat · won at 61.8% · above quota
Blackwater and Hawley · 1 seat · won at 63.4% · above quota

Race results

Fleet West · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,506

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Thomas, B.	CCH	1,071	42.7%	Elected
2	Chakraborty, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	979	39.1%
3	Mellor, M.	Labour Party	259	10.3%
4	Rozier, W.	Green Party	197	7.9%

Electorate 6,837 · Ballots cast 2,506 · Back to ward index

Fleet Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,522

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Davies, K.	CCH	1,116	44.3%	Elected
2	Fang, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	950	37.7%
3	Perkins, A.	Labour Party	377	14.9%
4	Hope, H.	OMRL	79	3.1%

Electorate 6,614 · Ballots cast 2,522 · Back to ward index

Crookham West and Ewshot · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,560

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Clarke, T.	CCH	1,147	44.8%	Elected
2	Bulgin, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	906	35.4%
3	Hutton, J.	Green Party	280	10.9%
4	Seling-Mabo, L.	Labour Party	227	8.9%

Electorate 7,911 · Ballots cast 2,560 · Back to ward index

Hook · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,760

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Smith, D.	Independent	1,272	46.1%	Elected
2	Copeland, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,045	37.9%
3	Affleck-Cruise, A.	Labour Party	443	16.1%

Electorate 7,458 · Ballots cast 2,760 · Back to ward index

Fleet East · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.7 pts Valid ballots 2,612

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wildsmith, P.	Liberal Democrats	1,402	53.7%	Elected
2	Thorne, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	863	33.0%
3	Davis, S.	Green Party	195	7.5%
4	Wainhouse, V.	Labour Party	152	5.8%

Electorate 6,117 · Ballots cast 2,612 · Back to ward index

Hartley Wintney · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.6 pts Valid ballots 2,499

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Farmer, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,364	54.6%	Elected
2	Robertson, R.	Independent	569	22.8%
3	Khepar, D.	Liberal Democrats	566	22.6%

Electorate 7,326 · Ballots cast 2,499 · Back to ward index

Crookham East · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.4 pts Valid ballots 2,276

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Axam, C.	CCH	1,261	55.4%	Elected
2	Whibley, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	796	35.0%
3	Spradbery, C.	Labour Party	219	9.6%

Electorate 5,881 · Ballots cast 2,276 · Back to ward index

Yateley East · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.5 pts Valid ballots 2,189

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Neighbour, D.	Liberal Democrats	1,325	60.5%	Elected
2	Barnes, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	585	26.7%
3	Schroeder, M.	Labour Party	185	8.5%
4	Lloyd-Jones, T.	Reform UK	94	4.3%

Electorate 6,690 · Ballots cast 2,189 · Back to ward index

Yateley West · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.6 pts Valid ballots 2,267

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Vernon, M.	Liberal Democrats	1,374	60.6%	Elected
2	Martin, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	578	25.5%
3	Still, J.	Labour Party	237	10.5%
4	Crompton, F.	Heritage Party	78	3.4%

Electorate 6,655 · Ballots cast 2,267 · Back to ward index

Odiham · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.8 pts Valid ballots 2,285

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dorn, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,412	61.8%	Elected
2	Over, T.	Liberal Democrats	446	19.5%
3	Mosesson, L.	Green Party	242	10.6%
4	Jones, B.	Labour Party	185	8.1%

Electorate 6,569 · Ballots cast 2,285 · Back to ward index

Blackwater and Hawley · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.4 pts Valid ballots 1,875

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harward, B.	Liberal Democrats	1,188	63.4%	Elected
2	Burton, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	487	26.0%
3	Bidwell, C.	Labour Party	200	10.7%

Electorate 6,190 · Ballots cast 1,875 · Back to ward index