← Gedling (all cycles) · 1 May 2025 cohort
Gedling 2025
Local elections held 1 May 2025.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 6 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 9 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 17,146 | 34.1% | 5 | 55.6% | 3 | 33.3% | +2 |
| Labour Party | 13,901 | 27.6% | 2 | 22.2% | 3 | 33.3% | -1 |
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 9,249 | 18.4% | 2 | 22.2% | 2 | 22.2% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 4,433 | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 11.1% | -1 |
| Green Party | 3,713 | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 1,836 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 50,278 | 100.0% | 9 | 100.0% | 9 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Calverton · 1 seat · won at 29.3% · +20.7 pts below quota
- Carlton East · 1 seat · won at 35.4% · +14.6 pts below quota
- Newstead · 1 seat · won at 36.9% · +13.1 pts below quota
- Arnold South · 2 seats · won at 34.7% · above quota
- Carlton West · 2 seats · won at 36.0% · above quota
- Arnold North · 2 seats · won at 38.2% · above quota
Race results
Calverton · single-seat
Marginal winner 29.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +20.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,088
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jody Etienne Stoll | Reform UK | 1,197 | 29.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Andy Meads | Independent | 1,033 | 25.3% | |
| 3 | Boyd Bryan Elliott | Conservative and Unionist Party | 922 | 22.6% | |
| 4 | Dean Anthony Wilson | Labour Party | 554 | 13.6% | |
| 5 | Maggie Dunkin | Liberal Democrats | 220 | 5.4% | |
| 6 | Oscar Stanislaw Power | Green Party | 162 | 4.0% |
Carlton East · single-seat
Marginal winner 35.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,931
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Adams | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,391 | 35.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Sam Boultby | Reform UK | 858 | 21.8% | |
| 3 | Cate Carmichael | Labour Party | 763 | 19.4% | |
| 4 | Russell Whiting | Independent | 615 | 15.6% | |
| 5 | Ian David Barlow | Green Party | 183 | 4.7% | |
| 6 | Richard Ian Macduff Fife | Liberal Democrats | 121 | 3.1% |
Newstead · single-seat
Marginal winner 36.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +13.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,500
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stuart James Bestwick | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,291 | 36.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Eddie Stubbs | Reform UK | 1,290 | 36.9% | |
| 3 | John Taylor | Labour Party | 502 | 14.3% | |
| 4 | John Antony Sutherland | Liberal Democrats | 233 | 6.7% | |
| 5 | Ian James Whitehead | Green Party | 184 | 5.3% |
Arnold South · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 34.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −1.4 pts Valid ballots 7,018
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Clarke | Labour Party | 2,531 | 36.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Liz Clunie | Labour Party | 2,435 | 34.7% | Elected |
| 3 | Alisha Chambers | Reform UK | 2,035 | 29.0% | |
| 4 | Steve Higgins | Reform UK | 2,021 | 28.8% | |
| 5 | Mark Frederick Dillon | Conservative and Unionist Party | 978 | 13.9% | |
| 6 | Tracy Maltby | Conservative and Unionist Party | 936 | 13.3% | |
| 7 | Tony Burnett | Green Party | 696 | 9.9% | |
| 8 | Adam Philip Chadwick | Green Party | 656 | 9.3% | |
| 9 | Andrew Mark Ellwood | Liberal Democrats | 600 | 8.5% | |
| 10 | Robert Andrew Swift | Liberal Democrats | 568 | 8.1% | |
| 11 | Paul Key | Independent | 188 | 2.7% |
Carlton West · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 36.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −2.7 pts Valid ballots 6,191
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Brill | Reform UK | 2,399 | 38.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Jim Vernon | Reform UK | 2,230 | 36.0% | Elected |
| 3 | Jim Creamer | Labour Party | 1,642 | 26.5% | |
| 4 | Errol Henry | Labour Party | 1,567 | 25.3% | |
| 5 | Andrew Mark Dunkin | Liberal Democrats | 982 | 15.9% | |
| 6 | Paul Anthony Hughes | Liberal Democrats | 865 | 14.0% | |
| 7 | Charlie Godwin | Conservative and Unionist Party | 744 | 12.0% | |
| 8 | Carol Ann Walker | Conservative and Unionist Party | 655 | 10.6% | |
| 9 | Charlotte Ann Leask | Green Party | 574 | 9.3% | |
| 10 | Will Richardson | Green Party | 376 | 6.1% |
Arnold North · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 38.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −4.8 pts Valid ballots 6,667
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wendy Lukacs | Reform UK | 2,571 | 38.6% | Elected |
| 2 | John Semens | Reform UK | 2,545 | 38.2% | Elected |
| 3 | Sarah O'Connor | Labour Party | 1,978 | 29.7% | |
| 4 | Henry Thomas Neil Wheeler | Labour Party | 1,929 | 28.9% | |
| 5 | Darren Robert Maltby | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,193 | 17.9% | |
| 6 | Edward Stan Kusal Jayamaha | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,139 | 17.1% | |
| 7 | Tad Jones | Liberal Democrats | 480 | 7.2% | |
| 8 | Margret Vince | Green Party | 445 | 6.7% | |
| 9 | Jim Stuart | Green Party | 437 | 6.6% | |
| 10 | Patrick Christopher Shannon | Liberal Democrats | 364 | 5.5% |