← Forest Of Dean (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Forest Of Dean 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

21 ward races

38 seats

28 elected below the proportional quota

73.7% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 21 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 38 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Green Party	11,771	28.4%	15	39.5%	11	28.9%	+4
Conservative and Unionist Party	11,406	27.5%	4	10.5%	10	26.3%	-6
Independent	10,840	26.1%	11	28.9%	10	26.3%	+1
Liberal Democrats	4,242	10.2%	3	7.9%	4	10.5%	-1
Labour Party	3,244	7.8%	5	13.2%	3	7.9%	+2
Total	41,503	100.0%	38	100.0%	38	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Bream · 2 seats · won at 17.1% · +16.3 pts below quota
Longhope & Huntley · 2 seats · won at 20.3% · +13.1 pts below quota
Mitcheldean, Ruardean & Drybrook · 3 seats · won at 14.4% · +10.6 pts below quota
Berry Hill · 2 seats · won at 23.2% · +10.1 pts below quota
Coleford · 3 seats · won at 15.3% · +9.7 pts below quota
Tidenham · 3 seats · won at 15.5% · +9.5 pts below quota
Lydney East · 3 seats · won at 15.6% · +9.4 pts below quota
Hartpury & Redmarley · 2 seats · won at 26.7% · +6.6 pts below quota
Cinderford West · 2 seats · won at 28.5% · +4.8 pts below quota
Newent & Taynton · 3 seats · won at 20.6% · +4.4 pts below quota
Newnham · 2 seats · won at 30.2% · +3.1 pts below quota
Cinderford East · 2 seats · won at 31.5% · +1.8 pts below quota
Ruspidge · 1 seat · won at 50.9% · above quota
Dymock · 1 seat · won at 62.5% · above quota
Newland & Sling · 1 seat · won at 69.4% · above quota
St Briavels · 1 seat · won at 74.5% · above quota
Lydney North · 1 seat · won at 76.3% · above quota
Pillowell · 1 seat · won at 77.3% · above quota
Lydney West & Aylburton · 1 seat · won at 77.6% · above quota
Lydbrook · 1 seat · won at 85.5% · above quota
Westbury-on-Severn · 1 seat · won at 87.4% · above quota

Race results

Bream · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +16.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,211

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bruce, A.	Green Party	537	24.3%	Elected
2	Llewellyn, B.	Green Party	377	17.1%	Elected
3	Faulkner, B.	Labour Party	288	13.0%
4	Hiett, P.	Independent	283	12.8%
5	Grant, A.	Independent	283	12.8%
6	Whittaker, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	213	9.6%
7	Price, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	149	6.7%
8	Gleave, E.	Independent	81	3.7%

Electorate 3,711 · Ballots cast 2,211 · Back to ward index

Longhope & Huntley · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +13.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,216

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Francis, J.	Independent	465	21.0%	Elected
2	Tradgett, D.	Green Party	449	20.3%	Elected
3	Wood, A.	Independent	387	17.5%
4	Rebbeck, J.	Independent	340	15.3%
5	Nicholas, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	316	14.3%
6	Shenoi, V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	259	11.7%

Electorate 3,252 · Ballots cast 2,216 · Back to ward index

Mitcheldean, Ruardean & Drybrook · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,882

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fraser, J.	Green Party	958	19.6%	Elected
2	Roach, T.	Green Party	816	16.7%	Elected
3	Stammers, S.	Labour Party	701	14.4%	Elected
4	Forester, T.	Independent	673	13.8%
5	Gardiner, A.	Independent	542	11.1%
6	Hollier, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	461	9.4%
7	Heathfield, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	275	5.6%
8	Plummer, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	256	5.2%
9	Bean, S.	Liberal Democrats	200	4.1%

Electorate 5,765 · Ballots cast 4,882 · Back to ward index

Berry Hill · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,413

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gwilliam, T.	Independent	571	23.7%	Elected
2	Elsmore, J.	Independent	560	23.2%	Elected
3	Yeates, S.	Green Party	391	16.2%
4	Henson, R.	Green Party	282	11.7%
5	Bluett, N.	Independent	209	8.7%
6	Dunning, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	202	8.4%
7	Mair Nurden, V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	140	5.8%
8	Baine, S.	Independent	58	2.4%

Electorate 3,748 · Ballots cast 2,413 · Back to ward index

Coleford · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,773

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Elsmore, C.	Independent	643	17.0%	Elected
2	Kyne, P.	Labour Party	619	16.4%	Elected
3	Whitburn, I.	Independent	577	15.3%	Elected
4	Allaway-Martin, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	530	14.0%
5	Lane, R.	Green Party	526	13.9%
6	Taylor, P.	Liberal Democrats	364	9.6%
7	Riley, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	288	7.6%
8	Price, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	226	6.0%

Electorate 6,060 · Ballots cast 3,773 · Back to ward index

Tidenham · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,711

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lane, J.	Green Party	1,034	18.1%	Elected
2	Birch, A.	Green Party	977	17.1%	Elected
3	Evans, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	884	15.5%	Elected
4	Koning, J.	Liberal Democrats	846	14.8%
5	Mcghee-Sumner, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	661	11.6%
6	Hughes, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	557	9.8%
7	Edwards, M.	Independent	381	6.7%
8	Davies, G.	Independent	371	6.5%

Electorate 5,550 · Ballots cast 5,711 · Back to ward index

Lydney East · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,816

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Preest, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	448	15.9%	Elected
2	Bevan, J.	Independent	441	15.7%	Elected
3	McDermid, A.	Green Party	440	15.6%	Elected
4	Vaughan, C.	Independent	439	15.6%
5	Hewlett, A.	Labour Party	390	13.8%
6	Kirkham, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	344	12.2%
7	James, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	314	11.2%

Electorate 5,089 · Ballots cast 2,816 · Back to ward index

Hartpury & Redmarley · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 26.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +6.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,465

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Burford, P.	Independent	759	30.8%	Elected
2	Williams, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	658	26.7%	Elected
3	Turvill, J.	Green Party	424	17.2%
4	Gregory, D.	Green Party	337	13.7%
5	Woodyatt, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	287	11.6%

Electorate 3,571 · Ballots cast 2,465 · Back to ward index

Cinderford West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +4.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,260

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sanders, J.	Labour Party	367	29.1%	Elected
2	Turner, M.	Independent	359	28.5%	Elected
3	Sterry, L.	Independent	299	23.7%
4	Bowen Plummer, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	131	10.4%
5	Clissold, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	104	8.3%

Electorate 3,123 · Ballots cast 1,260 · Back to ward index

Newent & Taynton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +4.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,198

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Moseley, G.	Liberal Democrats	1,044	24.9%	Elected
2	Gooch, J.	Independent	894	21.3%	Elected
3	Hudson, J.	Liberal Democrats	865	20.6%	Elected
4	Beeston, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	498	11.9%
5	Roper, M.	Liberal Democrats	366	8.7%
6	Winter, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	273	6.5%
7	Edey, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	258	6.1%

Electorate 5,381 · Ballots cast 4,198 · Back to ward index

Newnham · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 30.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +3.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,464

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Burton, R.	Green Party	763	31.0%	Elected
2	Moore, A.	Green Party	744	30.2%	Elected
3	Gordon Thomas, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	411	16.7%
4	Oversby, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	299	12.1%
5	Ashton, R.	Independent	247	10.0%

Electorate 3,901 · Ballots cast 2,464 · Back to ward index

Cinderford East · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 31.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +1.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,336

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Martin, D.	Labour Party	458	34.3%	Elected
2	Bishop, M.	Labour Party	421	31.5%	Elected
3	Bensted, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	163	12.2%
4	Charlton-Wright, J.	Independent	157	11.8%
5	Gittos, F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	137	10.3%

Electorate 3,404 · Ballots cast 1,336 · Back to ward index

Ruspidge · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.9 pts Valid ballots 452

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	O'Neill, B.	Independent	230	50.9%	Elected
2	Green, J.	Liberal Democrats	126	27.9%
3	Parsons, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	96	21.2%

Electorate 1,821 · Ballots cast 452 · Back to ward index

Dymock · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.5 pts Valid ballots 690

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kilmurray, G.	Liberal Democrats	431	62.5%	Elected
2	Heathfield, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	259	37.5%

Electorate 1,646 · Ballots cast 690 · Back to ward index

Newland & Sling · single-seat

Marginal winner 69.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.4 pts Valid ballots 589

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wheeler, D.	Green Party	409	69.4%	Elected
2	Woodyatt, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	180	30.6%

Electorate 1,974 · Ballots cast 589 · Back to ward index

St Briavels · single-seat

Marginal winner 74.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −24.5 pts Valid ballots 872

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	McFarling, C.	Green Party	650	74.5%	Elected
2	Stuart, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	188	21.6%
3	Collins, R.	Independent	34	3.9%

Electorate 1,923 · Ballots cast 872 · Back to ward index

Lydney North · single-seat

Marginal winner 76.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −26.3 pts Valid ballots 633

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ives, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	483	76.3%	Elected
2	Carr, J.	Green Party	150	23.7%

Electorate 1,695 · Ballots cast 633 · Back to ward index

Pillowell · single-seat

Marginal winner 77.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −27.3 pts Valid ballots 638

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dale, J.	Green Party	493	77.3%	Elected
2	Taylor, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	145	22.7%

Electorate 1,733 · Ballots cast 638 · Back to ward index

Lydney West & Aylburton · single-seat

Marginal winner 77.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −27.6 pts Valid ballots 660

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Topping, M.	Green Party	512	77.6%	Elected
2	Windsor-Clive, W.	Conservative and Unionist Party	148	22.4%

Electorate 1,952 · Ballots cast 660 · Back to ward index

Lydbrook · single-seat

Marginal winner 85.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −35.5 pts Valid ballots 587

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Phelps, S.	Green Party	502	85.5%	Elected
2	Ker, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	85	14.5%

Electorate 1,790 · Ballots cast 587 · Back to ward index

Westbury-on-Severn · single-seat

Marginal winner 87.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −37.4 pts Valid ballots 637

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Phelps, S.	Independent	557	87.4%	Elected
2	Bowen, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	80	12.6%

Electorate 1,634 · Ballots cast 637 · Back to ward index