← Guildford (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Guildford 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

21 ward races

48 seats

46 elected below the proportional quota

95.8% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 21 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 48 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Liberal Democrats	28,277	30.7%	25	52.1%	15	31.3%	+10
Conservative and Unionist Party	27,138	29.5%	10	20.8%	15	31.3%	-5
RES	21,456	23.3%	7	14.6%	12	25.0%	-5
Labour Party	9,666	10.5%	3	6.3%	5	10.4%	-2
GGG	3,535	3.8%	3	6.3%	1	2.1%	+2
Green Party	1,056	1.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Independent	830	0.9%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
PEACE	92	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	71	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	92,121	100.0%	48	100.0%	48	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Bellfields & Slyfield · 2 seats · won at 17.3% · +16.0 pts below quota
Stoke · 3 seats · won at 10.5% · +14.5 pts below quota
Burpham · 2 seats · won at 18.9% · +14.4 pts below quota
Merrow · 3 seats · won at 11.3% · +13.7 pts below quota
Ash South · 2 seats · won at 19.7% · +13.6 pts below quota
Castle · 3 seats · won at 11.7% · +13.3 pts below quota
Stoughton South · 2 seats · won at 21.0% · +12.4 pts below quota
Shalford · 2 seats · won at 21.3% · +12.1 pts below quota
Stoughton North · 2 seats · won at 22.4% · +10.9 pts below quota
Worplesdon · 3 seats · won at 14.1% · +10.9 pts below quota
Send & Lovelace · 3 seats · won at 14.2% · +10.8 pts below quota
Onslow · 3 seats · won at 14.3% · +10.7 pts below quota
Ash Wharf · 2 seats · won at 22.9% · +10.4 pts below quota
Tillingbourne · 2 seats · won at 23.0% · +10.4 pts below quota
Westborough · 3 seats · won at 15.4% · +9.6 pts below quota
Pilgrims · 2 seats · won at 27.1% · +6.2 pts below quota
Normandy & Pirbright · 2 seats · won at 27.8% · +5.5 pts below quota
Clandon & Horsley · 3 seats · won at 20.2% · +4.8 pts below quota
St Nicolas · 1 seat · won at 46.2% · +3.8 pts below quota
Ash Vale · 2 seats · won at 32.2% · +1.1 pts below quota
Effingham · 1 seat · won at 64.8% · above quota

Race results

Bellfields & Slyfield · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +16.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,415

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Creese, A.	Labour Party	453	18.8%	Elected
2	Walsh, J.	Labour Party	419	17.3%	Elected
3	Hooper, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	336	13.9%
4	Wakeling, W.	Liberal Democrats	327	13.5%
5	Miah, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	288	11.9%
6	Strugnell, N.	Liberal Democrats	257	10.6%
7	Isaacs, S.	RES	172	7.1%
8	Tillett, L.	RES	163	6.7%

Electorate 4,405 · Ballots cast 2,415 · Back to ward index

Stoke · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 10.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +14.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,521

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Taylor, C.	Liberal Democrats	634	11.5%	Elected
2	King, V.	Liberal Democrats	629	11.4%	Elected
3	Hives, S.	Liberal Democrats	578	10.5%	Elected
4	Peters, S.	Green Party	516	9.3%
5	Kittermaster, H.	Labour Party	467	8.5%
6	Hackman, S.	Labour Party	460	8.3%
7	Creese, B.	Labour Party	431	7.8%
8	Lakhani, A.	RES	340	6.2%
9	Tough, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	319	5.8%
10	Kidd, A.	RES	318	5.8%
11	Vorley, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	290	5.3%
12	Zissman, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	283	5.1%
13	Lyon, J.	RES	256	4.6%

Electorate 5,504 · Ballots cast 5,521 · Back to ward index

Burpham · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 18.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +14.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,442

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Potter, G.	Liberal Democrats	1,065	24.0%	Elected
2	Tyson, J.	Liberal Democrats	839	18.9%	Elected
3	Holliday, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	669	15.1%
4	Heilbron, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	668	15.0%
5	Hyland, L.	RES	465	10.5%
6	Creese, I.	Labour Party	378	8.5%
7	Wilce, C.	RES	358	8.1%

Electorate 4,927 · Ballots cast 4,442 · Back to ward index

Merrow · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 11.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +13.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,771

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Shaw, J.	Liberal Democrats	1,315	15.0%	Elected
2	De Contades, Y.	Liberal Democrats	1,094	12.5%	Elected
3	Bigmore, J.	RES	995	11.3%	Elected
4	Humphries, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	954	10.9%
5	Booth, D.	RES	866	9.9%
6	Lam, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	861	9.8%
7	Jay, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	815	9.3%
8	Brown, S.	RES	736	8.4%
9	Cassidy, N.	Labour Party	648	7.4%
10	Ellwood, G.	Independent	487	5.6%

Electorate 7,150 · Ballots cast 8,771 · Back to ward index

Ash South · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +13.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,711

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wyeth-Price, S.	RES	737	27.2%	Elected
2	Shaw, D.	RES	535	19.7%	Elected
3	Elburn, M.	Liberal Democrats	534	19.7%
4	Buckley, P.	Liberal Democrats	387	14.3%
5	Flynn, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	274	10.1%
6	Wrycroft, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	244	9.0%

Electorate 4,564 · Ballots cast 2,711 · Back to ward index

Castle · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 11.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +13.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,344

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Redpath, M.	RES	1,159	12.4%	Elected
2	Mills, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,128	12.1%	Elected
3	Davis, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,091	11.7%	Elected
4	Redpath, J.	RES	1,074	11.5%
5	Perestaj De Gusmao Fiuza, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	964	10.3%
6	Doran, C.	Liberal Democrats	910	9.7%
7	Rigg, J.	RES	909	9.7%
8	Gillingham, S.	Liberal Democrats	779	8.3%
9	O'Byrne, J.	Labour Party	439	4.7%
10	Sussex, S.	Labour Party	325	3.5%
11	Smith, M.	Labour Party	303	3.2%
12	Canning, P.	Independent	263	2.8%

Electorate 7,144 · Ballots cast 9,344 · Back to ward index

Stoughton South · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,114

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Steel, K.	Liberal Democrats	660	21.2%	Elected
2	Miah, M.	Liberal Democrats	653	21.0%	Elected
3	Rouse, A.	Labour Party	420	13.5%
4	Dokimakis, G.	Labour Party	407	13.1%
5	Dinc, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	294	9.4%
6	Hester, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	243	7.8%
7	Nash-Williams, Z.	RES	190	6.1%
8	Johnston, T.	RES	155	5.0%
9	Morris, J.	PEACE	92	3.0%

Electorate 4,309 · Ballots cast 3,114 · Back to ward index

Shalford · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,575

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Houston, C.	Liberal Democrats	947	26.5%	Elected
2	Williams, D.	Liberal Democrats	760	21.3%	Elected
3	Fremaux, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	476	13.3%
4	Watts, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	470	13.1%
5	Nagaty, R.	GGG	407	11.4%
6	Keane, N.	GGG	333	9.3%
7	Lockhart, P.	Labour Party	182	5.1%

Electorate 4,134 · Ballots cast 3,575 · Back to ward index

Stoughton North · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,055

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harwood, G.	Liberal Democrats	750	24.5%	Elected
2	Griffiths, L.	Liberal Democrats	684	22.4%	Elected
3	Quelch, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	423	13.8%
4	Rowden, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	336	11.0%
5	Giess, A.	Labour Party	284	9.3%
6	Grainger, S.	Labour Party	252	8.2%
7	Moghaddam, N.	RES	164	5.4%
8	Stokoe, B.	RES	162	5.3%

Electorate 4,269 · Ballots cast 3,055 · Back to ward index

Worplesdon · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,460

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brooker, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,087	14.6%	Elected
2	Akhtar, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,071	14.4%	Elected
3	Brooker, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,052	14.1%	Elected
4	McShee, B.	RES	855	11.5%
5	Ahier, B.	RES	721	9.7%
6	Pidgeon, R.	RES	630	8.4%
7	Edwards, J.	Liberal Democrats	463	6.2%
8	Merryweather, M.	Liberal Democrats	462	6.2%
9	Hawthorne, J.	Labour Party	385	5.2%
10	Trier, N.	Labour Party	382	5.1%
11	Webster, S.	Liberal Democrats	352	4.7%

Electorate 6,525 · Ballots cast 7,460 · Back to ward index

Send & Lovelace · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,029

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Oven, P.	GGG	980	16.3%	Elected
2	Brooker, J.	GGG	960	15.9%	Elected
3	Fenwick, J.	GGG	855	14.2%	Elected
4	Bennett, P.	RES	515	8.5%
5	Powell, G.	RES	506	8.4%
6	Griffiths, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	473	7.8%
7	Stewart-Clark, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	425	7.0%
8	Offord, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	379	6.3%
9	Bahrani, B.	Liberal Democrats	192	3.2%
10	McMillan, D.	Liberal Democrats	189	3.1%
11	Baker, J.	Labour Party	188	3.1%
12	Woof, R.	Labour Party	186	3.1%
13	Miller Dale, M.	Liberal Democrats	181	3.0%

Electorate 5,445 · Ballots cast 6,029 · Back to ward index

Onslow · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,335

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Goodwin, A.	Liberal Democrats	1,272	20.1%	Elected
2	Jones, J.	Liberal Democrats	933	14.7%	Elected
3	Lee, S.	Liberal Democrats	908	14.3%	Elected
4	Chandler, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	479	7.6%
5	Alam, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	425	6.7%
6	Moss, H.	RES	395	6.2%
7	Ekinci, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	391	6.2%
8	Heaphy, J.	RES	389	6.1%
9	Brown, L.	RES	317	5.0%
10	Rich, H.	Labour Party	289	4.6%
11	Bragger, N.	Labour Party	273	4.3%
12	Stoiana-Mois, V.	Labour Party	193	3.0%
13	Church, S.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	36	0.6%
14	Lewis, J.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	35	0.6%

Electorate 5,037 · Ballots cast 6,335 · Back to ward index

Ash Wharf · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,696

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	White, F.	Liberal Democrats	699	25.9%	Elected
2	Bellamy, P.	Liberal Democrats	617	22.9%	Elected
3	Tonks, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	475	17.6%
4	Pritchard, W.	Conservative and Unionist Party	379	14.1%
5	Gallagher, M.	Labour Party	280	10.4%
6	Whitehouse, C.	Green Party	246	9.1%

Electorate 4,866 · Ballots cast 2,696 · Back to ward index

Tillingbourne · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,402

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Newson, D.	Liberal Democrats	801	23.5%	Elected
2	Hughes, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	781	23.0%	Elected
3	Nusbacher, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	667	19.6%
4	Abbey, P.	Liberal Democrats	630	18.5%
5	Howard, L.	Green Party	294	8.6%
6	Wynn, J.	Labour Party	118	3.5%
7	Marsh, J.	Labour Party	111	3.3%

Electorate 4,406 · Ballots cast 3,402 · Back to ward index

Westborough · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,308

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	McShane, J.	Liberal Democrats	599	18.1%	Elected
2	Lowry, S.	Liberal Democrats	570	17.2%	Elected
3	Smith, H.	Labour Party	508	15.4%	Elected
4	Steel, J.	Liberal Democrats	450	13.6%
5	Selim, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	290	8.8%
6	Parsons, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	263	8.0%
7	Spooner, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	249	7.5%
8	Lal, S.	RES	199	6.0%
9	Lal, S.	RES	180	5.4%

Electorate 5,335 · Ballots cast 3,308 · Back to ward index

Pilgrims · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 27.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +6.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,760

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Furniss, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	835	30.3%	Elected
2	Barker, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	749	27.1%	Elected
3	Belcher, T.	RES	358	13.0%
4	Price, J.	RES	238	8.6%
5	Mallet, S.	Liberal Democrats	234	8.5%
6	Rogers, A.	Liberal Democrats	196	7.1%
7	Hill, M.	Labour Party	150	5.4%

Electorate 4,025 · Ballots cast 2,760 · Back to ward index

Normandy & Pirbright · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 27.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +5.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,018

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Witham, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	938	31.1%	Elected
2	Bilbe, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	840	27.8%	Elected
3	Howard, K.	Liberal Democrats	341	11.3%
4	Doven, G.	RES	324	10.7%
5	Schofield, S.	Labour Party	282	9.3%
6	Redpath, G.	RES	213	7.1%
7	Hill, J.	Independent	80	2.7%

Electorate 4,545 · Ballots cast 3,018 · Back to ward index

Clandon & Horsley · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +4.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,918

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Young, C.	RES	1,949	21.9%	Elected
2	Bennett, D.	RES	1,859	20.8%	Elected
3	Brothwell, R.	RES	1,804	20.2%	Elected
4	Cullens, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	667	7.5%
5	Bond, I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	641	7.2%
6	Hourahane, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	595	6.7%
7	Ross, W.	Liberal Democrats	400	4.5%
8	Roe, D.	Liberal Democrats	360	4.0%
9	O'Keeffe, L.	Liberal Democrats	334	3.7%
10	Symonds, D.	Labour Party	309	3.5%

Electorate 7,096 · Ballots cast 8,918 · Back to ward index

St Nicolas · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,121

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hunt, T.	Liberal Democrats	518	46.2%	Elected
2	Goldsborough, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	252	22.5%
3	Ackerley, N.	RES	250	22.3%
4	Pegman, C.	Labour Party	101	9.0%

Electorate 2,245 · Ballots cast 1,121 · Back to ward index

Ash Vale · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 32.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +1.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,322

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Morson, C.	Liberal Democrats	1,183	35.6%	Elected
2	Lucas, R.	Liberal Democrats	1,070	32.2%	Elected
3	Manning, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	571	17.2%
4	Moseley, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	498	15.0%

Electorate 5,123 · Ballots cast 3,322 · Back to ward index

Effingham · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.8 pts Valid ballots 804

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rehorst-Smith, M.	Liberal Democrats	521	64.8%	Elected
2	Boder, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	240	29.9%
3	Rahman, S.	Labour Party	43	5.3%

Electorate 1,952 · Ballots cast 804 · Back to ward index